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ILC-UK response to the 2015 Spending Review

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Ben Franklin, Head of Economics of an Ageing Society at ILC-UK responds to the Government's 2015 Spending Review, and outlines its potential implications for the social care system, and the future of the State.

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ILC-UK response to the 2015 Spending Review

  1. 1. 2015 Spending Review: The BIG picture Ben Franklin, International Longevity Centre follow us on twitter: @ilcuk @bjafranklin
  2. 2. Three megatrends 1. Moving towards a new informal model of adult social care? 2. A health service failing to respond to the needs of an ageing population. 3. A smaller state for all but especially for younger people.
  3. 3. Towards a new informal model of adult social care Source: Health and social care information centre Number of people receiving adult social care services
  4. 4. “…the potential income that could be raised…which at the most amounts to almost £3.5bn…does not come close to dealing with the significant funding gap and meeting the social care demands”. National Autistic Society Reaction to Spending Review measures on care
  5. 5. “…the potential income that could be raised…which at the most amounts to almost £3.5bn…does not come close to dealing with the significant funding gap and meeting the social care demands”. National Autistic Society Reaction to Spending Review measures on care “Wealthier areas could benefit more because they collect more of their budgets through council tax and are less reliant on government funding. More deprived areas could then be hit doubly hard”. Local Government Association
  6. 6. A health service failing to respond to the needs of an ageing population
  7. 7. The new settlement will not put us in line with our OECD peers Estimated impact of £8bn increase in spending up to 2021
  8. 8. Why investing in health is in all our interests Sensitivity of OBR net Govt debt projections to health productivity assumptions
  9. 9. A smaller state for all, but especially for younger people Source: Resolution Foundation
  10. 10. Many thanks Ben Franklin International Longevity Centre - UK benfranklin@ilcuk.org.uk 02073400440 Twitter: @ilcuk @bjafranklin

Ben Franklin, Head of Economics of an Ageing Society at ILC-UK responds to the Government's 2015 Spending Review, and outlines its potential implications for the social care system, and the future of the State.

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