Iccn n-climate change -community-presentation-4 aug2011


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  • D. Prinz, Karisruhe, Germany: Climate Change, Global Challenges and Carbon Trade
  • Iccn n-climate change -community-presentation-4 aug2011

    1. 1. Climate Change and Local Communities in the Nepal Himalaya Siddhartha Bajra Bajracharya, PhD. National Trust for Nature Conservation (NTNC) 4 August 2011
    2. 2. Global warming and climate change• Climate change is now widely recognized as the major environmental problem facing the globe.• UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon calls “the defining challenge of our age”.• Evidence is building that impacts are being felt in the form of melting Himalayas and increased variability of temperature, rainfall and storms in virtually all regions.• The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) clearly states that it is no longer relevant to discuss whether the climate is changing but rather how much change we are committed to and how fast this will occur.
    3. 3. Global warming and climate change• Climatic changes — such as• shrinking glaciers,• variations in rainfall frequency and intensity, and• shifts in growing seasons and disease distributions —are expected to have substantial, and largely negative, effects on food production, water supply and disease proliferation in many parts of the world.
    4. 4. Climate Change‘Warming of the climate system.’
    5. 5. Global Warming• Increase in the earths temperature refers to global warming, which in turn causes changes in climate.• Earths average temperature has risen about 1 degree C in the past 100 years and is projected to rise another 3 to 10 degrees C in the next 100 years.
    6. 6. Global Warming• The most important of these being the emission of green house gases and the cleaning of natural vegetation.• The climate is largely controlled by the flows of heat entering and leaving the planet and the storage of heat in the various compartments of the earth systems- ocean, land, atmosphere, snow/ice
    7. 7. Climate change : A natural processClimate change is a natural process but excessive release of GHGsmainly CO2 has accelerated the change leading to ecologicaluncertainties. Average per capita emissions in India are in the order of 1.0t CO2 per capita per year (2005), while they are in the order of 10 t CO2per capita per year in Germany and 20 t CO2/year in the USA.
    8. 8. Our contribution to GHG
    9. 9. Snow Melting in North Pole
    10. 10. Causes of Global Warming• The global warming is caused primarily by carbon dioxide from burning coal, oil and gas.• The second is methane (released from rice paddies, both ends of livestock, rotting garbage in landfills, mining operations, and gas pipelines).
    11. 11. Causes of Global Warming• Third are chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) released from refrigerator, air conditioner etc.• Fourth is nitrous oxide (from fertilizers and other chemicals).
    12. 12. 50 %  Fossil fuel combustion (Oil, Coal, Gas) Biomass burning  Fertiliser /deforestation Release of application CO2, CH4, NOx, CFCs by:  Rice paddy  Ruminants cultivation  Solvents /refrigerants /foam packaging CFC
    13. 13. Two important reports• The Stern Review 2006• The 4th Assessment Report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2007• Both reports presented more and stronger evidence for the impacts of climate change on natural systems as well as on human activities in many parts of the world.
    14. 14. Consequences of Climate Change• Receding snowlines• Hazy winter• Flash floods• Hotter summer months• Frequent landslides• Lake bursts (Glacier lake outburst flood)• Impacts are predicted to be especially large for poor countries.
    15. 15. Nepal – a Mountain countryIndia Nepal Tibet
    16. 16. Mountain countries such as Nepal are the most vulnerable to climate change.Nepal is getting warmer at the rate of 0.06 degreeCelsius per year i.e. 60 C in 100 years (GON-MOEST, 2003) – High mountains warming faster (0.080 per year) than lower hills and plains (0.040per year)
    17. 17. Nepal is warming faster!• Nepal is getting warmer at the rate of 0.06 degree Celsius per year i.e. 60 C in 100 years (GON-MOEST, 2003)• Variability in mean temperatures is non-uniform both temporally and spatially.• Examples – High mountains warming faster (0.080 per year) than lower hills and plains (0.040per year) - 1990s and 2000s are globally warmer than previous decades
    18. 18. Himalayan Mountain System• Mountain areas are: • Inaccessible • Fragile • Diverse • Marginalised and • Comparative advantage
    19. 19. Inaccessibility
    20. 20. Fragility
    21. 21. The Himalaya• Diversity a Characteristic Alpine scrubs & meadows Sub-alpine forest Diversity Temperate needle-leaved forest Temperate broad-leaved forest Subtropical needle-leaved forest
    22. 22. Diversity
    23. 23. Marginality: Economic and political
    24. 24. Comparative advantage
    25. 25. Himalayas – most attractive mountains
    26. 26. Nepal Everest INDIADeveloping countries such as Nepal are the most vulnerable to climate change.
    27. 27. Impacts in HimalayasWater Resources, Natural Hazards, Forestry, Ecosystem & Biodiversity, Agriculture, Human Health, Tourism
    28. 28. Impacts on glaciers and glacial lakes
    29. 29. Glacier meltingT. Hagen 1957
    30. 30. Glacier melting2004
    31. 31. Climate Change• Uncertainties in weather pattern• Erratic monsoon rains (departure from normal pattern), examples – Higher maximum temperatures and more hot days – More intense precipitation events – Changes in the timing of monsoon onset and withdrawal – Higher minimum temperatures and fewer cold days and frost – Reduced diurnal temperature range – Number of rainy days decreasing and intense precipitation events are increasing
    32. 32. Impacts - Rural Communities• People living in mountain ecosystem are particularly vulnerable to climate change as a result of: – Their high dependence on natural resources for their livelihood – Comparatively higher exposure to extreme events – Widespread poverty and – Marginalisation
    33. 33. Vulnerable mountain community
    34. 34. Impacts - Rural Communities• Less winter snowfall events and snow deposits• Post-winter colder than usual due to snow or hailstorm with strong wind• Glaciers are receding faster in recent years• Potential to increase water related stress on rural communities Braga: cirque glacier with debris
    35. 35. Impacts - Rural Communities• Exposure to extreme events eg. from Manang• Frequent snow avalanches leading to loss of lives and livestock• Damage to infrastructures and livelihoods downstream,• Landslide dam bursts
    36. 36. Impacts - Rural Communities• Locals of high mountains complain of unusual rains causing collapse of their traditional houses made out of mud.• Corrugated iron sheets are used to replace or repair traditional flat roofs.
    37. 37. Infrastructure Damage
    38. 38. Landslides and Soil Erosion
    39. 39. The traditional agriculture system is slowly weakening.
    40. 40. Agriculture: require more intense care and timeLooking for better options.
    41. 41. Erosion oftraditional housingCorrugated tin roof (Adaptation)
    42. 42. Drying water and irrigation sources
    43. 43. No snow fall means dry pasture
    44. 44. Low snow fall Disturbance in alpine system Lessavailability of alpine grasses High Incidence of livestock diseases and Chances of higher depredation by snow leopard Reducing the herd size or shifting the pasture.
    45. 45. God made phenomena! Let us prey!
    46. 46. Discuss at a community level
    47. 47. A case study• Climate change is a global phenomenon.• Have clear implications on planning and management of PAs.• ‘No action’ ‘Ke garne’ is no more an option.• Annapurna Conservation Area, Nepal• Working with the local communities Think Globally Act Locally
    48. 48. Annapurna Conservation Area• Largest protected area• High biological and cultural diversities• Community-based management• A major tourist destination• ICDP approach – Successful integration of conservation and development issues
    49. 49. Sustainable DevelopmentEnvironment Socio-culture Development Economy
    50. 50. Consult and interact with community
    51. 51. Energy source• Fuelwood was the principal source of energy for domestic and tourism sectors.• Consequences: – Deterioration in the quality and quantity of forests. – Deforestations – Soil degradation – Erosion – Flooding – Increased CO2 emission – Decreased CO2 sink
    52. 52. Alternative Energy
    53. 53. Forest Conservation
    54. 54. Reforestation
    55. 55. Forest Conservation: Carbon Sequestration
    56. 56. Diversifying agriculture
    57. 57. Appropriate technology
    58. 58. Alternative crops
    59. 59. New skill and knowledge
    60. 60. Education and Awareness
    61. 61. Nonfinancial Incentives or Benefits to Community
    62. 62. Outcomes• Sustainable management of forests• Improvement of livelihood standard• Reduced carbon emission• Increased carbon sink• Avoided deforestation• Habitat improvement
    63. 63. Outcomes
    64. 64. Outcomes
    65. 65. BiodiversityConserved
    66. 66. 1. People have faced climate change and adapted to it since our species evolved.2. Nevertheless, people have never adapted to climate change on the scale that we now face.3. Existing coping strategies are not always adequate to respond to climate change.
    67. 67. 1. Coping strategies need to be designed in the context of sustainable development.2. Need to disseminate knowledge what we already know.3. Develop capacity to cope with increased climate variability.4. Communicating and raising community awareness
    68. 68. Save the Himalayas Campaign
    69. 69. Why this event?• The Himalayas are shadowed in terms of the global climate debate.• There is no unified voice of ‘Mountain States’.• Hazard of ‘Melting of Himalayas’ will be far & wide.• If we do not raise voice , who will?
    70. 70. Cabinet Meeting at Kalapatthar, Everest Base Camp (December 2009))
    71. 71. A Historic EventPlaced Nepal once again in the Global Picture 77,208 in 0.28 sec in Google search
    72. 72. Copenhagen
    73. 73. A New York Event – 21 Sep 2010 Save the Himalayas
    74. 74. Save the Himalayas
    75. 75. Thank you!