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Technical efficiency in beef cattle production in Botswana: a stochastic metafrontier approach

  1. Technical efficiency in beef cattle production in Botswana: a stochastic metafrontier approach Sirak Bahta Tropentag 2014: Bridging the gap between increasing knowledge Sirak Bahta and decreasing resources, Prague, 17−19 September 2014 International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI)
  2. Outline  Background  Objective of the study  Literature Review  Data and Methodological Approach  Results and discussion  Conclusion and Policy Implications
  3. Background Agriculture in Botswana:  The main source of income and employment in Rural areas (42.6 percent of the total population)  30 percent of the country’s employment  More than 80 percent of the sector’s GDP is from livestock production  Cattle production is the only source of agricultural exports
  4. Cont. Background (Cont.)  Beef is dominant within the Botswana livestock sector 3
  5. Background 3,060 1,788 (Cont.) 2,247 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 '000 Commercial Traditional  Dualistic structure of production, with communal dominating Cattle population 4
  6. Background (Cont.)  Despite the numerical dominance , productivity is low esp. in the communal/traditional sector 5 Sales 0.18 0.15 0.12 0.09 0.06 0.03 0 Home Slaughter Deaths GivenAway Eradication Losses Commercial Traditional
  7. Background  Growing domestic beef demand and on-going shortage of beef for export:  In recent years beef export has been declining sharply (e.g. from 86 percent of beef export quota in 2001 to 34 percent in 2007 (IFPRI, 2013 ))  Problems in production and marketing into export channels • High transaction costs • Farmers’ preferences for keeping animals to an advanced age • Lack of understanding of the various markets’ quality requirements (Cont.) 6
  8. Objective of the study • To derive a statistical measure of Technical efficiency of different smallholder farm types More specifically: • To measure farm-specific TE in different farm types • To measure technology-related variations in TE between different farm types • To analyse the determinants of farmers’ TE • Come up with policy recommendations to improve competitiveness of beef production 7
  9. Literature review (cont..) Measuring efficiency: potential input reduction or potential output increase relative to a reference (Latruffe, 2010). Technically defined by non-parametric and parametric methods The non-parametric approach uses mathematical programming techniques –Data envelope analysis (DEA) The parametrical analysis of efficiency uses econometric techniques to estimate a frontier function - Stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) 8
  10. Literature review (cont..) Technological differences The stochastic frontier allows comparison of farms operating with similar technologies. However, farms in different environments (e.g., production systems) do not always have access to the same technology. Assuming similar technologies when they actually differ across farms might result in erroneous measurement of efficiency by mixing technological differences with technology-specific inefficiency (Tsionas, 2002). Various alternatives have been proposed to account for differences in technology and production environment. 9
  11. Literature review (cont..) Metafrontier This technique is preferred in the present study because : - Enables estimation of technology gaps for different groups - Accommodates both cross-sectional and panel data The stochastic metafrontier estimation involves first fitting individual stochastic frontiers for separate groups and then optimising them jointly through an LP or QP approach. - It captures the highest output attainable, given input (x) and common technology. 10
  12. Literature review (Cont..) Figure 1: Metafrontier illustration Source: Adapted from Battese et al. (2004). 11
  13. Data and Methodological Approach Study Area • Household data, collected by survey • More than 600 observations (for this study classified by farm types) 12
  14. Data and Methodological Approach - Stochastic frontier analysis (Frontier 4.0) - Linear Programing (SHAZAM) - Bootstrapping to derive standard deviations of metafrontiers (SHAZAM) - Tobit (TE effects)- STATA 13
  15. Results and discussion Production function estimates Table1: Production function estimates Variable Pooled Stochastic frontier Metafrontier Constant (β0 ) 7.04** 7.62*** 0.188 0.010 Feed Equivalents(β1 ) 0.22** 0.022*** 0.009 0.001 Veterinary costs(β2 ) 0.106*** 0.75*** 0.019 0.002 Divisia index (β3 ) 0.091*** 0.003*** 0.013 0.000 Labour (β4 ) 0.31** 0.008*** 0.015 0.001 Land(β5 ) 0.291*** 0.315*** 0.058 0.050 σ2 0.473*** 0.03 ϒ 0.987*** Log likelihood -529.73 440.75 14
  16. 39% 75% 76% 79% 77% 45% 49% 45% 80% 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% Cattle Farms Cattle & crop farms Cattle, Samll Stcok & crop farms All farms TE wrt metafrontiier Meta-technology ratio a a a b c b Per cent Results and discussion Technology ratio and TE wrt to meta frontier Table 1: Technical efficiency and meta-technology ratios 15
  17. 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% all sample catle cattle-crop cattle- crop-small stock <0.2 0.2-0.4 0.4-0.6 0.6-0.8 0.8-1 1 Per cent Results and discussion TE wrt to meta frontier distribution 16
  18. Results Ddeterminants of technical efficiency Table2: Determinants of technical efficiency SFA Tobit Variables Coefficient St Dev Coefficient St Dev constant 3.71*** 0.250 0.446 0.030 Herd size -0.031*** 0.001 0.001*** 0.000 Indigenous breed 0.164* 0.094 -0.007 0.012 Agricultural information 0.045 0.079 -0.011 0.010 Access to vet services 0.047 0.098 0.024* 0.013 Age -0.005*** 0.002 0.001*** 0.000 Share sold to BMC -0.083 0.155 0.045** 0.020 Controlled breeding method -0.298* 0.178 0.039* 0.024 FMD region -0.019 0.072 -0.003 0.010 Non farm income -0.012 0.009 0.003* 0.002 Distance to market 0.043 0.033 -0.008* 0.005 Crop land size -0.101* 0.058 -0.007 0.005 Income X education -0.002* 0.001 17
  19. Conclusion and policy implications - The majority of farmers use available technology sub-optimally and produce far less than the potential output; average MTR is 0.77 and TE is 0.45 . - Controlled cattle breeding method, access to Vet services and market contract (BMC), off-farm income, herd size and farmers’ age all contribute positively to efficiency. - On the contrary, distance to markets and income and formal education did not have a favorable influence on efficiency. 18
  20. Conclusion and policy implications 19 - It is important to provide relevant livestock extension and other support services that would facilitate better use of available technology by the majority of farmers who currently produce sub-optimally. - Necessary interventions, for instance, would include improving farmers’ access to appropriate knowledge on cattle feeding methods and alternative feeds. - Provision of relatively better technology (e.g., locally adaptable and affordable cattle breeds and breeding programmes).
  21. Conclusion and policy implications - Access to market services, including contract opportunities with BMC. - Provide appropriate training/education services that enhance farmers’ management practices, and/or encourage them to employ skilled farm managers. - Policies that promote diversification of enterprises, including creation of off-farm income opportunities would also contribute to improving efficiency among Botswana beef farmers. 20
  22. better lives through livestock ilri.org The presentation has a Creative Commons licence. You are free to re-use or distribute this work, provided credit is given to ILRI.
  23. Export of beef from Botswana (2000-2011) 180000 160000 140000 120000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Quantity (tonnes) Value (1000 $)

Editor's Notes

  1. Agricultural contribution to GDP is about 2-3%.
  2. Not clear as to whether beef production is competitive Studies have relied on household budget analysis and limited household data Others have concentrated on productivity of agriculture
  3. Methods to address technology differences in efficiency estimation Continuous parameters method Bayesian stochastic frontiers that - assess the influence of exogenous factors on either the production function or inefficiency component (Van den Broeck et al. ,1994; and Koop et al. ,1997) Nonparametric stochastic frontier Nonparametric stochastic frontier based on local maximum likelihood approach (Kumbhakar et al. , 2007) ). Predetermined sample classification Classifying the data into various groups based on a priori information, and then separate frontiers are estimated for each group.   Latent class stochastic frontier  Uses of latent variable theory to classify the data into segments or groups, and then estimate a frontier for each group in one stage.   Metafrontier Proposed by Battese et al. (2004) and estimated by specifying a single data generating process, which explains deviations between observed outputs and the maximum possible explained output levels in the group frontiers
  4. The metafrontier function captures the highest possible output level (y) attainable, given the input (x) and common technology in the industry (Figure 1). Output levels for producers who are efficient both in respective group frontiers (e.g., frontier 1) and in the entire industry lie on the metafrontier. Frontiers 2 and 3 fall below the metafrontier; this implies that they represent efficient production in the groups/production systems, but not so for the industry.
  5. Consistent with assumed producer rationality, the estimated input parameters are all positive and the elasticities fulfil the regularity condition of monotonicity which implies the production frontiers are non-decreasing in inputs. That is an increase in the application of any of the inputs would significantly increase output.
  6. The TE with respect to metafrontier show that those farms who have cattle, small stock and crop are relatively more efficient than the others and there is significant difference among the farm types in terms of efficiency. TE 45% for the pooled sample indicates This indicates that there is a considerable scope to improve beef farm technical efficiency under the prevailing input mix and production technology among beef cattle producers in Botswana. As you can see The mean MTR in the pooled sample is 0.77, implying that, on average beef farmers in Botswana produce 77 percent of the maximum potential output achievable from the available technology (crossbreed cattle). Further, 98 percent of farmers across the three production systems have MTR estimates below 1, indicating that they use the available technology suboptimally. Perhaps due to low adoption of technologies.
  7. Change to MTR
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