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Beware of Survivorship Bias! (conference talk at J-Fall 2019)

Most talks on a typical conference schedule contain success stories of technology. This could lead to survivorship bias. Survivorship bias causes you to draw false conclusions because you mostly heard about successes, but hardly ever about failures. Yet failures provide us with lots of valuable knowledge: when not to apply a certain technique, pattern or process. So no success stories in this talk! Just some ‘silver bullets’ we tried to use to solve our problems, but turned out to be Very Bad Ideas™. We’ll share how survivorship bias can easily influence your ideas and cloud your judgement. After attending this talk you’ll be more aware of survivorship bias and what you can do to keep your head cool, no matter how many ‘silver bullets’ are fired at you.

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Beware of Survivorship Bias! (conference talk at J-Fall 2019)
Beware of Survivorship Bias! (conference talk at J-Fall 2019)
Beware of Survivorship Bias! (conference talk at J-Fall 2019)
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Beware of Survivorship Bias! (conference talk at J-Fall 2019)