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LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013
Thesis: Long-term variability of plankton
phenology in a Mediterranean time
series (LTER-MC)
Phenology in plankton
Main results from methods applied
Patterns observed to date
Final analysis
Acartia clausi
Emiliania huxleyi
Minidiscus comicus
Chaetoceros socialis
1
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013
Part I species selection
• community structure analysis
• Initial selection 46 species
Part II results
• Significant changes in phenology
• Relationships with temperature
2
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013
Zooplankton n=111 categories
1. Calanoid juveniles ( juv of Clausocalanus
spp.+P.parvus)
2. Penilia avirostris
3. (bulk) appendicularia
4. Acartia clausi
5. Paracalanus parvus (only adults)
Phytoplankton n=344 categories
1. (bulk undetermined )
Undetermined phytoflagellates
<10m size
2. (genus level) Chaetoceros spp.
3. Chaetoceros tenuissimus
4. Skeletonema pseudocostatum
5. Leptocylindrus danicus
Plankton community structure
RAD curves
3
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 4
Plankton community structure
Frequency distribution curves
Phytoplankton
168 categories occur with a
frequency of <1%
This class is discarded from
consideration since the data is too
sparse
Zooplankton
Only 14 out of categories <1%
frequency
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 5
Initial selection
n=46 species, genus level and groups
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 6
Part I species selection
• community structure analysis
• Initial selection 46 species
Part II results
• Significant changes in phenology
• Relationships with temperature
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 7
Significant changes in phenology: phytoplankton
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 8
Chaetoceros socialis
Spring colonial diatom with peak in April
- April peak increased in second part of
time series
- Start and middle phases of phenology
are significantly later
- End of phenology did not have a
significant change
- Timing of peak was significantly later
Significant changes in phenology
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 9
Dinobryon faculiferum
Spring flagellate with peak abundance in
March continuing through August
- Decrease in late summer abundance
after 1995
- The start of season phenophase was
significantly later after 1995
- The duration was significantly shorter
after 1995
Significant changes in phenology
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 10
Heterocapsa niei
Spring dinoflagellate with a peak in May
- Start and middle of season are
significantly later
- Duration is longer in part II of t.s.
- Timing is earlier after 1995
Significant changes in phenology
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 11
Skeletonema pseudocostatum
Spring diatom with a peak in July (part I)
which has shifted to May in Part II
- Timing is later in part I of time series
- Timing is earlier in part Ii of t.s. But not
significant
Significant changes in phenology
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 12
Minidiscus comicus
Summer diatom with a peak in
September (part I) and August (part II
- Timing after 1995 is significantly
earlier in all phenophases
Significant changes in phenology
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 13
Chaetoceros tenuissimus
Bimodal diatom with a primary peak
in spring and secondary in autumn
Peak in May (part I) shifted to June in
part II
- Start of season significantly later
after 1995 (this phenophase
corresponds to the later mean
seasonal abundance cycle)
- Timing [1:6] later in part I
- Timing [7:12} earlier after 1995
Significant changes in phenology
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 14
Skeletonema menzelii
Bimodal diatom with summer peak in
August and autumn peak in October
- The end was significantly earlier after
1995
- The timing was also significantly
earlier after 1995
Significant changes in phenology
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 15
Significant changes in phenology: zooplankton
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 16
Significant changes in phenology: phytoplankton
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 17
Significant changes in phenology
• Most species did not change phenology over long term !
• Four phytoplankton species that occur during the spring season changed
• The start of season and timing was later
• Phenology of D.faculiferum restricted, H.niei enlarged (duration)
• Spring and autumn zooplankton species showed significant change
• A.clausi, C.typicus, O.similis, C.paululus had earlier phenology
• Summer zooplankton had a stable phenology over the long term
• P.parvus, Evadne+Pseudoevadne, P.avirostris
• Changes observed in bulk assemblages could be attributed to species
level changes in phenology of target species
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 18
Part I species selection
• community structure analysis
• Initial selection 46 species
Part II results
• Significant changes in phenology
• Relationships with temperature
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 19
Relationships with temperature
phytoplankton
Species that had significant changes in phenology also had significant
relationships with temperature anomalies within each season
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 20
Relationships with temperature
phytoplankton
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 21
Relationships with temperature
phytoplankton
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 22
Relationships with temperature
zooplankton
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 23
Significant relationships with temperatures
• spring phytoplankton and zooplankton species had strong relationships
with temperature
• The timing of bimodal species was later when warmer
• S.menzelii, S.pseudocostatum
• Spring zooplankton species phenology was earlier when temperature
anomalies were higher
• A.clausi,C.typicus, O.similis, C.paululus (as for ∆ phenology)
• End of season phenology and seasonal temperature
• 2 species within the zooplankton genera Oithona and Clausocalanus had
significant relationships with temperature anomalies in different seasons
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 24
Part I species selection
• community structure analysis
• Initial selection 46 species
Part II results
• Significant changes in phenology
• Relationships with temperature
Final analysis
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 25
Final analysis
Community assembly
LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 26
Final analysis
- Consideration of more than 46 species
- Expand to all taxa > 1% frequency of occurrence
- Correlation with other environmental parameters
- Salinity
- Heat flux
- Light
- Chl a
- nutrients

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LTER-MC plankton phenology and temperature relationships

  • 1. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 Thesis: Long-term variability of plankton phenology in a Mediterranean time series (LTER-MC) Phenology in plankton Main results from methods applied Patterns observed to date Final analysis Acartia clausi Emiliania huxleyi Minidiscus comicus Chaetoceros socialis 1
  • 2. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 Part I species selection • community structure analysis • Initial selection 46 species Part II results • Significant changes in phenology • Relationships with temperature 2
  • 3. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 Zooplankton n=111 categories 1. Calanoid juveniles ( juv of Clausocalanus spp.+P.parvus) 2. Penilia avirostris 3. (bulk) appendicularia 4. Acartia clausi 5. Paracalanus parvus (only adults) Phytoplankton n=344 categories 1. (bulk undetermined ) Undetermined phytoflagellates <10m size 2. (genus level) Chaetoceros spp. 3. Chaetoceros tenuissimus 4. Skeletonema pseudocostatum 5. Leptocylindrus danicus Plankton community structure RAD curves 3
  • 4. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 4 Plankton community structure Frequency distribution curves Phytoplankton 168 categories occur with a frequency of <1% This class is discarded from consideration since the data is too sparse Zooplankton Only 14 out of categories <1% frequency
  • 5. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 5 Initial selection n=46 species, genus level and groups
  • 6. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 6 Part I species selection • community structure analysis • Initial selection 46 species Part II results • Significant changes in phenology • Relationships with temperature
  • 7. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 7 Significant changes in phenology: phytoplankton
  • 8. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 8 Chaetoceros socialis Spring colonial diatom with peak in April - April peak increased in second part of time series - Start and middle phases of phenology are significantly later - End of phenology did not have a significant change - Timing of peak was significantly later Significant changes in phenology
  • 9. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 9 Dinobryon faculiferum Spring flagellate with peak abundance in March continuing through August - Decrease in late summer abundance after 1995 - The start of season phenophase was significantly later after 1995 - The duration was significantly shorter after 1995 Significant changes in phenology
  • 10. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 10 Heterocapsa niei Spring dinoflagellate with a peak in May - Start and middle of season are significantly later - Duration is longer in part II of t.s. - Timing is earlier after 1995 Significant changes in phenology
  • 11. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 11 Skeletonema pseudocostatum Spring diatom with a peak in July (part I) which has shifted to May in Part II - Timing is later in part I of time series - Timing is earlier in part Ii of t.s. But not significant Significant changes in phenology
  • 12. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 12 Minidiscus comicus Summer diatom with a peak in September (part I) and August (part II - Timing after 1995 is significantly earlier in all phenophases Significant changes in phenology
  • 13. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 13 Chaetoceros tenuissimus Bimodal diatom with a primary peak in spring and secondary in autumn Peak in May (part I) shifted to June in part II - Start of season significantly later after 1995 (this phenophase corresponds to the later mean seasonal abundance cycle) - Timing [1:6] later in part I - Timing [7:12} earlier after 1995 Significant changes in phenology
  • 14. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 14 Skeletonema menzelii Bimodal diatom with summer peak in August and autumn peak in October - The end was significantly earlier after 1995 - The timing was also significantly earlier after 1995 Significant changes in phenology
  • 15. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 15 Significant changes in phenology: zooplankton
  • 16. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 16 Significant changes in phenology: phytoplankton
  • 17. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 17 Significant changes in phenology • Most species did not change phenology over long term ! • Four phytoplankton species that occur during the spring season changed • The start of season and timing was later • Phenology of D.faculiferum restricted, H.niei enlarged (duration) • Spring and autumn zooplankton species showed significant change • A.clausi, C.typicus, O.similis, C.paululus had earlier phenology • Summer zooplankton had a stable phenology over the long term • P.parvus, Evadne+Pseudoevadne, P.avirostris • Changes observed in bulk assemblages could be attributed to species level changes in phenology of target species
  • 18. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 18 Part I species selection • community structure analysis • Initial selection 46 species Part II results • Significant changes in phenology • Relationships with temperature
  • 19. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 19 Relationships with temperature phytoplankton Species that had significant changes in phenology also had significant relationships with temperature anomalies within each season
  • 20. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 20 Relationships with temperature phytoplankton
  • 21. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 21 Relationships with temperature phytoplankton
  • 22. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 22 Relationships with temperature zooplankton
  • 23. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 23 Significant relationships with temperatures • spring phytoplankton and zooplankton species had strong relationships with temperature • The timing of bimodal species was later when warmer • S.menzelii, S.pseudocostatum • Spring zooplankton species phenology was earlier when temperature anomalies were higher • A.clausi,C.typicus, O.similis, C.paululus (as for ∆ phenology) • End of season phenology and seasonal temperature • 2 species within the zooplankton genera Oithona and Clausocalanus had significant relationships with temperature anomalies in different seasons
  • 24. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 24 Part I species selection • community structure analysis • Initial selection 46 species Part II results • Significant changes in phenology • Relationships with temperature Final analysis
  • 25. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 25 Final analysis Community assembly
  • 26. LTER-MC meeting 15 Feb 2013 26 Final analysis - Consideration of more than 46 species - Expand to all taxa > 1% frequency of occurrence - Correlation with other environmental parameters - Salinity - Heat flux - Light - Chl a - nutrients