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02 bahta malope_smallholder_competitiveness_botswana

  1. Measurement of competitiveness in smallholder livestock systems and emerging policy advocacy: an application to Botswana Mainstreaming Livestock Value Chain : Bringing research to bear on impact assessment, policy analysis and advocacy for development, 5-6 Nov. 2013, Accra-Ghana Sirak Bahta1 and P. Malope2 1International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI) 2Botswana Institute of Development Policy Analysis
  2. Outline  Introduction and objectives  Literature Review  Methodological Approach  Results and discussion  Conclusion and Policy Implications
  3. Introduction         Botswana agric. dominated by livestock production Beef dominant within the Botswana livestock sector EU market access has justified massive investment in beef for export Dualistic structure of production, with communal dominating Productivity low esp. in the communal sector Not clear as to whether beef production is competitive Studies have relied on household budget analysis and limited household data Others have concentrated on productivity of agriculture
  4. Objectives Measure competitiveness of beef production using household data Specifically the study seeks to: • Identify the determinants of profitability • Identify efficiency drivers • Measure overall profit efficiency of beef production • Come up with policy recommendations to improve competitiveness of beef production • Identify gaps between this application of household analysis and the information needed for policy advocacy and implementation
  5. Literature-definition • Competitiveness has many definitions • Competitiveness can be measured levels, macro; meso and micro-levels at three • Study measure competitiveness at micro level • Definition at micro level relate to profitability • “the ability to sell products that meet demand requirements in terms of price, quality & quantity and at the same time ensure profits”
  6. Literature Review - determinants • • • • • • Internal factors Size of the farm Organisational structure of the farm Social capital External factors Government policy Public expenditure in research, extension and Infrastructure Location of farms 6
  7. Study Area 7
  8. Approach • • • • Household data, collected by survey Translog profit frontier function Dependent variable = profit per beef equivalent Independent variable = weighted output price, Input prices per beef equivalent (feed, veterinary and Labor), Fixed costs per beef equivalent (Fixed capital, family labor and Land) • Efficiency drivers: household characteristics (Age, Education, Gender, non-farm income, access to crop farm income) and transaction cost variables (distance to markets, access to agriculture/market information) and location variable (FMD zone) 8
  9. Results: Descriptive statistics Variables Mean Value of beef Cattle output (Pula per year) 5955 Beef cattle price (Pula) 1993.04 Feed cost (Pula per year) 605.57 Vet. cost (Pula per year) 650.89 Labour Cost (Pula per Month) 237.78 Cost of other inputs (Pula per year) 350.5 Value of fixed capital (Pula) Crop land area (Hectares) Family labour (hours per month) 131779.5 6.19 210.34 9
  10. Results: Descriptive statistics Variables Mean Age of household head (Years) 59.79 Education of Household head (years) 4.95 Household Off farm income (Pula per year) 54815.57 Distance to commonly used market(Km) 39.65 Herd size (Beef cattle equivalent) 23.86 Gender (% female farmers) 22% Information access (Yes=1, No=2) 76.79% FMD disease zone (Yes=1, No=2) 42.80% Crop income (Yes=1, No=2) 50.03% 10
  11. Results:Stochastic profit frontier estimates OLS MLU Variables Coeff. t-values Constant Ln (Average Beef cattle price) Ln (Feed prices) Ln (Veterinary prices) Ln (Labor prices.) Ln (fixed capital) Ln (Family labour Hrs) Ln (Crop land area) sigma-squared gamma log likely hood function LR test of the one-sided error -34.87 5.01 -0.15 -0.12 0.08 -0.02 -0.06 0.55 -1129.60 -26.31 28.23 -3.61 -2.97 0.24 -0.64 0.28 2.95 Coeff. t-values -38.12 -32.49 5.51 34.85*** -0.13 -3.11*** -0.09 -2.46** -0.79 -1.93** 0.02 0.53 0.46 1.82* 0.28 1.70* 7.87 6.03*** 0.80 11.09*** -1093.43 72.32
  12. Results: Efficiency drivers Variables Coefficient t-values Constant -11.86 -2.47** Age of household head -1.26 -3.44*** Education of Household head 0.043 0.14 Annual household non-farm income 0.26 2.64*** Distance market (commonly used) 0.56 2.42** Herd size 2.48 4.92*** Gender (% female farmers) -2.82 -2.43*** Information access (Yes=1, No=0) 4.15 2.80*** FMD disease zone (Yes=1, No=0) -4.56 -2.31 -3.84*** -2.94*** Crop income (Yes=1, No=0)
  13. Results: efficiency scores Efficiency scores (Mean 0.56) 172 Firms 160 120 26% less than 0.5 efficiency score 140 92 73 80 40 28 26 15 10 0 <.20 0.2-0.3 0.3-0.4 0.4-0.5 0.5-0.6 0.6-0.7 0.7-0.8 0.8-0.9 0 0.9-1 Efficiency scores 13
  14. Conclusion and policy implications • The mean efficiency of 0.56 implies that there is a substantial loss of profit due to inefficiency. • Profits could be increased through reduction in inputs costs, increase in output price achieved and improved access to crop land. • Presence of inefficiency in the study reminds that production models that assume absolute efficiency could lead to misleading conclusions. 14
  15. Conclusion and policy implications • Policies to improve farm profit should be directed at Enhancing producer prices as well as ways to reduce input prices improving infrastructure such as roads and collection points of livestock Improving access to crop land and Encouraging farmers to engage in crop farming, particularly in feed production. 15
  16. Conclusion and policy implications • Presence of inefficiency is largely ignored by the multi-market and CGE models used in policy analysis. Results of a policy change will be measured differently by models if they: – Serve to improve efficiency (which models may miss) – Increase production or consumption (which may preserve and even magnify inefficiencies) • Ideas for including inefficiencies in models are needed 16
  17. Thank you!
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