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ILRI’s Future in the Emerging Global Context: What are the critical outcomes that ILRI should deliver in the next 5 to 10 years?

  1. CRP 4 –Agriculture for improved Nutrition and Health (IFPRI, ILRI)
  2. CRP 3.5 -Grain Legumes for enhanced food and feed security (ICRISAT)
  3. CRP1.1 -Integrated agriculture in dry areas (ICARDA)
  4. CRP5 -Water scarcity and land degradation (IWMI)
  5. Clear understanding of NARS, CGIAR, and Regional partner relationships
  6. Served in the CGIAR
  7. Have been a bi-lateral Donor
  8. Agriculture from $50m to $350m annually
  9. CGIAR from $17m to $46m
  10. Serving within a co-sponsor – World Bank
  11. Livestock from $200m to $1.5b
  12. Private sector : Walmart, Mc Donalds, Nestle

Editor's Notes

  1. Period Disease (Country) Start Estimate 1986-2009 Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (UK) 1986 15,500,000,000 6.1 billion in 1997-2009 1994 Plague (India) 1994 2,000,000,000 Sept. 1998-April 1999 Nipah virus (Malaysia) 1998 671,000,000 January 1999-Dec. 2008 West Nile fever (USA) 1999 400,000,000 Nov. 2002-July 2003 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (CD, China, ROW)2002 41,500,000,000 January 2004-January 2009Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (Asia) 2004 20,000,000,000 2003-2007 Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (USA) 2004 11,000,000,000 Oct. 2005-Jan. 2009 Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (Europe) 2005 500,000,000 Nov. 2005-January 2009 Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (Africa) 2005 Nov. 2006-May 2007 Rift Valley Fever (Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia) 2006 30,000,000There appears to be a trend over time of increasing frequency and increasing costs – but these are just selected major outbreaks. It would be interesting to add persistent, endemic zoonoses and to try to obtain the costs of all outbreaks…In the first year of the crisis, the total economic loss from BSE to the U.K. was estimated at [pound]740-[pound]980 million (Atkinson, 1999) (US$1.07-$1.4 billion assuming [pound]=US$1.444). The cumulative gross budgetary cost of BSE to the U.K. between March 1996 and March 31, 2000 stands at roughly [pound]3.5 billion (US$5.05 billion), and was expected to reach [pound]4 billion (US$5.8 billion) by March 31, 2001.The export ban was lifted in 2000, so I expect that from then on, we can just take the cost of testing. Over the period 2001-2006, the cost amounted to Pound 214 million (or US $ 300 million, so we can add this to the US $ 5.8 billion, coming to a total of US $ 6.1 billion over the period 1997-2006. See http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld200607/ldhansrd/text/70416w0001.htm#07041619000002
  2. Poultry and cattle account for most of the losses, especially for zoonoses (more than 90%).
  3. There is also: CGIAR US$1.6 billion target to 2025 --to attain 1.7% annual growth--
  4. Close the attainment gap between women and men livestock enterprises and promote expanded opportunities for both
  5. Expand efforts to secure more stable longer term funding for the global public good livestock agenda and help NARS mobilize resources as wellContinue the efforts to devote more attention to Livestock in the next edition of the CGIAR StrategyContinue to build ILRI’s internal capabilities, confidence and reputation to exert even more influence on the global architecture that governs agriculture/livestock Build internal capabilities to excel in internal team work and external partnership management (including the private sector), negotiating, and performance based management
  6. Expand efforts to secure more stable longer term funding for the global public good livestock agenda and help NARS mobilize resources as wellContinue the efforts to devote more attention to Livestock in the next edition of the CGIAR StrategyContinue to build ILRI’s internal capabilities, confidence and reputation to exert even more influence on the global architecture that governs agriculture/livestock Build internal capabilities to excel in internal team work and external partnership management (including the private sector), negotiating, and performance based management
  7. Expand efforts to secure more stable longer term funding for the global public good livestock agenda and help NARS mobilize resources as wellContinue the efforts to devote more attention to Livestock in the next edition of the CGIAR StrategyContinue to build ILRI’s internal capabilities, confidence and reputation to exert even more influence on the global architecture that governs agriculture/livestock Build internal capabilities to excel in internal team work and external partnership management (including the private sector), negotiating, and performance based management
  8. This slide shows the scope for One Health – at the intersection of animal, human,wildlife and ecosystem health
  9. Initial Assessment of the Impact of Poultry Sales and Production Bans on Household Incomes in VietnamD. Roland-Holst, J. Otte, D. Pfeiffer, FAO, 2006; study of data on 600 households.1.Income declines up to 20% for poorest householdsThe poorer the household (left side) the greater the decline in incomeImpact on food security, nutrition
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