Presented by Iain A Wright, Deputy Director General-Research (ILRI) at the 25 Anniversary Conference of the Ethiopian Society for Animal Production (ESAP), Haramaya, Ethiopia, 24–26 August 2017
The roles of livestock in achieving the sustainable development goals
1. The roles of livestock in achieving
the Sustainable Development Goals
Iain A Wright, Deputy Director General-Research
ILRI
25th Anniversary Conference, Ethiopian Society for Animal Production
Haramaya University
24–26 August 2017
3. Animal-source foods makeup 5of6ofthehighest value
global commodities (total valueofthese5=US Int$715
billion)
FAOSTAT 2015
(values for 2013)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
0
50
100
150
200
250
Production(MT)millions
Netproductionvalue(Int$)billion
net production value (Int $) billion production (MT)
Cow milk has
overtaken rice
4. 0
50
100
150
200
250
E.AsiaPacific
China
SouthAsia
SSA
Highincome
% growth in demand for livestock products to 2030
2000–2030
0
50
100
150
200
250
E.AsiaPacific
China
SouthAsia
SSA
Highincome
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
E.AsiaPacific
China
SouthAsia
SSA
Highincome
0
50
100
150
200
250
E.AsiaPacific
China
SouthAsia
SSA
Highincome
Estimates of the % growth in demand for animal source foods in different World regions, comparing 2005 and 2030. Estimates were
developed using the IMPACT model, courtesy Dolapo Enahoro, ILRI.
Beef Pork
Poultry Milk
8. Livestock for
inclusive and sustainable
ECONOMIC GROWTH
Livestock for
EQUITABLE LIVELIHOODS
Animal-source foods for
BASIC NUTRITION AND HEALTH
Livestock for
SUSTAINABLE ECOSYSTEMS
10. Livestock and economies
• The livestock sector contributes an
average of 40% of the agricultural
GDP of developing countries—and
that percentage is growing
• The market value of animal-source
foods in Africa in 2050 is estimated
at USD151 billion
• Livestock value chains provide large
numbers of jobs
Herrero et al. 2014
12. Various sources:
BMGF, FAO and ILRI
Smallholders still dominate
livestock production in many countries
Region
(definition of
‘smallholder’)
% production by smallholder livestock farms
Beef Chicken
meat
Sheep/goat
meat
Milk Pork Eggs
East Africa
(≤ 6 milking
animals)
60-90
Bangladesh
(< 3ha land)
65 77 78 65 77
India
(< 2ha land)
75 92 92 69 71
Vietnam
(small scale)
80
Philippines
(backyard)
50 35
14. Livestock livelihoods
• 70% of the world’s rural poor rely on livestock
for important parts of their livelihoods.
• Of the >600 million poor livestock keepers in
the world, about two-thirds are rural women.
• >100 million landless people keep livestock.
• For the vulnerable, up to 40% of benefits from
livestock keeping are non-market, intangible
benefits, mostly insurance and financing.
• In the poorest countries, livestock manure
comprises over 70% of soil fertility
amendments.
• Many poor people are employed in local
informal livestock product markets.
• 90% of animal products are produced and
consumed in the same country or region.
• Over 70% of livestock products are sold
‘informally’.
16. The nutritional divides among 7 billion people today
chronic hunger
inadequate diets
overweight
obese
balanced diets
Chronic disease
likely to cost $35
trillion by 2030
11% of GNP lost
annually in Africa
and Asia from
poor nutrition
17. Animal-source foods provide essential nutrients
• Globally 13% of calories
and 28% of protein
• Vitamins
e.g. B12 only available
in animal-source foods
• Minerals
e.g. calcium, iron, zinc, iodine
18. Consuming just one egg a day for 6 months
reduces stunting in children
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Control Egg
Stunting-%
Baseline 6 months
(Iannotti et al. 2017)
19. Genetic improvement of native Horro chickens in
DZARC, Ethiopia (joint EIAR/ILRI project)
20. Nutrition in the first 1000 days of life
Nutritionists
are generating
growing evidence
that it is impossible
for babies to achieve
adequate nutrition
in the first 1000 days of life
without animal-source foods.
26. Sustainable livestock futures
need sustainable investments
Continuing to pay insufficient attention to this fastest growing
agricultural sub-sector will thwart progress in achieving the SDGs
Ways forward
Continue to build the evidence base for the
global livestock-for-development agenda
Powerfully articulate the evidence
Tailor different messages to suit different audiences
Unite reliable data with strong narratives
Create greater coordination within the sub-sector
27. This presentation is licensed for use under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence.
better lives through livestock
ilri.org
ILRI thanks all donors and organizations who globally supported its work through their contributions
to the CGIAR system
Thank you for contributing to
Editor's Notes
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FAO yearbook fishery and aquaculture 2012: http://www.fao.org/3/a-i3740t.pdf
Farmed food fish total value in 2012: $137 billion
FAOSTAT accessed 20 October 2015 http://faostat3.fao.org/browse/rankings/commodities_by_regions/E
Values in 2013:
Cow milk: $198 billion (international $)
Rice: $190 billion
Indigenous pig meat: $172 billion
Indigenous cattle meat: $171 billion
Indigenous chicken meat: $137 billion
FAO. 2011. Mapping supply and demand for animal-source foods to 2030, by T.P. Robinson & F. Pozzi.
Animal Production and Health Working Paper. No. 2. Rome.
IMPACT results generally suggested smaller changes in demand compared to FAO. Among other drivers of the results, the observed differences may be related to the underlying assumptions on how future demand will respond to prices and incomes. FAO projections could for example be assuming big shifts to Chicken Meat consumption (e.g., from pork) as incomes grow in Asia. IMPACT makes the same assumption in terms of direction, but with the expected shifts a bit more dampened.
High income countries include much of Europe. In fact, if one looks at individual European nations in many cases there is a DECLINE in demand (Switzerland for beef (-22%) and pork (-14%) for example)
Business and livelihoods in African livestock. Investments to overcome information gaps. 2014. An output of the Livestock data innovation in Africa Project. Sponsored by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and jointly implemented by the World Bank, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, the International Livestock Research Institute and the African Union Interafrican Bureau for Animal Resources. World Bank Report no. 86093-AFR.
Grace et al., 2015, Technical item n° 1: Impact of (neglected) diseases on animal productivity and public health in Africa, 21st Conference of the Regional Commission for Africa of the World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE), Rabat (Morocco) 17 to 20 February 2015.
http://www.rr-africa.oie.int/en/news/20150222.html
Grace D, Bett B, Lindahl J, Robinson T. 2015. Climate and livestock disease: assessing the vulnerability of agricultural
systems to livestock pests under climate change scenarios. CCAFS Working Paper no. 116. Copenhagen, Denmark.
CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS). Available online at:
www.ccafs.cgiar.org
Vietnam
Small Scale Farming with Low Biosecurity 1-2 sows, <20 pigs
Small Scale Farming with Minimum Biosecurity 50-20 sow, <100 pigs
Philippines
Backyard - any farm or household raising at least one head of animal and does not qualify as a commercial farm.
Commercial - if it satisfies at least one of the following conditions:
a) at least 21 heads of adults and zero young
b) at least 41 heads of young animals
c) at least 10 heads of adults and 22 heads of young.
HEALTHY FOOD FOR A HEALTHY WORLD: LEVERAGING AGRICULTURE AND FOOD TO IMPROVE GLOBAL NUTRITION
A Report Issued by an Independent Advisory Group Douglas Bereuter and Dan Glickman, cochairs. April 2015. Sponsored by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs.
Animal-source foods are a big part of meeting global nutritional as well as food needs and demands.
Of the world’s 7 billion people, only a small percentage are fed and nourished.
Sub-saharan Africa is a global hotspot for emissions intensities, driven by low animal productivity and low quality feeds.
Source of information: Thornton PK and Herrero M (2010) The potential for reduced methane and carbon dioxide emissions from livestock and pasture management in the tropics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107, 19667-19672.