1.
www.winrock.org
Can the private sector help close
the REDD+ finance gap?
Robert O’Sullivan
robert.osullivan@winrock.org

2.
www.winrock.org
REDD+ finance context
• 50% reduction in deforestation estimated
to cost $15 - $35 billion per year
– Mix of readiness/capacity building and
implementation
• Expected to come from a combination of
public and private sources, including
market and non-market
• ~$14 billion public funding pledged to date (total),
including ~ $6.5 billion from funds

3.
www.winrock.org
Status Quo demand vs. current supply
2015 – 2025
Source: Linacre et al (2015) REDD+ Supply and Demand 2015-2025, FCMC

4.
www.winrock.org
Compliance Growth demand vs.
current supply 2015 – 2025

5.
www.winrock.org
Blue Sky demand vs. current supply
2015 – 2025

6.
www.winrock.org
Blue Sky demand vs. expanded supply
2015 – 2025
0.00
1,000.00
2,000.00
3,000.00
4,000.00
5,000.00
6,000.00
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
MtCO2e
Year
Cumulative Supply
from Brazil Programs
Cumulative Supply
from GCF (ex Brazil)
Programs
Cumulative Probable
Program Supply
Cumulative Project
Supply (Adjusted for
Brazil Programs)
Cumulative Blue Sky
Demand (Excl.
Norway)
Interactive graphic: http://theredddesk.org/markets-standards/analysis/usaid

7.
www.winrock.org
Winrock International
A mission-driven nonprofit business. Global reach: ~125 Projects, ~71 Countries
•Apply latest science to generate and distil information for use in low emission and climate resiliency
development and spatial planning, GHG emission estimation, and habitat mapping and restoration.
•Develop tools, methodologies, and perform capacity building to make science-based sustainable
natural resource management accessible to broad audiences
•Expert scientists provide technical guidance to IPCC, CDM, ARWG, FCPF, VCS