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ISS and Beyond: Habs, Labs, and Platforms, from LEO to Deep Space
- 1. ISS and Beyond: Habs, Labs and Platforms, From LEO to Deep Space • MARYBETH EDEEN, MANAGER, ISS RESEARCH INTEGRATION OFFICE, NASA (MODERATOR) • SAM SCIMEMI, DIRECTOR OF INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION, NASA • MARK MULQUEEN, PROGRAM MANAGER, INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION, BOEING • ROBERT BIGELOW, PRESIDENT, BIGELOW AEROSPACE • MICHAEL SUFFREDINI, PRESIDENT, COMMERCIAL SPACE DIVISION, SGT SPEAKERS:
- 2. ISS and Beyond Sam Scimemi Director, International Space Station NASA Headquarters ISS Research and Development Conference San Diego, CA 14 July 2016
- 3. The many colored facets of ISS Today
- 4. Research platform advancing knowledge and benefits to humanity Just some of the many colored facets of ISS
- 5. Just some of the many colored facets of ISS Platform for developing Mars driven life support, crew health, performance and other habitation systems
- 6. Just some of the many colored facets of ISS Mechanism for evolving from “government directed” LEO HSF activities to “commercial market driven supply and demand”
- 7. Just some of the many colored facets of ISS Partnership regime provides a solid and known basis for international cooperation in LEO and beyond
- 8. Just some of the many colored facets of ISS Development of a worldwide team executing on the edge of knowledge that has built trust and understanding across nations
- 9. Just some of the many colored facets of ISS Instrument of foreign and domestic policy
- 10. How could these facets effect the future?
- 11. How could these facets effect the future? What happens is LEO after ISS?
- 12. How could these facets effect the future? What happens is LEO after ISS? Will private industry be able to sustain a commercial market in LEO at ISS end-of-life?
- 13. How could these facets effect the future? What happens is LEO after ISS? Will private industry be able to sustain a commercial market in LEO at ISS end-of-life? Can the ISS International Partnership be applied to post-ISS LEO and cislunar space?
- 14. How could these facets effect the future? What happens is LEO after ISS? Will private industry be able to sustain a commercial market in LEO at ISS end-of-life? Can the ISS International Partnership be applied to post-ISS LEO and cislunar space? Does NASA have research requirements in LEO post-ISS?
- 15. How could these facets effect the future? What happens is LEO after ISS? Will private industry be able to sustain a commercial market in LEO at ISS end-of-life? Can the ISS International Partnership be applied to post-ISS LEO and cislunar space? Does NASA have research requirements in LEO post-ISS? What are the ISS International Partners intentions in LEO and beyond?
- 16. How could these facets effect the future? What happens is LEO after ISS? Will private industry be able to sustain a commercial market in LEO at ISS end-of-life? Can the ISS International Partnership be applied to post-ISS LEO and cislunar space? Does NASA have research requirements in LEO post-ISS? What are the ISS International Partners intentions in LEO and beyond? Will private and non-NASA government demand be sustained post-ISS?
- 17. How could these facets effect the future? What happens is LEO after ISS? Will private industry be able to sustain a commercial market in LEO at ISS end-of-life? Can the ISS International Partnership be applied to post-ISS LEO and cislunar space? Does NASA have research requirements in LEO post-ISS? What are the ISS International Partners intentions in LEO and beyond? Will private and non-NASA government demand be sustained post-ISS? How can the ISS Program be evolved to effect the outcomes of these questions?
- 19. Mark Mulqueen Boeing ISS Program Manager
- 22. LEO Commercial Space Station
- 23. Why an Incremental Approach Makes Sense
- 24. Providing Ground – Cislunar Habitat
- 25. “Path to a Commercial Space Station” Mike Suffredini, President, Axiom Space
- 26. Axiom Space, LLC • Axiom Space, LLC is a space commercialization startup – Headquartered near Johnson Space Center • Vision: To colonize Earth orbit as a means to sustained deep space exploration. To build an affordable, state-of-the-art city in Earth orbit by 2040 where any of us could live, visit, work and play. • Axiom Space is a subsidiary of Stinger Ghaffarian Technologies (SGT) – SGT is NASA’s second largest support services contractor – It currently employs 2500+ employees and supports 7 NASA Centers – The corporation earned approximately $600M in revenue last year – SGT is the ISS operations contractor and the science/engineering support contractor for many ISS research disciplines across multiple NASA centers 7/27/2016 26
- 27. Path to Commercial Space Station • Axiom’s long term vision includes a large sophisticated space station assembled in Earth orbit as a means to permanently living and working in space (2040 timeframe) – This is a necessary step to truly explore space as pioneers • An important step toward the large sophisticated station is an evolvable commercial space station to follow the International Space Station (ISS) • The first step toward an evolvable commercial space station is a commercial module that is launched and attached to ISS in late 2020 and later becomes part of the evolvable commercial space station when ISS is retired 7/27/2016 27
- 28. The Axiom Module 7/27/2016 28
- 29. Evolvable Commercial Space Station 7/27/2016 29
- 30. How We Imagine our Vision 7/27/2016 30
- 31. Investors Need a Compelling Story • Cannot build module or the rest of a commercial space station without major investment • Investors want to see: – A compelling case • Interesting idea • BOE indicating significant return (profits, equity) • Believable market assessment – With risks mitigated • Commitments from customers • Endorsement from key stake holders • Capable key individuals and viable team • The Market assessment has to be compelling with near term written customer commitments 7/27/2016 31
- 32. The Market is Key (of course) • An independent market assessment indicates a potentially credible market in the distant future. • In the near term however the expected customer base will not support a commercial space station • Great strides have been made by NASA, CASIS and commercial companies like Nanoracks, Space Tango, Tech Shot and Bigelow – Still the story from a major investor perspective is not compelling enough to part with $100M’s • We need to at least double or triple the number of new ISS commercial users per year to have a chance of a viable customer base by 2024 7/27/2016 32
- 33. The Question • Today new commercial users cannot even get started without ISS and the NASA subsidies – The subsidies are mandatory to grow the base • Potential platform providers cannot justify the expense of building and operating their own independent vehicles given the projected customer base – We need ISS and the NL to be successful • But, commercial platform providers cannot get many customers to use their platforms as long as ISS exists • So, should ISS end in 2024, to get out of the way of potential providers, but likely when the market is still very soft or should ISS continue a little longer… ? 7/27/2016 33
- 34. Consider • Perhaps we should consider a modest increase in our time and talent investment now to grow the commercial user base at a pace that supports retiring ISS in 2024 • A commercial station would be realized earlier, releasing $2B to $3B in US govt resources alone • NASA (and the IP’s) could redirect the savings and get on with the human exploration of our solar system 7/27/2016 34