The World Health Organization (WHO) logistic of vaccine distribution

1. WHO DELIVERY OF COVID
VACCINE TIME TABLE
French:
10% de la population de chaque pays d'ici septembre, au moins 40% d'ici la fin de
l'année et 70% d'ici le milieu de l'année prochaine. « Si nous pouvons atteindre ces
objectifs, nous pouvons non seulement mettre fin à la pandémie, nous pouvons
également redémarrer l'économie mondiale »
English
Planning: 40% of the world populatiion vaccines in end of
2021, and 70% in Mid year 2022
Reference UN website information
https://news.un.org/fr/story/2021/07/1100412
https://www.statista.
com/statistics/119493
4/number-of-covid-
vaccine-doses-
administered-by-
county-worldwide/ https://www.google.c
om/search?q=number+
of+countries+in+the+w
orld&rlz=1C1CHBF_frF
R926FR926&oq=Numb
er+of+countries+in+th
e+world&aqs=chrome.
0.0l10.7773j0j15&sour
ceid=chrome&ie=UTF-
8
https://www.gavi.org
/vaccineswork/covax-
explained

2. WHO ASSUMPTION IN EACH
COUNTRY SHOULD/MUST
RECEIVE THE COVID VACCINE
Apr Sep Dec Aug Se
p
De
c
Ju
n
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
2
BNS
5.6 BNS
Total world
Population estimate
of 8 billions (7.8 bns)
70% x 8 bns = 5.6 bns
Covax vaccine
project start
RAISING THE COVAX FINANCE
(PROJECT FINANCE)
COVID 19 VACCINE DISTRIBUTION AND
FORECAST (INTER/EXTRAPOLATION)
40%
=
2Bns
880% = 4Bns
70% = 4bNS
2022
2021
2020
Mars Jul- Aug
4 Bns
BILL GATES ANOUNCEMENT IN THE MEDIA
OF 40 BNS TO VACCINE THE
WORLDPOPULATION

3. Duration of 14 months to vaccinate 70% of the world
population with a rate of 4 millions per month
4 BNS
5.6 BNS
APRIL-MAI- JUNE 2022
1.6 BNS
VACCINES PER
QUARTER
400 000 DOSES /MONTH

4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
12 13 14
400
5600
5200
Theory
(planning)
Monthly distribution
400 x 1000000 doses
Mai 2021 Juin 2022
Rate of
distribution per
195 countries
3600
22/07/21
22/07/21
Δ = + 2 200 000 000

5. Conclusion the covid 19 vaccine distribution is
fasten (it was forecast 10% in Sept 2021, 40%in
Dec 2021 and 70% in Mid 2022 (June 2022)
Normally the world
population is fully vaccinate
in 2 months from
22/07/2021
JULY 2021 AUGUST 2021 SEPT 2021
OFFICIAL DATE
END OF THE
PANDEMIC
REALITY
PLAN DATE TO
END THE
PANDEMIC
JUNE 2022
https://news.un.org/f
r/story/2021/07/1100
412
THIS PLANIFICATION AND EXECUTION IS VALID ONLY FOR A LIMITED NUMBER OF COUNTRIES IN THE WORLD

6. IN FACT AS PRESENTED ON THE WEBSITE IT IS
ONLY 10 - 12 COUNTRIES IN THE WORLD
(INCLUDING FRANCE... WHICH HAS ALREADY
VACCINATE 63 MILLIONS PEOPLE) OVER 195
COUNTRIES WHICH HAVE RECEIVED THE COVID
VACCINE, THUS THE COVID PANDEMICSAND WILL
FINISHED IN 2 MONTHS

7. If we want to know when the world population will be
protected against the covid 19
one has to return to Tedros hypothesis that says 10% in
Sept 2021, 40% in Dec 2021 and Mid year 2022, so the 8
bns people are vaccinated thus, one can start the
economic recovery (Tedros, director of WHO)
One can think about the reality of the assumption in
order to correct the gaps

8. 3.6/5.6
the world population the world p
the world
population
2/3 if the world
population is
vaccinated
100% UNVACCINATED
WORLD POPULATION
BEFORE MARCH 2021
63% VACCINATED
WORLD POPULATION
IN JULY 2021

9. WORLD OF VACCINATION PER COUNTRY
NO COUNTRY IS VACCINATED
180 COUNTIRES ARE NOT
VACCINATED
15 COUNTRIES ARE VACCINATED

10. A small number of countries (15) are taking
all the doses of vaccines. While the huge
majority of countries (180) do not have
access to vaccine
worl
2/3 of the world
population
A small unmber of vaccinated
countries 15/195
Are monopolizing the total share of vaccines
(2/3 of the total vaccines)
15 countries have
the monopoly on the vaccines

11. One can wonder what are the conditions for such monopoly, and
if these can be removed, so the world population have access to
vaccine equity (8 bns people are equally vaccinated)
 Factors that conditions the vaccine
delivery:
 - lucky people concentration of
vaccine: No
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Vaccine %
% vaccinated persons
No N+ N+ Na

12. In fact there is no people priority because the covid vaccine does
not reduce death covid vaccine reduces only the signs of covid illness
so, we have to return to the causes of the pandemics, which was
the death of health workers, which prompted WHO director to raise
the alert on the covid pandemic.
Le seule passage obligé ce sont les personnels de santé qui transmettent
la maladie aux autres, lorsqu’ils rendent visite aux personnes malades,
en particuliers les vieux. Donc, comme le vaccin n’empêchera pas les
vieux de mourir (ceux qui devaient mourir sont déjà morts, donc il
faut protéger les vieux qui sont encore vivants en vaccinant les
porteurs à risque (les personnels soignants) et éventuellement
les enfants, qui sont capable de

13. Donc, il faut faire 2 groupes de vaccins
les personnels de santé et tous les autres
en commencant par vacciner tous les
personnels de santé dans le monde. Et une
fois vaccine on reprend la méthode classique
de la vaccination pour les autres.

14. COVID 19 VACCINES
EQUITY FOR ALL

15. Les listes prioritaires inutiles:
N1 les faux prioritaires qui cause les
inégalités
 Les policiers
 les gendarmes
 ...
 tous ces personels sont comme mois,
ils font du sport, ils ont une bonne
immunitié, donc, il ne faut qu’il ai le
monopole des vaccins sur les vrais
personnes à risque

16. Conclusion: on arriva a construire un modèle de
flux avec les personnes à vacciner
No : Population mondiale
N1: population des 15 pays qui vont atteindre la
fin de l’épidémie dans 2 mois)
N3: la population mondiale sans le monopole, mais
vulnérable et qui représente 33% de la population
à vacciner.
Dans ces 33% il y 2 catégories;
Na: personnel soignant prioritaire
Nb: personnels non prioritaire (y compris les vieux)

17. La structure du flux (construction of calculator
for covid 19 illnesses and a vaccine priority)
2 bns No - N+ - [(Na+Nb)]
World
Population
15 rich countries
vaccinated people
Nurses and medical
staffs
Les personnes
non vulnerables
(les faux
prioritaires)
les vieux (X) les
militaires (y),
les polciers (z)
le enfants (t)
No - N+
Nb
--
= Na
x y z t
15 lucky
countries
Na vaccins pour les
personnels de
santé en priorité
No

18. Statistics for the covid 19 calculator (I.A.,
algorithm...)https://www.nejm.org/action/downlo
adFigures?doi=10.1056%2FNEJMra1111610&id=t01
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5
4
Catégorie 1
N+ Na

19. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
12 13 14
400
5600
5200
Theory
(planning)
Monthly distribution
400 x 1000000 doses
Mai 2021 Juin 2022
Rate of distribution
per 195 countries
3600
22/07/21
22/07/21
Δ = + 2 200 000 000
2000 -LES PERSONNEMS
DES ANT2

20. BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCH
DEVELOPMENT
 HOPE YOU HAVE ENJOYED THE
PRESENTATION ON THE COVID 19
VACCINES
 THANKS, FRIENDS
 AUTHOR: GEORGES RADJOU