Presentation by João Afonso, Nick Lyons, Theo Knight Jones, Will Gilbert, Jonathan Rushton at the 41st general session of the European Commission for the Control of Foot-and-Mouth Disease (EuFMD), Rome, Italy, 23-24 April 2015.
FMD Impact Calculator
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João Afonso, Nick Lyons, Theo Knight Jones, Will
Gilbert, Jonathan Rushton
jrushton@rvc.ac.uk
23rd April 2015
Specific Models to enhance evidence
User Input
Epidemiological
Model of FMD
Sector and economy
Models specific to
the regions and/or
countries
Qualitative Matrix on:
- Scale of outbreak
- Wide economy impacts
- Trade issues
- Political issues
User Decision Making
FMD Impact Calculator
Animal Population
Changes
Intervention Type and
Costs
Production Changes
Outputs
• Graphics – major
resources
• Tables – products
and labour
Parameters
• High level – easy
access
• Low level – default
values with ranges
Next steps
Presentation of the first version of the model in
the breakout session today
Discussions with people on the usefulness of the
approach
• Will Gilbert (wgilbert@rvc.ac.uk)
Follow up with decision makers by email and
telephone – by Will Gilbert
Refinement of the Calculator based on feedback
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