Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Transportation without Oil
A Vision of the Future
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Climate Change
What is your view?
A: It’s a very serious looming crisis
B: I’m confused, ...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Transportation without Oil
What is your view?
A: Yes, I believe it’s possible
B: I don’t ...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Transportation in the Past
We have been walking for 4 million years
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Transportation in the Past
We have been riding horses for 6,000 years
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The 13th
Century
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The 15th
Century
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The 17th
Century
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The 19th
Century
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
New York, 1894
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The First Modern Oil
Petrolia, Ontario 1858
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Spindletop Texas, 1903
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Thomas Parker electric car, 1880s
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The 20th
Century
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The 21st
Century
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
We love you mama
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Mama, waaah!
Where are you?
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
1: The Death Toll
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Globally, in 2013,
1.24 million people died in road accidents
3,400 people die every day
...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Road deaths per 100,000 people
If everyone drove as safely as the
British, there would be...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
2: Air Pollution
About 21,000
Canadians die
prematurely from
the ill effects of air
pollu...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Paris, March 2014
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Diesel exhaust…
Deaths from lung cancer
increase by 8% for every
10 mg of fine particulat...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Diesel exhaust contributes to more than
125,000 cases of cancer a year,
almost 9% of all ...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Formaldehyde Recognized carcinogen.
Carbon tetrachloride Recognized carcinogen. Ranked as...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
3: Oil Spills
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
TransMountain Pipeline Oil Break
Burnaby, 2007
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Alberta Pipeline
Incidents
1975-2013
29,229 incidents
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
4: Ecocide
Garth Lenz
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Garth Lenz
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
5: War
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
6: The Climate Emergency
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
As we burn the fossil fuels…
Guy Dauncey 2007Guy Dau...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
+ 2˚C rise
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The last time the world was 3°C warmer
the sea level was 25 metres higher
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
2 metres
10 metres
18 metres
25 metres
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
1 metre sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
3 metres sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
20 metres sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
The Teeny-Weeny
Ever-So-Brief
150-Year
Age of Oil
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
Neolithic Era
Ancient Egypt
Roman Empire
Islamic Gol...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
The last 10,000 years
.................................
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
A billion yearsNeolithic Era: 8,000 years
Ancient Eg...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
A billion years
The Sun does not begin to turn
into ...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Beyond Oil
Awakening the Future
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
BCSEA 2012
www.bcsea.org
BCSEA vision
is a sustainable
future in which
all of BC’s
energy...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
How Are We Using the Oil?
Cars & light trucks 40%
Heavy trucks 13%
Flying 8%
Shipping 2.5...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
1 5% shift to walking
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Neighbourhood Walkability Audit
www.walklive.org
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Istanbul,
Turkey
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com Toronto Walking School Bus
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The Journey Beyond Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
2 15% shift to cycling
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
In Holland, 40% of all traffic movement
is by bicycle
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
 Safe bike lanes and routes
 Good bike parking
 Cycling education in schools
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Vancouver, Howe Street
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
City Bike Sharing
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Granville Street Bridge
Vancouver’s Future
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Proposed Bike Park, Chongming Bike City, Shanghai
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Electric Bikes
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The Copenhagen Wheel
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The Copenhagen Wheel
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The Elf E-Bike www.organictransit.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Tony’s Trailers www.tonystrailers.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.comTony’s Trailers www.tonystrailers.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com Tony’s Trailers www.tonystrailers.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The Journey Beyond Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
15% sh...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
3 v15% shift to
transit and LRT
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
100% Electric Buses
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Hasselt, Belgium
Free transit, included in city taxes
1996-2006 13-fold increase in rider...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Real-time electronic bus stops
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Bus shelter in Taiwan
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Stockholm – 200 buses run on biogas
from sewage treatment
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Umea, Sweden
Fast-Charging Electric Bus, 18 hours/day
1 – 2 euros for 10-20 kWh electrici...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
OLEV
On-Line Electric Vehicle, South Korea
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Bus Rapid Transit in Bogota
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Bus Rapid Transit in Curitiba, Brazil
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Bus Rapid Transit in Delhi
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Bus Rapid Transit in Istanbul
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Bus Rapid Transit in Rio de Janiero
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Bus Rapid Transit in Guangzhou, China
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Proposed Bus Rapid Transit in Chicago
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Light Rail Transit
www.islandtransformations.org
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Electric + Green Electricity = No Climate Impact
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Mulhouse, Germany
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.comElectric + Green Electricity = No Climate Impact
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The Journey Beyond Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
15% sh...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
4 5% shift to Telework
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com Cisco Systems
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The Journey Beyond Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
15% sh...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
5 v5% shift to
Ride-Sharing
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Real-time Ride-sharing
www.car.ma
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guaranteed emergency ride home
Cash-out parking – paid for not using employee
parking s...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The Journey Beyond Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
15% sh...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
See
650 members share 23 vehicles
www.victoriacarshare.ca
6
5% shift to Car Sharing
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Car-sharing forecast
North America 2016:
4.4 million users
David Zhao, automotive researc...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Peer-to-Peer Car-Sharing
Vehicles owners earn
up to $300 a month
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The Journey Beyond Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
15% sh...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
7
Better Inter-Modal
Connections
Single Smart Card for
transit, LRT, car-share,
ride-sha...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Transport London’s Oyster Card
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Walk Bike
Food Help
Taxi
Skype
ParkRide share
Ski-lift
Maps
Ferry Fly
Car share
LRTTransi...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
8 New Urban Design
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Metro do Porto, Portugal
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
9 50% shift to Hybrid EVs
80% of average mileage on electric drive
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Chevy Volt
2,500 km on one tank of gas
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Volkswagen XL1
Diesel plug-in hybrid
75 km battery range
0.9 litres/100 km (312 mpg)
(260...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The Journey Beyond Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
15% sh...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
10 v50% shift to
Full Electric Vehicles
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Renault Twizy EV
 2 seats, 100 km range
 80 kph, 3.5 hours recharge
 $9,700 + $60/mont...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
In UK: $10,600 + $65 monthly battery lease charge
Top
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Top
Hiroko EV
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Top
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Nissan Leaf Electric - 120 km range
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Smart Electric – 135 km range
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Mitsubishi MiEV – 150 km range
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Toyota RAV4 EV - 148 km range
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Tesla Model-X: 300-400 km range
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
STELLA 400-600 km range
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Made by Dutch students at Eindhoven University
4-seater, roadworthy, legal in Holland
Wei...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Honda solar electric car charging
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Electric car fast charging
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
1.5 kW solar = 1,650 kWh a year
Electric car: 15 kWh = 100 km
10,000 km = 1,500 kWh
PV fo...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
1.5 kW solar PV
$6,000
5% 25 year mortgage on $6,000 = $35 a month
Gas 10 litres @ $1.30 ...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
100 km = 15 kWh
10,000 km = 1,500 kWh
1,500 kwh @ 10 cents = $13 a month
Gas 10 litres @ ...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Institute of Automobile Economics:
EV maintenance costs are
35% lower
than a gas compact ...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Solar Roadways
In US, 3 x total electricity demand
www.solarroadways.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
The Journey Beyond Oil
Cars & light trucks
5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
15% sh...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Integrated Governance
Cycling
Transit
Highways
Rail
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Integrated Cost Analysis
$
Cycling
Transit
Highways
Rail
$
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Cost of a new traffic lane
$300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Cost of a new traffic lane
$300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour
Cost of a 1....
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Cost of a new traffic lane
$300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour
Cost of a 1....
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Cost of a new traffic lane
$300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour
Cost of a 1....
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Cost of the Airport McTavish Interchange
$24 million
= 2,400 km of painted bike lanes
or ...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
 Carbon Taxes
 Feebates
 Road tolls
How can we pay for it?
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Electronic Road Pricing
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Road-pricing
on the Malahat
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
30,000 vehicles a day
$2 one-way toll = $60,000 a day
= 250 luxury coaches
= up to 10,000...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Electric Freight
Renault Radiance Dutch concept electric truck
 Average 18-wheeler 6.5 m...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Cargohopper
3 tonnes max
60 km range
20 kph top speed
Urban deliveries
Holland
www.c...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Freight Solutions - Trucking
 Super-efficient designs save 35%
 Electric plug-in to eli...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Shipping Solutions
2.5% of global oil use
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
 Slowing from 25 to 20 knots – saves 50%
 Slowing from 23.5 to 20 knots - saves 25%
 S...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Flying Solutions
8% of global oil use
Latest designs save 20%
But a 20% increased demand ...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Future Boing Liquid Hydrogen Plane
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Proposed EADS VoltAir lithium-air battery aircraft
Superconducting electric motors
Paris ...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Renewable Electricity
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
So what’s
The Secret
to make it all happen?
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Community engagement
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Special Price
$5
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Together, we can change the world.
If you’re feeling inspired, will you
join the BCSEA?
Y...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
This whole presentation is available on
www.slideshare.net/GuyDauncey
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
How can we make it happen?
Questions
Discussion
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
D'où venons-nous? Que sommes-nous? Où allons-nous?
W...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Voyager 1 photo of
Earth from 6 billion
kilometers.
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
The Universe has taken
13 billion years
to create us
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Number of stars in the Universe
1024
: 1 trillion tr...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Number of
atoms in your
body:
1027
: 1000 trillion
t...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Number of stars in our galaxy
100 trillion
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Number of synapses in your brain
100 trillion
All se...
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
100 trillion synapses 100 trillion stars
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
We are amazing…
and we are all conscious
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
We have free will
We can make a difference
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com It’s Our World – Let’s Change ItGuy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
This is about us, our planet,
and our future.
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey
www.earthfuture.com
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in …5
×

Transport without Oil - A Vision of the Future

754 views

Published on

March 2014 Presentation by Guy Dauncey. www.earthfuture.com
How will global transportation operate when we cease using oil?

Published in: Automotive
4 Comments
1 Like
Statistics
Notes
No Downloads
Views
Total views
754
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
3
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
17
Comments
4
Likes
1
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Transport without Oil - A Vision of the Future

  1. 1. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Transportation without Oil A Vision of the Future
  2. 2. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Climate Change What is your view? A: It’s a very serious looming crisis B: I’m confused, not sure what to make of it C: It’s overblown. Earth’s climate has always been variable
  3. 3. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Transportation without Oil What is your view? A: Yes, I believe it’s possible B: I don’t know if it’s possible C: No, it is not possible.
  4. 4. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Transportation in the Past We have been walking for 4 million years
  5. 5. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Transportation in the Past We have been riding horses for 6,000 years
  6. 6. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The 13th Century
  7. 7. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The 15th Century
  8. 8. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The 17th Century
  9. 9. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The 19th Century
  10. 10. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com New York, 1894
  11. 11. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The First Modern Oil Petrolia, Ontario 1858
  12. 12. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Spindletop Texas, 1903
  13. 13. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Thomas Parker electric car, 1880s
  14. 14. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  15. 15. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The 20th Century
  16. 16. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  17. 17. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  18. 18. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  19. 19. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  20. 20. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The 21st Century
  21. 21. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  22. 22. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  23. 23. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  24. 24. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  25. 25. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  26. 26. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  27. 27. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  28. 28. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com We love you mama
  29. 29. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Mama, waaah! Where are you?
  30. 30. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 1: The Death Toll
  31. 31. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Globally, in 2013, 1.24 million people died in road accidents 3,400 people die every day = 13 major aircraft crashes every day
  32. 32. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Road deaths per 100,000 people If everyone drove as safely as the British, there would be 192,500 road deaths a year = 2 major aircraft crashes every day Eritrea: 40 Thailand: 38 Canada: 7 UK: 2.75 Bicycle
  33. 33. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 2: Air Pollution About 21,000 Canadians die prematurely from the ill effects of air pollution each year, compared to 2,400 from traffic crashes.
  34. 34. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Paris, March 2014
  35. 35. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Diesel exhaust… Deaths from lung cancer increase by 8% for every 10 mg of fine particulate matter per cubic meter New York: 16 mg Chicago: 18 mg Los Angeles: 20 mg Paris: 30 mg Paris 2014: 140 Cairo: 159 mgNew Delhi: 177 mg Beijing: 120 to 473 mg
  36. 36. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Diesel exhaust contributes to more than 125,000 cases of cancer a year, almost 9% of all cancer cases in the US.
  37. 37. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Formaldehyde Recognized carcinogen. Carbon tetrachloride Recognized carcinogen. Ranked as one of the most hazardous compounds to ecosystems and human health. Aniline Recognized carcinogen. Methanol Suspected carcinogen. Benzene Recognized carcinogen. Acetaldehyde Recognized carcinogen Toluene-2, 6-diisocyanate Recognized carcinogen. Ranked as one of the most hazardous compounds to human health. Napthalene Recognized carcinogen. Ethylbenzene Recognized carcinogen. Styrene Suspected carcinogen. 1,3 Butadiene Recognized carcinogen. Toluene Recognized developmental toxicant. Toluen-2, 4-diisocyanate Recognized carcinogen. 2,6-Dinitrotoluene Recognized carcinogen. Phosphorous (yellow or white) Ranked as one of the most hazardous compounds to ecosystems and human health. Dinitrotoluene (mixed isonomers) Suspected carcinogen. Chromium and its compounds Suspected carcinogen. Cobalt and its compounds Recognized carcinogen. Manganese and its compounds Ranked as one of the most hazardous compounds to human health. Nickel and its compounds Recognized carcinogen “Found in diesel engine exhaust” Assembled by Leo Petrilli, Windsor, Ontario Commission for Environmental Cooperation Report Children’s Health and the Environment in North America
  38. 38. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 3: Oil Spills
  39. 39. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  40. 40. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  41. 41. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com TransMountain Pipeline Oil Break Burnaby, 2007
  42. 42. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Alberta Pipeline Incidents 1975-2013 29,229 incidents
  43. 43. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 4: Ecocide Garth Lenz
  44. 44. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  45. 45. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Garth Lenz
  46. 46. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com
  47. 47. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 5: War
  48. 48. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 6: The Climate Emergency
  49. 49. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com As we burn the fossil fuels… Guy Dauncey 2007Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.cowww.earthfuture.co CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 100 million tonnes a day = 4 million tonnes an hour = 67,000 tonnes a minute = 1,000 tonnes a second
  50. 50. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com + 2˚C rise
  51. 51. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The last time the world was 3°C warmer the sea level was 25 metres higher
  52. 52. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  53. 53. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 2 metres 10 metres 18 metres 25 metres
  54. 54. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 1 metre sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
  55. 55. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 3 metres sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
  56. 56. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 20 metres sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net
  57. 57. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  58. 58. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  59. 59. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  60. 60. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  61. 61. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  62. 62. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  63. 63. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  64. 64. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  65. 65. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com The Teeny-Weeny Ever-So-Brief 150-Year Age of Oil
  66. 66. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com Neolithic Era Ancient Egypt Roman Empire Islamic Golden Age 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 The Age of Oil ………………………………………. The last 10,000 years
  67. 67. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com The last 10,000 years ................................................... What happens here, when we stop using oil?
  68. 68. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com A billion yearsNeolithic Era: 8,000 years Ancient Egypt: 3,000 years Roman Empire: 1,000 years Islamic Golden Age: 600 years Age of Oil: 150 years The Sun does not begin to turn into a Red Giant for more than a billion years. That’s 100,000 periods of 10,000 years
  69. 69. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com A billion years The Sun does not begin to turn into a Red Giant for more than a billion years. And with every passing year, solar technology will improve and get cheaper.
  70. 70. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Beyond Oil Awakening the Future
  71. 71. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com BCSEA 2012 www.bcsea.org BCSEA vision is a sustainable future in which all of BC’s energy is green and renewable.
  72. 72. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com How Are We Using the Oil? Cars & light trucks 40% Heavy trucks 13% Flying 8% Shipping 2.5% Asphalt 3% Rail freight 1% Recreational 1% Military 1.5% TOTAL TRANSPORT 71% Non-transport uses 29%
  73. 73. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 1 5% shift to walking
  74. 74. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Neighbourhood Walkability Audit www.walklive.org
  75. 75. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  76. 76. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  77. 77. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Istanbul, Turkey
  78. 78. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  79. 79. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Toronto Walking School Bus
  80. 80. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand
  81. 81. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 2 15% shift to cycling
  82. 82. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com In Holland, 40% of all traffic movement is by bicycle
  83. 83. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  84. 84. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com  Safe bike lanes and routes  Good bike parking  Cycling education in schools
  85. 85. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Vancouver, Howe Street
  86. 86. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  87. 87. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  88. 88. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  89. 89. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com City Bike Sharing
  90. 90. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  91. 91. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  92. 92. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  93. 93. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  94. 94. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  95. 95. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  96. 96. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  97. 97. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  98. 98. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  99. 99. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  100. 100. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  101. 101. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Granville Street Bridge Vancouver’s Future
  102. 102. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Proposed Bike Park, Chongming Bike City, Shanghai
  103. 103. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Electric Bikes
  104. 104. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  105. 105. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  106. 106. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  107. 107. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  108. 108. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The Copenhagen Wheel
  109. 109. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  110. 110. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The Copenhagen Wheel
  111. 111. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  112. 112. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The Elf E-Bike www.organictransit.com
  113. 113. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Tony’s Trailers www.tonystrailers.com
  114. 114. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.comTony’s Trailers www.tonystrailers.com
  115. 115. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Tony’s Trailers www.tonystrailers.com
  116. 116. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  117. 117. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  118. 118. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  119. 119. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  120. 120. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  121. 121. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  122. 122. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  123. 123. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  124. 124. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  125. 125. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand 15% shift to cycling = 80% …
  126. 126. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 3 v15% shift to transit and LRT
  127. 127. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 100% Electric Buses
  128. 128. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Hasselt, Belgium Free transit, included in city taxes 1996-2006 13-fold increase in ridership
  129. 129. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Real-time electronic bus stops
  130. 130. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Bus shelter in Taiwan
  131. 131. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Stockholm – 200 buses run on biogas from sewage treatment
  132. 132. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Umea, Sweden Fast-Charging Electric Bus, 18 hours/day 1 – 2 euros for 10-20 kWh electricity to go 10 km www.opbrid.com
  133. 133. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com OLEV On-Line Electric Vehicle, South Korea
  134. 134. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Bus Rapid Transit in Bogota
  135. 135. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Bus Rapid Transit in Curitiba, Brazil
  136. 136. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Bus Rapid Transit in Delhi
  137. 137. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Bus Rapid Transit in Istanbul
  138. 138. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Bus Rapid Transit in Rio de Janiero
  139. 139. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Bus Rapid Transit in Guangzhou, China
  140. 140. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Proposed Bus Rapid Transit in Chicago
  141. 141. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Light Rail Transit www.islandtransformations.org
  142. 142. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Electric + Green Electricity = No Climate Impact
  143. 143. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Mulhouse, Germany
  144. 144. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.comElectric + Green Electricity = No Climate Impact
  145. 145. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand 15% shift to cycling = 80% … 15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% …
  146. 146. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 4 5% shift to Telework
  147. 147. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Cisco Systems
  148. 148. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand 15% shift to cycling = 80% … 15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% … 5% shift to telework = 60% …
  149. 149. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 5 v5% shift to Ride-Sharing
  150. 150. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  151. 151. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Real-time Ride-sharing www.car.ma
  152. 152. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guaranteed emergency ride home Cash-out parking – paid for not using employee parking space Rideshare Plus Rewards Book
  153. 153. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand 15% shift to cycling = 80% … 15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% … 5% shift to telework = 60% … 5% shift to ride-sharing = 55% …
  154. 154. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com See 650 members share 23 vehicles www.victoriacarshare.ca 6 5% shift to Car Sharing
  155. 155. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Car-sharing forecast North America 2016: 4.4 million users David Zhao, automotive research analyst with Frost & Sullivan,
  156. 156. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Peer-to-Peer Car-Sharing Vehicles owners earn up to $300 a month
  157. 157. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  158. 158. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand 15% shift to cycling = 80% … 15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% … 5% shift to telework = 60% … 5% shift to ride-sharing = 55% … 5% shift to car-sharing = 50% …
  159. 159. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 7 Better Inter-Modal Connections Single Smart Card for transit, LRT, car-share, ride-share, ferries, rail Good transit-ferry connections Good bike-parking at every transit station
  160. 160. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Transport London’s Oyster Card
  161. 161. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Walk Bike Food Help Taxi Skype ParkRide share Ski-lift Maps Ferry Fly Car share LRTTransit Rail
  162. 162. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 8 New Urban Design
  163. 163. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  164. 164. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  165. 165. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Metro do Porto, Portugal
  166. 166. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  167. 167. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 9 50% shift to Hybrid EVs 80% of average mileage on electric drive
  168. 168. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Chevy Volt 2,500 km on one tank of gas
  169. 169. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Volkswagen XL1 Diesel plug-in hybrid 75 km battery range 0.9 litres/100 km (312 mpg) (260 mpg in USA)
  170. 170. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand 15% shift to cycling = 80% … 15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% … 5% shift to telework = 60% … 5% shift to ride-sharing = 55% … 5% shift to car-sharing = 50% … 50% of vehicles hybrid electric = 30% 80% of mileage electric
  171. 171. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 10 v50% shift to Full Electric Vehicles
  172. 172. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Renault Twizy EV  2 seats, 100 km range  80 kph, 3.5 hours recharge  $9,700 + $60/month battery lease
  173. 173. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com In UK: $10,600 + $65 monthly battery lease charge Top
  174. 174. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Top Hiroko EV
  175. 175. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Top
  176. 176. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Nissan Leaf Electric - 120 km range
  177. 177. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Smart Electric – 135 km range
  178. 178. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Mitsubishi MiEV – 150 km range
  179. 179. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Toyota RAV4 EV - 148 km range
  180. 180. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Tesla Model-X: 300-400 km range
  181. 181. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com STELLA 400-600 km range
  182. 182. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  183. 183. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Made by Dutch students at Eindhoven University 4-seater, roadworthy, legal in Holland Weighs 380 kg (1120 kg for normal EV) 400 km range with no sunshine 600 km in full sunshine
  184. 184. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Honda solar electric car charging
  185. 185. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Electric car fast charging
  186. 186. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 1.5 kW solar = 1,650 kWh a year Electric car: 15 kWh = 100 km 10,000 km = 1,500 kWh PV for EV
  187. 187. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 1.5 kW solar PV $6,000 5% 25 year mortgage on $6,000 = $35 a month Gas 10 litres @ $1.30 litre = $130 a month
  188. 188. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 100 km = 15 kWh 10,000 km = 1,500 kWh 1,500 kwh @ 10 cents = $13 a month Gas 10 litres @ $1.30 litre = $130 a month Grid Power for EV EV Bargain!! 10 times cheaper to run!
  189. 189. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Institute of Automobile Economics: EV maintenance costs are 35% lower than a gas compact car over 8 years.
  190. 190. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Solar Roadways In US, 3 x total electricity demand www.solarroadways.com
  191. 191. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com The Journey Beyond Oil Cars & light trucks 5% shift to walking = 95% of oil demand 15% shift to cycling = 80% … 15% shift to transit/LRT = 65% … 5% shift to telework = 60% … 5% shift to ride-sharing = 55% … 5% shift to car-sharing = 50% … 50% vehicles hybrid EV 80% = 30% … 50% of vehicles are electric = 5% … Lightweight design saves 50% = 2.5% … If all vehicles EVs = 0.0% … = Beyond Oil
  192. 192. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Integrated Governance Cycling Transit Highways Rail
  193. 193. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Integrated Cost Analysis $ Cycling Transit Highways Rail $
  194. 194. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Cost of a new traffic lane $300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour
  195. 195. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Cost of a new traffic lane $300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour Cost of a 1.5 metre bike lane $5,000 to $10,000 per km for re-striping 2,000 trips per hour = 75 to 250 times more cost-effective
  196. 196. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Cost of a new traffic lane $300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour Cost of a 1.5 metre bike lane $5,000 to $10,000 per km for re-striping 2,000 trips per hour = 75 to 250 times more cost-effective $35,000 to $150,000 per km when road widening required = 5 to 35 times more cost-effective Ministry of Transportation of Ontario, Ontario Bikeways Planning and Design Guidelines, pg. 8-34, March 1996.
  197. 197. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Cost of a new traffic lane $300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour Cost of a 1.5 metre bike lane $5,000 to $10,000 per km for re-striping 2,000 trips per hour = 75 to 250 times more cost-effective $35,000 to $150,000 per km when road widening required = 5 to 35 times more cost-effective Ministry of Transportation of Ontario, Ontario Bikeways Planning and Design Guidelines, pg. 8-34, March 1996. Cost of a new separated bike lane $100,000 per km = 7 to 12 times more cost-effective
  198. 198. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Cost of the Airport McTavish Interchange $24 million = 2,400 km of painted bike lanes or 240 km of separated bike lanes
  199. 199. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com  Carbon Taxes  Feebates  Road tolls How can we pay for it?
  200. 200. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Electronic Road Pricing
  201. 201. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Road-pricing on the Malahat
  202. 202. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com 30,000 vehicles a day $2 one-way toll = $60,000 a day = 250 luxury coaches = up to 10,000 passengers a day
  203. 203. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Electric Freight Renault Radiance Dutch concept electric truck  Average 18-wheeler 6.5 mpg  Super-efficient designs 9 mpg
  204. 204. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  205. 205. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Cargohopper 3 tonnes max 60 km range 20 kph top speed Urban deliveries Holland www.cargohopper.com
  206. 206. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Freight Solutions - Trucking  Super-efficient designs save 35%  Electric plug-in to eliminate idling saves 8%  Slower driving saves 8%  ‘Empty miles’ shipping saves 5-15%  Combined innovations could save 60% But 60% increased demand would wipe out all the gains.
  207. 207. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Shipping Solutions 2.5% of global oil use
  208. 208. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com  Slowing from 25 to 20 knots – saves 50%  Slowing from 23.5 to 20 knots - saves 25%  Skysails on slow boats (10 knots) - saves 20%  Ecospeed coating and underwater cleaning – saves 20%  Underwater propellor polishing – saves 2%  Black carbon elimination through cleaner fuel But 50% increased demand would wipe out all the gains.
  209. 209. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Flying Solutions 8% of global oil use Latest designs save 20% But a 20% increased demand would wipe out all the gains.
  210. 210. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  211. 211. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Future Boing Liquid Hydrogen Plane
  212. 212. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Proposed EADS VoltAir lithium-air battery aircraft Superconducting electric motors Paris Airshow, 2011 Up to Mach 4, Paris – Tokyo in 2.5 hours
  213. 213. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Renewable Electricity
  214. 214. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com So what’s The Secret to make it all happen?
  215. 215. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Community engagement
  216. 216. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Special Price $5
  217. 217. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Together, we can change the world. If you’re feeling inspired, will you join the BCSEA? You can become a member! www.bcsea.org/joinBCSEA 2013 www.bcsea.org
  218. 218. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com This whole presentation is available on www.slideshare.net/GuyDauncey
  219. 219. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com How can we make it happen? Questions Discussion
  220. 220. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com D'où venons-nous? Que sommes-nous? Où allons-nous? Where Do We Come From? What Are We? Where Are We Going??
  221. 221. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Voyager 1 photo of Earth from 6 billion kilometers.
  222. 222. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com The Universe has taken 13 billion years to create us
  223. 223. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Number of stars in the Universe 1024 : 1 trillion trillion
  224. 224. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Number of atoms in your body: 1027 : 1000 trillion trillion All self-organized into one amazing whole
  225. 225. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Number of stars in our galaxy 100 trillion
  226. 226. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Number of synapses in your brain 100 trillion All self-organized into one amazing whole
  227. 227. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com 100 trillion synapses 100 trillion stars
  228. 228. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com We are amazing… and we are all conscious
  229. 229. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com We have free will We can make a difference
  230. 230. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com It’s Our World – Let’s Change ItGuy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
  231. 231. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com This is about us, our planet, and our future.
  232. 232. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  233. 233. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com
  234. 234. Guy Dauncey 2014 Earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey www.earthfuture.com

×