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International Center for Policy Studies




         Reducing emissions
from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine
   by meeting the European Energy
      Community requirements


                       Green Paper


         Policy analysis document prepared for the project
“Ukraine’s integration strategy in the European Energy Community”




                           Kyiv 2011
This report has been prepared under the “Ukraine’s integration strategy in the
European Energy Community” project carried out by the International Centre
for Policy Studies (ICPS).
Project advisor: Ihor Bohatyriov.
Authors: Ildar Gazizullin, Larion Lozoviy, Olga Ivakhno, Vivica Williams, Iryna
Petrenko, Roman Zaika.
Authors would like to thank Iryna Verbytska (DTEK) and Yuri Trofymenko (NAK
“EKU”) for their feedback and other experts who participated in the discussions
undertaken in preparation of this report.


Design and layout: Publishing House “Optima”
English translation and editing: Lidia Wolanskyj




Contact information:
  International Centre for Policy Studies
  vul. Pymonenka, 13а, Kyiv, Ukraine, 04050
  Tel.: (044) 484 4400, 01, fax: 484 4402
  e-mail: office@icps.kiev.ua, web: www.icps.com.ua
Content
Overview	                                                                         5
The Problem: Higher than permissible harmful emissions	                           6
What impedes compliance with air quality standards	                               8
     Technological and structural factors	                                        8
         Outdated power generating and environmental technologies	                8
         Fuel consumption	                                                        9
         Use of low quality coal 	                                               10
     Environmental rules that favor polluters	                                   11
     Regulating heat-generated electricity rates	                                13
     Dilatory reforms on the electricity market	                                 14
     Ineffective technical assistance	                                           14
The economic and social impact of emissions	                                     16
     Dampened economic growth	                                                   16
         Poorer quality farm products and lower land values	                     16
         Additional costs to the healthcare system	                              17
     Deteriorating quality of human capital	                                     18
         Reduced life expectancy	                                                18
         Loss of workforce	                                                      20
Impeding the development of Ukraine’s power generation	                          20
         Greater risks for investing in heating plants	                          20
         Complications with trading Ukrainian electricity on EU power markets	   20
         The growing cost of environmental programs in the future	               21
Loss of status as a reliable international partner	                              22
A vision of the future of thermal power generation in Ukraine:
eco-friendly and safe for humans	                                                24
     The positive future impact of meeting EEC environmental requirements	       24
     The environment will remain a priority	                                     26
     Environmental standards will meet European requirements	                    26
     Volumes of emissions will go down	                                          26
Options for resolving the problem	                                               28
Proposed solutions	                                                              29
Annex 1. Tables and charts	                                                         30
Annex 2. The value of a statistical life	                                           37
Annex 3. EU environmental protection requirements in the Energy Community Treaty	   38
Annex 4. Environmental fees and taxes	                                              40
Annex 5. Territorial spread of emissions in Ukraine, 2008	                          42
Annex 6. Cross-border impact of emissions	                                          43
Annex 7. Population centers within TES pollution zones in Ukraine	                  45
List of Abbreviations	                                                              47
Glossary of Terms	                                                                  48
Overview
The purpose of this Green Paper is to identify key problems and obstacles in
reducing harmful emissions from heating plants, or thermo-electric stations
(TESs) as they are known in Ukraine, now that the country has joined the Energy
Community Treaty (EEC). The identification and detailed description of these
problems will be subject to discussion with experts and stakeholders, which will
make it possible to determine their positions regarding the prospects for bring-
ing thermo-electric generation in line with EU requirements.
This Green Paper looks at thermal power plants, which are governed by Di-
rective 2001/80/EC, which is a binding part of the Energy CommunityTreaty.
These are primarily large plants—thermo-electric stations (TESs) and combined
heating and power plants (CHPs), known as thermoelectric centrals or TETs in
Ukrainian—with total capacity over 50 MW. And it is these companies that emit
the greatest amount of pollution into Ukraine’s air every year. Besides thermal
generation companies, large combustion plants are used in district heating,
chemical and steel companies. Therefore, the combined analysis of problems
and obstacles presented in this paper can also be applied to other sectors of the
economy where large combustion plants operate.
This paper examines the impact of three groups of key pollutants emitted by
thermo-electric generation: sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx) and
dust. The issue of carbon dioxide emissions (СО2) is not raised as this pollutant
is covered by other framework agreements, including the Kyoto Protocol.
The Energy Community is allowed to expand the list of requirements for pro-
tecting the environment that its member countries must abide by. Currently, this
most likely means incorporating Directive 2010/75/EU, which came into effect in
January 2011 with the purpose of combining all major EU environmental norms
from the last few years with regard to industrial production. If this comprehen-
sive document is included in the list of environmental norms that are part of the
Energy Community Treaty or the Association Agreement between Ukraine and
the European Union, it will become binding on Ukraine as well.
Expert commentary provided during a public discussion of this Green Paper will
make it possible to clarify the problems raised here and the obstacles to resolv-
ing them and will become the basis for a subsequent White Paper. That paper
will contain recommendations for how approach the problem of the harmful im-
pact of thermo-electric power generation on Ukraine’s environment, based on
the requirements of Directive 2001/80/EC.





    	   The two most complicated requirements are Directive 2001/80/EC and 96/61/EC (IPPC),
        but there are a slew of other regulatory documents with regard to the use of emissions, the
        production of organic solvents, and so on.

Overview
The Problem:
Higher than permissible harmful emissions
Today, Ukraine’s thermoelectric stations (TESs) emit between 5 and 30 times
more pollutants than EU standards allow. In fact, thermoelectric plants are the
main source of air pollution in Ukraine; this sector is responsible for nearly 80%
of all countrywide emissions of sulfur dioxide and 25% of nitrogen oxides. The
by-products of burning fuel, mainly coal, are solid ash particulates or dust, SO2,
NOx and carbon dioxide (СО2).
The harmful emissions of thermoelectric power companies have not decreased,
despite the fact that, over 2006–2008, Ukraine’s environmental standards be-
gan to approximate European ones. For instance, related Decrees issued by the
Ministry of the Environment generally correspond to European practice using
the best available techniques, in accordance with Directive 2001/80/EC. The
country’s power generating companies also pay taxes for emitting pollutants
into the atmosphere that are small compared to the damage these emissions
cause (prior to 2011, there was a fee).
What is more, according to market players, the emissions coming from TESs will
continue to be higher than the permissible levels through 2030 and further, even
though the deadline for meeting Directive 2001/80/EC in Ukraine has been set
for 2017.
For one thing, power companies are investing little or nothing in environmen-
tal measures on their existing units or in building new ones with the exception
of some filtration equipment reconstruction projects. The construction of new
power units that meet environmental norms is not planned for the foreseeable
future. According to some estimates, Ukraine needs to draw between US $5bn
and US $17bn in investment, depending on the number of power units it decides
to modernize (see estimates in Annex 1). This means that investments just to
bring TESs in line with EU environmental standards for air quality should be
several times more than the annual total amount of investment in thermal power
generation today.



 	      Environment Ministry Decrees №309 dated 27.06.2006 and №541 dated 22.10.2008.

 	      See I.A. Volchyn, 2010.

 	      See, for instance, the draft Concept for a State Targeted Program for fuel and energy com-
        plex (FEC) enterprises to gradually reduce the aggregate annual emission of pollutants into
        the atmosphere at existing combustion plants in line with Directive 2001/80/EC dated
        30.03.2011, for the period through 2030.

 	      The Annex to this report provides data on concentration caps in mg/cu m for pollutants in
        TES flue gases according to EU and Ukrainian norms.

    	   The cost of harmonizing Poland’s thermoelectric stations to EU norms could reach EUR 20
        billion. http://www.wbj.pl/article-50262-eu-directive-poland-must-halve-industrial-emis-
        sions-by-2020.html

	                Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
How Directive 2001/80/EC is being met in EU countries
    Some EU companies and countries are not meeting the requirements of Directive
    2001/80/EC. For instance, in 2006, 40% of Poland’s thermoelectric stations still did not
    meet the regulated levels of sulfur oxide emissions set for 2008. Today, 90% of Poland’s
    TESs do not meet the emission standards for nitrogen oxides set for 2016. One of the
    main reasons why countries cannot meet strict air quality standards is the age of TES
    power units, which are 20-30 years old.

    Because some countries, primarily Great Britain and Poland, were unable to meet the
    requirements within the established timeframe, the practice of derogation or partial re-
    vocation of the law has been introduced. This gives countries some breathing space to
    pull together costly reforms. There are a number of ways to postpone the fulfillment of
    requirements:
     • A country can launch a transitional national plan that allows it to put off the deadline
        for meeting standards to June 2020.
     • Individual power plants can be exempted from the Directive if they operate less than
        20,000 hours and are slated to be shut down by December 2015.
     • Power companies can also be exempted from the Directive if they intend to operate
        the equipment for less than 17,500 hours for the rest of its service life. This provision
        will be in effect over 2016–2023.
     • TESs that burn local hard fuel, such as lignite, may be exempted from the need to
        meet standards for SO2 emissions until 2019, provided that the sulfur is removed
        from the fuel.
    This kind of practice is meeting criticism within the EU, as it could encourage countries
    to continue not to meet standards. According to some estimates, the resulting air pollu-
    tion could lead to 500,000 early deaths in the EU every year, in addition to damaging the
    environment through eutrophication, increased acidity and the emergence of ground-
    level ozone.
    Sources: Сhrister Еgren, “Emission ceilings may be further postponed,” Air Pollution and Climate Secre-
    tariat, December 2010, http://airclim.org/acidnews/2010/an3-10.php#fourteen; Evaluation of Member
    States’ emission inventories for 2004–2006 for LCPs under the LCP Directive (2001/80/EC), European Com-
    mission, 2008; Chris Tighe, “Doubt cast over power plant’s future,” Financial Times, 23 April 2010, http://
    www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d7529c58-4e39-11df-b48d-00144feab49a,s01=1.html#axzz1JyBOJ2Gb.



                                               For discussion
    How justified and realistic do you find the permissible emission levels established by Di-
    rective 2001/80/EC?

    What is the cause of the gap between formal caps set in environmental legislation and
    real emission levels?




	

      The addition of artificial or natural nutrients to water, causing excess plant growth.

The Problem: Higher than permissible harmful emissions
What impedes compliance
with air quality standards
Technological and structural factors
Outdated power generating and environmental technologies
Ukraine’s thermoelectric stations demonstrate some of the lowest technical,
economic and environmental indicators in Europe. The main equipment at the
country’s TESs went on line in the 1960s and 1970s and was designed accord-
ing to standards from the 1950s.Their life-cycles have already come to an end
(see Annex 1). Altogether, power units generating a total of 12 GW or 42% of all
the standing capacity of Ukraine’s TESs are currently in need of replacement,
making average utilization efficiency at domestic TESs around 32%, compared
to 45% in most developed countries. Moreover, most TES scrubbers for the re-
moval of particles in Ukraine are not efficient enough to meet the standards of
Directive 2001/80/EC, and no TESs have installations for filtering sulfur oxides
and nitrogen from flue gases.10
The inefficiency of TES power equipment makes it commercially unfeasible to
install filtration equipment. For instance, systems for filtering flue gases could
significantly reduce the efficiency of power units by 1.5-2%—and, in some cases,
up to 5%—by increasing the consumption of power for internal use. In addition,
such systems cost a considerable amount to operate, ranging from EUR 3mn to
EUR 8mn annually.11
The majority of desulfurization and denitrification technology are intended for
use during the base operating periods of power-generation equipment. How-
ever, Ukraine’s coal-fired plants are forced to operate to cover peak and semi-
peak loads in Ukraine’s Unified Power System. This is because of the high share
of atomic energy stations, 48% in 2009, producing electricity in Ukraine and the
general concentration of hydroelectric resources in the Dnipro, which is also a
source of water supplies for many of the country’s regions.


	

     Rukhlov, A.V., Electricity in coal mines in the context of problems in the power generation
     sector of Ukraine, Mining elctromechanics and automation: Science and technology series,
     2007, Vol. 77, pp 19-25. Ukraine also lacks a fully developed scientific and technological
     infrastructure for the design, development and production of flue gas filtration equipment.

 	 In Ukraine, 62% of TES coal-fired facilities are equipped with precipitators (ash filtration
     efficiency η=92–99%), 35% use wet scrubbers (η=92–96%, η=92–99%,) and 3% use cy-
     clone separators (η≤90%). See Y. Leha, O. Mysliuk and N. Korneliuk, “Ways to improve the
     filtration of flue gases at TESs,” Environmental Safety, 2008, №1, pp 42-50.
10
  	 Desulfurization facilities have been planned, among others, for the new power units at the
     Dobrotvirska TES. See the report “Rehabilitating heating and power stations in Ukraine: A
     needs, costs and benefits assessment,” prepared by IMEPOWER, 2008.
11
   	 Eugenio Podda, Megalopolis WFGD: Project Experience and Design Initiatives; Lars-Erik
     Johansson, FGD: Choosing NID® DFGD or Open Spray Tower WFGD; European Users
     Conference, Lisbon, 15–17 September 2009.

	            Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Cogeneration plants also pollute
     Ukraine has more than 20 combined heating and power or cogeneration plants (CHPs),
     known as TETs locally, with an output capacity of over 50 MW (see list of TETs in Annex 1).
     These companies are categorized as large combustion plants and are thus governed by
     Directive 2001/80/ЄС.

     Cogeneration plants are considered more efficient and eco-friendly than classic TESs.
     Still, Ukraine’s TETs currently emit far above the EU norms of NOх. For instance, even if it
     maintains all the proper conditions during its operation, the Kharkivska TET-5 still emits
     400–500 mg/m3 concentrations of NOх (using gas) and 520–650 mg/m3 (using mazut)
     during combustion, when the maximum volume allowed under the Directive for compa-
     nies of this size is 200 mg/m3.

     Ukraine’s TETs mainly run on gas and have traditionally been viewed as enterprises that
     do not pollute the environment with SO2 emissions and dust. However, the growing cost
     of natural gas and problems with its reliable delivery have been forcing TETs to look at
     the option of switching their facilities to cheap, available coal. This kind of reconstruction
     is occurring at the Kaluska TET, one of the largest in Ukraine. After its reconstruction in
     2009, the Kramatorska TET also returned to coal firing. This could turn such enterprises
     into major additional sources of sulfur dioxide and dust pollution. Given that the majority
     of TETs are located within major metropolitan areas, switching to coal could noticeably
     increase man-made pressure on the local environment.

Fuel consumption
The high level of pollutants, especially sulfur oxides, by TES companies is
mainly a result of their use of coal as their main fuel. Nearly 90% of power units
at Ukraine’s thermoelectric stations have been designed to use coal. Ukraine
has many confirmed reserves of coal, which make this form of fuel a priority for
domestic thermoelectric generation. Ukraine’s current Energy Strategy for the
period to 2030 is oriented towards using only domestic coal for domestic power
generation.12
Each year, Ukraine’s TESs use nearly 25 million tonnes of coal. Over the last 20
years, there has been a sharp reduction in the use of gas and mazut, from 50% to
nearly 20%. The steep rise in the price of Russian natural gas has caused most gas
and mazut-based power generation units to be shut down13.



12
   	 The base scenario is for no imported heating coal over 2015–2020, while starting in 2030,
     plans are to use no more than 3.2% imported coal.
13
  	 For instance, over 2010, none of the gas-mazut power units at Ukraine’s TESs were in opera-
     tion: two units generating 300 MW each at the Trypilska TES, three units generating 800
     MW each at the Vuhlehirska TES, and three more units generating 800 MW each at the
     Zaporizka TES. Based on data from the Institute for Energy Studies, in Q1’11, consumption
     of natural gas at TESs belonging to Ukrainian power utilities was 175mn cu m less than in
     the same period of 2010. The Scientific and Technical Association of Power and Electrical
     Engineers of Ukraine, Center for Public Information on Issues in the Fuel  Energy Com-
     plex, Analytical Study of the State of the Fuel  Energy Complex of Ukraine, №410, Kyiv,
     2011..

What impedes compliance with air quality standards
Use of low quality coal
The quality of coal that is used as fuel at Ukraine’s TESs does not correspond to
the initially designed indicators, being typically lower in caloric value and high-
er in ash content. Ukraine’s TESs were built to be fired by coal with a combustion
level of 27.61 kJ/kg, under 17% ash content, and a maximum of 1.0% sulfur.14
Instead, the caloric value of coal that was delivered to NAK Energy Company of
Ukraine’s TES in 2010 was only 22.08kJ with an ash content of 22.0%15.
The lower quality of coal has led to greater quantities of harmful emissions into
the air. Compared to projected figures, using coal without enrichment increases
the relative weight of sulfur oxide and particulate emitted by 30-40% per kWh of
power generated16. In addition, the high ash content of the coal results in greater
erosion of equipment and higher costs for internal power consumption at the
TES, which increases the operating costs and reduces the overall efficiency of
the station. Moreover, the high ash content of this coal prevents the industry
from reaching a high efficiency coefficient, even with the most up-do-date fur-
naces, and requires the use of natural gas to ignite the firing process.
Burning Ukrainian anthracite, the planned fuel for nearly 50% of the country’s
power equipment, also leads to additional costs. The long-term extraction of an-
thracite made it necessary to begin exploiting deposits in deeper layers, which
contain slow-burring anthracite, which requires even the most modern ash and
coal boilers to use natural gas to ignite the combustion process.

           Monopolized access to coal leads to low quality coal
     In Ukraine, access to coal is highly restricted as there is no free market for the fuel. Current
     prices for coal are formed as a means for compensating the cost of running coal mines
     and do not meet market conditions. This kind of approach has led to a monopolized coal
     market. It impedes the imports of heating coal from neighbors such as Poland and Russia
     and supplies by non-residents, even at prices at par and of competitive quality. The result
     for domestic coal mining companies is a lack of incentive to meet the needs of custom-
     ers, such as thermo-electric utilities by, for instance, reducing the sulfur content of their
     coal.

     Today, the virtual monopolist coal supplier delivering to power companies largely owned
     by the state is a state owned Vuhillia Ukrainy. This company includes state-owned mines
     and enrichment plants that are highly inefficient, outdated and close to the ends of
     their lifespans and whose production cost is very high and results in prices that are not
     matched by quality. The average production cost of coal in 2010 was UAH 776/t, while the
     purchase price of heating coal was UAH 355-635/t.


14
   	 Op. cit. Rukhlov, A., Vol. 78.
15
  	 Ukraine’s TES have been operating using low quality coal for decades. Because of this, the
     stations were forced to make a series of design changes to their boilers and undertake orga-
     nizational and technological measures to adapt them to the actual quality of coal. The result
     is that TES boilers in their current state will be unable to work on the planned quality of fuel
     properly or long term without returning to their planned designs.
16
  	 A 1 percentage point rise in the proportion of sulfur in coal increases the concentration of
     sulfur dioxide in flue gases by 2,300-2,500 mg/m3.

10	              Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Aging equipment and technology and difficult geological conditions in the mines also
     negatively affect the quality of coal extracted in Ukraine. The state-owned coal-mining
     sector typically has highly worn working assets—more than 70% of the mines have never
     done any upgrading in the last 30 years—and uses even those highly inefficiently. Most
     state companies mining heating coal are loss-making, making it impossible to do any
     upgrading on their own using company capital and requiring constant injections from
     the state. Although the volume of state funding of the coal sector nearly quadrupled over
     2001-2010, to UAH 7.7bn, the current capacity of the state to invest the necessary capital
     to upgrade equipment is not enough.

     The state coal sector is highly uncompetitive and is artificially compensated by manda-
     tory procurements of fuel by the power utilities that are largely state owned. Such sub-
     sidization of the industry at the expense of thermal generation complicates the options
     for power companies to attract the necessary capital to build environmentally friendly
     facilities. Because of this and because of the low environmental standards, Ukraine’s TESs
     burn dirty coal and have no reason to switch to cleaner fuels.

     During the transition to market relations, coal industry enterprises and power companies
     will be interested in raising the quality indicators of the coal they burn. Right now, “gas”
     coal, which is what the remaining 50% of Ukraine’s power equipment runs on, is in far
     greater demand, as it is used in the steel-making business and is exported abroad.


Environmental rules that favor polluters
Despite growing penalties and taxes for polluting the environment, the finan-
cial incentives17 for polluters to reduce harmful emissions are insufficient. It is
more convenient for energy companies to pay their fees and taxes than to invest
in environmental measures. According to an OECD report,18 the small fees and
low rate of collection suggest that Ukraine’s oversight bodies use inappropriate,
flawed methods to assess the damage to the environment, so that they seriously
underestimate the economic impact of pollution. In other words, the amount of
annual fees paid by Ukraine’s power companies, which was UAH 520 million in
2009 alone, is less than 5% of the value of the damage that pollution causes to
Ukraine’s population and economy in the form of additional illness and higher
mortality (for details, see section on the impact of pollution).

       What Ukraine’s Environmental Strategy does not mention
     The Action Plan for Ukraine’s Environmental Strategy through 2020 contains no concrete
     indicators for maximum concentrations of various pollutants, such as sulfur dioxide, ni-
     trogen dioxide and nitrogen oxide or particulates. It only contains provisions for new
     legislative and regulatory documents to be drawn up (Art. 2.2.5) and plans for measures
     to establish target indicators for the content of harmful substances in line with EU legisla-
     tion (Art. 2.3.1).

17
  	 For instance, the Tax Code calls for increasing the tax rate for emissions from stationary
    facilities by 3.6 times. See the list of fees and taxes in the Annexes to this report.
18
  	 See OECD, “Translating Environmental Law into Practice: Progress in Modernizing Envi-
    ronmental Regulation and Compliance Assurance in Eastern Europe, Caucasus, and Cen-
    tral Asia,” 2007.

What impedes compliance with air quality standards                                               11
The Action Plan also calls for “reducing the volume of emissions of widespread pollutants:
     stationary facilities have until 2015 to reduce these by 10% and until 2020 to reduce them
     by 25% of the baseline level” (Art. 2.2). But the baseline itself is not established. Although
     all quantitative commitments regarding the reduction of emissions are supposed to be
     counted from 2010, it is not clear where the quantitative data for 2010 has been identi-
     fied and whether they have actually been established or not. Thus, in contrast to Directive
     2001/80/EC, these requirements can be interpreted in a variety of ways and effectively
     ignored.

Ukraine’s system of environmental monitoring and oversight has all the neces-
sary components and generally resemble international practice in managing en-
vironmental protection. But the practice of implementing environmental policy
is very different from EU standards.
Firstly, Ukraine has published some figures about the worst industrial pollu-
tion, but did not provide any information about the reason why these were above
established norms. In this way, it is nearly impossible to analyze how effective
government policy is in ensuring that polluters meet environmental standards.
Government officials often refer to the large number of inspections carried out
and the number of investigations into violations as an indicator of the success of
their policies, but not actual reduction in emissions.19
Secondly, the Government lacks the necessary instruments and technical con-
ditions to properly monitor and oversee.20 Inspectors and other employees at
surveillance agencies have a hard time enforcing environmental legislation be-
cause their human and financial resources are seriously limited, and they have
no access to the latest data—or to the modern technologies needed to collect
and analyze data. A total of only 130 Environment Ministry staff are responsible
for administrating and granting permits to more than 15,000 companies through
27 territorial offices. Moreover, their salaries are much lower than in the private
sector, which leads to a high rate of turnover and creates the conditions for cor-
ruption to spread.
Ukraine has a program for polluters to do their own monitoring and to pay for its
cost. But the results vary greatly between what state laboratories come up with
and what the labs belonging to these companies get. This is due partly to the
poor standards for ensuring the accuracy of results, partly to unreliable testing
methods, and partly to the lack of regulated procedures regarding the condi-
tions for testing.21




19
  	 Ibid., OECD, 2007.
20
  	 Materials adapted from a report by the European Commission assessing cooperation be-
    tween Ukraine and the EU.
21
  	 Ibid., OECD, 2007.

12	              Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Monitoring system requirements	
                             for Energy Community members
     Directive 2001/80/EC requires Energy Community members to set up their own pro-
     grams for monitoring emissions and adapting to EU directives. Monitoring systems in EU
     countries have a number of common features: the use of multiple methods for checking
     results with both internal and external quality controls; the holding of consultations with
     stakeholders such as representatives of heavily polluting industries and local govern-
     ment bodies; and the provision of information so that the public can easily access it. Most
     countries also delegate some of the oversight functions to the local level.

     Energy Community members use the continuous emission monitoring system, or CEMS,
     and consistent—for instance, daily— systems for monitoring the level of pollution close
     to the source of the emissions. The cost of this monitoring is typically carried by the com-
     panies, who are expected to monitor on their own. These companies are then audited to
     ensure that they are upholding environmental standards. The monitoring itself is han-
     dled by an independent, accredited institution. EU countries use standardized methods
     to measure emissions to get results that can be compared at the Union and international
     levels.
     Sources: Guide to the Approximation of European Union Environmental Legislation, EU Directives


Regulating thermal electricity generation rates
Today, the only available source of capital for large environmental projects or
compensation for attracted financial resources applied to this purpose is the
investment component of the electricity rates charged to customers by power
companies. Still, because of the enormous amount of investments needed in
general to update heat-generating equipment and install systems to filter flue
gases, these are hard to justify economically and to charge the environmental
investment component in electricity rates.
The current system for setting wholesale and retail electricity rates cannot en-
sure the return of investments in flue gas filtration systems at TESs. What makes
this impossible is the cross-subsidization and discount policy that reduce resi-
dential electricity rates at the expense of industrial and commercial users and
the overregulation of wholesale rates on the electricity market.
Residential users in Ukraine do not pay the real cost of the electricity that they
use, as electricity is considered a social good. The result is that the sector does
not earn the income necessary for sustainable growth and for investment in en-
vironmental measures. Rates for residential electricity are 2-4 times lower than
industrial rates and 3-12 times lower than what EU residents pay.22 This has made
profit margins for generating electricity in Ukraine less in recent years than simi-
lar indicators for power companies in EU countries.
The wholesale rate for power is based on the Rules of the Wholesale Energy Mar-
ket (WEM) in Ukraine and largely depends on the cost of fuel, especially coal,
 	 Compare data on electricity rate levels in Ukraine and the EU at www.nerc.gov.ua and www.
22

   energy.eu.

What impedes compliance with air quality standards                                                    13
which constitutes 70-80% of the production cost of generating electricity at the
country’s TESs. According to WEM rules, price requests from heat-generating
companies are supposed to be based on actual technical and economic data from
the previous period (month) with a margin of fluctuation of ±5%. This means
that generating companies cannot significantly increase the price of wholesale
electricity on the WEM and to thus earn additional income to institute invest-
ment programs, including environmental ones.


Dilatory reforms on the electricity market
The main factor keeping investors from putting capital into the implementation
of the Directive’s requirements is the continuing postponement of reforms in
Ukraine’s electricity sector. The Government itself will have no means to seri-
ously fund thermal generation because it is scheduled to make major payments
on foreign debts over the next five years. At the same time, the funds in the En-
vironmental Protection Fund are not being directly put towards emission reduc-
tion (see data on the amounts of received and spent funds in Annex 1).
It is also highly unlikely that thermal generation companies will be able to get
major credit from international financial institutions like the IBRD, EBRD or EIB
without state guarantees and basic reforms on Ukraine’s electricity market.23 For
instance, in the EBRD’s lending portfolio on Ukraine, only 7% of loans have gone
to Ukraine’s power sector, whereas in other countries in the region, this share is
typically 10-20%. The available mechanisms for receiving bank loans for TES24
purposes is based on the growth of prices on the wholesale electricity market
and is not enough to satisfy the real capital needs of thermal generation in full.
In short, Ukraine’s TES companies have little investment appeal because of the
excessive administrative regulation on the electricity market, especially when it
comes to companies owned by the state. Nor will the privatization of power com-
panies guarantee attracting the necessary investment capital to upgrade gen-
erating facilities unless there is reform in the energy market and investors can
be offered clear, transparent and long-term guarantees that their environmental
investments will have a return.


Ineffective technical assistance
Cooperation between the EU and Ukraine has not led to major improvements
in environmental conditions. As Ukraine’s largest donor,25 the EU did not initi-
ate projects directed at improving environmental management in general or the
capacity of the Environment Ministry, in particular, to carry out environmental
23
   	 See the Concept for Reforming the Wholesale Electricity Market (WEM). Reforming the
     WEM is also called for in the Protocol on Ukraine’s accession to the European Energy Com-
     munity.
24
   	 See Cabinet Instruction №648 dated 8.09.2004.
25
  	 Since 1991, the total volume of technical assistance provided to Ukraine by the EU through
     the TACIS program, macrofinancing and humanitarian aid has added up to EUR 1 billion.
     See     http://comeuroint.rada.gov.ua/komevroint/control/uk/publish/article?art_id=
     52066cat_id=44792.

14	          Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
policy over 2002–2009.26 Instead, the EU supported the drafting of legislation
that has had little sustainable impact. The TACIS program, the EU’s main in-
strument for cooperation with Ukraine on environmental issues, only supported
development of regional potential based on small-scale pilot projects. Until re-
cently, the European Commission also gave no support to Ukraine for upholding
international commitments.
The Commission began to change its approach to technical assistance to
Ukraine by undertaking more comprehensive and systemic programs. In 2010,
for instance, it initiated a new Twinning project with the Environment Ministry
that was directed at increasing the agency’s technical capacities. This includes
exchanging practical experience and learning methodology. At the end of 2009,
two additional projects were launched to help Ukraine follow through on the
Aarhus Convention27 and the Espoo Convention on assessing environmental im-
pact in a cross-border context.28 In January 2011, the EU announced that it was
launching a Budget Support program for the Government of Ukraine worth a
total of EUR 35 million in support for the implementation of the national envi-
ronmental strategy.29

                                               For discussion
     How much incentive do environmental charges give companies to reduce their emis-
     sions?

     How closely does Ukraine’s environmental regulation system today comply with the re-
     quirements of Directive 2001/80/EC?

     What is the main reason for the low level of funding to make thermal generation compa-
     nies more environmentally friendly?

     What kind of impact do international donors have on the Government’s environmental
     policy?




26
  	 See Evaluation of the European Commission’s Cooperation with Ukraine, 2010.
27
  	 The Aarhus Convention regulates the right to access to information, public participation
    and access to justice on environmental matters.
28
  	 Under these two projects, the European Commission proposes to revise the Action Plan to
    improve the legal environment and administrative potential necessary to comply with both
    conventions. This includes the participation of other ministries, including the Ministry of
    Energy and the Coal Industry.
29
  	 The complete list of the EU’s main technical assistance programs in energy and the environ-
    ment in Ukraine can be found at: http://eeas.europa.eu/delegations/ukraine/projects/
    list_of_projects/projects_en.htm. Over 2007-2013, the EU has plans to provide nearly EUR
    141 million in assistance to energy projects.

What impedes compliance with air quality standards                                          15
The economic and social impact
of emissions
Dampened economic growth
Poorer quality farm products and lower land values
TES emissions constitute a constant source of soil pollution, primarily acid rain
and ash sediment, with toxic heavy metals such as lead, cadmium, copper and
zinc. These pollutants eventually end up in ground waters and rivers. Moreover,
TES emissions have a negative impact on the health of those who reside where
these hazardous materials settle. As an example, the ground soil in local eco-
systems around the Burshtyn TES typically show higher levels of phytotoxic-
ity, fluctuating between minimal in areas with complex planting and extremely
intensive on the territory of the Burshtyn plant itself. This leaves surrounding
farmlands and areas along roadways in danger, as the toxicity of surface areas
are constantly higher than average.30
The operation of the TES has a noticeably toxic and mutagenic impact on local
farming. Harmful emissions can lead to lower yields in orchards, pathologies in
fruit-bearing trees themselves, and uncontrollable mutational processes among
seed cultures. For instance, it has been shown that sulfur dioxide inhibits plant
growth31 and makes farm produce more vulnerable to pests, leading to possible
greater use of pesticides to counter this threat. Soil contaminants are also tied to
a higher overall incidence of illness in the local population.32
Moreover, territorial pollution happens in an extremely uneven manner. Air pol-
lutants settle and contaminate the groundcover in concentric bands that extend
as far as 20-30 kilometers. Dust, in combination with heated air, does not settle
immediately around the TES but moves with air streams and gradually lands on
the soil. Within this area, completely safe farmland borders on “islands” of con-
taminated parcels. Thus, in order for farmsteads and commercial farms located
within these zones to be certified as growing environmentally clean produce, a
labor-intensive and costly procedure needs to be undertaken to establish the
boundaries of the polluted areas.33


30
   	 See Penderetskiy, O.V., Determining soil contamination from the Burshtyn TES in order to
     assess opportunities to grow environmentally-clean agricultural products, The Environ-
     ment and Safe Living, №6, 2004, pp 62–69.
31
   	 B. Miller, B., Coal Energy Systems, Elsevier Academic Press, 2005, 507 pp.
32
   	 Zhdanov, V.V., An assessment of the impact of emissions from the Luhansk TES on soil
     contamination with heavy metals, Current Issues in Hygiene and Environmental Safety in
     Ukraine: Third Marzeyev Readings, materials from the academic conference in Kyiv, 24-25
     May 2007, pp 57–58.
33
  	 Mishchenko, L.V., A geoecological audit of the impact of human factors on the environ-
     ment and health of the local population, using the Pokuttia region as an example, Candi-
     date of Geographical Studies dissertation, Chernivtsi, 2003, 21 pp.

16	          Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Certifying ecologically-clean products: A high standard
     Ukraine applies both national and international standards of ecological certification for
     plots of land and the produce grown on them. Compliance with international criteria is
     determined by such organizations as the Global Ecological Network (GEN) and the Inter-
     national Federation of Organic Agriculture Movements (IFOAM). The procedure estab-
     lished by these organizations primarily sees the production process as requiring certifica-
     tion, not the end product, and it starts with inspecting the quality of the soil as the first
     step.34 Farms that export organic products to the EU must undergo a strict certification
     procedure regulated by EC Resolution 2092/91, which is done by foreign standardization
     agencies that operate in Ukraine.

     Users of land plots that are within the pollution zone of a TES are faced with serious com-
     plications during this procedure. This land is also not eligible for status as a special re-
     source zone, where it is permissible to grow produce for pediatric and dietetic purposes.
     Such areas normally need to be a certain regulated distance from industrial areas.35 This
     means that these farm enterprises are effectively out of the running for the promising
     market of organic and ecologically clean products.

The very fact that a piece of land is in a risk zone has a negative impact on its
value when it comes to selling the lot. Given that the practice of selling or trans-
ferring land under long-term leases through auctions is growing in popularity in
Ukraine, this factor is likely to play an even more important role. The require-
ment to have an expert assessment of the starting price of a parcel of land and to
complete the technical certificate providing detailed information about the land
that is being put up for sale could significantly reduce the chances of a success-
ful sale of those parcels that are in polluted zones.

Additional costs to the healthcare system
The country’s economy suffers losses because of the growing cost of healthcare
paid by both the State Budget and private households. It has been established
that a day of hospitalization costs at least UAH 500, while an emergency house
call is at least UAH 300. Conservative estimates are that the direct losses on
doctors’ visits and hospital services due to illnesses caused by air pollution in
Ukraine is over UAH 1 billion annually.36
The country suffers even greater losses because of the higher mortality rate
caused by poor air quality. Although the methodology for calculating the eco-
nomic cost of increased mortality is fairly ambiguous (see Annex 2), the data
available in Ukraine is more than just suggestive. For this country, the value of
statistical life (VSL) is around US $90,000, based on 2006 figures. This means that
the most conservative estimates in pre-crisis times result in a cost of increased

34
   	 Artysh, V.I., Improving the system of regulation of the production of organic products in
     Ukraine, Scientific Courier of the National University of Bioresources and Nature Manage-
     ment of Ukraine, №145, 2010.
35
  	 Mozalova, M., Regulating the certification of soil zoned for agricultural use, Issues in Legal-
     ity №103, 2009.
36
   	 Strukova E., Golub A., Markandya, A., The Cost of Air Pollution in Ukraine. Access: http://
     ideas.repec.org/p/fem/femwpa/2006.120.html.

The economic and social impact of emissions                                                      17
mortality due to air pollution that is UAH 12 billion per annum.37 This means that
Ukraine loses nearly 4% of GDP every year. By comparison, Russia loses 5% of
GDP, while developed countries lose under 2%.38

         Additional costs due to the emission of certain harmful
                     pollutants in Russia and the US
     In Russia, every additional tonne of SO2 costs the healthcare system EUR 3,000 annually.
     The overall annual burden of additional costs through higher rates of disease and mortal-
     ity due to SO2 emissions is nearly EUR 4 bn and EUR 1.5bn annually from NOx39 emissions.
     In the US, similar costs are a factor higher: for instance, every additional tonne of SO2
     and NOx leads to nearly US $10,000 additional costs to the budget and annual costs to
     the healthcare system due to such diseases as cancer and respiratory and pulmonary ill-
     nesses caused by air pollution amount to over US $185bn a year.40


Deteriorating quality of human capital
Reduced life expectancy
Emissions from Ukraine’s TESs are damaging the health of those who live adja-
cent to such plants. This is seen primarily in the inhalation of coal dust and par-
ticulates, which are found in greater concentrations in the air around TESs. They
also contain a slew of heavy metals, which has led to nearly double the normal
rate of illness in those regions:
      respiratory diseases – 1.9
      digestive illnesses – 2.6
      diseases of the circulatory system – 1.6
      endocrinal diseases, eating disorder, metabolic imbalances – 3.4
      birth defects – 1.441
It has been shown that the general rate of severe and chronic diseases of the
respiratory system, such as ARD, pneumonia, chronic bronchitis and bronchial
asthma among those residing near TESs is on average 2.1 times higher (see An-
nex 1). A 10% increase in the concentration of coal dust in the air leads to a 3.9%
rise in the incidence of respiratory disorders, a 2.5% rise in circulatory disorders,
and a 3.9% rise in birth defects.
Those groups of the population who suffer the most from this negative impact
are children, especially children under the age of six. In addition to the con-
tinuous worsening of overall and local immunity in children, there has been an

37
  	 Ibid.
38
  	 Ibid.
39
  	 http://www.cedelft.eu/publicatie/external_costs_of_coal/878?PHPSESSID=f1382192
     38c72e8038a0a5694354af1d
40
   	 See assessment of expenditures for selected countries in Annex 1.
41
   	 V. Zhdanov, “Hygienic evaluation of the impact of harmful emissions from TESs on the
     health of the local population and arguments for various prophylactic measures,” disserta-
     tion, Candidate of Science, 14.02.01- 2009.

18	              Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
increase in disorders of the broncho-pulmonary system.42 Studies have recorded
excessive concentrations of heavy metals such as cadmium, copper, manganese,
lead and zinc in the hair of children who live directly near TESs. This suggests
how the cumulative effect of exceeding emission norms, taken together with the
significant pollution from transportation, causes an accumulation of dangerous
chemical elements in the human body. Overall, children who live in industrial
zones with various types of air pollution have health indicators that are two to
three times below the average for children who live in ecologically clean areas.

          The link between desulfurization and infant mortality 	
                              in Germany
     In a study of infant mortality carried out in Germany between 1985 and 2003,43 mortality
     was compared before and after the installation of a desulfurization plant at a local power
     plant. The study revealed that a reduction in emissions saved 850–1,600 infant lives per
     year.

Air pollution causes up to 90% of all carcinogenic risks linked to environmental
pollution. Over the last 50 years, the lung cancer rate in heavily industrial areas
has risen more than fivefold, especially through the use of powerful TESs, the
first of which went into operation nearly 50 years ago.
Air pollution leads to a significant increase in overall mortality rates in a given
population. And this group of diseases is one that underlies the most deaths
among Ukrainians: cardiopulmonary diseases and cancer of the lungs—togeth-
er result in as much as 68% of deaths due to disease. An analysis of additional
mortality in Zaporizhzhia due to sulfur dioxide and coal dust emissions in just
one district of the city revealed that 100 more people died every year - that is
1,700 per 1,000,000 annually.44 Estimates place the absolute number of addition-
al deaths caused by air pollution in Ukraine at nearly 30,000 every year.45
Emissions from the country’s largest TES affect the health of residents in eight
oblasts: Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Ivano-Frankivsk, Kyiv, Luhansk, L’viv, Vin-
nytsia, and Zaporizhzhia. According to estimates, more than 800,000 Ukrainians
live within 30 kilometers of a major TET. This number would be even larger if the
emission zone of those CHPs located near or directly in major cities is taken into
account. The problem with pollution has a cross-border aspect as well: on one
hand, Ukraine pollutes the territories of other countries; and on the other, the
country is also polluted by neighboring countries (see Annex 5).


42
   	 V.M. Kulias, O.B. Yermachenko, O.A. Trunova, I.B. Ponomariova, D.P. Sadekov, V.S. Ko-
     mov, and O.A. Dmytrenko, Microbiocenosis of the mucous membranes of the throat and
     nose of children inhaling the ash of multicomponent chemical dust, Medical Perspectives,
     Vol. XV, 1, 2010.
43
   	 See Simon Lüchinger (2009), cited at ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp10079.pdf.
44
   	 M. Brody, J. Caldwell and A. Golub, Developing Risk-Based Priorities for Reducing Air Pol-
     lution in Urban Settings in Ukraine, Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Vol.
     68, №9 (2005), pp. 356–357.
45
  	 E. Strukova, A. Golub and A. Markandya, Air Pollution Costs in Ukraine, Access: http://
     ideas.repec.org/p/fem/femwpa/2006.120.html.

The economic and social impact of emissions                                                   19
Loss of workforce
TES companies are finding it hard to keep highly-qualified specialists. Such pro-
fessionals are extremely mobile and are always on the lookout for a job in a less
polluted environment for themselves and their families.
Projected losses due to high absenteeism during operating hours due to illnesses
caused by the poor local environment amounted to more than UAH 500mn in
2005, the last year for which figures are available. If the direct loss of time needed
to rehabilitate and renew working capacities are added—normally up to 7 days
after hospitalization—the scale of these losses among the working population
will be even higher.
This trend towards a declining quality of workforce particularly affects those
counties that are located right next to TES operators. Although TESs are gener-
ally located far from major urban conglomerations in Ukraine, the territories im-
mediately adjacent to them tend to be heavily populated. The average number
of employees at a single TES is 1,500-2,000, most of whom live with their families
as close as possible to their jobs. Thus, although TESs offer locals the prospect of
a decent job and social benefits, they simultaneously jeopardize the health and
performance of these same workers.


Impeding the development 	
of Ukraine’s power generation
Greater risks for investing in heating plants
Because Ukraine lacks a consistent policy regarding the implementation of
Directive 2001/80/EC, the risks related to investing in heat-based power gen-
eration are higher, which puts a damper on incoming investment.46 For foreign
investors, the lack of negative environmental impact from carrying out a given
project is one of their criteria in choosing where to invest their capital. For in-
stance, the EBRD has been increasing its investments into alternative energy in
Ukraine as well as into projects aimed at reducing emissions of greenhouse gas-
es. According to the already-announced “Initiatives in the sustainable energy
sector”47 policy of the EBRD, the Bank plans to support “clean energy” projects,
especially renewable ones, and places no priority on upgrading the power units
of Ukraine’s TESs.

Complications with trading Ukrainian electricity on EU power markets
If Ukraine’s TESs continue to generate power using technologies that cause sig-
nificant environmental damage, it will be very hard to integrate the domestic grid
into the single European electricity market. All other factors being equal, Euro-
pean buyers tend to prefer to buy power that is being generated using “clean”
technologies. On one hand, European countries and many other world players
46
  	 Over the last 20 years, because of anticipated stricter EU environmental policies and grow-
    ing uncertainty regarding the size of fines for emissions, the construction of new coal-fired
    power plants in the EU has effectively ground to a halt (see Annex 1).
47
  	 http://www.ebrd.com/russian/pages/sector/energyefficiency/sei/strategy.shtml

20	           Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
on the electricity market, belong to that category of electricity consumers who
are prepared to pay more for clean energy.48 On the other hand, EU power com-
panies are concerned about losing their competitive edge due to higher environ-
mental standards and are demanding that the European Commission apply the
same rules to trading partners.

                                    The carbon leakage effect
     European producers are always on the search for ways to compensate the cost of improv-
     ing targeted EU requirements regarding CO2 emissions. Some of them are transferring
     their power generating facilities to countries that do not levy strict fines for emissions.
     This is leading to the phenomenon of “carbon leakage,” where the reduction of emissions
     in country A is leading to a proportionally higher level in country B. Moreover, the global
     level of emissions is not being reduced, which is casting doubt on the success of climate
     change policies altogether. This trend is particularly noticeable in energy-intensive man-
     ufacturing sectors, such as cement, steel, paper and chemicals.

In a situation where there is strong competition on the single EU energy market,
such production factors as environmentally friendly generation—which at first
glance would seem secondary—turn out to be key factors that force a buyer to
choose the more compliant provider rather than any other one.

The growing cost of environmental programs in the future
By ignoring Directive 2001/80/EC when constructing new power units now,
Ukraine will face a higher cost to institute environmental protection measures
further down the line. The country already felt the effect of such “path depen-
dence”49 before, when the prior selection of a particular technology made efforts
to modernize the system ever more complicated and costly. Those who draft
projects to reduce emissions at existing TES power units often face a dilemma:
to choose new equipment on a short-term basis (10-15 years) as a relatively in-
expensive but not very effective choice, or to choose more costly technical solu-
tions that will later be adapted to new equipment that will replace that which has
completed its useful lifespan.

                  Time is not on the side of aging power units
     Every year, bringing existing TES power units in line with environmental regulations be-
     comes a more complicated procedure. The design of these TESs, which were built to meet
     the specifications of outdated soviet dust collectors, desulfurization plants and boiler ash
     and slag removal facilities, was supposed to offer considerable advantages in exploita-
     tion. But today they have turned into a serious barrier to installing modern treatment
     systems. Some aspects of the construction of the soviet TESs make it unreasonably ex-
     pensive and even risky to apply contemporary solutions.
48
  	 According to a study by IBM Global Business Services, 67% of users surveyed in six coun-
    tries—Great Britain, Germany, Holland, the US, Japan, and Australia—have indicated the
    willingness to pay higher rates for environmentally friendly energy. For more details, see
    http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/index.wss/ibvstudy/gbs/a1029014.
49
  	 For more details, see Page, S.E., Path Dependence, Quarterly Journal of Political Science,
    2006 (1), pp 87–115.

The economic and social impact of emissions                                                     21
For instance, many TESs have no room to install sulfur and nitrogen treatment plants.
     Sulfur dioxide accelerates the corrosion of metals and is the most damaging chemical
     material pollutant. Changes in temperature and humidity increase the pace at which
     equipment is worn out through corrosion.50 If the problem of emissions of this kind is
     not resolved, Ukraine’s TESs, which are already operating at the peak of their normal po-
     tential, could find themselves reaching the end of their normal lifespans more quickly,
     leading to even more emissions.


Loss of status as a reliable international partner
If Ukraine fails due to lack of motivation to fulfill the commitments it made on
its accession to the European Energy Community, Kyiv’s stable foreign policy
course will be undermined, as well as its status as a reliable foreign partner.
Ukraine is already losing its reputation because of misappropriation of Kyoto
Protocol funds and failure to comply with the Aarhus Convention in domestic
legislation.51
Sanctions from the EEC and publicity in the international community could
put under question Ukraine’s ability to fully participate in multilateral projects.
Such an official step by the EEC Council of Ministers, such as announcing the
fact that Ukraine’s legislation is not in compliance with related EU laws, might
not have any legal force in the final analysis, but it would definitely complicate
any further integration of Ukraine’s energy market with the Community’s en-
ergy markets.

               Sanctions by the European Energy Community
     The leadership of the EEC could raise sanctions against a country that is in violation of its
     rules if there is evidence of a violation or there are doubts whether the country will meet
     points in the Treaty in a timely manner. Currently, EEC mechanisms to deal with members
     who “do not play fair ” are more oriented towards consensual problem resolution than
     towards severe punishments. However, in future the penalties for not carrying out com-
     mitments that a country has taken on could be more serious.

     The European Energy Community’s institutional structure provides for a series of mecha-
     nisms intended to spur members, especially new ones, to fully comply with the points in
     the Agreement.

     First stage. The EEC Secretariat launches the preliminary stages of conflict resolution and
     sends the “guilty parties” an open letter. Should such members delay measures to resolve
     the given problem, the EEC sends its reasoned opinion and presents its reasoned request,
     both of them then posted for open access.



 	 B. Miller, Coal Energy Systems, Elsevier Academic Press, 2005, p. 507.
50


 	 Ukraine’s ratification of the Aarhus Convention in 1999 failed to push the country to change
51

   its domestic legislation to provide both individuals and civil society organizations access to
   information about the environment. In 2011, Ukraine could lose its membership in this Con-
   vention. See http://www.rac.org.ua/skhovishche-novin/novina/article/orguska-konven-
   cija-turkmenistan-chi-ukrajina/.

22	              Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Second stage. If such precautionary measures prove insufficient, the Community’s Coun-
 cil of Ministers can officially announce that there have been violations based on collected
 information, including evidence from third parties, justification from the “accused” party,
 and the opinion of the Advisory Committee. Although such instruments belong to the
 class of “soft power” measures, their application is typically widely broadcast, as was the
 case with the Serbian Government, which was unable to ensure the proper implementa-
 tion of certain EU Directives.

  Third stage. In the case of a serious, lengthy violation of commitments, the Council of
  Ministers has the right to suspend certain rights that a member country enjoys through
  its Agreement, including: the right to vote in the Community, to participate in meetings
  and to make use of mechanisms provided by the Agreement. The last include using the
  power grid without trade restrictions, making use of assistance in the case of an emer-
  gency, and having the licenses and standards of operations of utilities recognized.

  Source: European Energy Community (EEC)



                                              For discussion
  How accurate do you think the estimated cost of Ukraine’s problems is?

  How effective an incentive are current EEC sanctions to ensure that all points in the Treaty
  are fulfilled?

  To what extent do you think not carrying out the environmental Directive will complicate
  integration into the single EU electricity market?

  How significantly would you say air pollution affects the working age population and
  human capital as a whole?

  What other interested parties can you think of for whom excessive emissions from ther-
  mal generation constitutes a problem and what is the cost of that problem for them?




The economic and social impact of emissions                                                  23
A vision of the future
of thermal power generation in Ukraine:
eco-friendly and safe for humans
If Ukraine’s thermo-electric generation is modernized along the principles of
sustainable development and completely complies with the environmental con-
ditions of the European Energy Community, this sector will become safer for
humans and environmentally friendly.


The positive future impact of meeting 	
EEC environmental requirements
The activity of the Energy Community is aimed at reaching three key goals: lib-
eralizing the market and increasing competitiveness; increasing the security of
energy supplies; and reducing the impact on the environment. The most positive
impact from Ukraine’s accession to the Community is seen as coming from the
first two goals: simplifying access to the unified European electricity market,
gaining the opportunity to establish direct links to end users, diversifying supply
sources and increasing energy security. But the environmental requirements are
too often seen as an obstacle and an extra “whim” on the part of the Europeans.
In actual fact, a realistic vision of the future of thermal generation in Ukraine
within the common European energy market is impossible without the environ-
mental aspect of integration. The overall success of integration into the EEC de-
pends on a clear understanding of the full range of future positive effects that
will accompany joining the common energy space, including positive changes
in environmental protection.
The table below shows the potential costs and benefits that carrying out the en-
vironmental requirements of the EEC could bring to the basic interested parties
in Ukraine.




24	         Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Future positive costs and benefits
    of meeting EEC environmental requirements (Directive 2001/80/EC)
   Key interest
                                                        Benefits                                         Costs
     groups
                      • Life expectancy should rise, while infant mortality and the loss
 Individual                                                                                       More expenditures
                        of years of life due to illnesses caused by the unsatisfactory
 Ukrainians                                                                                       on power required
                        state of the atmosphere should go down.
                      • Environmental law will become more predictable. Clearer
                        requirements regarding the volume of emissions, the
                        timeframes for acting and the size of environmental taxes
                        should make it easier to plan production operations.
                      • Additional incentives will encourage the modernization of
                        existing facilities and technologies and to come up with new,
                        more efficient generating capacities.
                      • Electricity generated in an environmentally friendly manner
                        will be in greater demand on the common European market.
 Business                                                                                         Longer ROI term
                      • Investments in eco-friendly policies and the application of
                        the best available technologies should promote a better
                        image for companies, which will begin to be associated with
                        cutting-edge achievements in environmentally-oriented
                        power generation.
                      • A lower rate of disease will make it possible to improve the
                        quality of human capital and the overall employability of
                        workers. At the same time, it will minimize economic losses
                        due to temporary inability to work.
                      • The Ukrainian side will recover its status as a reliable partner in
                                                                                                  Need for
                        international energy and environmental cooperation.
                                                                                                  institutional
                      • Ukraine will enjoy the full rights and preferences due to it as a
                                                                                                  changes and
                        signatory to the ECT and will avoid sanctions for not enforcing
 The State                                                                                        additional costs to
                        the Treaty’s provisions.
                                                                                                  introduce effective
                      • Additional incentives will arise to reform the energy sector.
                                                                                                  environmental
                      • Public spending on healthcare should go down, especially in
                                                                                                  policies
                        areas with a high level of pollution from TESs.
                      • A reduction in the amount of cross-border leakage of air
                        pollution should improve the environment for a number of
                        neighboring EU member countries.
                      • Ukrainian and European power generating companies should
                        find themselves operating on a more level playing field.                  More competition
 European
                        Additional spending on environmental protection measures                  from clean
 partners
                        will affect all participants in the common energy market and              Ukrainian power
                        not just EU members.
                      • New opportunities to invest in joint environmental projects
                        will arise. European partners will be more eager to invest in
                        and provide credits and technical assistance to Ukraine.

Source: ICPS




A vision of the future of thermal power generation in Ukraine: eco-friendly and safe for humans                      25
The environment will remain a priority
Reducing man-made pressure on the environment is one of the most important
benefits that Ukraine could enjoy from having joined the EEC. However, the re-
lated positive effects will not be felt immediately, but in the medium and longer
term. The “market” and “security” components of the ECT will be felt sooner
than the environmental one.52
In this vision of the future, Ukraine will continue to meet its environmental com-
mitments to the EEC, successfully taking advantage of all the benefits of par-
ticipating in the Treaty. And, on the contrary, if integration into the EEC moves
away from the desired course and problems with funding or diplomatic support
from the EU arise, this will no longer offer an excuse to roll back the environmen-
tal protection program.


Environmental standards will meet 	
European requirements
The environmental requirements of the Energy Community will continue to be
the main incentive for making heating plants more environmentally friendly, as
their modernization is supposed to be in line with the main framework agree-
ment, Directive 2001/80/EC “On the limitation of emissions of certain pollut-
ants into the air from large combustion plants.” In Ukraine, all the necessary
legislative conditions for complying with this Directive are to be set in place and
its provisions developed in a National Action Plan to reduce harmful emissions.
During the drafting of this plan, Ukraine will be guided by detailed recommenda-
tions for this type of document from the European Commission, which includes
pathways to reach goals with the help of European methods and practices. The
set of measures in the Action Plan will be aimed at meeting established norms
and sources of funding and will take into account realistic timeframes for com-
plying with EEC requirements.


Volumes of emissions will go down
Ukraine will ensure the gradual convergence of the concentration of specific
emissions of pollutants from new and existing combustion plants with those lev-
els that are established in the Directive. The actual concentrations of emissions
at new TES power units will approximate European norms for dust at 30–50
mg/cu m, sulfur oxides at 200-400 mg/cu m, and nitrogen oxides at 200–600
mg/cu m. A state system for environmental monitoring that has been reformed
in line with best European practice will provide reliable information on the pace
of annual reduction of emissions.


 	 The European Commission’s report on EEC activities for 2011 shifts meeting environmental
52

   priorities to medium term objectives while noting that this will take place no earlier than
   when national markets are “opened” an the delivery of electricity becomes reliable. See
   ec.europa.eu/energy/gas_electricity/community/doc/20110310_report_en.pdf).

26	          Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
A vision of development of thermal generation in Poland
  Coal will continue to be a major fuel in the country’s power generation sector, but it will
  begin to be used more in a gasified or liquid state. Polish TESs will use clean coal tech-
  nologies such as Carbon Capture and Storage and gasifying coal, thus reducing emis-
  sions into the air.

  In 2020, Polish residents should not be feeling the impact of concentrations of ash that
  are higher than those allowed by EC Directives. As a result, the number of respiratory and
  cardiological illnesses, as well as the costs to the healthcare system, should start decreas-
  ing.

  Source: Energy Strategy of Poland




A vision of the future of thermal power generation in Ukraine: eco-friendly and safe for humans   27
Options for resolving the problem
During the process of adapting to Directive 2001/80/EC, countries are expected
to develop a strategy for reorganizing their TESs and to establish which existing
generating capacities will be decommissioned, which ones will be modernized,
and how many new power units will have to be brought on line. The two latter
options typically mean: 1) changes to the balance of fuels more towards natural
gas; 2) a higher quality of fuels, such as enriched coal; 3) greater efficiency in the
production process; and 4) the introduction of gas-cleaning technologies. EU
countries are following a variety of ways to adapt to the Directive.
The end of lifespan option. Countries decide to shut down a TES when upgrad-
ing makes no economic sense. The lifespan of such power units is limited to a
few years or because the designated number of hours of operation is running
out. Choosing this option could indicate planned changes in the energy balance
of the country in favor of atomic energy or renewable sources of energy. For
instance, after shutting down most of its TES, France switched to mostly atomic
energy. Using this option requires diversifying sources of energy, dealing with
the social impact in those regions where plants are being shut down, and renew-
ing the polluted territory.
The extended lifespan option. Countries upgrade their existing TESs, switching
them to basic power mode and increasing their load, so a few modernized TESs
can compensate for the capacities of those that have been shut down. Great Brit-
ain and Ireland are examples of countries that have kept a series of major TESs
by upgrading them and switching them to being gas-fired. Germany, which has
also kept most of its TESs, radically improved the quality of its fuel coal. The
downside of this option is that modernizing old power units does not necessarily
allow the country to fully meet environmental requirements and it is not always
economically sound, given the small amount of extended lifespan added to the
block.53
The starting from scratch option. Building new TESs makes it possible to use the
latest technologies for capturing harmful emissions and to switch to cogenera-
tion. Introducing this option is complicated by the need to attract a large amount
of investment up front and to designate suitable locations for new power sta-
tions.




 	 Worn and obsolete power units are typically reconstructed so that their lifespan is extend-
53

   ed, but usually only for 10-15 years. This casts doubt on the point of investing major capital
   in highly costly gas cleaning equipment.

28	          Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Proposed solutions
Over 2011–2016, Ukraine is supposed to start meeting the requirements of Di-
rective 2001/80/EC regarding the reduction of emission and heat-generating
plants in order to improve the health of its population. But this has to happen
without risking the reliability of the unified power system in Ukraine, which
means:
      to establish the basic principles of energy security—the best balance between
       domestic and imported fuel and energy resources;
      to prepare a National Emission Reduction Plan;
      to draw up a Strategy or plan for handling TES emissions: using ash slag and
       other byproducts of sulfur and nitrogen treatment, such as gypsum, nitrogen
       fertilizers, and so on;
      to establish permits for concentrations of emissions that are based on best
       available techniques and reflecting local features;
      to develop a strategy for decommissioning aging power units; the basis for
       extending the use of newer units on condition that they are completely up-
       graded, including the installation of efficient gas filtration units, and the
       principles for building new power-generation facilities that meet the require-
       ments of EC Directives;54
      to amend existing legislation to ensure the fulfillment of the National Emis-
       sion Reduction Plan and the upgrading and new construction of TESs;
      to implement other provisions of the Energy Community in a timely manner,
       especially Directive 2003/54/EC, which calls for the completion of reforms
       of the electricity market;
      to reform the coal industry by introducing a coal exchange.

                                       For discussion
     To what extent do you agre with the vision of the future of Ukraine’s thermo-electric sec-
     tor presented here?

     How worth it is it for the Energy Community to extend its timeframes on environmental
     requirements?

     In what way can the reduction of emissions at heat-generating plants affect various in-
     terested parties?

     What other options are there for resolving the problem of polluting substances?




54
    	 Directive 2009/72/EC dated 13 July 2009 on the basic rules for internal electricity markets,
      EC Regulation № 714/2009 dated 13 July 2009 on the requirements for access to power
      grids that provide cross-border exchanges of electricity, and Directive 2005/89/EC dated
      18 January 2006 on measures to ensure power supply and investing in infrastructure, and so
      on.

Proposed solutions                                                                             29
Annex 1
	 Tables and charts

Table 1. 	        Volumes of air emissions from power
	                 and thermal generation in Ukraine over 2005–2007
                        2005                                  2006                                   2007
 Pollutant     emission      % of total              emission      % of total               emission      % of total
             volume, ’000 t emissions              volume, ’000 t emissions               volume, ’000 t emissions
      NOx        154.06         30                     158.21         32                       172.34        24
      SOx        876.06         73                   1,114.64         77                     1,069.24        79
      Dust       327.72         42                     347.61         44                       306.24        41

Source:	 Environment Ministry, based on data provided by the Institute of Energy
	        under the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine


Table 2. 	        Comparison of EU and national requirements
	                 for emissions of air pollutants from TES flue gases
                                         І. New combustion plants
                                                      Nominal emissions, mg/cu m
Pollutant, thermal                                     Environment Ministry      Environment Ministry
  capacity, MW        Directive 2001/80/EC               Decree №309 of            Decree №541 of
                                                            27.06.2006                22.10.2008
Particulates
                                   30                               50                                   30
P100*
Sulfur dioxide
                                 200                              500                                   200
P100
Nitrogen oxides
                                 200                              500                                   200
P100




30	           Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
ІІ. Upgraded combustion plants
                                                    Nominal emissions, mg/cu m
                 Thermal        Current                  Environment Environment In excess of EC
 Pollutant       capacity,   emission level, Directive      Ministry      Ministry   Directive,%
                   MW           mg/cu m      2001/80/EC Decree №309 Decree №541
                                                         of 27.06.2006 of 22.10.2008
                                                                            as of
                                                                         01.01.2016
Particulates                 1,000-1,700***                    50                    2,000–3,400
               P500**                            50                         50
               P500                             100                         100
                                                                            as of
Sulfur                                                                   01.01.2016
                              3,000–7,000                     500                     750–1,750
dioxide        100P500                      2,000–400                  2,000–400
               P500                             400                         400
                                                                            as of
Nitrogen                                                                 01.01.2016
                               700–1,800                      500                      350–900
oxides         100P500                         600                         600
               P500                             200                         200

*	 P1000 applies to power units generating 50 MW.
** 	 P500 – to units generating 160 МW.
*** 	 Does not include the level of emissions from reconstructed dust-capturing equipment.
Source: Ministry of Fuel and Energy

             III. Combustion plants of major power generating companies in Ukraine
                                     Emissions for 2009, mg/cu m
               Pollutant                 Actual           Directive 2001/80/EС    Excess, %
                               NAK Energetychna Kompania Ukrainy (EKU)
Sulfur dioxide                           3,300                      400              825
Nitrogen oxides                          1,050                      200              525
Particulates                             1,200                       50            2,400
                                             SkhidEnergo
Sulfur dioxide                                                                          
     Zuyivska                            2,637                      400              659
     Luhanska                            5,483                      400            1,371
     Kurakhivska                         3,773                      400              943
Nitrogen oxides
     Zuyivska                             1,224                   200                612
     Luhanska                             1,408                   200                704
     Kurakhivska                            486                   200                243

Source: Company data




Annex1                                                                                        31
Chart 1.	                   Technical state of NAK EKU TES power units
	                           relative to their lifespans
                  350

                            1,100 MW                                 Lifespan of metals established by current norms
                  300
                                            15,414 MW
                                                                                         Permissible individual lifespan
                  250

                                                                                                     Individual lifespan
                  200
      000 hours




                                                             1,446 MW

                  150
                                                                             4,800 MW
                                                                                                            Idle lifespan
                  100


                  50
                              7 blocks       61 blocks        5 blocks        7 blocks
                                4.8%          67.7%             6.4%           21.1%
                   0




Note: 	             As of April 2011, NAK EKU power units generated a total of 23 GW or 85%
   	                of all available capacities at Ukrainian TESs.
Source: Y. Trofymenko, “Approaches to equipping NAK Energetychna Kompania Ukrainy
TESs with gas-cleaning equipment as part of the implementation of Directive 2001/80/EС,”
presentation at roundtable on “Integrating Environmental and Energy Policy: Challenges for
members of the European Energy Community,” held on 7.12.2010.


Table 3. 	                  Estimates of the cost of implementing
	                           Directive 2001/80/EC5556
     Organization                 Parameters                                        Assumptions
                           Timeframe: by 2020            Extending the lifespan of power units by installing cleaning
 Institute of
                                                         systems on coal-fired units and applying primary measures
 Energy under              Cost: US $16-17bn
                                                         to reduce NOx emissions on gas oil units along with the
 the NAS55                 Capacity: 27–28 GW            installation of emission reduction systems.
                                                         Change of electrical filters: US $40/kW
                           Timeframe: 20 years           Construction of desulfurization plants: US $200/kW
 VAT
                           Cost: US $22bn                Equipping boilers with gas denitrification catalyzers: US
 L’vivORHRES56
                           Capacity: 27.122 GW           $100/kW
                                                         Dollar inflation: 3% p.a.




55
  	 See B.A. Kostiukovskiy, S.V. Shulzhenko and N.P Nechayev, “Approaches to meeting envi-
    ronmental requirements regarding emissions of air pollutants in the thermal energy sector
    in Ukraine,” Institute of Energy under the NAS.
56
  	 See Energy and Electrification №7, 2010, pp 39–42.

32	                     Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Organization          Parameters                              Assumptions
                     Timeframe: by 2030
 NAK EKU             Cost: US $3.9–6.8bn   In 2009–2010 prices
                     Capacity: EKU plants
                     Timeframe: by 2018
 Donbas Fuel         Cost: UAH 85bn57
  Energy                                  Constructing desulfurization and denitrification plants: US
                     Capacity: 22.1 GW
 Company                                   $350/kW
 (DTEK)              Cost: US $3–4bn  58


                     Capacity: DTEK plants

Source: ICPS5758


Table 4. 	           Age of TESs in EU as of 2005
                             Average age 	              Capacities older 	           Capacities older 	
                          of TES power units            than 25 years, %             than 40 years, %
 Coal-fired                       26                           54                           9
 Gas-fired                        12                           17                           1
 Mazut-fired                      26                           55                           5
 All power units                  21                           42                           6

Source: Tzimas et al (2009)


Table 5. 	           The cost of damage from additional illnesses
	                    and mortality
                                        SO2                       NOx                   Dust (PМ2.5)
           Country
                                                               EUR/tonne
 Australia                              9,048                     8,334                     36,392
 China                                  1,090                     1,003                      4,381
 European Union                         7,948                     7,320                     31,965
 India                                    566                       521                      2,277
 Japan                                  8,499                     7,828                     34,182
 Republic of South Africa               2,257                     2,079                      9,078
 Russia                                 3,158                     2,909                     12,702
 United States                         11,096                    10,220                     44,628

Source: Adapted from External Costs of Coal: Global Estimate, External Costs of Coal:
Global Estimate // Access: http://www.cedelft.eu/publicatie/external_costs_of_coal/
878?PHPSESSID=f138219238c72e8038a0a5694354af1d




 	 Ibid., pp 32–33.
57


 	 See Energobusiness №45/680 dated 9.11.10.
58



Annex1                                                                                                    33
Chart 2.	        Illness per 10,000 population in Luhansk

1 400
                                 Number of illnesses among people, who live within the 1-3 km area from TES
1 200
                                 Number of illnesses among people, who live in the 3km and further from TES

                                 Number of illneesses among people, who live areas without TES
1 000


 800


 600


 400


 200


      0
               Flu                         Angina                  Chronic bronchitis            Bronchial asthma

Source: Adapted from V.V. Zhdanov’s Assessment of the impact of the Luhanska TES on the
atmosphere and health of the local population, Hygiene and Epidemiology Bulletin, Vol. 10,
№1, 2006.




34	          Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Table 6. 	         Combined Heating and Power or Cogeneration Plants
	                  (TETs) in Ukraine subject to Directive 2001/80/EC
                                   Name                    Capacity, MW
                Bilotserkivska TET                            120
                Darnytska TET                                 160
                Dniprodzerzhynska TET                          62
                Kaluska TET                                   200
                Kyivska TET-5                                 700
                Kyivska TET-6                                 500
                Kramatorska TET                               120
                Kremenchutska TET                             255
                Myronivska TET                                260
                Odeska TET-2                                   68
                Oleksandriyivska TET-3                         60
                Pervomaiska TET                                48
                Sevastopolska TET                              55
                Severodonetska TET                            260
                Simferopilska TET                             278
                Svema TET                                     115
                Kharkivska TET-2                               74
                Kharkivska TET-3                               62
                Kharkivska TET-5                              540
                Khersonska TET                                 80
                Khersonska TET-2                               74
                Cherkaska TET                                 230
                Chernihivska TET                              210
                Total                                       4,531

Source: Company data


Table 7. 	         Fees for polluting the environment in Ukraine, 2009
                                                   Actual fees paid for polluting
                                                                                 %
         Type of commercial activity
                                          ’000 UAH        %                          prior to
                                                                   Actually paid
                                                                                      2008
All types                                  1,107,119      100.0            92          113
Power, gas and water utilities               521,652       47.1           105          125

Source: Derzhkomstat, Ukraine’s statistics agency




Annex1                                                                                          35
Table 8. 	           Capital investments and current spending to protect
	                    the atmosphere and on climate change, 2009, ’000 UAH
                                                          Including
             Capital
  Type of                Actual           State Budget funds     Local budget funds  other
           investment
commercial             spending, internal           State                  local    sources
           and current
  activity                total   funds total Environmental total environmental        of
            spending
                                                    Fund                  funds     funding   

              Capital             1,273,789 1,203,358 5,622                 –          7,813           5,646          56,996
All types
              Current             1,035,156 1,029,143 4,640                 –             447            431             926

Power, gas    Capital              146,051       141,185 2,400              –          2,465             299              –
and water
utilities     Current               57,543        57,307     –              –             237          2301               –

Source: Derzhkomstat, Ukraine’s statistics agency


Table 9. 	           Top 10 major EU combustion plants,
	                    by annual emissions
 Country          SO2          Country            NOx                           Country            Ash
Bulgaria TPP Maritsa Iztok 2 Great Britain Drax                                 Greece Ag. Dimitrios ІII-IV
                                           BOT Elektrownia
Spain    CT AS Pontes        Poland                                             Greece        Ag. Dimitrios І-II
                                           Bełchatów S.A.
         TPP “Maritsa
Bulgaria                     Spain         CT Teruel I-II-III                   Slovakia      Slov.elektrбrne, Vojany, EVO
         Iztok 3”
                                                                                              Narva Elektrijaamad AS,
Spain        CT Teruel I-II-III        Great Britain Aberthaw                   Estonia
                                                                                              Balti Elektrijaam
             BOT Elektrownia                         Elektrownia
Poland                                 Poland                                   Bulgaria      TPP Maritsa Iztok 3
             Bełchatów S.A.                          Kozienice S.A.
Greece       Megalopoli II             Great Britain Cottam                     Poland  Elektrownia Kozienice S.A.
                                                                                        S.C. Complexul
             Elektrownia                               CT Compostilla II
Poland                                 Іспанія                                  Romania Energetic Rovinari S.A.
             Patnуw                                    (G 3,4)
                                                                                        No. 2
                                                                                        Narva Elektrijaamad AS,
Bulgaria     TPP Bobov dol             Great Britain Ratcliffe                  Estonia
                                                                                        Eesti Elektrijaam
                                                                                        BOT Elektrownia
Bulgaria     TPP Brikel                Great Britain Kingsnorth                 Poland
                                                                                        Bełchatów S.A.
             S.C. Complexul
Romania      Energetic Rovinari Great Britain Scottish Power plc Bulgaria                     TPP Maritsa Iztok 2
             S.A. No. 2

Source: Evaluation of Member States' emission inventories 2004–2006 for LCPs under the LCP
Directive (2001/80/EC), European Commission, 2008.




36	              Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements

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Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements

  • 1. International Center for Policy Studies Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements Green Paper Policy analysis document prepared for the project “Ukraine’s integration strategy in the European Energy Community” Kyiv 2011
  • 2. This report has been prepared under the “Ukraine’s integration strategy in the European Energy Community” project carried out by the International Centre for Policy Studies (ICPS). Project advisor: Ihor Bohatyriov. Authors: Ildar Gazizullin, Larion Lozoviy, Olga Ivakhno, Vivica Williams, Iryna Petrenko, Roman Zaika. Authors would like to thank Iryna Verbytska (DTEK) and Yuri Trofymenko (NAK “EKU”) for their feedback and other experts who participated in the discussions undertaken in preparation of this report. Design and layout: Publishing House “Optima” English translation and editing: Lidia Wolanskyj Contact information: International Centre for Policy Studies vul. Pymonenka, 13а, Kyiv, Ukraine, 04050 Tel.: (044) 484 4400, 01, fax: 484 4402 e-mail: office@icps.kiev.ua, web: www.icps.com.ua
  • 3. Content Overview 5 The Problem: Higher than permissible harmful emissions 6 What impedes compliance with air quality standards 8 Technological and structural factors 8 Outdated power generating and environmental technologies 8 Fuel consumption 9 Use of low quality coal 10 Environmental rules that favor polluters 11 Regulating heat-generated electricity rates 13 Dilatory reforms on the electricity market 14 Ineffective technical assistance 14 The economic and social impact of emissions 16 Dampened economic growth 16 Poorer quality farm products and lower land values 16 Additional costs to the healthcare system 17 Deteriorating quality of human capital 18 Reduced life expectancy 18 Loss of workforce 20 Impeding the development of Ukraine’s power generation 20 Greater risks for investing in heating plants 20 Complications with trading Ukrainian electricity on EU power markets 20 The growing cost of environmental programs in the future 21 Loss of status as a reliable international partner 22 A vision of the future of thermal power generation in Ukraine: eco-friendly and safe for humans 24 The positive future impact of meeting EEC environmental requirements 24 The environment will remain a priority 26 Environmental standards will meet European requirements 26 Volumes of emissions will go down 26 Options for resolving the problem 28 Proposed solutions 29
  • 4. Annex 1. Tables and charts 30 Annex 2. The value of a statistical life 37 Annex 3. EU environmental protection requirements in the Energy Community Treaty 38 Annex 4. Environmental fees and taxes 40 Annex 5. Territorial spread of emissions in Ukraine, 2008 42 Annex 6. Cross-border impact of emissions 43 Annex 7. Population centers within TES pollution zones in Ukraine 45 List of Abbreviations 47 Glossary of Terms 48
  • 5. Overview The purpose of this Green Paper is to identify key problems and obstacles in reducing harmful emissions from heating plants, or thermo-electric stations (TESs) as they are known in Ukraine, now that the country has joined the Energy Community Treaty (EEC). The identification and detailed description of these problems will be subject to discussion with experts and stakeholders, which will make it possible to determine their positions regarding the prospects for bring- ing thermo-electric generation in line with EU requirements. This Green Paper looks at thermal power plants, which are governed by Di- rective 2001/80/EC, which is a binding part of the Energy CommunityTreaty. These are primarily large plants—thermo-electric stations (TESs) and combined heating and power plants (CHPs), known as thermoelectric centrals or TETs in Ukrainian—with total capacity over 50 MW. And it is these companies that emit the greatest amount of pollution into Ukraine’s air every year. Besides thermal generation companies, large combustion plants are used in district heating, chemical and steel companies. Therefore, the combined analysis of problems and obstacles presented in this paper can also be applied to other sectors of the economy where large combustion plants operate. This paper examines the impact of three groups of key pollutants emitted by thermo-electric generation: sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx) and dust. The issue of carbon dioxide emissions (СО2) is not raised as this pollutant is covered by other framework agreements, including the Kyoto Protocol. The Energy Community is allowed to expand the list of requirements for pro- tecting the environment that its member countries must abide by. Currently, this most likely means incorporating Directive 2010/75/EU, which came into effect in January 2011 with the purpose of combining all major EU environmental norms from the last few years with regard to industrial production. If this comprehen- sive document is included in the list of environmental norms that are part of the Energy Community Treaty or the Association Agreement between Ukraine and the European Union, it will become binding on Ukraine as well. Expert commentary provided during a public discussion of this Green Paper will make it possible to clarify the problems raised here and the obstacles to resolv- ing them and will become the basis for a subsequent White Paper. That paper will contain recommendations for how approach the problem of the harmful im- pact of thermo-electric power generation on Ukraine’s environment, based on the requirements of Directive 2001/80/EC. The two most complicated requirements are Directive 2001/80/EC and 96/61/EC (IPPC), but there are a slew of other regulatory documents with regard to the use of emissions, the production of organic solvents, and so on. Overview
  • 6. The Problem: Higher than permissible harmful emissions Today, Ukraine’s thermoelectric stations (TESs) emit between 5 and 30 times more pollutants than EU standards allow. In fact, thermoelectric plants are the main source of air pollution in Ukraine; this sector is responsible for nearly 80% of all countrywide emissions of sulfur dioxide and 25% of nitrogen oxides. The by-products of burning fuel, mainly coal, are solid ash particulates or dust, SO2, NOx and carbon dioxide (СО2). The harmful emissions of thermoelectric power companies have not decreased, despite the fact that, over 2006–2008, Ukraine’s environmental standards be- gan to approximate European ones. For instance, related Decrees issued by the Ministry of the Environment generally correspond to European practice using the best available techniques, in accordance with Directive 2001/80/EC. The country’s power generating companies also pay taxes for emitting pollutants into the atmosphere that are small compared to the damage these emissions cause (prior to 2011, there was a fee). What is more, according to market players, the emissions coming from TESs will continue to be higher than the permissible levels through 2030 and further, even though the deadline for meeting Directive 2001/80/EC in Ukraine has been set for 2017. For one thing, power companies are investing little or nothing in environmen- tal measures on their existing units or in building new ones with the exception of some filtration equipment reconstruction projects. The construction of new power units that meet environmental norms is not planned for the foreseeable future. According to some estimates, Ukraine needs to draw between US $5bn and US $17bn in investment, depending on the number of power units it decides to modernize (see estimates in Annex 1). This means that investments just to bring TESs in line with EU environmental standards for air quality should be several times more than the annual total amount of investment in thermal power generation today. Environment Ministry Decrees №309 dated 27.06.2006 and №541 dated 22.10.2008. See I.A. Volchyn, 2010. See, for instance, the draft Concept for a State Targeted Program for fuel and energy com- plex (FEC) enterprises to gradually reduce the aggregate annual emission of pollutants into the atmosphere at existing combustion plants in line with Directive 2001/80/EC dated 30.03.2011, for the period through 2030. The Annex to this report provides data on concentration caps in mg/cu m for pollutants in TES flue gases according to EU and Ukrainian norms. The cost of harmonizing Poland’s thermoelectric stations to EU norms could reach EUR 20 billion. http://www.wbj.pl/article-50262-eu-directive-poland-must-halve-industrial-emis- sions-by-2020.html Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 7. How Directive 2001/80/EC is being met in EU countries Some EU companies and countries are not meeting the requirements of Directive 2001/80/EC. For instance, in 2006, 40% of Poland’s thermoelectric stations still did not meet the regulated levels of sulfur oxide emissions set for 2008. Today, 90% of Poland’s TESs do not meet the emission standards for nitrogen oxides set for 2016. One of the main reasons why countries cannot meet strict air quality standards is the age of TES power units, which are 20-30 years old. Because some countries, primarily Great Britain and Poland, were unable to meet the requirements within the established timeframe, the practice of derogation or partial re- vocation of the law has been introduced. This gives countries some breathing space to pull together costly reforms. There are a number of ways to postpone the fulfillment of requirements: • A country can launch a transitional national plan that allows it to put off the deadline for meeting standards to June 2020. • Individual power plants can be exempted from the Directive if they operate less than 20,000 hours and are slated to be shut down by December 2015. • Power companies can also be exempted from the Directive if they intend to operate the equipment for less than 17,500 hours for the rest of its service life. This provision will be in effect over 2016–2023. • TESs that burn local hard fuel, such as lignite, may be exempted from the need to meet standards for SO2 emissions until 2019, provided that the sulfur is removed from the fuel. This kind of practice is meeting criticism within the EU, as it could encourage countries to continue not to meet standards. According to some estimates, the resulting air pollu- tion could lead to 500,000 early deaths in the EU every year, in addition to damaging the environment through eutrophication, increased acidity and the emergence of ground- level ozone. Sources: Сhrister Еgren, “Emission ceilings may be further postponed,” Air Pollution and Climate Secre- tariat, December 2010, http://airclim.org/acidnews/2010/an3-10.php#fourteen; Evaluation of Member States’ emission inventories for 2004–2006 for LCPs under the LCP Directive (2001/80/EC), European Com- mission, 2008; Chris Tighe, “Doubt cast over power plant’s future,” Financial Times, 23 April 2010, http:// www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d7529c58-4e39-11df-b48d-00144feab49a,s01=1.html#axzz1JyBOJ2Gb. For discussion How justified and realistic do you find the permissible emission levels established by Di- rective 2001/80/EC? What is the cause of the gap between formal caps set in environmental legislation and real emission levels? The addition of artificial or natural nutrients to water, causing excess plant growth. The Problem: Higher than permissible harmful emissions
  • 8. What impedes compliance with air quality standards Technological and structural factors Outdated power generating and environmental technologies Ukraine’s thermoelectric stations demonstrate some of the lowest technical, economic and environmental indicators in Europe. The main equipment at the country’s TESs went on line in the 1960s and 1970s and was designed accord- ing to standards from the 1950s.Their life-cycles have already come to an end (see Annex 1). Altogether, power units generating a total of 12 GW or 42% of all the standing capacity of Ukraine’s TESs are currently in need of replacement, making average utilization efficiency at domestic TESs around 32%, compared to 45% in most developed countries. Moreover, most TES scrubbers for the re- moval of particles in Ukraine are not efficient enough to meet the standards of Directive 2001/80/EC, and no TESs have installations for filtering sulfur oxides and nitrogen from flue gases.10 The inefficiency of TES power equipment makes it commercially unfeasible to install filtration equipment. For instance, systems for filtering flue gases could significantly reduce the efficiency of power units by 1.5-2%—and, in some cases, up to 5%—by increasing the consumption of power for internal use. In addition, such systems cost a considerable amount to operate, ranging from EUR 3mn to EUR 8mn annually.11 The majority of desulfurization and denitrification technology are intended for use during the base operating periods of power-generation equipment. How- ever, Ukraine’s coal-fired plants are forced to operate to cover peak and semi- peak loads in Ukraine’s Unified Power System. This is because of the high share of atomic energy stations, 48% in 2009, producing electricity in Ukraine and the general concentration of hydroelectric resources in the Dnipro, which is also a source of water supplies for many of the country’s regions. Rukhlov, A.V., Electricity in coal mines in the context of problems in the power generation sector of Ukraine, Mining elctromechanics and automation: Science and technology series, 2007, Vol. 77, pp 19-25. Ukraine also lacks a fully developed scientific and technological infrastructure for the design, development and production of flue gas filtration equipment. In Ukraine, 62% of TES coal-fired facilities are equipped with precipitators (ash filtration efficiency η=92–99%), 35% use wet scrubbers (η=92–96%, η=92–99%,) and 3% use cy- clone separators (η≤90%). See Y. Leha, O. Mysliuk and N. Korneliuk, “Ways to improve the filtration of flue gases at TESs,” Environmental Safety, 2008, №1, pp 42-50. 10 Desulfurization facilities have been planned, among others, for the new power units at the Dobrotvirska TES. See the report “Rehabilitating heating and power stations in Ukraine: A needs, costs and benefits assessment,” prepared by IMEPOWER, 2008. 11 Eugenio Podda, Megalopolis WFGD: Project Experience and Design Initiatives; Lars-Erik Johansson, FGD: Choosing NID® DFGD or Open Spray Tower WFGD; European Users Conference, Lisbon, 15–17 September 2009. Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 9. Cogeneration plants also pollute Ukraine has more than 20 combined heating and power or cogeneration plants (CHPs), known as TETs locally, with an output capacity of over 50 MW (see list of TETs in Annex 1). These companies are categorized as large combustion plants and are thus governed by Directive 2001/80/ЄС. Cogeneration plants are considered more efficient and eco-friendly than classic TESs. Still, Ukraine’s TETs currently emit far above the EU norms of NOх. For instance, even if it maintains all the proper conditions during its operation, the Kharkivska TET-5 still emits 400–500 mg/m3 concentrations of NOх (using gas) and 520–650 mg/m3 (using mazut) during combustion, when the maximum volume allowed under the Directive for compa- nies of this size is 200 mg/m3. Ukraine’s TETs mainly run on gas and have traditionally been viewed as enterprises that do not pollute the environment with SO2 emissions and dust. However, the growing cost of natural gas and problems with its reliable delivery have been forcing TETs to look at the option of switching their facilities to cheap, available coal. This kind of reconstruction is occurring at the Kaluska TET, one of the largest in Ukraine. After its reconstruction in 2009, the Kramatorska TET also returned to coal firing. This could turn such enterprises into major additional sources of sulfur dioxide and dust pollution. Given that the majority of TETs are located within major metropolitan areas, switching to coal could noticeably increase man-made pressure on the local environment. Fuel consumption The high level of pollutants, especially sulfur oxides, by TES companies is mainly a result of their use of coal as their main fuel. Nearly 90% of power units at Ukraine’s thermoelectric stations have been designed to use coal. Ukraine has many confirmed reserves of coal, which make this form of fuel a priority for domestic thermoelectric generation. Ukraine’s current Energy Strategy for the period to 2030 is oriented towards using only domestic coal for domestic power generation.12 Each year, Ukraine’s TESs use nearly 25 million tonnes of coal. Over the last 20 years, there has been a sharp reduction in the use of gas and mazut, from 50% to nearly 20%. The steep rise in the price of Russian natural gas has caused most gas and mazut-based power generation units to be shut down13. 12 The base scenario is for no imported heating coal over 2015–2020, while starting in 2030, plans are to use no more than 3.2% imported coal. 13 For instance, over 2010, none of the gas-mazut power units at Ukraine’s TESs were in opera- tion: two units generating 300 MW each at the Trypilska TES, three units generating 800 MW each at the Vuhlehirska TES, and three more units generating 800 MW each at the Zaporizka TES. Based on data from the Institute for Energy Studies, in Q1’11, consumption of natural gas at TESs belonging to Ukrainian power utilities was 175mn cu m less than in the same period of 2010. The Scientific and Technical Association of Power and Electrical Engineers of Ukraine, Center for Public Information on Issues in the Fuel Energy Com- plex, Analytical Study of the State of the Fuel Energy Complex of Ukraine, №410, Kyiv, 2011.. What impedes compliance with air quality standards
  • 10. Use of low quality coal The quality of coal that is used as fuel at Ukraine’s TESs does not correspond to the initially designed indicators, being typically lower in caloric value and high- er in ash content. Ukraine’s TESs were built to be fired by coal with a combustion level of 27.61 kJ/kg, under 17% ash content, and a maximum of 1.0% sulfur.14 Instead, the caloric value of coal that was delivered to NAK Energy Company of Ukraine’s TES in 2010 was only 22.08kJ with an ash content of 22.0%15. The lower quality of coal has led to greater quantities of harmful emissions into the air. Compared to projected figures, using coal without enrichment increases the relative weight of sulfur oxide and particulate emitted by 30-40% per kWh of power generated16. In addition, the high ash content of the coal results in greater erosion of equipment and higher costs for internal power consumption at the TES, which increases the operating costs and reduces the overall efficiency of the station. Moreover, the high ash content of this coal prevents the industry from reaching a high efficiency coefficient, even with the most up-do-date fur- naces, and requires the use of natural gas to ignite the firing process. Burning Ukrainian anthracite, the planned fuel for nearly 50% of the country’s power equipment, also leads to additional costs. The long-term extraction of an- thracite made it necessary to begin exploiting deposits in deeper layers, which contain slow-burring anthracite, which requires even the most modern ash and coal boilers to use natural gas to ignite the combustion process. Monopolized access to coal leads to low quality coal In Ukraine, access to coal is highly restricted as there is no free market for the fuel. Current prices for coal are formed as a means for compensating the cost of running coal mines and do not meet market conditions. This kind of approach has led to a monopolized coal market. It impedes the imports of heating coal from neighbors such as Poland and Russia and supplies by non-residents, even at prices at par and of competitive quality. The result for domestic coal mining companies is a lack of incentive to meet the needs of custom- ers, such as thermo-electric utilities by, for instance, reducing the sulfur content of their coal. Today, the virtual monopolist coal supplier delivering to power companies largely owned by the state is a state owned Vuhillia Ukrainy. This company includes state-owned mines and enrichment plants that are highly inefficient, outdated and close to the ends of their lifespans and whose production cost is very high and results in prices that are not matched by quality. The average production cost of coal in 2010 was UAH 776/t, while the purchase price of heating coal was UAH 355-635/t. 14 Op. cit. Rukhlov, A., Vol. 78. 15 Ukraine’s TES have been operating using low quality coal for decades. Because of this, the stations were forced to make a series of design changes to their boilers and undertake orga- nizational and technological measures to adapt them to the actual quality of coal. The result is that TES boilers in their current state will be unable to work on the planned quality of fuel properly or long term without returning to their planned designs. 16 A 1 percentage point rise in the proportion of sulfur in coal increases the concentration of sulfur dioxide in flue gases by 2,300-2,500 mg/m3. 10 Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 11. Aging equipment and technology and difficult geological conditions in the mines also negatively affect the quality of coal extracted in Ukraine. The state-owned coal-mining sector typically has highly worn working assets—more than 70% of the mines have never done any upgrading in the last 30 years—and uses even those highly inefficiently. Most state companies mining heating coal are loss-making, making it impossible to do any upgrading on their own using company capital and requiring constant injections from the state. Although the volume of state funding of the coal sector nearly quadrupled over 2001-2010, to UAH 7.7bn, the current capacity of the state to invest the necessary capital to upgrade equipment is not enough. The state coal sector is highly uncompetitive and is artificially compensated by manda- tory procurements of fuel by the power utilities that are largely state owned. Such sub- sidization of the industry at the expense of thermal generation complicates the options for power companies to attract the necessary capital to build environmentally friendly facilities. Because of this and because of the low environmental standards, Ukraine’s TESs burn dirty coal and have no reason to switch to cleaner fuels. During the transition to market relations, coal industry enterprises and power companies will be interested in raising the quality indicators of the coal they burn. Right now, “gas” coal, which is what the remaining 50% of Ukraine’s power equipment runs on, is in far greater demand, as it is used in the steel-making business and is exported abroad. Environmental rules that favor polluters Despite growing penalties and taxes for polluting the environment, the finan- cial incentives17 for polluters to reduce harmful emissions are insufficient. It is more convenient for energy companies to pay their fees and taxes than to invest in environmental measures. According to an OECD report,18 the small fees and low rate of collection suggest that Ukraine’s oversight bodies use inappropriate, flawed methods to assess the damage to the environment, so that they seriously underestimate the economic impact of pollution. In other words, the amount of annual fees paid by Ukraine’s power companies, which was UAH 520 million in 2009 alone, is less than 5% of the value of the damage that pollution causes to Ukraine’s population and economy in the form of additional illness and higher mortality (for details, see section on the impact of pollution). What Ukraine’s Environmental Strategy does not mention The Action Plan for Ukraine’s Environmental Strategy through 2020 contains no concrete indicators for maximum concentrations of various pollutants, such as sulfur dioxide, ni- trogen dioxide and nitrogen oxide or particulates. It only contains provisions for new legislative and regulatory documents to be drawn up (Art. 2.2.5) and plans for measures to establish target indicators for the content of harmful substances in line with EU legisla- tion (Art. 2.3.1). 17 For instance, the Tax Code calls for increasing the tax rate for emissions from stationary facilities by 3.6 times. See the list of fees and taxes in the Annexes to this report. 18 See OECD, “Translating Environmental Law into Practice: Progress in Modernizing Envi- ronmental Regulation and Compliance Assurance in Eastern Europe, Caucasus, and Cen- tral Asia,” 2007. What impedes compliance with air quality standards 11
  • 12. The Action Plan also calls for “reducing the volume of emissions of widespread pollutants: stationary facilities have until 2015 to reduce these by 10% and until 2020 to reduce them by 25% of the baseline level” (Art. 2.2). But the baseline itself is not established. Although all quantitative commitments regarding the reduction of emissions are supposed to be counted from 2010, it is not clear where the quantitative data for 2010 has been identi- fied and whether they have actually been established or not. Thus, in contrast to Directive 2001/80/EC, these requirements can be interpreted in a variety of ways and effectively ignored. Ukraine’s system of environmental monitoring and oversight has all the neces- sary components and generally resemble international practice in managing en- vironmental protection. But the practice of implementing environmental policy is very different from EU standards. Firstly, Ukraine has published some figures about the worst industrial pollu- tion, but did not provide any information about the reason why these were above established norms. In this way, it is nearly impossible to analyze how effective government policy is in ensuring that polluters meet environmental standards. Government officials often refer to the large number of inspections carried out and the number of investigations into violations as an indicator of the success of their policies, but not actual reduction in emissions.19 Secondly, the Government lacks the necessary instruments and technical con- ditions to properly monitor and oversee.20 Inspectors and other employees at surveillance agencies have a hard time enforcing environmental legislation be- cause their human and financial resources are seriously limited, and they have no access to the latest data—or to the modern technologies needed to collect and analyze data. A total of only 130 Environment Ministry staff are responsible for administrating and granting permits to more than 15,000 companies through 27 territorial offices. Moreover, their salaries are much lower than in the private sector, which leads to a high rate of turnover and creates the conditions for cor- ruption to spread. Ukraine has a program for polluters to do their own monitoring and to pay for its cost. But the results vary greatly between what state laboratories come up with and what the labs belonging to these companies get. This is due partly to the poor standards for ensuring the accuracy of results, partly to unreliable testing methods, and partly to the lack of regulated procedures regarding the condi- tions for testing.21 19 Ibid., OECD, 2007. 20 Materials adapted from a report by the European Commission assessing cooperation be- tween Ukraine and the EU. 21 Ibid., OECD, 2007. 12 Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 13. Monitoring system requirements for Energy Community members Directive 2001/80/EC requires Energy Community members to set up their own pro- grams for monitoring emissions and adapting to EU directives. Monitoring systems in EU countries have a number of common features: the use of multiple methods for checking results with both internal and external quality controls; the holding of consultations with stakeholders such as representatives of heavily polluting industries and local govern- ment bodies; and the provision of information so that the public can easily access it. Most countries also delegate some of the oversight functions to the local level. Energy Community members use the continuous emission monitoring system, or CEMS, and consistent—for instance, daily— systems for monitoring the level of pollution close to the source of the emissions. The cost of this monitoring is typically carried by the com- panies, who are expected to monitor on their own. These companies are then audited to ensure that they are upholding environmental standards. The monitoring itself is han- dled by an independent, accredited institution. EU countries use standardized methods to measure emissions to get results that can be compared at the Union and international levels. Sources: Guide to the Approximation of European Union Environmental Legislation, EU Directives Regulating thermal electricity generation rates Today, the only available source of capital for large environmental projects or compensation for attracted financial resources applied to this purpose is the investment component of the electricity rates charged to customers by power companies. Still, because of the enormous amount of investments needed in general to update heat-generating equipment and install systems to filter flue gases, these are hard to justify economically and to charge the environmental investment component in electricity rates. The current system for setting wholesale and retail electricity rates cannot en- sure the return of investments in flue gas filtration systems at TESs. What makes this impossible is the cross-subsidization and discount policy that reduce resi- dential electricity rates at the expense of industrial and commercial users and the overregulation of wholesale rates on the electricity market. Residential users in Ukraine do not pay the real cost of the electricity that they use, as electricity is considered a social good. The result is that the sector does not earn the income necessary for sustainable growth and for investment in en- vironmental measures. Rates for residential electricity are 2-4 times lower than industrial rates and 3-12 times lower than what EU residents pay.22 This has made profit margins for generating electricity in Ukraine less in recent years than simi- lar indicators for power companies in EU countries. The wholesale rate for power is based on the Rules of the Wholesale Energy Mar- ket (WEM) in Ukraine and largely depends on the cost of fuel, especially coal, Compare data on electricity rate levels in Ukraine and the EU at www.nerc.gov.ua and www. 22 energy.eu. What impedes compliance with air quality standards 13
  • 14. which constitutes 70-80% of the production cost of generating electricity at the country’s TESs. According to WEM rules, price requests from heat-generating companies are supposed to be based on actual technical and economic data from the previous period (month) with a margin of fluctuation of ±5%. This means that generating companies cannot significantly increase the price of wholesale electricity on the WEM and to thus earn additional income to institute invest- ment programs, including environmental ones. Dilatory reforms on the electricity market The main factor keeping investors from putting capital into the implementation of the Directive’s requirements is the continuing postponement of reforms in Ukraine’s electricity sector. The Government itself will have no means to seri- ously fund thermal generation because it is scheduled to make major payments on foreign debts over the next five years. At the same time, the funds in the En- vironmental Protection Fund are not being directly put towards emission reduc- tion (see data on the amounts of received and spent funds in Annex 1). It is also highly unlikely that thermal generation companies will be able to get major credit from international financial institutions like the IBRD, EBRD or EIB without state guarantees and basic reforms on Ukraine’s electricity market.23 For instance, in the EBRD’s lending portfolio on Ukraine, only 7% of loans have gone to Ukraine’s power sector, whereas in other countries in the region, this share is typically 10-20%. The available mechanisms for receiving bank loans for TES24 purposes is based on the growth of prices on the wholesale electricity market and is not enough to satisfy the real capital needs of thermal generation in full. In short, Ukraine’s TES companies have little investment appeal because of the excessive administrative regulation on the electricity market, especially when it comes to companies owned by the state. Nor will the privatization of power com- panies guarantee attracting the necessary investment capital to upgrade gen- erating facilities unless there is reform in the energy market and investors can be offered clear, transparent and long-term guarantees that their environmental investments will have a return. Ineffective technical assistance Cooperation between the EU and Ukraine has not led to major improvements in environmental conditions. As Ukraine’s largest donor,25 the EU did not initi- ate projects directed at improving environmental management in general or the capacity of the Environment Ministry, in particular, to carry out environmental 23 See the Concept for Reforming the Wholesale Electricity Market (WEM). Reforming the WEM is also called for in the Protocol on Ukraine’s accession to the European Energy Com- munity. 24 See Cabinet Instruction №648 dated 8.09.2004. 25 Since 1991, the total volume of technical assistance provided to Ukraine by the EU through the TACIS program, macrofinancing and humanitarian aid has added up to EUR 1 billion. See http://comeuroint.rada.gov.ua/komevroint/control/uk/publish/article?art_id= 52066cat_id=44792. 14 Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 15. policy over 2002–2009.26 Instead, the EU supported the drafting of legislation that has had little sustainable impact. The TACIS program, the EU’s main in- strument for cooperation with Ukraine on environmental issues, only supported development of regional potential based on small-scale pilot projects. Until re- cently, the European Commission also gave no support to Ukraine for upholding international commitments. The Commission began to change its approach to technical assistance to Ukraine by undertaking more comprehensive and systemic programs. In 2010, for instance, it initiated a new Twinning project with the Environment Ministry that was directed at increasing the agency’s technical capacities. This includes exchanging practical experience and learning methodology. At the end of 2009, two additional projects were launched to help Ukraine follow through on the Aarhus Convention27 and the Espoo Convention on assessing environmental im- pact in a cross-border context.28 In January 2011, the EU announced that it was launching a Budget Support program for the Government of Ukraine worth a total of EUR 35 million in support for the implementation of the national envi- ronmental strategy.29 For discussion How much incentive do environmental charges give companies to reduce their emis- sions? How closely does Ukraine’s environmental regulation system today comply with the re- quirements of Directive 2001/80/EC? What is the main reason for the low level of funding to make thermal generation compa- nies more environmentally friendly? What kind of impact do international donors have on the Government’s environmental policy? 26 See Evaluation of the European Commission’s Cooperation with Ukraine, 2010. 27 The Aarhus Convention regulates the right to access to information, public participation and access to justice on environmental matters. 28 Under these two projects, the European Commission proposes to revise the Action Plan to improve the legal environment and administrative potential necessary to comply with both conventions. This includes the participation of other ministries, including the Ministry of Energy and the Coal Industry. 29 The complete list of the EU’s main technical assistance programs in energy and the environ- ment in Ukraine can be found at: http://eeas.europa.eu/delegations/ukraine/projects/ list_of_projects/projects_en.htm. Over 2007-2013, the EU has plans to provide nearly EUR 141 million in assistance to energy projects. What impedes compliance with air quality standards 15
  • 16. The economic and social impact of emissions Dampened economic growth Poorer quality farm products and lower land values TES emissions constitute a constant source of soil pollution, primarily acid rain and ash sediment, with toxic heavy metals such as lead, cadmium, copper and zinc. These pollutants eventually end up in ground waters and rivers. Moreover, TES emissions have a negative impact on the health of those who reside where these hazardous materials settle. As an example, the ground soil in local eco- systems around the Burshtyn TES typically show higher levels of phytotoxic- ity, fluctuating between minimal in areas with complex planting and extremely intensive on the territory of the Burshtyn plant itself. This leaves surrounding farmlands and areas along roadways in danger, as the toxicity of surface areas are constantly higher than average.30 The operation of the TES has a noticeably toxic and mutagenic impact on local farming. Harmful emissions can lead to lower yields in orchards, pathologies in fruit-bearing trees themselves, and uncontrollable mutational processes among seed cultures. For instance, it has been shown that sulfur dioxide inhibits plant growth31 and makes farm produce more vulnerable to pests, leading to possible greater use of pesticides to counter this threat. Soil contaminants are also tied to a higher overall incidence of illness in the local population.32 Moreover, territorial pollution happens in an extremely uneven manner. Air pol- lutants settle and contaminate the groundcover in concentric bands that extend as far as 20-30 kilometers. Dust, in combination with heated air, does not settle immediately around the TES but moves with air streams and gradually lands on the soil. Within this area, completely safe farmland borders on “islands” of con- taminated parcels. Thus, in order for farmsteads and commercial farms located within these zones to be certified as growing environmentally clean produce, a labor-intensive and costly procedure needs to be undertaken to establish the boundaries of the polluted areas.33 30 See Penderetskiy, O.V., Determining soil contamination from the Burshtyn TES in order to assess opportunities to grow environmentally-clean agricultural products, The Environ- ment and Safe Living, №6, 2004, pp 62–69. 31 B. Miller, B., Coal Energy Systems, Elsevier Academic Press, 2005, 507 pp. 32 Zhdanov, V.V., An assessment of the impact of emissions from the Luhansk TES on soil contamination with heavy metals, Current Issues in Hygiene and Environmental Safety in Ukraine: Third Marzeyev Readings, materials from the academic conference in Kyiv, 24-25 May 2007, pp 57–58. 33 Mishchenko, L.V., A geoecological audit of the impact of human factors on the environ- ment and health of the local population, using the Pokuttia region as an example, Candi- date of Geographical Studies dissertation, Chernivtsi, 2003, 21 pp. 16 Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 17. Certifying ecologically-clean products: A high standard Ukraine applies both national and international standards of ecological certification for plots of land and the produce grown on them. Compliance with international criteria is determined by such organizations as the Global Ecological Network (GEN) and the Inter- national Federation of Organic Agriculture Movements (IFOAM). The procedure estab- lished by these organizations primarily sees the production process as requiring certifica- tion, not the end product, and it starts with inspecting the quality of the soil as the first step.34 Farms that export organic products to the EU must undergo a strict certification procedure regulated by EC Resolution 2092/91, which is done by foreign standardization agencies that operate in Ukraine. Users of land plots that are within the pollution zone of a TES are faced with serious com- plications during this procedure. This land is also not eligible for status as a special re- source zone, where it is permissible to grow produce for pediatric and dietetic purposes. Such areas normally need to be a certain regulated distance from industrial areas.35 This means that these farm enterprises are effectively out of the running for the promising market of organic and ecologically clean products. The very fact that a piece of land is in a risk zone has a negative impact on its value when it comes to selling the lot. Given that the practice of selling or trans- ferring land under long-term leases through auctions is growing in popularity in Ukraine, this factor is likely to play an even more important role. The require- ment to have an expert assessment of the starting price of a parcel of land and to complete the technical certificate providing detailed information about the land that is being put up for sale could significantly reduce the chances of a success- ful sale of those parcels that are in polluted zones. Additional costs to the healthcare system The country’s economy suffers losses because of the growing cost of healthcare paid by both the State Budget and private households. It has been established that a day of hospitalization costs at least UAH 500, while an emergency house call is at least UAH 300. Conservative estimates are that the direct losses on doctors’ visits and hospital services due to illnesses caused by air pollution in Ukraine is over UAH 1 billion annually.36 The country suffers even greater losses because of the higher mortality rate caused by poor air quality. Although the methodology for calculating the eco- nomic cost of increased mortality is fairly ambiguous (see Annex 2), the data available in Ukraine is more than just suggestive. For this country, the value of statistical life (VSL) is around US $90,000, based on 2006 figures. This means that the most conservative estimates in pre-crisis times result in a cost of increased 34 Artysh, V.I., Improving the system of regulation of the production of organic products in Ukraine, Scientific Courier of the National University of Bioresources and Nature Manage- ment of Ukraine, №145, 2010. 35 Mozalova, M., Regulating the certification of soil zoned for agricultural use, Issues in Legal- ity №103, 2009. 36 Strukova E., Golub A., Markandya, A., The Cost of Air Pollution in Ukraine. Access: http:// ideas.repec.org/p/fem/femwpa/2006.120.html. The economic and social impact of emissions 17
  • 18. mortality due to air pollution that is UAH 12 billion per annum.37 This means that Ukraine loses nearly 4% of GDP every year. By comparison, Russia loses 5% of GDP, while developed countries lose under 2%.38 Additional costs due to the emission of certain harmful pollutants in Russia and the US In Russia, every additional tonne of SO2 costs the healthcare system EUR 3,000 annually. The overall annual burden of additional costs through higher rates of disease and mortal- ity due to SO2 emissions is nearly EUR 4 bn and EUR 1.5bn annually from NOx39 emissions. In the US, similar costs are a factor higher: for instance, every additional tonne of SO2 and NOx leads to nearly US $10,000 additional costs to the budget and annual costs to the healthcare system due to such diseases as cancer and respiratory and pulmonary ill- nesses caused by air pollution amount to over US $185bn a year.40 Deteriorating quality of human capital Reduced life expectancy Emissions from Ukraine’s TESs are damaging the health of those who live adja- cent to such plants. This is seen primarily in the inhalation of coal dust and par- ticulates, which are found in greater concentrations in the air around TESs. They also contain a slew of heavy metals, which has led to nearly double the normal rate of illness in those regions:  respiratory diseases – 1.9  digestive illnesses – 2.6  diseases of the circulatory system – 1.6  endocrinal diseases, eating disorder, metabolic imbalances – 3.4  birth defects – 1.441 It has been shown that the general rate of severe and chronic diseases of the respiratory system, such as ARD, pneumonia, chronic bronchitis and bronchial asthma among those residing near TESs is on average 2.1 times higher (see An- nex 1). A 10% increase in the concentration of coal dust in the air leads to a 3.9% rise in the incidence of respiratory disorders, a 2.5% rise in circulatory disorders, and a 3.9% rise in birth defects. Those groups of the population who suffer the most from this negative impact are children, especially children under the age of six. In addition to the con- tinuous worsening of overall and local immunity in children, there has been an 37 Ibid. 38 Ibid. 39 http://www.cedelft.eu/publicatie/external_costs_of_coal/878?PHPSESSID=f1382192 38c72e8038a0a5694354af1d 40 See assessment of expenditures for selected countries in Annex 1. 41 V. Zhdanov, “Hygienic evaluation of the impact of harmful emissions from TESs on the health of the local population and arguments for various prophylactic measures,” disserta- tion, Candidate of Science, 14.02.01- 2009. 18 Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 19. increase in disorders of the broncho-pulmonary system.42 Studies have recorded excessive concentrations of heavy metals such as cadmium, copper, manganese, lead and zinc in the hair of children who live directly near TESs. This suggests how the cumulative effect of exceeding emission norms, taken together with the significant pollution from transportation, causes an accumulation of dangerous chemical elements in the human body. Overall, children who live in industrial zones with various types of air pollution have health indicators that are two to three times below the average for children who live in ecologically clean areas. The link between desulfurization and infant mortality in Germany In a study of infant mortality carried out in Germany between 1985 and 2003,43 mortality was compared before and after the installation of a desulfurization plant at a local power plant. The study revealed that a reduction in emissions saved 850–1,600 infant lives per year. Air pollution causes up to 90% of all carcinogenic risks linked to environmental pollution. Over the last 50 years, the lung cancer rate in heavily industrial areas has risen more than fivefold, especially through the use of powerful TESs, the first of which went into operation nearly 50 years ago. Air pollution leads to a significant increase in overall mortality rates in a given population. And this group of diseases is one that underlies the most deaths among Ukrainians: cardiopulmonary diseases and cancer of the lungs—togeth- er result in as much as 68% of deaths due to disease. An analysis of additional mortality in Zaporizhzhia due to sulfur dioxide and coal dust emissions in just one district of the city revealed that 100 more people died every year - that is 1,700 per 1,000,000 annually.44 Estimates place the absolute number of addition- al deaths caused by air pollution in Ukraine at nearly 30,000 every year.45 Emissions from the country’s largest TES affect the health of residents in eight oblasts: Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Ivano-Frankivsk, Kyiv, Luhansk, L’viv, Vin- nytsia, and Zaporizhzhia. According to estimates, more than 800,000 Ukrainians live within 30 kilometers of a major TET. This number would be even larger if the emission zone of those CHPs located near or directly in major cities is taken into account. The problem with pollution has a cross-border aspect as well: on one hand, Ukraine pollutes the territories of other countries; and on the other, the country is also polluted by neighboring countries (see Annex 5). 42 V.M. Kulias, O.B. Yermachenko, O.A. Trunova, I.B. Ponomariova, D.P. Sadekov, V.S. Ko- mov, and O.A. Dmytrenko, Microbiocenosis of the mucous membranes of the throat and nose of children inhaling the ash of multicomponent chemical dust, Medical Perspectives, Vol. XV, 1, 2010. 43 See Simon Lüchinger (2009), cited at ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp10079.pdf. 44 M. Brody, J. Caldwell and A. Golub, Developing Risk-Based Priorities for Reducing Air Pol- lution in Urban Settings in Ukraine, Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Vol. 68, №9 (2005), pp. 356–357. 45 E. Strukova, A. Golub and A. Markandya, Air Pollution Costs in Ukraine, Access: http:// ideas.repec.org/p/fem/femwpa/2006.120.html. The economic and social impact of emissions 19
  • 20. Loss of workforce TES companies are finding it hard to keep highly-qualified specialists. Such pro- fessionals are extremely mobile and are always on the lookout for a job in a less polluted environment for themselves and their families. Projected losses due to high absenteeism during operating hours due to illnesses caused by the poor local environment amounted to more than UAH 500mn in 2005, the last year for which figures are available. If the direct loss of time needed to rehabilitate and renew working capacities are added—normally up to 7 days after hospitalization—the scale of these losses among the working population will be even higher. This trend towards a declining quality of workforce particularly affects those counties that are located right next to TES operators. Although TESs are gener- ally located far from major urban conglomerations in Ukraine, the territories im- mediately adjacent to them tend to be heavily populated. The average number of employees at a single TES is 1,500-2,000, most of whom live with their families as close as possible to their jobs. Thus, although TESs offer locals the prospect of a decent job and social benefits, they simultaneously jeopardize the health and performance of these same workers. Impeding the development of Ukraine’s power generation Greater risks for investing in heating plants Because Ukraine lacks a consistent policy regarding the implementation of Directive 2001/80/EC, the risks related to investing in heat-based power gen- eration are higher, which puts a damper on incoming investment.46 For foreign investors, the lack of negative environmental impact from carrying out a given project is one of their criteria in choosing where to invest their capital. For in- stance, the EBRD has been increasing its investments into alternative energy in Ukraine as well as into projects aimed at reducing emissions of greenhouse gas- es. According to the already-announced “Initiatives in the sustainable energy sector”47 policy of the EBRD, the Bank plans to support “clean energy” projects, especially renewable ones, and places no priority on upgrading the power units of Ukraine’s TESs. Complications with trading Ukrainian electricity on EU power markets If Ukraine’s TESs continue to generate power using technologies that cause sig- nificant environmental damage, it will be very hard to integrate the domestic grid into the single European electricity market. All other factors being equal, Euro- pean buyers tend to prefer to buy power that is being generated using “clean” technologies. On one hand, European countries and many other world players 46 Over the last 20 years, because of anticipated stricter EU environmental policies and grow- ing uncertainty regarding the size of fines for emissions, the construction of new coal-fired power plants in the EU has effectively ground to a halt (see Annex 1). 47 http://www.ebrd.com/russian/pages/sector/energyefficiency/sei/strategy.shtml 20 Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 21. on the electricity market, belong to that category of electricity consumers who are prepared to pay more for clean energy.48 On the other hand, EU power com- panies are concerned about losing their competitive edge due to higher environ- mental standards and are demanding that the European Commission apply the same rules to trading partners. The carbon leakage effect European producers are always on the search for ways to compensate the cost of improv- ing targeted EU requirements regarding CO2 emissions. Some of them are transferring their power generating facilities to countries that do not levy strict fines for emissions. This is leading to the phenomenon of “carbon leakage,” where the reduction of emissions in country A is leading to a proportionally higher level in country B. Moreover, the global level of emissions is not being reduced, which is casting doubt on the success of climate change policies altogether. This trend is particularly noticeable in energy-intensive man- ufacturing sectors, such as cement, steel, paper and chemicals. In a situation where there is strong competition on the single EU energy market, such production factors as environmentally friendly generation—which at first glance would seem secondary—turn out to be key factors that force a buyer to choose the more compliant provider rather than any other one. The growing cost of environmental programs in the future By ignoring Directive 2001/80/EC when constructing new power units now, Ukraine will face a higher cost to institute environmental protection measures further down the line. The country already felt the effect of such “path depen- dence”49 before, when the prior selection of a particular technology made efforts to modernize the system ever more complicated and costly. Those who draft projects to reduce emissions at existing TES power units often face a dilemma: to choose new equipment on a short-term basis (10-15 years) as a relatively in- expensive but not very effective choice, or to choose more costly technical solu- tions that will later be adapted to new equipment that will replace that which has completed its useful lifespan. Time is not on the side of aging power units Every year, bringing existing TES power units in line with environmental regulations be- comes a more complicated procedure. The design of these TESs, which were built to meet the specifications of outdated soviet dust collectors, desulfurization plants and boiler ash and slag removal facilities, was supposed to offer considerable advantages in exploita- tion. But today they have turned into a serious barrier to installing modern treatment systems. Some aspects of the construction of the soviet TESs make it unreasonably ex- pensive and even risky to apply contemporary solutions. 48 According to a study by IBM Global Business Services, 67% of users surveyed in six coun- tries—Great Britain, Germany, Holland, the US, Japan, and Australia—have indicated the willingness to pay higher rates for environmentally friendly energy. For more details, see http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/index.wss/ibvstudy/gbs/a1029014. 49 For more details, see Page, S.E., Path Dependence, Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 2006 (1), pp 87–115. The economic and social impact of emissions 21
  • 22. For instance, many TESs have no room to install sulfur and nitrogen treatment plants. Sulfur dioxide accelerates the corrosion of metals and is the most damaging chemical material pollutant. Changes in temperature and humidity increase the pace at which equipment is worn out through corrosion.50 If the problem of emissions of this kind is not resolved, Ukraine’s TESs, which are already operating at the peak of their normal po- tential, could find themselves reaching the end of their normal lifespans more quickly, leading to even more emissions. Loss of status as a reliable international partner If Ukraine fails due to lack of motivation to fulfill the commitments it made on its accession to the European Energy Community, Kyiv’s stable foreign policy course will be undermined, as well as its status as a reliable foreign partner. Ukraine is already losing its reputation because of misappropriation of Kyoto Protocol funds and failure to comply with the Aarhus Convention in domestic legislation.51 Sanctions from the EEC and publicity in the international community could put under question Ukraine’s ability to fully participate in multilateral projects. Such an official step by the EEC Council of Ministers, such as announcing the fact that Ukraine’s legislation is not in compliance with related EU laws, might not have any legal force in the final analysis, but it would definitely complicate any further integration of Ukraine’s energy market with the Community’s en- ergy markets. Sanctions by the European Energy Community The leadership of the EEC could raise sanctions against a country that is in violation of its rules if there is evidence of a violation or there are doubts whether the country will meet points in the Treaty in a timely manner. Currently, EEC mechanisms to deal with members who “do not play fair ” are more oriented towards consensual problem resolution than towards severe punishments. However, in future the penalties for not carrying out com- mitments that a country has taken on could be more serious. The European Energy Community’s institutional structure provides for a series of mecha- nisms intended to spur members, especially new ones, to fully comply with the points in the Agreement. First stage. The EEC Secretariat launches the preliminary stages of conflict resolution and sends the “guilty parties” an open letter. Should such members delay measures to resolve the given problem, the EEC sends its reasoned opinion and presents its reasoned request, both of them then posted for open access. B. Miller, Coal Energy Systems, Elsevier Academic Press, 2005, p. 507. 50 Ukraine’s ratification of the Aarhus Convention in 1999 failed to push the country to change 51 its domestic legislation to provide both individuals and civil society organizations access to information about the environment. In 2011, Ukraine could lose its membership in this Con- vention. See http://www.rac.org.ua/skhovishche-novin/novina/article/orguska-konven- cija-turkmenistan-chi-ukrajina/. 22 Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 23. Second stage. If such precautionary measures prove insufficient, the Community’s Coun- cil of Ministers can officially announce that there have been violations based on collected information, including evidence from third parties, justification from the “accused” party, and the opinion of the Advisory Committee. Although such instruments belong to the class of “soft power” measures, their application is typically widely broadcast, as was the case with the Serbian Government, which was unable to ensure the proper implementa- tion of certain EU Directives. Third stage. In the case of a serious, lengthy violation of commitments, the Council of Ministers has the right to suspend certain rights that a member country enjoys through its Agreement, including: the right to vote in the Community, to participate in meetings and to make use of mechanisms provided by the Agreement. The last include using the power grid without trade restrictions, making use of assistance in the case of an emer- gency, and having the licenses and standards of operations of utilities recognized. Source: European Energy Community (EEC) For discussion How accurate do you think the estimated cost of Ukraine’s problems is? How effective an incentive are current EEC sanctions to ensure that all points in the Treaty are fulfilled? To what extent do you think not carrying out the environmental Directive will complicate integration into the single EU electricity market? How significantly would you say air pollution affects the working age population and human capital as a whole? What other interested parties can you think of for whom excessive emissions from ther- mal generation constitutes a problem and what is the cost of that problem for them? The economic and social impact of emissions 23
  • 24. A vision of the future of thermal power generation in Ukraine: eco-friendly and safe for humans If Ukraine’s thermo-electric generation is modernized along the principles of sustainable development and completely complies with the environmental con- ditions of the European Energy Community, this sector will become safer for humans and environmentally friendly. The positive future impact of meeting EEC environmental requirements The activity of the Energy Community is aimed at reaching three key goals: lib- eralizing the market and increasing competitiveness; increasing the security of energy supplies; and reducing the impact on the environment. The most positive impact from Ukraine’s accession to the Community is seen as coming from the first two goals: simplifying access to the unified European electricity market, gaining the opportunity to establish direct links to end users, diversifying supply sources and increasing energy security. But the environmental requirements are too often seen as an obstacle and an extra “whim” on the part of the Europeans. In actual fact, a realistic vision of the future of thermal generation in Ukraine within the common European energy market is impossible without the environ- mental aspect of integration. The overall success of integration into the EEC de- pends on a clear understanding of the full range of future positive effects that will accompany joining the common energy space, including positive changes in environmental protection. The table below shows the potential costs and benefits that carrying out the en- vironmental requirements of the EEC could bring to the basic interested parties in Ukraine. 24 Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 25. Future positive costs and benefits of meeting EEC environmental requirements (Directive 2001/80/EC) Key interest Benefits Costs groups • Life expectancy should rise, while infant mortality and the loss Individual More expenditures of years of life due to illnesses caused by the unsatisfactory Ukrainians on power required state of the atmosphere should go down. • Environmental law will become more predictable. Clearer requirements regarding the volume of emissions, the timeframes for acting and the size of environmental taxes should make it easier to plan production operations. • Additional incentives will encourage the modernization of existing facilities and technologies and to come up with new, more efficient generating capacities. • Electricity generated in an environmentally friendly manner will be in greater demand on the common European market. Business Longer ROI term • Investments in eco-friendly policies and the application of the best available technologies should promote a better image for companies, which will begin to be associated with cutting-edge achievements in environmentally-oriented power generation. • A lower rate of disease will make it possible to improve the quality of human capital and the overall employability of workers. At the same time, it will minimize economic losses due to temporary inability to work. • The Ukrainian side will recover its status as a reliable partner in Need for international energy and environmental cooperation. institutional • Ukraine will enjoy the full rights and preferences due to it as a changes and signatory to the ECT and will avoid sanctions for not enforcing The State additional costs to the Treaty’s provisions. introduce effective • Additional incentives will arise to reform the energy sector. environmental • Public spending on healthcare should go down, especially in policies areas with a high level of pollution from TESs. • A reduction in the amount of cross-border leakage of air pollution should improve the environment for a number of neighboring EU member countries. • Ukrainian and European power generating companies should find themselves operating on a more level playing field. More competition European Additional spending on environmental protection measures from clean partners will affect all participants in the common energy market and Ukrainian power not just EU members. • New opportunities to invest in joint environmental projects will arise. European partners will be more eager to invest in and provide credits and technical assistance to Ukraine. Source: ICPS A vision of the future of thermal power generation in Ukraine: eco-friendly and safe for humans 25
  • 26. The environment will remain a priority Reducing man-made pressure on the environment is one of the most important benefits that Ukraine could enjoy from having joined the EEC. However, the re- lated positive effects will not be felt immediately, but in the medium and longer term. The “market” and “security” components of the ECT will be felt sooner than the environmental one.52 In this vision of the future, Ukraine will continue to meet its environmental com- mitments to the EEC, successfully taking advantage of all the benefits of par- ticipating in the Treaty. And, on the contrary, if integration into the EEC moves away from the desired course and problems with funding or diplomatic support from the EU arise, this will no longer offer an excuse to roll back the environmen- tal protection program. Environmental standards will meet European requirements The environmental requirements of the Energy Community will continue to be the main incentive for making heating plants more environmentally friendly, as their modernization is supposed to be in line with the main framework agree- ment, Directive 2001/80/EC “On the limitation of emissions of certain pollut- ants into the air from large combustion plants.” In Ukraine, all the necessary legislative conditions for complying with this Directive are to be set in place and its provisions developed in a National Action Plan to reduce harmful emissions. During the drafting of this plan, Ukraine will be guided by detailed recommenda- tions for this type of document from the European Commission, which includes pathways to reach goals with the help of European methods and practices. The set of measures in the Action Plan will be aimed at meeting established norms and sources of funding and will take into account realistic timeframes for com- plying with EEC requirements. Volumes of emissions will go down Ukraine will ensure the gradual convergence of the concentration of specific emissions of pollutants from new and existing combustion plants with those lev- els that are established in the Directive. The actual concentrations of emissions at new TES power units will approximate European norms for dust at 30–50 mg/cu m, sulfur oxides at 200-400 mg/cu m, and nitrogen oxides at 200–600 mg/cu m. A state system for environmental monitoring that has been reformed in line with best European practice will provide reliable information on the pace of annual reduction of emissions. The European Commission’s report on EEC activities for 2011 shifts meeting environmental 52 priorities to medium term objectives while noting that this will take place no earlier than when national markets are “opened” an the delivery of electricity becomes reliable. See ec.europa.eu/energy/gas_electricity/community/doc/20110310_report_en.pdf). 26 Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 27. A vision of development of thermal generation in Poland Coal will continue to be a major fuel in the country’s power generation sector, but it will begin to be used more in a gasified or liquid state. Polish TESs will use clean coal tech- nologies such as Carbon Capture and Storage and gasifying coal, thus reducing emis- sions into the air. In 2020, Polish residents should not be feeling the impact of concentrations of ash that are higher than those allowed by EC Directives. As a result, the number of respiratory and cardiological illnesses, as well as the costs to the healthcare system, should start decreas- ing. Source: Energy Strategy of Poland A vision of the future of thermal power generation in Ukraine: eco-friendly and safe for humans 27
  • 28. Options for resolving the problem During the process of adapting to Directive 2001/80/EC, countries are expected to develop a strategy for reorganizing their TESs and to establish which existing generating capacities will be decommissioned, which ones will be modernized, and how many new power units will have to be brought on line. The two latter options typically mean: 1) changes to the balance of fuels more towards natural gas; 2) a higher quality of fuels, such as enriched coal; 3) greater efficiency in the production process; and 4) the introduction of gas-cleaning technologies. EU countries are following a variety of ways to adapt to the Directive. The end of lifespan option. Countries decide to shut down a TES when upgrad- ing makes no economic sense. The lifespan of such power units is limited to a few years or because the designated number of hours of operation is running out. Choosing this option could indicate planned changes in the energy balance of the country in favor of atomic energy or renewable sources of energy. For instance, after shutting down most of its TES, France switched to mostly atomic energy. Using this option requires diversifying sources of energy, dealing with the social impact in those regions where plants are being shut down, and renew- ing the polluted territory. The extended lifespan option. Countries upgrade their existing TESs, switching them to basic power mode and increasing their load, so a few modernized TESs can compensate for the capacities of those that have been shut down. Great Brit- ain and Ireland are examples of countries that have kept a series of major TESs by upgrading them and switching them to being gas-fired. Germany, which has also kept most of its TESs, radically improved the quality of its fuel coal. The downside of this option is that modernizing old power units does not necessarily allow the country to fully meet environmental requirements and it is not always economically sound, given the small amount of extended lifespan added to the block.53 The starting from scratch option. Building new TESs makes it possible to use the latest technologies for capturing harmful emissions and to switch to cogenera- tion. Introducing this option is complicated by the need to attract a large amount of investment up front and to designate suitable locations for new power sta- tions. Worn and obsolete power units are typically reconstructed so that their lifespan is extend- 53 ed, but usually only for 10-15 years. This casts doubt on the point of investing major capital in highly costly gas cleaning equipment. 28 Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 29. Proposed solutions Over 2011–2016, Ukraine is supposed to start meeting the requirements of Di- rective 2001/80/EC regarding the reduction of emission and heat-generating plants in order to improve the health of its population. But this has to happen without risking the reliability of the unified power system in Ukraine, which means:  to establish the basic principles of energy security—the best balance between domestic and imported fuel and energy resources;  to prepare a National Emission Reduction Plan;  to draw up a Strategy or plan for handling TES emissions: using ash slag and other byproducts of sulfur and nitrogen treatment, such as gypsum, nitrogen fertilizers, and so on;  to establish permits for concentrations of emissions that are based on best available techniques and reflecting local features;  to develop a strategy for decommissioning aging power units; the basis for extending the use of newer units on condition that they are completely up- graded, including the installation of efficient gas filtration units, and the principles for building new power-generation facilities that meet the require- ments of EC Directives;54  to amend existing legislation to ensure the fulfillment of the National Emis- sion Reduction Plan and the upgrading and new construction of TESs;  to implement other provisions of the Energy Community in a timely manner, especially Directive 2003/54/EC, which calls for the completion of reforms of the electricity market;  to reform the coal industry by introducing a coal exchange. For discussion To what extent do you agre with the vision of the future of Ukraine’s thermo-electric sec- tor presented here? How worth it is it for the Energy Community to extend its timeframes on environmental requirements? In what way can the reduction of emissions at heat-generating plants affect various in- terested parties? What other options are there for resolving the problem of polluting substances? 54 Directive 2009/72/EC dated 13 July 2009 on the basic rules for internal electricity markets, EC Regulation № 714/2009 dated 13 July 2009 on the requirements for access to power grids that provide cross-border exchanges of electricity, and Directive 2005/89/EC dated 18 January 2006 on measures to ensure power supply and investing in infrastructure, and so on. Proposed solutions 29
  • 30. Annex 1 Tables and charts Table 1. Volumes of air emissions from power and thermal generation in Ukraine over 2005–2007 2005 2006 2007 Pollutant emission % of total emission % of total emission % of total volume, ’000 t emissions volume, ’000 t emissions volume, ’000 t emissions NOx 154.06 30 158.21 32 172.34 24 SOx 876.06 73 1,114.64 77 1,069.24 79 Dust 327.72 42 347.61 44 306.24 41 Source: Environment Ministry, based on data provided by the Institute of Energy under the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine Table 2. Comparison of EU and national requirements for emissions of air pollutants from TES flue gases І. New combustion plants Nominal emissions, mg/cu m Pollutant, thermal Environment Ministry Environment Ministry capacity, MW Directive 2001/80/EC Decree №309 of Decree №541 of 27.06.2006 22.10.2008 Particulates 30 50 30 P100* Sulfur dioxide 200 500 200 P100 Nitrogen oxides 200 500 200 P100 30 Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 31. ІІ. Upgraded combustion plants Nominal emissions, mg/cu m Thermal Current Environment Environment In excess of EC Pollutant capacity, emission level, Directive Ministry Ministry Directive,% MW mg/cu m 2001/80/EC Decree №309 Decree №541 of 27.06.2006 of 22.10.2008 as of 01.01.2016 Particulates 1,000-1,700*** 50 2,000–3,400 P500** 50 50 P500 100 100 as of Sulfur 01.01.2016 3,000–7,000 500 750–1,750 dioxide 100P500 2,000–400 2,000–400 P500 400 400 as of Nitrogen 01.01.2016 700–1,800 500 350–900 oxides 100P500 600 600 P500 200 200 * P1000 applies to power units generating 50 MW. ** P500 – to units generating 160 МW. *** Does not include the level of emissions from reconstructed dust-capturing equipment. Source: Ministry of Fuel and Energy III. Combustion plants of major power generating companies in Ukraine Emissions for 2009, mg/cu m Pollutant Actual Directive 2001/80/EС Excess, % NAK Energetychna Kompania Ukrainy (EKU) Sulfur dioxide 3,300 400 825 Nitrogen oxides 1,050 200 525 Particulates 1,200 50 2,400 SkhidEnergo Sulfur dioxide     Zuyivska 2,637 400 659 Luhanska 5,483 400 1,371 Kurakhivska 3,773 400 943 Nitrogen oxides Zuyivska 1,224 200 612 Luhanska 1,408 200 704 Kurakhivska 486 200 243 Source: Company data Annex1 31
  • 32. Chart 1. Technical state of NAK EKU TES power units relative to their lifespans 350 1,100 MW Lifespan of metals established by current norms 300 15,414 MW Permissible individual lifespan 250 Individual lifespan 200 000 hours 1,446 MW 150 4,800 MW Idle lifespan 100 50 7 blocks 61 blocks 5 blocks 7 blocks 4.8% 67.7% 6.4% 21.1% 0 Note: As of April 2011, NAK EKU power units generated a total of 23 GW or 85% of all available capacities at Ukrainian TESs. Source: Y. Trofymenko, “Approaches to equipping NAK Energetychna Kompania Ukrainy TESs with gas-cleaning equipment as part of the implementation of Directive 2001/80/EС,” presentation at roundtable on “Integrating Environmental and Energy Policy: Challenges for members of the European Energy Community,” held on 7.12.2010. Table 3. Estimates of the cost of implementing Directive 2001/80/EC5556 Organization Parameters Assumptions Timeframe: by 2020 Extending the lifespan of power units by installing cleaning Institute of systems on coal-fired units and applying primary measures Energy under Cost: US $16-17bn to reduce NOx emissions on gas oil units along with the the NAS55 Capacity: 27–28 GW installation of emission reduction systems. Change of electrical filters: US $40/kW Timeframe: 20 years Construction of desulfurization plants: US $200/kW VAT Cost: US $22bn Equipping boilers with gas denitrification catalyzers: US L’vivORHRES56 Capacity: 27.122 GW $100/kW Dollar inflation: 3% p.a. 55 See B.A. Kostiukovskiy, S.V. Shulzhenko and N.P Nechayev, “Approaches to meeting envi- ronmental requirements regarding emissions of air pollutants in the thermal energy sector in Ukraine,” Institute of Energy under the NAS. 56 See Energy and Electrification №7, 2010, pp 39–42. 32 Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 33. Organization Parameters Assumptions Timeframe: by 2030 NAK EKU Cost: US $3.9–6.8bn In 2009–2010 prices Capacity: EKU plants Timeframe: by 2018 Donbas Fuel Cost: UAH 85bn57 Energy Constructing desulfurization and denitrification plants: US Capacity: 22.1 GW Company $350/kW (DTEK) Cost: US $3–4bn 58 Capacity: DTEK plants Source: ICPS5758 Table 4. Age of TESs in EU as of 2005 Average age Capacities older Capacities older of TES power units than 25 years, % than 40 years, % Coal-fired 26 54 9 Gas-fired 12 17 1 Mazut-fired 26 55 5 All power units 21 42 6 Source: Tzimas et al (2009) Table 5. The cost of damage from additional illnesses and mortality SO2 NOx Dust (PМ2.5) Country EUR/tonne Australia 9,048 8,334 36,392 China 1,090 1,003 4,381 European Union 7,948 7,320 31,965 India 566 521 2,277 Japan 8,499 7,828 34,182 Republic of South Africa 2,257 2,079 9,078 Russia 3,158 2,909 12,702 United States 11,096 10,220 44,628 Source: Adapted from External Costs of Coal: Global Estimate, External Costs of Coal: Global Estimate // Access: http://www.cedelft.eu/publicatie/external_costs_of_coal/ 878?PHPSESSID=f138219238c72e8038a0a5694354af1d Ibid., pp 32–33. 57 See Energobusiness №45/680 dated 9.11.10. 58 Annex1 33
  • 34. Chart 2. Illness per 10,000 population in Luhansk 1 400 Number of illnesses among people, who live within the 1-3 km area from TES 1 200 Number of illnesses among people, who live in the 3km and further from TES Number of illneesses among people, who live areas without TES 1 000 800 600 400 200 0 Flu Angina Chronic bronchitis Bronchial asthma Source: Adapted from V.V. Zhdanov’s Assessment of the impact of the Luhanska TES on the atmosphere and health of the local population, Hygiene and Epidemiology Bulletin, Vol. 10, №1, 2006. 34 Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements
  • 35. Table 6. Combined Heating and Power or Cogeneration Plants (TETs) in Ukraine subject to Directive 2001/80/EC Name Capacity, MW Bilotserkivska TET 120 Darnytska TET 160 Dniprodzerzhynska TET 62 Kaluska TET 200 Kyivska TET-5 700 Kyivska TET-6 500 Kramatorska TET 120 Kremenchutska TET 255 Myronivska TET 260 Odeska TET-2 68 Oleksandriyivska TET-3 60 Pervomaiska TET 48 Sevastopolska TET 55 Severodonetska TET 260 Simferopilska TET 278 Svema TET 115 Kharkivska TET-2 74 Kharkivska TET-3 62 Kharkivska TET-5 540 Khersonska TET 80 Khersonska TET-2 74 Cherkaska TET 230 Chernihivska TET 210 Total 4,531 Source: Company data Table 7. Fees for polluting the environment in Ukraine, 2009 Actual fees paid for polluting % Type of commercial activity ’000 UAH % prior to Actually paid 2008 All types 1,107,119 100.0 92 113 Power, gas and water utilities 521,652 47.1 105 125 Source: Derzhkomstat, Ukraine’s statistics agency Annex1 35
  • 36. Table 8. Capital investments and current spending to protect the atmosphere and on climate change, 2009, ’000 UAH Including Capital Type of Actual State Budget funds Local budget funds other investment commercial spending, internal State local sources and current activity total funds total Environmental total environmental of spending Fund funds funding Capital 1,273,789 1,203,358 5,622 – 7,813 5,646 56,996 All types Current 1,035,156 1,029,143 4,640 – 447 431 926 Power, gas Capital 146,051 141,185 2,400 – 2,465 299 – and water utilities Current 57,543 57,307 – – 237 2301 – Source: Derzhkomstat, Ukraine’s statistics agency Table 9. Top 10 major EU combustion plants, by annual emissions Country SO2 Country NOx Country Ash Bulgaria TPP Maritsa Iztok 2 Great Britain Drax Greece Ag. Dimitrios ІII-IV BOT Elektrownia Spain CT AS Pontes Poland Greece Ag. Dimitrios І-II Bełchatów S.A. TPP “Maritsa Bulgaria Spain CT Teruel I-II-III Slovakia Slov.elektrбrne, Vojany, EVO Iztok 3” Narva Elektrijaamad AS, Spain CT Teruel I-II-III Great Britain Aberthaw Estonia Balti Elektrijaam BOT Elektrownia Elektrownia Poland Poland Bulgaria TPP Maritsa Iztok 3 Bełchatów S.A. Kozienice S.A. Greece Megalopoli II Great Britain Cottam Poland Elektrownia Kozienice S.A. S.C. Complexul Elektrownia CT Compostilla II Poland Іспанія Romania Energetic Rovinari S.A. Patnуw (G 3,4) No. 2 Narva Elektrijaamad AS, Bulgaria TPP Bobov dol Great Britain Ratcliffe Estonia Eesti Elektrijaam BOT Elektrownia Bulgaria TPP Brikel Great Britain Kingsnorth Poland Bełchatów S.A. S.C. Complexul Romania Energetic Rovinari Great Britain Scottish Power plc Bulgaria TPP Maritsa Iztok 2 S.A. No. 2 Source: Evaluation of Member States' emission inventories 2004–2006 for LCPs under the LCP Directive (2001/80/EC), European Commission, 2008. 36 Reducing emissions from thermoelectric stations in Ukraine by meeting the European Energy Community requirements