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World in 60 Seconds (February 1, 2016): It's Iowa Caucus Day!

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Congratulations, America, it's Iowa caucus day! (World, we're sorry.) Here's your world in 60 seconds.

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Who will win Iowa? I don’t know. It’s so bad. I think Hillary is going to win Iowa. On the Republican side, I expect Trump is not going to do as well as he thinks. But I just don’t know. It’s a caucus, it’s snowing, it’s Iowa, it’s weird.

Will the Zika virus cause a political crisis in Latin America? Not an intense one. I don’t think it’s going to bring down governments.

Who’s at most risk from the Brexit referendum? Everybody, frankly. If this goes badly, the Brits and the Europeans are going to be in quandary for a couple of years, unwinding it.

Does ISIS threaten Afghanistan? Sure, but not nearly as much as the Taliban. They’ve taken an enormous amount of territory, and it’s really undermining governance there.

Is Abenomics in trouble in Japan? I’d say ‘no,’ despite the fact that Minister Amari just got toasted by a corruption scandal. They’re in negative interest rate territory; they still have a lot to play for.

Is artificial intelligence taking over the world? Not yet.

Is the African Union strong enough to tackle crises like Burundi? Not particularly.

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