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Adapting Index-based Livestock Insurance (IBLI) for Ethiopia: Logic and design

  1. Sustainable insurance can:
  2. Prevent downward slide of vulnerable populations
  3. Stabilize expectations & crowd-in investment and accumulation by poor populations
  4. Induce financial deepening by crowding-in credit supply and demand
  5. Reinforce extant social insurance mechanisms
  6. But can insurance be sustainably offered in rangelands?
  7. Conventional (individual) insurance unlikely to work, especially among pastoralists:
  8. Transactions costs
  9. No transactions costs of measuring individual losses
  10. Preserves effort incentives (no moral hazard) as no single individual can influence index.
  11. Adverse selection does not matter as payouts do not depend on the riskiness of those who buy the insurance
  12. Available on near real-time basis: faster response than conventional humanitarian relief
  13. For catastrophic risk layer (>15% mortality), most losses are covariate
  14. Educational tool for individual clients and local leaders
  15. Learning local population’s response to the new product
  16. Integrated long-term survey design for impact evaluation to inform program and policy formation
  17. HH survey in pilot and control locations
  18. Comparative assessment with unconditional cash transfer program (the Hunger Safety Nets Program: HSNP)
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