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Livelihood diversifying potential of livestock based carbon sequestration options in pastoral and agro pastoral systems in Africa

  1. Livelihood diversifying potential of livestock based carbon sequestration options in pastoral and agro pastoral systems in Africa Mohammed Y Said Augustine Ayantunde, Shem Kifugo, Zipporah Musymi, Jan de Leeuw, Keith Shepard, Ermias, Jonas Koala, Didier Zida, Louis Savadogo, Briggite Kaufman, Hussein Tadiche Wario, Hassan Roba, Uwe Richter, Jan Pfister and Asch Folkard, Kenea Feyisa and Ayana Angasa Collaborators: ILRI, ICRAF, INERA, DISTL, Hawassa University, University of Hohenheim
  2. Outline of Presentation • Global emissions of greenhouse gases • Characterization of Pastoral and agro-pastoral systems in Africa • Livelihood diversifying potential of livestock based carbon sequestration options • Case examples – Burkina Faso, Ethiopia and Kenya – current research
  3. Current Emissions Source: International Consortium of Investigative Journalists
  4. Cumulative Emissions Source: International Consortium of Investigative Journalists
  5. Characteristics – pastoral and agropastoral systems Farming System Arid pastoral-oases Agro-pastoral Pastoral Rainfall (coefficient of variation) <33% >33% N 1000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 Kilom eters High variability of rainfall in pastoral and agro-pastoral areas Source: de Leeuw et al (in press)
  6. African pastoral and agro pastoral societies in Savanna areas are considered vulnerable to climate change This is so because these systems are mainly practiced in the dry arid and semi arid areas where climate is highly variable What opportunities exist to strengthen resilience of local communities to climate change? Rangelands deliver a number of environmental services: Elsewhere communities have benefited from PES such as wildlife Perspective from this study The local communities could play a crucial role in carbon sequestration while at the same time diversifying their livelihood by adopting Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD) strategy
  7. Climate Change • Rainfall have remained steady over the past 20 years, but reduced by 15% below 1920-69 average • Temperature have increased by 0.6oC Celsius since 1975 Source: Funk et al., 2012
  8. Climate change - Kenya
  9. Quantification of carbon stock in savannah woodlands in Burkina Faso (1992 – 2013) Jonas Kola, Didier Zida and Luis Savadogo (INERA) Photos: Didier et al., 2013
  10. Study sites location
  11. Experimental design in Laba and Tiogo
  12. Silvicultuture treatment applied to each experimental site Grazing Fire Selective cutting Grazing No Fire No Cutting Selective cutting Cutting + Direct seeding Number of plots of 2500 m2 4 4 4 Annual early fire No Cutting Selective cutting Cutting + Direct seeding 4 4 4 3 year fire exclusion No Cutting Selective cutting Cutting + Direct seeding 4 4 4 No fire No Cutting Selective cutting Cutting + Direct seeding 4 4 4 Annual early fire No Cutting Selective cutting Cutting + Direct seeding 4 4 4 3 year fire exclusion No Cutting Selective cutting Cutting + Direct seeding 4 4 4 No Grazing
  13. Woody vegetation studies  Selective tree cutting : – Tiogo : December 1993 – Laba : January 1994  Measurement, cutting and weighing of trees in 48 plots per site.  Maping and yearly follow up of all stumps Photos: Didier et al., 2013
  14. Woody vegetation studies  Construction of allometric function for predicting woody biomass : - Weighing all cut trees - Mesurement of variables (girth, height, ....).
  15. Construction de tarifs de cubage Satisfactory function for 11 fuelwood species (0,528 < R2 <0,880)  Best function: Anogeissus leiocarpa (R2 = 0,880 ; p<0,001) ;  Weak function : Acacia macrostachya (R2 =0,528; p<0,001). Source: Didier et al., 2013
  16. Herbaceous vegetation studies  Annual inventory in each plot since 1992 to 2011.  Annual assessment of herbaceous biomass (1993- 2011)  Impact of grazing intensity on soil infiltrability and herbaceous biomass Photos: Didier et al., 2013
  17. Early fire behaviour  Factors:  Livestock (exclosure vs free grazing)  Type of vegetation (Perennial vs annual grasses)  Burning direction (Wind direction vs opposite wind direction)  Parameters assessed:  Combustion efficiency ;  Rate of spread of fire  Flame height;  Fire temperature in a gradient (-10 cm; -2 cm; 0 cm; 50 cm; 300 cm; 500 cm) with sensors.  Resident temperature time (T>60°C) Source: Didier et al., 2013
  18. Scaling up Evaluating carbon sequestration options in African Pastoral lands Zipporah Musymi – PhD
  19. Integrate remotely sensed signals and field data to Investigate the effect of different land management options including grazing, prescribed cutting and fire on the above carbon stocks Investigate the effect of different land management options including grazing, prescribed cutting and fire on surface albedo Investigate the overall radiative forcing (from albedo and above ground carbon sequestration) of different land management options Feasibility of managing land for carbon sequestration Investigate the possibility of using High Resolution remote sensing data (Ge-oeye) to map above ground carbon
  20. Carbon mapping- Flowchart Source: Musymi, 2013
  21. Implementation carbon mapping- Concept Automation Source: Musymi, 2013
  22. Source: Pfister 2013
  23. Source: Pfister 2013
  24. Source: Pfister 2013
  25. Source: Pfister 2013
  26. Source: Pfister 2013
  27. Source: Pfister 2013
  28. Source: Pfister 2013
  29. Source: Pfister 2013
  30. Source: Pfister 2013
  31. Source: Pfister 2013
  32. Source: Pfister 2013
  33. Source: Pfister 2013
  34. Source: Pfister 2013
  35. Participatory rangeland use analysis to understand grazing management and decision making by Borana pastoralists in S. Ethiopia PhD study of Hussein Tadiche Wario supervised by Assoc. Prof. Dr. Brigitte Kaufmann, Dr Hassan Roba, Dr. Uwe Richter 38
  36. Scenario analysis • Conduct participatory scenario planning exercise in feedback seminars • Alternative grazing management scenarios explored based on the map and the current grazing system • Analyze tradeoffs for adopting each of the management scenarios • Modeling alternative scenarios?
  37. 1) Participatory rangeland mapping Source: Wario et al., 2013 40
  38. Digitizing the grazing units’ map 1. Overlay of community grazing units’ map on Google earth 2. Polygons plotted along grazing unit borders Source: Wario et al., 2013 41
  39. Solar powered GPS devices carried by herders and use of cameras One day herd grazing itinerary Source: Wario et al., 2013 42
  40. Example: grazing movement of one herd over a year March 2012 –April 2012 Dry season grazing reserve, had good grass growth, is part of lowland area liked by livestock, enhances faster weight gain and good mating rates March 2011-May 2011 Wet season grazing area. Cattle camp moved to lowland, Good grass variety, area liked by livestock, faster weight gain, better mating frequency June-July 2011 Cattle camp moved to settlement near the mountains. This grazing unit is on the Mountain, dry season reserve, good grass cover, close to traditional wells. Small area exhausted within a month Aug 2011-Sept’ 2011 The grazing unit has tree and shrub species that shade leaves hence had good leave litter during this period Oct 2011-Feb 2012 Cattle camp moved to lowlands, grazing same unit as March-May 2011, good grass amounts and reproductive performance enhancing Source: Wario et al., 2013 43
  41. Modelling based on existing datasets Which livelihood decisions work well? Household decisions What livelihood decisions do people make? Experimental games How do people value different livelihoods? Discrete choice experiments
  42. Economic games Introduction Games as experiments • Behavioural economics • Controlled settings • e.g. co-operation, common-pool resources, public goods • Mostly lab-based, undergraduate populations in USA/Europe • Highly abstract This study: • Game tailored to real situation • Played with local people, familiar with decision-making context • Dynamic resource; droughts Source: Aidan 2013
  43. Economic games Effects of “in-game” variables on decision-making Allocation of resources to livestock Proportion of cattle grazed illegally Source: Aidan 2013
  44. Thank you
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