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Animal breeding for reduced poverty and improved food security in developing countries

  1. Animal breeding for reduced poverty and improved food security in developing countries Karen Marshall John Vercoe Memorial Lecture, AAABG, Australia, 28-30 September 2015
  2. International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI)
  3. ILRI’s mission ILRI’s mission is to improve food and nutritional security and to reduce poverty in developing countries through research for efficient, safe and sustainable use of livestock— ensuring better lives through livestock ILRI is part of the CGIAR consortium (15 centres)
  4. ILRI: Established 1994, currently 700+ staff Two main campuses (Kenya, Ethiopia), 16 additional offices
  5. “John nurtured the formation of ILRI and shaped the international livestock research agenda. He provided exemplary leadership while serving on ILRI’s Board of Trustees for six years, five of them as Chair”
  6. The livestock sector, and its importance to the world’s rural poor
  7. The global livestock sector Asset value $1.4 trillion; employs >1.3 billion people Livestock contribute an average of 40 % of the agricultural GDP Sector accounts for  30% of the land surface  70% of agricultural land  8% of human water use The 4 billion people who live on less than US$10 a day (primarily in developing countries) represent a food market of about $2.9 trillion per year.
  8. 4 of 5 highest valueglobal commodities are livestock FAOSTAT 2014 (values for 2012) 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Production(MT)millions Netproductionvalue(Int$)billion net production value (Int $) billion production (MT) Cow milk has overtaken rice Eggs have displaced maize Animal source foods: 4 of 5 highest value global commodities
  9. Global livestock numbers (FAOSTAT 2013) Asia 51%Africa 31% Rest of world 18% Sheep & goats: 2.1 billion Asia 41% Africa 19% Rest of world 40% Cattle & buffalo: 1.7 billion Asia 60%Africa 4% Rest of world 36% Pigs: 1.0 billion Asia 56% Africa 8% Rest of world 36% Poultry: 22.9 billion
  10. Significant increases over 2005/7 amounts of cereals, dairy and meat will be needed by 2050 From 2bn to 3bn tonnes cereals each year From 664m to 1bn tonnes dairy each year From 258m to 460m tonnes meat each year Most of this increase in demand is within developing countries
  11. Gains in meat consumption in developing countries are outpacing those of developed 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 1980 1990 2002 2015 2030 2050 Millionmetrictonnes Developed countries Developing countries Developing at same per capita as developed (hypothetical)
  12. Milk demand and consumption levels differ in developed and developing countries 0 200 400 600 800 1000 2005/07 2050 Demand for milk million t/annum Developing Developed 0 50 100 150 200 250 2005/07 2050 Milk consumption kg/capita/annum
  13. Drivers of the increase in demand for animal source food, particularly in developing countries  Population growth  GDP growth  Urbanisation Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2007) Billionsofpeople World population growth to 2050
  14. Number of poor livestock keepers (millions) Poor defined as <2 USD per day, 2010 data (Robinson et al., 2011) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Sub-Saharan Africa South Asia East Asia and Pacific Eastern Europe and Central Asia Latin America and Caribbean Middle East and North Africa Globally 766 million
  15. Multiple roles of livestock to the rural poor  Savings & insurance  Food & nutrition: meat / milk  Income  Draught power / transport  Fertiliser (manure)  Various uses of hides and skin  Livelihood risk reduction  Ceremonies / dowry  Benefit from common property resources  Ecosystem services
  16. Livestock keeping objectives Mixed crop-livestock system, The Gambia Objective Cows Bulls Sheep Goats Savings / insurance 9.6 9.9 7.8 7.8 Manure 6.7 6.7 4.5 5.3 Draught 6.3 7.1 0.0 0.0 Domestic milk consumption 6.1 0.0 0.6 0.9 Milk sale 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 Ceremonial / Dowry 5.3 4.8 6.7 7.3 Income 2.9 3.3 6.3 7.7 Transport 2.1 2.8 0.0 0.0 Hides / skin 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.1 Domestic meat consumption 0.6 0.6 1.8 2.7 Sale of breeding animals 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Scoring 0-10, where 10 = most important objective
  17. Livestock keeping objectives: gender differentiation Objective Male pastoralists Female pastoralists Savings and insurance 5.3 8.2 Domestic milk consumption 8.7 9.5 Domestic meat consumption 6.3 1.7 Milk sale 9.5 9.3 Income 7.4 5.6 Transport 8.8 9.6 Drawing well water 6.4 9.8 Ceremonial / dowry 5.2 6.8 Hide / Skin 3.8 2 Bone 2.3 0 Camels, Pastoral system - Somaliland
  18. Level of market orientation % Women % Men % Joint Low 72% 27% 1% Medium 45% 50% 5%  Women may loose control of benefits from livestock as an enterprise commercialises Livestock and gender Who controls income from sale of milk – Senegal dairy  Gender-transformative approaches can help address the underlying issues (social norms, power relationships) of this gender inequality  Women are major contributors to livestock production, but face a number of constraints in comparison to men  Limited access to resources e.g. land, water, credit  Limited access to market information  Limited decision making power
  19. The challenge By the time of population stabilisation at about 2050:  A 60% increase in food production is needed  75% of this must come from producing more food from the same amount of land  The higher production must be achieved while reducing poverty and addressing environmental, social and health concerns  This higher production may have to be achieved with temperatures that are 2−4 degrees warmer than at present Sustainable animal source food systems in developing countries are recognised as critical to this
  20. Scenarios for sustainable animal source food systems in developing countries 90% of animal products are produced / consumed in same country or region Smallholders produce > 80% of developing countries food
  21. Background on AnGR use in developing countries
  22. Livestock productivity in developing countries remains low, for a variety of complex reasons 0 200 400 600 800 1000 Typical management Better management Litres Milk yield (365 days) Lactating 28% Dry 72% Age first calving: 4 years Calving interval: > 2 years West African Zebu Gobra Cattle
  23. AnGR use in developing countries To date, many developing country livestock production systems have not realized the same benefits from genetic improvement achieved in developed country livestock production systems
  24. Constraints to optimising AnGR use in developing countries  Investment prioritized into other aspects of livestock development  Heterogeneity of livestock systems, farm-scale, management practices, and needs and preferences of livestock keepers  Few working models for sustained genetic improvement  Lack of data  Some breeds have no phenotypic information  Limited longitudinal data  Phenotypic data now much expensive than genomic  Lack of supportive policies & institutional arrangements  Few experienced animal breeders
  25. However breed change is occuring Livestock type Example Cattle - dairy European dairy breeds (including Holstein-Friesian and Jersey) in 26 African and 12 South and South East Asian countries Cattle - meat or dual-purpose The Braham, developed in North America from Indian stock, in 15 African and 3 South and South East Asian countries Sheep The Blackhead Persian from Somali in 12 other African and 1 South and South East Asian countries Chicken The Rhode Island Red of North America in 16 African and 8 South and South East Asian countries Goat The Jamnapari of India in 7 other South and South East Asian countries Pig The Large White of Europe in 24 African and 10 South and South East Asian countries Source: FAO SOW AnGR
  26. Breed change: which systems Livestock system Breed type Agro-pastoral and pastoral Almost exclusively indigenous Extensive mixed crop-livestock Predominantly indigenous Intensive mixed crop-livestock Indigenous plus cross-breeds / composites Limited pure-bred exotic Industrial Mainly cross-breeds / composites and pure-bred exotic
  27. Breed change: which systems This distribution is largely driven by:  The need for improved management for non-indigenous breed types to survive and produce  Differing roles of livestock in different system (e.g. in pastoral systems emphasis is often on the ‘savings and insurance’ aspect of livestock)
  28. Current research on AnGR use in developing countries (ILRI and partners)
  29. Main species we work on Goat - Africa Sheep – Africa Pig – Africa, Asia Poultry - Africa Dairy cattle – Africa, Asia Dual purpose cattle – Africa, Latin America
  30. Research focus areas 1. Assessment of systems, and AnGR use within the systems, for development of strategies on ANGR use 2. Promoting or creating improved breeds of livestock 3. Multiplication and delivery systems for the improved livestock genetics 4. Ensuring sustainability of the genetic interventions & translation to impact
  31. 1. Assessment of systems, and AnGR use within the systems, for development of strategies on ANGR use  Assessments performed at a range of levels:  Policy reviews  System / value-chain assessments  Household level assessments  Herd / animal level assessments  With stakeholders / partners, strategies on AnGR use are developed  For example, reformulation of policy, testing new breed-types, structuring cross-breeding, strengthening the AI system  With stakeholders / partners, identified interventions are implemented  Pilot testing  if successful, scale-out
  32. The need for better phenomics capabilities is now strongly recognised
  33. High emphasis on development of methodological approaches & tools for assessment – particularly survey tools
  34. Geographical distribution of different pig breeds in Nghe An province of Vietnam Determination of geographical distribution of breed / cross-breeds by use of a participatory mapping approach
  35. ILRI bio-repository “Azizi”- biological samples from livestock, pathogens, vectors, linked to various information ~400,000 samples to-date
  36. 2. Promoting or creating improved breeds of livestock  Identification & promotion of the most appropriate breed-types  Evaluating breed-types for productivity & livelihood benefit to improve decision making on breed-choice  Within-breed improvement  Scale and sustainability are difficult to achieve  Cross-breeding  Indigenous x exotic crosses increasingly receiving attention  Unstructured cross-breeding systems are common  Creation of new breed-types  Gene-editing
  37. Example project: identification of the most appropriate breed-type of dairy cattle in Senegal Comparative analysis associated with keeping different breed types Breed composition of project animals Breed information in absence of farmer pedigree Genotyping of project and reference animals (SNP chip) In-situ assessment Performance, economic & other data (household, herd and animal level) Productivity, cost:benefit to the livestock keeper 220+ households 3700+ animals 1800+ cows 2 years monitoring
  38. Example project: Pilot testing of mobile phase based data capture, analysis and feedback systems for use by farmers Key issue = incentives for farmer participation Current farmer recording systems = none, mental, limited written Permanent recording, linked to data analysis & feedback systems
  39. Example project: “Magic cow” “Tumaini” – cloned (somatic cell nuclear transfer) Boran bull, with his progeny Long term goal to create genetically modified cattle resistant to African trypanosomiasis by gene-editing approach (baboon gene APOL1 confers resistance) To-date: platform development (gene-editing, cloning) Trypanosomiasis infested cow
  40. Use of genomic (SNP) data in improving livestock breeds  Determination of breed-type in absence of farmer pedigree 0 20 40 60 80 No Yes %animals Alignment between farmer and SNP-based breed assignment  Genetic evaluations: GRM, GBV (evaluating utility) Senegal dairy, n=566 (67% cross-bred)
  41. 3. Multiplication and delivery systems for the improved livestock genetics  Establishment of business models for delivery (e.g. public-private partnerships)  Adaptation of reproductive technologies to the local situation (e.g. solid surface embryo vitrifcation + field embryo recovery)
  42. 4. Ensuring sustainability of the genetic interventions & translation to impact  Supporting policy and institutional arrangements  Capacity building – organizational and human level  Increasing use of theory of change based monitoring & evaluation to help ensure that genetic interventions (packaged with other interventions) translate into desired benefit  Consideration of equality issues, particular focus on gender  Ensuring developing countries animal genetic resources remain fit for a future changed environment
  43. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L1dvxWadgYs
  44. Animal breeding for reduced poverty and improved food security in developing countries Acknowledgements to ILRI genetics team John Vercoe
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