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This presentation on how process tracing with Baysian updating can be used to evaluate how research contributed to increasing the benefits available to local communities at Bwindi Impenetrable National Park in Uganda, was given by Stefano D’Errico, monitoring, evaluation and learning lead at the International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED).
D'Ericco made the presentation at a Association of Commonwealth Universities event in London on 4 July 2017.
The research in Uganda shows that methods of process tracing and Bayesian updating facilitate a dialogue between theory and evidence that allows us to assess our degree of confidence in 'contribution claims' in a transparent and replicable way.
More details: http://pubs.iied.org/17359IIED/