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Headline Analysis from the 2016/17 HE Admissions Cycle and 2017/18 Cycle to Date

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David Brack
Head of Customer Experience
UCAS

Published in: Education
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Headline Analysis from the 2016/17 HE Admissions Cycle and 2017/18 Cycle to Date

  1. 1. H e a d l i n e a n a l y s i s f ro m t h e 2 0 1 6 / 1 7 H E a d m i s s i o n s c y c l e a n d 2 0 1 7 / 1 8 c y c l e t o d a t e David Brack Head of Customer Experience UCAS
  2. 2. Headlines from the 2016/17 HE admissions cycle
  3. 3. # H U E M E A 1 7 535,000 people entered UK HE in 2016, an increase of 0.5% on last year Acceptances by domicile group
  4. 4. # H U E M E A 1 7 The number of 18 year olds accepted at HEPs rose by 1.5% to 238,900 – the highest on record UK acceptances by age group
  5. 5. # H U E M E A 1 7 Slowdown in the gap between the most and least advantaged in society entering HE Entry rates for English 18 year olds by multiple equality measure groups (group 5 most likely to enter HE)
  6. 6. # H U E M E A 1 7 Acceptances from other EU countries rose by 7% to 31,400 – the highest on record Number of acceptances in 2016 by selected European country
  7. 7. # H U E M E A 1 7 Acceptances to HEPs with high or medium entry requirements increased to their highest on record, students placed at low tariff HEPs fell 2.9% Acceptances by provider tariff group
  8. 8. Headlines from the 15 January 2017 deadline
  9. 9. # H U E M E A 1 7 Total applicants for UK HE down 5% to 564,190 – a return to 2013 cycle levels Change in total applicants at January 2017 deadline
  10. 10. • Falling demand from EU applicants • Falling demand for Nursing • Falling demand from mature applicants • Slowdown in growth for 18 year old applicants Four key drivers behind the fall in demand
  11. 11. # H U E M E A 1 7 Falling demand from EU applicants • EU applicant figures decreased by 7% to 42,000 • Applicant numbers from international applicants have stagnated
  12. 12. • The subject experiencing the most notable decrease in applications is nursing • Applicants in England making at least one choice to nursing fell by 23% • Most applicants to nursing are mature applicants aged 19+ and this cohort decreased between 16% and 29% Falling  demand  for  Nursing
  13. 13. # H U E M E A 1 7 Falling demand from mature applicants Continued decline in applications from mature applicants – 19 year old applicants have fallen by 9%, 20 year olds by 9%, 21-24 year olds by 15% and 25 year olds and over by 23%
  14. 14. 18 year old applicant numbers are similar to last year at 272,330 despite a fall of 1% in the 18 year old population, but growth rate note keeping up with rate of population decline Slowdown in growth in 18 year old applicants
  15. 15. Questions? David Brack D.Brack@ucas.ac.uk

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