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Placing COVID-19 and the wildlife trade within the bigger picture
- 1. Resetting our relationship with nature: Placing COVID-19 and the wildlife trade within the bigger picture E.J. Milner-Gulland Photos by Harriet Ibbett, Keo Seima Wildlife Sanctuary, Cambodia, 2016 https://tradehub.earth https://www.illegalwildlifetrade.net
- 2. Pics: anon
- 3. Unsustainable wild meat use • Large-scale commercial hunting for urban markets • Hunting (targeted, opportunistic, or incidental) of threatened species • Indiscriminate snaring • Outsiders exploiting the resources of indigenous peoples and local communities
- 4. Booth et al. 2021 https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fevo.2021.639216/full
- 5. Pics Neil Burgess, Getty images
- 6. Pics: Neil Burgess, anon. Sainsbury et al. 2015 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0006320715002244
- 7. Alternatives projects • To hunting (alternative livelihoods) • To consuming (alternative proteins) • Often the two are intertwined and/or address the same households Problem: Unsustainable use of wild meat Intervention: Provide alternative food/livelihood Outcome: People switch to alternative Impact: Wildlife populations recover
- 8. Common assumptions • Providing alternatives will reduce people’s need and desire to exploit natural resources • Communities are homogeneous; everyone relates to wildlife in similar ways • Targeting individuals will scale up to system- level changes Wright et al. 2015 https://conbio.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/cobi.12607
- 9. Do alternatives projects work? Wicander & Coad (2018) https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/26500658.pdf
- 10. 39 36 36 31 26 25 24 17 16 16 16 8 7 6 4 3 2 10 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Beekeeping Cane rat farming Livestock rearing Fish farming Pig farming Agriculture Snail farming Professional training Park employment Poultry farming Vegetable gardening Microcredit Small mammal rearing Agroforestry Palm oil Wild species farming Frozen meats/fish Other Number of projects
- 11. Answer • Not enough information to know whether alternatives projects are working • But it appears not particularly well (similar conclusions found by a number of other authors) • Design flaws and unrealistic assumptions appear to be rife • Most analyses focus on livelihoods rather than consumption, although both are important • Hence the Why Eat Wild Meat? project https://www.iied.org/why-eat-wild-meat https://www.iccs.org.uk/project/why-eat-wild-meat
- 12. COVID Demand Shocks Wild Meat Market Global transport use declines Reduction in international travel Oil prices fall Supply chain shocks Incomes fall / unemployment rises Decline in visitor numbers Export markets disrupted Commodity price shocks Import markets disrupted Non wildmeat food prices increase Reduction in PA enforcement capacity National Market Global market Urban- rural migration Opportunity costs of hunting falls Rural disposable income falls Government revenue falls National Impacts Local market impacts Local market drivers Drivers of hunting behaviour Number of hunters rises Awareness of zoonotic disease risk heightened National marginalisation of wild meat (regulation; perceptions; preferences) Reduction in bushmeat consumption Urban and rural demand falls Urban disposable incomes fall Urban demand falls Rural demand rises / falls Incomes fall / unemployment rises Non wildmeat food prices increase URBAN RURAL Incentive to hunt decreases (commercial) Incentive to hunt increases (commercial or subsistence) Hunting response Wild Meat in the time of COVID Macnamara et al. (2020) https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10640-020-00474-5
- 13. COVID Demand Shocks Wild Meat Market Global transport use declines Reduction in international travel Oil prices fall Supply chain shocks Incomes fall / unemployment rises Decline in visitor numbers Export markets disrupted Commodity price shocks Import markets disrupted Non wildmeat food prices increase Reduction in PA enforcement capacity National Market Global market Urban- rural migration Opportunity costs of hunting falls Rural disposable income falls Government revenue falls National Impacts Local market impacts Local market drivers Drivers of hunting behaviour Number of hunters rises Awareness of zoonotic disease risk heightened National marginalisation of wild meat (regulation; perceptions; preferences) Reduction in bushmeat consumption Urban and rural demand falls Urban disposable incomes fall Urban demand falls Rural demand rises / falls Incomes fall / unemployment rises Non wildmeat food prices increase URBAN RURAL Incentive to hunt decreases (commercial) Incentive to hunt increases (commercial or subsistence) Hunting response ?
- 14. Concluding thoughts • Calls for bans on wild meat consumption cannot ignore the realities of those who depend on it for food and livelihoods • Addressing household meat consumption in rural areas will not lead to the system-wide changes needed for wildlife recovery – Other drivers include urban demand, large-scale habitat destruction, unemployment (urban & rural) • International illegal wildlife trade is multifaceted (and mostly unconnected to this issue) • Need a shift from scapegoating towards rights- based approaches