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Visions for ETSAP-TIAM

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TIAM Update Workshop

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Visions for ETSAP-TIAM

  1. 1. TIAM Update Workshop ETSAP Meeting: Stuttgart 9th November2018
  2. 2. Agenda 13:30 – 14:30 TIAM input session (inputs from wider ETSAP welcome) – Intro to TIAM (2 mins) – SWOT analysis (15 minutes) – Regions selection discussion (40 minutes) 14:30 – 15:00 Coffee break 15:00 – 17:00 TIAM update session – Go through timelines and key workflow dependencies
  3. 3. Method: ETSAP-TIAM model outline• 15 Region linear programming bottom-up energy system model of IEA-ETSAP • Integrated model of the entire energy system • Prospective analysis on medium to long term horizon (2100) – Demand driven by exogenous energy service demands – SSP2 from OECD Env-LINKS CGE model – Regional Structural detail of the economy • Partial and dynamic equilibrium – Price-elastic demands – General Equilibrium with MACRO • Minimizes the total system cost – Or Maximises Consumption/Utility – Hybrid General Equilibrium MSA • Optimal technology selection • Environmental constraints – GHG, Local Air Pollution & Damages • Integrated Simple Climate Model • Myopic and Stochastic run options
  4. 4. SWOT analysis https://tinyurl.com/TIAMswot
  5. 5. Selection of Regions Three options currently on the table 1. Keep the regions as they are 2. Move to a ~30 region model based on logical approach 3. Completely flexible aggregation by generating automated BY templates from IEA data and aggregating using VEDA super-region feature
  6. 6. https://tinyurl.com/TIAMregion
  7. 7. Goals for this meeting • Final decision on selection of regions • Identify specific tasks to address critical decision points and allocate leads and deadlines • Begin discussion on subRES update • Press ‘go’ on BASE year update
  8. 8. TIAM task breakdown and planning https://tinyurl.com/TIAMplan
  9. 9. Have we achieved our goals? • Final decision on selection of regions • Identify specific tasks to address critical decision points and allocate leads and deadlines • Begin discussion on subRES update • Press ‘go’ on BASE year update

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