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Assessment of progresses towards results

  1. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 1 N2Africa - www.N2Africa.org N≡N  NH4 + Assessment of progresses towards results Endalkachew Wolde-Meskel, ILRI N2Africa-Ethiopia Partners’ Progress Review Meeting, ILRI, Addis Ababa 30 November-1 December 2017
  2. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 2 Outline - Introduction – when technology escapes the lab - Results with Implementation of the project - Progress towards results /Exit strategy
  3. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 3 The underlying problem - poor soil fertility Legumes for Sustainable Intensification 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 F.bean C. Bean Chickpea Soybean YIELD(T/HA) TARGET PULSE CROP . Farmer's Exp't Plot Yield Gap!
  4. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 4 2013 2014 2015 N2Africa We have demonstrated the Yield Enhancing effects of N2Africa legumes production technology Where? • Amhara • B. Gumuz • Oromia • SNNPR 31 Woredas, 30 partners Target crops →
  5. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 5 Predicted means for chickpea grain yield (kg ha-1) with P, I and P+I applications at different year/Woredas in Ethiopia
  6. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 6 Cumulative probability of increase (Kg ha-1) in chickpea grain yield compared with control, Ethiopia, 2012 - 2015 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 CumulativeProbability(%) Absolute Response to P &/or I (kg/ha) Yield of P and/or I minus control yeidl] = I = P = I+P28 % obtained yield advantage of 0.2 – 0.5t over control yield Research, why <10% yield with I+P Yield advantage of ≥ 1t over the control yield to 25.2 % of the target farmers 37.4% of target farmers got yield advantage of 0.5 - 1t over the control yield
  7. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa Better Inoculation response where the soil N is low 7 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 Grainyield(kgha-1) Soil Total N content (%) -I +I Linear (-I mean) Linear (+I mean) Y 1696 2184 1424 1573 Relationship between total soil N content (%) and chickpea grain yield (kg ha-1) with and without inoculation
  8. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 88 +R , +P - R, +P Farmers lose the benefit of P fertilizer without sufficient N 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 Treatmentyield(kg/ha) Control yield (kg/ha) P-fertilizer Inoculant P-fertilizer+Inoculant +P+I 2013 +P 1714 +I 1572 Control 1415 Mean effects (Kg/ha) on-farm trials (common bean) Inoculation makes P economic!!
  9. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 9 More effective strains identified & further search underway 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 GrainYield(kg/ha) Candidate strains and controls Rhizobiology research : - Isolation, authentication, search for more elite strains continued - V by S multilocational trials
  10. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 10 Scaling up of Available Technology
  11. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa Milestone Indicator Ba sel ine Targ et 2017 Cumulativ e target at grant end Achie ved 2017 Assess ment Level Rating (use 6 level scale) Objective 1 1.3. Partners along the legume input and output value chains cooperate actively towards achieving the overall N2Africa goals. # of partnerships developed and active. 1.5.1. By Q4 of year 1, country-specific research and dissemination implementation plans formalized, including an exit strategy. # of specific research and dissemination plans formalized. 1.7.1. By Q4 of year 1, a research plan, engaging at least 5 PhD and 10 MSc candidates, developed. # of Project wide research plans to engage PhD and MSc students developed & # of PhD and MSc students (men/women) engaged. 1.4. By Q4 of year 5, at least 320 partners trained in N2Africa technologies and approaches. # of persons trained (gender disaggregated data) in N2Africa technologies and approaches & # of N2Africa technologies (by type) in which the persons were trained. (Note: Count the total number of persons trained from the collaborating partners for dissemination. Disaggregate data by gender). Objective 2 2.2. Dissemination partners attain/surpass the anticipated number of households targeted and continue to engage in legume intensification post-project. # of target households (men/women) reached (outcome level: these farmers continue to engage in legume intensification activities after participating in dissemination activities). Achieved On target to be achieved Not on target to be achieved Assessment of progresses towards results !Key Milestones Baseline 2014 Period Four Achieved at period Four end Grant End Jan 2017 Dec 2017 Jan 2017 Dec 2017 Dec 2018 Target at period end Achieved at period end Cumulative target at grant end 1.3. Partners along the legume input and output value chains cooperate actively towards achieving the overall N2Africa goals 1.4. By Q4 of year 5, at least 320 partners trained in N2Africa technologies and approaches 2.2. Dissemination partners attain/surpass the anticipated number of households targeted and continue to engage in legume intensification post-project
  12. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa Implementation (the PPPs – the main strategy) 0 2 4 6 8 10 Collaborative/ cooperation Sub-contractual/ under collaborative Agreements • 14 main partnerships with signed agreements • 7 PPP clusters functionalized, 4 main models 0 2 4 6 Input-Supplyer Driven Nucleus Farm/… Buyer-Driven Collective-Producer… • All partnerships have clear pillars and areas of support • Relationships established, legume value chain platform (collective planning & review) • Key interventions implemented (dissemination, capacity building, input supply….. However: Exit Strategy • How do we consolidate efforts and strategize to achieve the rest of the results? New farmers? Access to inputs? Output markets? …. • How will relationships continue after N2Africa? How strong are the private sector to lead
  13. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 13 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 2014 2015 2016 2017 6250 17500 28750 25000 4008 18992 12000 27000 4008 23000 35000 62000 Numberoffarmers Years Targeted Reached cumulative Overall farmers reached & Projection Achieved & the way forward Exit Strategy • Achieved + 8.5 % of planned 2015, & - 2016 • Increase between 2015-2016 (52%), >7x b/n 2014-16 • Adaptation trials: 27% (accepted by partners/ farmers as the best) • Field days 72% (accepted as major approach to reach more) 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Media (events) Technology evaluation (events) FTDG Cross visits Extension materials (copies) Adaptation Demonstration Training Field days Number of farmers Dissemination approaches used (# of farmers reached, 2015) • Appreciated by partners/farmers as best approaches for farmer testing and reaching out to more Exit Strategy • Strategize to reach out to more farmers using accepted approaches
  14. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 14 Capacity Building 3 different types – Long-term formal training, – ToTs and – target framers • PhD – 3 [Rhizobiology, Socio-economics and feed analysis(partial)] • MSc – 9 (7completed, 2 near completion – Rhizobiology, Agronomy, soils, Scio-Econ) • Only 1 female 0 100 200 300 400 2014 2015 234 174 75 86 309 260 NumberofTrainees Year Male Female total ToT 1759 4919 3297 6248 611 1151 803 1562 2370 6070 4101 7,811 2014 2015 2016 2017 Numberoffarmers Years total Female Male Overall – 560 ToTs (2014 – 15), 40% Female – 20,352 Smallholders (25.5% Female) Content: - Agronomic practices, quality seed production, post harvest - Biofertilizer, inoculation techniques, management .. - Agro-input Business, use and handling of inoculants - Diffusion of innovations, introducing N2A plans • Good Female participation, against project level of 47% • Good training content • Main target groups : extension officers, lead farmers, FCU • Excellent participatory • Timing of training (give before season starts) Exit strategy?
  15. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 15 Input-Output Models– PPP’s Frequently used model-Producer Collective Learnings • > 63% of partnerships have producer-collective models • FCU Overall strength differ (the model requires strong cooperatives and Unions) • What are the key issues in the use of this model? Important element for discussion as related to the Exit strategy 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Agreements Types of Models Producer Collective-Driven Model Nucleus Farmers Driven Model Input Supplier / Lender Driven Model Buyer-Driven Model – Outgrower Schemes - FCU, buyers, MBI - Balegreen, Anno? - MBI,FCU, Anno? - Tsehay -Mama
  16. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa Spill-over: N2Africa legume production technology • Tsehay – Mama Unions relations exemplary • Tsehay installed feed factory (oil pressing ?) (arose from the need to source large quantity of soya grains) - > 240 ha land planted to Soya (overwhelmed Sesame)
  17. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 17 Inoculants production and distribution in Ethiopia Increasing 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 Sachets Cropping season Production Distribution Sales= 17 fold 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 Sachets Cropping season NSTC Produced Distributed • Farmers recognize inoculants as useful input, • Ensure timely supply and quality Exit Strategy
  18. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 0 100 200 300 400 2014 2015 2016 2017 Quintals Seed Fertilizer Trends in Input distribution (N2Africa only), way forward 0 2000 4000 6000 2014 2015 2016 2017 Sachets Inoculants N2A supports Seed Multiplication (Certified & Basic) • PCs & FCU ( 334 (2016) and 440 (2017) farmers), Sidama Elto, Thsehay, Ghion, Chewaka, Uta wayu… • Commercial farms – Balegreen, Anno • No agro-dealer in seed business Madam, how much seeds? Nassir ? H. dume? Ararti? Habru? • Lack of efficient seed (Input) demand information system a major constraint to food security • N2Africa working with Shayashone consultant using its smallholders database
  19. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa 19 • Mistrust among b/n cooperatives / farmers and buyers (mainly b/s of fluctuating grain prices ) • In efficient bulking processes (limited storage and post harvest issues) • Focus attention to integrate output market to specific partners (buyers) to support cooperatives Access to output market – way forward to exit • PPP arrangement must outsmart the traditional market outlet (esp. chickpea, faba bean, common bean) From: AGRILINK - DUBAI <pankil@agrilink.ae> Date: Mon, Apr 10, 2017 at 8:17 AM Subject: Required 500 tons Soya Beans To: Tamiru Amanu <tamiruamanu@gmail.com Date : 10/04/2017 Dear Sir, We want to buy 500-1000 M.tons of Soyabean from Ethiopia 2017 Crop. Specifications : Purity: 98% Min. acceptable up-to 95% with 1:1 discount Oil: 19% Min. Moisture: 10% Max. Protein: 36% Max. Sound Seeds : 96 % Min. Immature Seeds : 4 % Max.
  20. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa • Effort continue • Establish concrete Model for the use of labour-saving tools Labor Saving tools, Progress & way forward 3.4.1. By Q4 of year 2, prototype labour-saving pre- and post-harvest tools for female farmers validated Demonstrate prototype pre and post labor-saving tools
  21. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa • Provides basis to assess project progress against targets • ICT platform used for data collection, from 2015 • Data gaps still exist (collection and uploading ) • At most emphasis should be given the rest of the remain project period, discuss exit to be strategized (to address data gaps) M&E and the way forward
  22. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa Milestone Indicator Ba sel ine Targ et 2017 Cumulativ e target at grant end Achie ved 2017 Assess ment Level Rating (use 6 level scale) Objective 1 1.3. Partners along the legume input and output value chains cooperate actively towards achieving the overall N2Africa goals. # of partnerships developed and active. 1.5.1. By Q4 of year 1, country-specific research and dissemination implementation plans formalized, including an exit strategy. # of specific research and dissemination plans formalized. 1.7.1. By Q4 of year 1, a research plan, engaging at least 5 PhD and 10 MSc candidates, developed. # of Project wide research plans to engage PhD and MSc students developed & # of PhD and MSc students (men/women) engaged. 1.4. By Q4 of year 5, at least 320 partners trained in N2Africa technologies and approaches. # of persons trained (gender disaggregated data) in N2Africa technologies and approaches & # of N2Africa technologies (by type) in which the persons were trained. (Note: Count the total number of persons trained from the collaborating partners for dissemination. Disaggregate data by gender). Objective 2 2.2. Dissemination partners attain/surpass the anticipated number of households targeted and continue to engage in legume intensification post-project. # of target households (men/women) reached (outcome level: these farmers continue to engage in legume intensification activities after participating in dissemination activities). Achieved On target to be achieved Not on target to be achieved Assessment of progresses towards resultsKey Milestones Baseline 2014 Period Four Achieved at period Four end Grant End Jan 2017 Dec 2017 Jan 2017 Dec 2017 Dec 2018 Target at period end Achieved at period end Cumulative target at grant end 1.3. Partners along the legume input and output value chains cooperate actively towards achieving the overall N2Africa goals 7 7 7 1.4. By Q4 of year 5, at least 320 partners trained in N2Africa technologies and approaches >1000 >20,000 2.2. Dissemination partners attain/surpass the anticipated number of households targeted and continue to engage in legume intensification post-project 45,000 ? 65,000
  23. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa Workshop Output Expected 23 Expected Outputs 1) Project progresses towards results developed, and achievements assessed 2) Early risks and possible remedies for sustaining models and approaches used in technology dissemination, legume input supply and output marketing identified, 3) Final project exit strategy document detailing sustainability gaps and strategic scenarios to sustain project initiatives developed and shared with partners; 4) Key areas of activity implementations for 2018 identified and consensus reached.
  24. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa Acknowledgments To all N2Africa-Ethiopia Partners SCS FCU
  25. Putting nitrogen fixation to work for smallholder farmers in Africa Thank You 25

Editor's Notes

  1. For preparing 2017 plans
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