SlideShare a Scribd company logo
This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic
conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially due to changes in technology, the
development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed
herein and under the heading "Factors Affecting Future Results" in the Investors section of our website at:
www.exxonmobil.com. The information provided includes ExxonMobil's internal estimates and forecasts
based upon internal data and analyses as well as publically-available information from external sources
including the International Energy Agency. This material is not to be used or reproduced without the
permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation. All rights reserved.
The Outlook
for Energy:
A View to 2040
Bill Colton
December 9, 2014
2
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
trade
flows
Energy Outlook Development
100 countries
15 demand
sectors
20 fuel
types
technology & policy
3
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
13,000 AA batteries
4,000 smart phone batteries
Energy Measures and Units
24,500 BTU1 log =
5 logs1 gallon gasoline =
1 gallon gasoline 36 kWh=
4
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
2010 U.S. Daily Per Capita Energy Demand
7
6
Household Use
Personal Transportation
6
Commercial Transportation
4
Industrial
11
Commercial Buildings
34
Total
7
5
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
2010 World Daily Energy Demand
34
U.S. Per Capita
7
Times 7 billion people =
~12 billion gallons per day
260 MBDOE
525 QUADS
9
World Per Capita
1.7
6
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Global Progress Drives Demand
Population
Billion
GDP
Trillion 2010$
Energy Demand
Quadrillion BTUs
OECD*
Key Growth
China
India
Rest of World
Energy
Savings
*Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
7
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
PPP 2005$k
Standards of Living Increase in the Non OECD
2040 GDP per Capita
2010
*Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
8
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
The Middle Class Continues to Grow
Billion People
China
India
Key Growth
Rest of World
OECD*
Middle Class per The Brookings Institution
Brazil
Mexico
South
Africa
Nigeria
Saudi
Arabia
Indonesia
Thailand
Egypt
China
India
Turkey
Iran
*Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
9
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Primary Energy Demand by Sector
Quadrillion BTUs
‘10
‘25
‘40
Transportation Res/CommIndustrialElectricity
Generation
Electricity Generation Leads Growth
10
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Primary Energy Demand by Sector
Quadrillion BTUs
Electricity Generation Leads Growth
Non OECD
OECD
‘10
‘25
‘40
Transportation Res/CommIndustrialElectricity
Generation
11
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Transportation
12
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Sector Demand
MBDOE
Light Duty
Marine
Rail
Heavy Duty
Aviation
Transportation Demand
13
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
2040 LDV Fleet
Base Fleet
Population Growth
Improved Standard of Living
Light Duty Vehicle Fleet and Demand
World LDV Demand
MBDOE
Improved Standard
of Living
Population Growth
Million
*Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
Energy
Savings
14
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Light Duty Vehicles
Fleet by Type
Million
15
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
OECD*
Key Growth
China
India
Rest of World
Heavy Duty Demand by Region
Heavy Duty Transportation
MBDOE
*Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
Heavy Duty Demand by Fuel
MBDOE
Gasoline
Diesel
Other
Gas
16
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Industrial
17
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Industrial Demand
Industrial Demand by Sector
Quadrillion BTUs
Other
Energy Industry
Heavy Industry
Chemical
Plastics
Fertilizer
Paint
Steel
Textiles
Liquid
Fuels
Coal
Natural Gas
Agriculture
Lubricants
Asphalt
Automobiles
18
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Electricity Generation
19
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Improved
Standard of Living
Population Growth
Electricity Demand
Electricity Demand by Region
Thousand TWh
Electricity Demand
Thousand TWh
United States
India
Europe
China
Key Growth
2014
Industrial Growth
Base Demand
20
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Fuel Choices for Power Generation
Source: EPRI, Generation Technology Assessment
Relative
benefit/impact
Coal
Coal w/
CCS
Natural
Gas
Nuclear Wind
Solar
Photovoltaic
More Favorable Less Favorable
Construction Cost
Land Use
Water Requirements
Non-CO2 Emissions
Waste Products
Flexibility
Electricity Cost
CO2 Emissions
Availability
21
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Electricity Generation Fuel by Region
Quadrillion BTUs
‘10 ‘25
‘40
Key Growth
Oil
Gas
Coal
Nuclear
Solar
Wind
Other
*Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
22
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Global Demand
2040 By Fuel
Quadrillion BTUs
Average Growth / Yr.
2010 - 2040
1.0%
2010
0.8%
1.6%
2.3%0.5%
5.8% 1.8%
0.1%
23
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
CO2 Emissions
24
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
World Emissions
Billion metric tonnes
CO2 Emissions by Region
OECD*
Rest of World
India
China
Key Growth
*Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
Emissions per Capita
Tonnes / Person
‘10
‘40
25
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Supply
26
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Conventional
Crude & Condensate
Liquids Supply
MBDOE
World Supply by Type
Trillion Barrels
Crude & Condensate Resource Estimates
Biofuels
Other
Tight Oil
Oil Sands
Natural Gas Liquids
Deepwater
Developed Conventional
Crude & Condensate
New Conventional
C&C Development
Source: USGS and IEA historical estimates
27
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Liquids Trade Balance by Region
North
America
MBDOE
Other
Natural Gas Liquids
Biofuels
Tight Oil
Oil Sands
Deepwater
Conventional C&C Development
Conventional Crude & Condensate
Demand
‘10 ‘30‘20 ‘40‘10 ‘20 ‘30 ‘40
28
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Liquids Trade Balance by Region
North
America
Latin
America
Europe Russia/
Caspian
Africa Middle
East
Asia
Pacific
MBDOE
Biofuels
Natural Gas Liquids
Other
Tight Oil
Oil Sands
Deepwater
Conventional C&C Development
Conventional Crude & Condensate
Demand
‘10 ‘30 ‘40‘20
29
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Gas Trade Balance by Region
North
America
Latin
America
Europe Russia/
Caspian
Africa Middle
East
Asia
Pacific
BCFD
‘10 ‘30 ‘40‘20
Demand
Unconventional Production
Conventional Production
30
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Indicative trade flows
Energy Trade
31
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Local Production
Pipeline
LNG
Local Production
Energy Trade
BCFD
Gas DemandLiquids Demand
MBDOE
Imports/Exports
32
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Developing Economies Dominate Growth
OECD*
Rest of World
India
China
Key Growth
Quadrillion BTUs
Demand by Region
*Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
33
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Energy Use Evolves Over Time
Biomass
Coal
Oil
Gas
Hydro
Nuclear
Other Renewables
Quadrillion BTUs
Demand by Fuel
34
The Outlook for Energy:
A View to 2040

More Related Content

What's hot

Global power demand - Presentation by IEA Executive Director
Global power demand - Presentation by IEA Executive DirectorGlobal power demand - Presentation by IEA Executive Director
Global power demand - Presentation by IEA Executive DirectorInternational Energy Agency
 
The role of CCS in mitigation scenarios - Ellina Levina, IEA
The role of CCS in mitigation scenarios - Ellina Levina, IEA The role of CCS in mitigation scenarios - Ellina Levina, IEA
The role of CCS in mitigation scenarios - Ellina Levina, IEA Global CCS Institute
 
World Energy Outlook 2015: Presentation to Press
World Energy Outlook 2015: Presentation to PressWorld Energy Outlook 2015: Presentation to Press
World Energy Outlook 2015: Presentation to PressInternational Energy Agency
 
Global Energy Outlook and the Implications for Africa
Global Energy Outlook and the Implications for AfricaGlobal Energy Outlook and the Implications for Africa
Global Energy Outlook and the Implications for AfricaInternational Energy Agency
 
IEA Southeast Asia Energy Outlook, from World Energy Outlook 2015
IEA Southeast Asia Energy Outlook, from World Energy Outlook 2015IEA Southeast Asia Energy Outlook, from World Energy Outlook 2015
IEA Southeast Asia Energy Outlook, from World Energy Outlook 2015International Energy Agency
 
India's Energy Sector - How to increase Oil Supply
India's Energy Sector - How to increase Oil Supply India's Energy Sector - How to increase Oil Supply
India's Energy Sector - How to increase Oil Supply Nitesh Luthra
 
BP Energy Outlook 2035: 2015 Presentation
BP Energy Outlook 2035: 2015 PresentationBP Energy Outlook 2035: 2015 Presentation
BP Energy Outlook 2035: 2015 Presentationbp
 
10 Cool Things About Wind Energy
10 Cool Things About Wind Energy10 Cool Things About Wind Energy
10 Cool Things About Wind EnergyMeridianEnergyNZ
 
IEA World Energy Outlook 2015 presentation
IEA World Energy Outlook 2015 presentationIEA World Energy Outlook 2015 presentation
IEA World Energy Outlook 2015 presentationEnergy for One World
 
IEA 2016 World Energy Investment Report PowerPoint
IEA 2016 World Energy Investment Report PowerPointIEA 2016 World Energy Investment Report PowerPoint
IEA 2016 World Energy Investment Report PowerPointMarcellus Drilling News
 
World Energy Outlook 2016 - Executive Summary
World Energy Outlook 2016 - Executive SummaryWorld Energy Outlook 2016 - Executive Summary
World Energy Outlook 2016 - Executive SummaryMarcellus Drilling News
 
BP Energy Outlook 2035: 2014 Booklet
BP Energy Outlook 2035: 2014 BookletBP Energy Outlook 2035: 2014 Booklet
BP Energy Outlook 2035: 2014 Bookletbp
 
World Energy Outlook 2014 - Dr. Fatih BIROL
World Energy Outlook 2014 - Dr. Fatih BIROLWorld Energy Outlook 2014 - Dr. Fatih BIROL
World Energy Outlook 2014 - Dr. Fatih BIROLCluster TWEED
 

What's hot (20)

Global power demand - Presentation by IEA Executive Director
Global power demand - Presentation by IEA Executive DirectorGlobal power demand - Presentation by IEA Executive Director
Global power demand - Presentation by IEA Executive Director
 
Iea ministerial meeting 19 november 2013
Iea ministerial meeting 19 november 2013Iea ministerial meeting 19 november 2013
Iea ministerial meeting 19 november 2013
 
The role of CCS in mitigation scenarios - Ellina Levina, IEA
The role of CCS in mitigation scenarios - Ellina Levina, IEA The role of CCS in mitigation scenarios - Ellina Levina, IEA
The role of CCS in mitigation scenarios - Ellina Levina, IEA
 
World Energy Outlook 2015: Presentation to Press
World Energy Outlook 2015: Presentation to PressWorld Energy Outlook 2015: Presentation to Press
World Energy Outlook 2015: Presentation to Press
 
Global Energy Outlook and the Implications for Africa
Global Energy Outlook and the Implications for AfricaGlobal Energy Outlook and the Implications for Africa
Global Energy Outlook and the Implications for Africa
 
IEA Southeast Asia Energy Outlook, from World Energy Outlook 2015
IEA Southeast Asia Energy Outlook, from World Energy Outlook 2015IEA Southeast Asia Energy Outlook, from World Energy Outlook 2015
IEA Southeast Asia Energy Outlook, from World Energy Outlook 2015
 
India's Energy Sector - How to increase Oil Supply
India's Energy Sector - How to increase Oil Supply India's Energy Sector - How to increase Oil Supply
India's Energy Sector - How to increase Oil Supply
 
IEA Medium-Term Coal Market Report 2015
IEA Medium-Term Coal Market Report 2015IEA Medium-Term Coal Market Report 2015
IEA Medium-Term Coal Market Report 2015
 
BP Energy Outlook 2035: 2015 Presentation
BP Energy Outlook 2035: 2015 PresentationBP Energy Outlook 2035: 2015 Presentation
BP Energy Outlook 2035: 2015 Presentation
 
Tracking Clean Energy Progress Report
Tracking Clean Energy Progress Report Tracking Clean Energy Progress Report
Tracking Clean Energy Progress Report
 
10 Cool Things About Wind Energy
10 Cool Things About Wind Energy10 Cool Things About Wind Energy
10 Cool Things About Wind Energy
 
Energy Technology Perspectives 2014
Energy Technology Perspectives 2014Energy Technology Perspectives 2014
Energy Technology Perspectives 2014
 
IEA World Energy Outlook 2015 presentation
IEA World Energy Outlook 2015 presentationIEA World Energy Outlook 2015 presentation
IEA World Energy Outlook 2015 presentation
 
IEA 2016 World Energy Investment Report PowerPoint
IEA 2016 World Energy Investment Report PowerPointIEA 2016 World Energy Investment Report PowerPoint
IEA 2016 World Energy Investment Report PowerPoint
 
World Energy Outlook 2016 - Executive Summary
World Energy Outlook 2016 - Executive SummaryWorld Energy Outlook 2016 - Executive Summary
World Energy Outlook 2016 - Executive Summary
 
BP Energy Outlook 2035: 2014 Booklet
BP Energy Outlook 2035: 2014 BookletBP Energy Outlook 2035: 2014 Booklet
BP Energy Outlook 2035: 2014 Booklet
 
Medium-Term Oil Market Report 2016
Medium-Term Oil Market Report 2016Medium-Term Oil Market Report 2016
Medium-Term Oil Market Report 2016
 
World Energy Outlook 2014 - Dr. Fatih BIROL
World Energy Outlook 2014 - Dr. Fatih BIROLWorld Energy Outlook 2014 - Dr. Fatih BIROL
World Energy Outlook 2014 - Dr. Fatih BIROL
 
Southeast Asia Energy Outlook
Southeast Asia Energy OutlookSoutheast Asia Energy Outlook
Southeast Asia Energy Outlook
 
Asia Rising Industrial dynamism barometer - Oil & Gas
Asia Rising Industrial dynamism barometer - Oil & GasAsia Rising Industrial dynamism barometer - Oil & Gas
Asia Rising Industrial dynamism barometer - Oil & Gas
 

Similar to 2015 Outlook For Energy presentation

Steven fries's presentation slides from the 2010 World National Oil Companies...
Steven fries's presentation slides from the 2010 World National Oil Companies...Steven fries's presentation slides from the 2010 World National Oil Companies...
Steven fries's presentation slides from the 2010 World National Oil Companies...oilandgas
 
IEO2021_ChartLibrary_full.pptx
IEO2021_ChartLibrary_full.pptxIEO2021_ChartLibrary_full.pptx
IEO2021_ChartLibrary_full.pptxBeemkumarN
 
World Energy Outlook 2010 London Nov9
World Energy Outlook 2010 London Nov9World Energy Outlook 2010 London Nov9
World Energy Outlook 2010 London Nov9Gareth Johnston
 
Lithium industry primer (nov 2019)
Lithium industry primer (nov 2019)Lithium industry primer (nov 2019)
Lithium industry primer (nov 2019)Bianca Pisciola
 
Global EV Outlook 2023_WEB International Energy Agency.pdf
Global EV Outlook 2023_WEB International Energy Agency.pdfGlobal EV Outlook 2023_WEB International Energy Agency.pdf
Global EV Outlook 2023_WEB International Energy Agency.pdfssuserc531861
 
Lithium Industry Review
Lithium Industry ReviewLithium Industry Review
Lithium Industry ReviewReach Markets
 
2010 deep research report on china new energy vehicles
2010 deep research report on china new energy vehicles2010 deep research report on china new energy vehicles
2010 deep research report on china new energy vehiclesqyresearch
 
2010 deep research report on china new energy vehicles
2010 deep research report on china new energy vehicles2010 deep research report on china new energy vehicles
2010 deep research report on china new energy vehiclesqyresearch
 
WEO 2008 WEC 19th March ROME
WEO 2008 WEC 19th March ROMEWEO 2008 WEC 19th March ROME
WEO 2008 WEC 19th March ROMEnewcler
 
Mark Walkington on the Ministry of Economic Development's energy projections
Mark Walkington on the Ministry of Economic Development's energy projectionsMark Walkington on the Ministry of Economic Development's energy projections
Mark Walkington on the Ministry of Economic Development's energy projectionsmhjbnz
 

Similar to 2015 Outlook For Energy presentation (20)

Steven fries's presentation slides from the 2010 World National Oil Companies...
Steven fries's presentation slides from the 2010 World National Oil Companies...Steven fries's presentation slides from the 2010 World National Oil Companies...
Steven fries's presentation slides from the 2010 World National Oil Companies...
 
International Energy Outlook
International Energy OutlookInternational Energy Outlook
International Energy Outlook
 
IEO2021_ChartLibrary_full.pptx
IEO2021_ChartLibrary_full.pptxIEO2021_ChartLibrary_full.pptx
IEO2021_ChartLibrary_full.pptx
 
Weo2010 london nov9
Weo2010 london nov9Weo2010 london nov9
Weo2010 london nov9
 
World Energy Outlook 2010 London Nov9
World Energy Outlook 2010 London Nov9World Energy Outlook 2010 London Nov9
World Energy Outlook 2010 London Nov9
 
Exxon mobil energy_outlook_2013
Exxon mobil energy_outlook_2013Exxon mobil energy_outlook_2013
Exxon mobil energy_outlook_2013
 
PLU Lithium Primer
PLU Lithium PrimerPLU Lithium Primer
PLU Lithium Primer
 
Lithium industry primer (nov 2019)
Lithium industry primer (nov 2019)Lithium industry primer (nov 2019)
Lithium industry primer (nov 2019)
 
ELECTRIC CAR
ELECTRIC CARELECTRIC CAR
ELECTRIC CAR
 
2017 Melchett Lecture
2017 Melchett Lecture2017 Melchett Lecture
2017 Melchett Lecture
 
World Energy Outlook - Parliamentary Days 2015
World Energy Outlook - Parliamentary Days 2015World Energy Outlook - Parliamentary Days 2015
World Energy Outlook - Parliamentary Days 2015
 
Global EV Outlook 2023_WEB International Energy Agency.pdf
Global EV Outlook 2023_WEB International Energy Agency.pdfGlobal EV Outlook 2023_WEB International Energy Agency.pdf
Global EV Outlook 2023_WEB International Energy Agency.pdf
 
Creating an affordable low carbon energy system for the UK - Mike Colechin, E...
Creating an affordable low carbon energy system for the UK - Mike Colechin, E...Creating an affordable low carbon energy system for the UK - Mike Colechin, E...
Creating an affordable low carbon energy system for the UK - Mike Colechin, E...
 
Lithium Industry Review
Lithium Industry ReviewLithium Industry Review
Lithium Industry Review
 
NZC - Prochazka
NZC - ProchazkaNZC - Prochazka
NZC - Prochazka
 
2010 deep research report on china new energy vehicles
2010 deep research report on china new energy vehicles2010 deep research report on china new energy vehicles
2010 deep research report on china new energy vehicles
 
2010 deep research report on china new energy vehicles
2010 deep research report on china new energy vehicles2010 deep research report on china new energy vehicles
2010 deep research report on china new energy vehicles
 
World Energy Outlook
World Energy OutlookWorld Energy Outlook
World Energy Outlook
 
WEO 2008 WEC 19th March ROME
WEO 2008 WEC 19th March ROMEWEO 2008 WEC 19th March ROME
WEO 2008 WEC 19th March ROME
 
Mark Walkington on the Ministry of Economic Development's energy projections
Mark Walkington on the Ministry of Economic Development's energy projectionsMark Walkington on the Ministry of Economic Development's energy projections
Mark Walkington on the Ministry of Economic Development's energy projections
 

Recently uploaded

The Truth About Dinesh Bafna's Situation.pdf
The Truth About Dinesh Bafna's Situation.pdfThe Truth About Dinesh Bafna's Situation.pdf
The Truth About Dinesh Bafna's Situation.pdfMont Surfaces
 
Unveiling the Dynamic Gemini_ Personality Traits and Sign Dates.pptx
Unveiling the Dynamic Gemini_ Personality Traits and Sign Dates.pptxUnveiling the Dynamic Gemini_ Personality Traits and Sign Dates.pptx
Unveiling the Dynamic Gemini_ Personality Traits and Sign Dates.pptxmy Pandit
 
Future of Trade 2024 - Decoupled and Reconfigured - Snapshot Report
Future of Trade 2024 - Decoupled and Reconfigured - Snapshot ReportFuture of Trade 2024 - Decoupled and Reconfigured - Snapshot Report
Future of Trade 2024 - Decoupled and Reconfigured - Snapshot ReportDubai Multi Commodity Centre
 
Equinox Gold Corporate Deck May 24th 2024
Equinox Gold Corporate Deck May 24th 2024Equinox Gold Corporate Deck May 24th 2024
Equinox Gold Corporate Deck May 24th 2024Equinox Gold Corp.
 
Global Interconnection Group Joint Venture[960] (1).pdf
Global Interconnection Group Joint Venture[960] (1).pdfGlobal Interconnection Group Joint Venture[960] (1).pdf
Global Interconnection Group Joint Venture[960] (1).pdfHenry Tapper
 
USA classified ads posting – best classified sites in usa.pdf
USA classified ads posting – best classified sites in usa.pdfUSA classified ads posting – best classified sites in usa.pdf
USA classified ads posting – best classified sites in usa.pdfsuperbizness1227
 
8 Questions B2B Commercial Teams Can Ask To Help Product Discovery
8 Questions B2B Commercial Teams Can Ask To Help Product Discovery8 Questions B2B Commercial Teams Can Ask To Help Product Discovery
8 Questions B2B Commercial Teams Can Ask To Help Product DiscoveryDesmond Leo
 
The Inspiring Personality To Watch In 2024.pdf
The Inspiring Personality To Watch In 2024.pdfThe Inspiring Personality To Watch In 2024.pdf
The Inspiring Personality To Watch In 2024.pdfinsightssuccess2
 
Potato Flakes Manufacturing Plant Project Report.pdf
Potato Flakes Manufacturing Plant Project Report.pdfPotato Flakes Manufacturing Plant Project Report.pdf
Potato Flakes Manufacturing Plant Project Report.pdfhostl9518
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting Setup for Small Businesses
Falcon Invoice Discounting Setup for Small BusinessesFalcon Invoice Discounting Setup for Small Businesses
Falcon Invoice Discounting Setup for Small BusinessesFalcon investment
 
Unlock Your TikTok Potential: Free TikTok Likes with InstBlast
Unlock Your TikTok Potential: Free TikTok Likes with InstBlastUnlock Your TikTok Potential: Free TikTok Likes with InstBlast
Unlock Your TikTok Potential: Free TikTok Likes with InstBlastInstBlast Marketing
 
Revolutionizing Industries: The Power of Carbon Components
Revolutionizing Industries: The Power of Carbon ComponentsRevolutionizing Industries: The Power of Carbon Components
Revolutionizing Industries: The Power of Carbon ComponentsConnova AG
 
Copyright: What Creators and Users of Art Need to Know
Copyright: What Creators and Users of Art Need to KnowCopyright: What Creators and Users of Art Need to Know
Copyright: What Creators and Users of Art Need to KnowMiriam Robeson
 
India’s Recommended Women Surgeons to Watch in 2024.pdf
India’s Recommended Women Surgeons to Watch in 2024.pdfIndia’s Recommended Women Surgeons to Watch in 2024.pdf
India’s Recommended Women Surgeons to Watch in 2024.pdfCIOLOOKIndia
 
Inside the Black Box of Venture Capital (VC)
Inside the Black Box of Venture Capital (VC)Inside the Black Box of Venture Capital (VC)
Inside the Black Box of Venture Capital (VC)Alejandro Cremades
 
Understanding UAE Labour Law: Key Points for Employers and Employees
Understanding UAE Labour Law: Key Points for Employers and EmployeesUnderstanding UAE Labour Law: Key Points for Employers and Employees
Understanding UAE Labour Law: Key Points for Employers and EmployeesDragon Dream Bar
 
What is social media.pdf Social media refers to digital platforms and applica...
What is social media.pdf Social media refers to digital platforms and applica...What is social media.pdf Social media refers to digital platforms and applica...
What is social media.pdf Social media refers to digital platforms and applica...AnaBeatriz125525
 
zidauu _business communication.pptx /pdf
zidauu _business  communication.pptx /pdfzidauu _business  communication.pptx /pdf
zidauu _business communication.pptx /pdfzukhrafshabbir
 
Special Purpose Vehicle (Purpose, Formation & examples)
Special Purpose Vehicle (Purpose, Formation & examples)Special Purpose Vehicle (Purpose, Formation & examples)
Special Purpose Vehicle (Purpose, Formation & examples)linciy03
 
Series A Fundraising Guide (Investing Individuals Improving Our World) by Accion
Series A Fundraising Guide (Investing Individuals Improving Our World) by AccionSeries A Fundraising Guide (Investing Individuals Improving Our World) by Accion
Series A Fundraising Guide (Investing Individuals Improving Our World) by AccionAlejandro Cremades
 

Recently uploaded (20)

The Truth About Dinesh Bafna's Situation.pdf
The Truth About Dinesh Bafna's Situation.pdfThe Truth About Dinesh Bafna's Situation.pdf
The Truth About Dinesh Bafna's Situation.pdf
 
Unveiling the Dynamic Gemini_ Personality Traits and Sign Dates.pptx
Unveiling the Dynamic Gemini_ Personality Traits and Sign Dates.pptxUnveiling the Dynamic Gemini_ Personality Traits and Sign Dates.pptx
Unveiling the Dynamic Gemini_ Personality Traits and Sign Dates.pptx
 
Future of Trade 2024 - Decoupled and Reconfigured - Snapshot Report
Future of Trade 2024 - Decoupled and Reconfigured - Snapshot ReportFuture of Trade 2024 - Decoupled and Reconfigured - Snapshot Report
Future of Trade 2024 - Decoupled and Reconfigured - Snapshot Report
 
Equinox Gold Corporate Deck May 24th 2024
Equinox Gold Corporate Deck May 24th 2024Equinox Gold Corporate Deck May 24th 2024
Equinox Gold Corporate Deck May 24th 2024
 
Global Interconnection Group Joint Venture[960] (1).pdf
Global Interconnection Group Joint Venture[960] (1).pdfGlobal Interconnection Group Joint Venture[960] (1).pdf
Global Interconnection Group Joint Venture[960] (1).pdf
 
USA classified ads posting – best classified sites in usa.pdf
USA classified ads posting – best classified sites in usa.pdfUSA classified ads posting – best classified sites in usa.pdf
USA classified ads posting – best classified sites in usa.pdf
 
8 Questions B2B Commercial Teams Can Ask To Help Product Discovery
8 Questions B2B Commercial Teams Can Ask To Help Product Discovery8 Questions B2B Commercial Teams Can Ask To Help Product Discovery
8 Questions B2B Commercial Teams Can Ask To Help Product Discovery
 
The Inspiring Personality To Watch In 2024.pdf
The Inspiring Personality To Watch In 2024.pdfThe Inspiring Personality To Watch In 2024.pdf
The Inspiring Personality To Watch In 2024.pdf
 
Potato Flakes Manufacturing Plant Project Report.pdf
Potato Flakes Manufacturing Plant Project Report.pdfPotato Flakes Manufacturing Plant Project Report.pdf
Potato Flakes Manufacturing Plant Project Report.pdf
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting Setup for Small Businesses
Falcon Invoice Discounting Setup for Small BusinessesFalcon Invoice Discounting Setup for Small Businesses
Falcon Invoice Discounting Setup for Small Businesses
 
Unlock Your TikTok Potential: Free TikTok Likes with InstBlast
Unlock Your TikTok Potential: Free TikTok Likes with InstBlastUnlock Your TikTok Potential: Free TikTok Likes with InstBlast
Unlock Your TikTok Potential: Free TikTok Likes with InstBlast
 
Revolutionizing Industries: The Power of Carbon Components
Revolutionizing Industries: The Power of Carbon ComponentsRevolutionizing Industries: The Power of Carbon Components
Revolutionizing Industries: The Power of Carbon Components
 
Copyright: What Creators and Users of Art Need to Know
Copyright: What Creators and Users of Art Need to KnowCopyright: What Creators and Users of Art Need to Know
Copyright: What Creators and Users of Art Need to Know
 
India’s Recommended Women Surgeons to Watch in 2024.pdf
India’s Recommended Women Surgeons to Watch in 2024.pdfIndia’s Recommended Women Surgeons to Watch in 2024.pdf
India’s Recommended Women Surgeons to Watch in 2024.pdf
 
Inside the Black Box of Venture Capital (VC)
Inside the Black Box of Venture Capital (VC)Inside the Black Box of Venture Capital (VC)
Inside the Black Box of Venture Capital (VC)
 
Understanding UAE Labour Law: Key Points for Employers and Employees
Understanding UAE Labour Law: Key Points for Employers and EmployeesUnderstanding UAE Labour Law: Key Points for Employers and Employees
Understanding UAE Labour Law: Key Points for Employers and Employees
 
What is social media.pdf Social media refers to digital platforms and applica...
What is social media.pdf Social media refers to digital platforms and applica...What is social media.pdf Social media refers to digital platforms and applica...
What is social media.pdf Social media refers to digital platforms and applica...
 
zidauu _business communication.pptx /pdf
zidauu _business  communication.pptx /pdfzidauu _business  communication.pptx /pdf
zidauu _business communication.pptx /pdf
 
Special Purpose Vehicle (Purpose, Formation & examples)
Special Purpose Vehicle (Purpose, Formation & examples)Special Purpose Vehicle (Purpose, Formation & examples)
Special Purpose Vehicle (Purpose, Formation & examples)
 
Series A Fundraising Guide (Investing Individuals Improving Our World) by Accion
Series A Fundraising Guide (Investing Individuals Improving Our World) by AccionSeries A Fundraising Guide (Investing Individuals Improving Our World) by Accion
Series A Fundraising Guide (Investing Individuals Improving Our World) by Accion
 

2015 Outlook For Energy presentation

  • 1. This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially due to changes in technology, the development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed herein and under the heading "Factors Affecting Future Results" in the Investors section of our website at: www.exxonmobil.com. The information provided includes ExxonMobil's internal estimates and forecasts based upon internal data and analyses as well as publically-available information from external sources including the International Energy Agency. This material is not to be used or reproduced without the permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation. All rights reserved. The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040 Bill Colton December 9, 2014
  • 2. 2 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy trade flows Energy Outlook Development 100 countries 15 demand sectors 20 fuel types technology & policy
  • 3. 3 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy 13,000 AA batteries 4,000 smart phone batteries Energy Measures and Units 24,500 BTU1 log = 5 logs1 gallon gasoline = 1 gallon gasoline 36 kWh=
  • 4. 4 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy 2010 U.S. Daily Per Capita Energy Demand 7 6 Household Use Personal Transportation 6 Commercial Transportation 4 Industrial 11 Commercial Buildings 34 Total 7
  • 5. 5 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy 2010 World Daily Energy Demand 34 U.S. Per Capita 7 Times 7 billion people = ~12 billion gallons per day 260 MBDOE 525 QUADS 9 World Per Capita 1.7
  • 6. 6 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Global Progress Drives Demand Population Billion GDP Trillion 2010$ Energy Demand Quadrillion BTUs OECD* Key Growth China India Rest of World Energy Savings *Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
  • 7. 7 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy PPP 2005$k Standards of Living Increase in the Non OECD 2040 GDP per Capita 2010 *Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
  • 8. 8 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy The Middle Class Continues to Grow Billion People China India Key Growth Rest of World OECD* Middle Class per The Brookings Institution Brazil Mexico South Africa Nigeria Saudi Arabia Indonesia Thailand Egypt China India Turkey Iran *Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
  • 9. 9 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Primary Energy Demand by Sector Quadrillion BTUs ‘10 ‘25 ‘40 Transportation Res/CommIndustrialElectricity Generation Electricity Generation Leads Growth
  • 10. 10 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Primary Energy Demand by Sector Quadrillion BTUs Electricity Generation Leads Growth Non OECD OECD ‘10 ‘25 ‘40 Transportation Res/CommIndustrialElectricity Generation
  • 11. 11 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Transportation
  • 12. 12 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Sector Demand MBDOE Light Duty Marine Rail Heavy Duty Aviation Transportation Demand
  • 13. 13 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy 2040 LDV Fleet Base Fleet Population Growth Improved Standard of Living Light Duty Vehicle Fleet and Demand World LDV Demand MBDOE Improved Standard of Living Population Growth Million *Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries Energy Savings
  • 14. 14 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Light Duty Vehicles Fleet by Type Million
  • 15. 15 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy OECD* Key Growth China India Rest of World Heavy Duty Demand by Region Heavy Duty Transportation MBDOE *Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries Heavy Duty Demand by Fuel MBDOE Gasoline Diesel Other Gas
  • 16. 16 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Industrial
  • 17. 17 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Industrial Demand Industrial Demand by Sector Quadrillion BTUs Other Energy Industry Heavy Industry Chemical Plastics Fertilizer Paint Steel Textiles Liquid Fuels Coal Natural Gas Agriculture Lubricants Asphalt Automobiles
  • 18. 18 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Electricity Generation
  • 19. 19 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Improved Standard of Living Population Growth Electricity Demand Electricity Demand by Region Thousand TWh Electricity Demand Thousand TWh United States India Europe China Key Growth 2014 Industrial Growth Base Demand
  • 20. 20 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Fuel Choices for Power Generation Source: EPRI, Generation Technology Assessment Relative benefit/impact Coal Coal w/ CCS Natural Gas Nuclear Wind Solar Photovoltaic More Favorable Less Favorable Construction Cost Land Use Water Requirements Non-CO2 Emissions Waste Products Flexibility Electricity Cost CO2 Emissions Availability
  • 21. 21 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Electricity Generation Fuel by Region Quadrillion BTUs ‘10 ‘25 ‘40 Key Growth Oil Gas Coal Nuclear Solar Wind Other *Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
  • 22. 22 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Global Demand 2040 By Fuel Quadrillion BTUs Average Growth / Yr. 2010 - 2040 1.0% 2010 0.8% 1.6% 2.3%0.5% 5.8% 1.8% 0.1%
  • 23. 23 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy CO2 Emissions
  • 24. 24 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy World Emissions Billion metric tonnes CO2 Emissions by Region OECD* Rest of World India China Key Growth *Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries Emissions per Capita Tonnes / Person ‘10 ‘40
  • 25. 25 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Supply
  • 26. 26 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Conventional Crude & Condensate Liquids Supply MBDOE World Supply by Type Trillion Barrels Crude & Condensate Resource Estimates Biofuels Other Tight Oil Oil Sands Natural Gas Liquids Deepwater Developed Conventional Crude & Condensate New Conventional C&C Development Source: USGS and IEA historical estimates
  • 27. 27 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Liquids Trade Balance by Region North America MBDOE Other Natural Gas Liquids Biofuels Tight Oil Oil Sands Deepwater Conventional C&C Development Conventional Crude & Condensate Demand ‘10 ‘30‘20 ‘40‘10 ‘20 ‘30 ‘40
  • 28. 28 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Liquids Trade Balance by Region North America Latin America Europe Russia/ Caspian Africa Middle East Asia Pacific MBDOE Biofuels Natural Gas Liquids Other Tight Oil Oil Sands Deepwater Conventional C&C Development Conventional Crude & Condensate Demand ‘10 ‘30 ‘40‘20
  • 29. 29 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Gas Trade Balance by Region North America Latin America Europe Russia/ Caspian Africa Middle East Asia Pacific BCFD ‘10 ‘30 ‘40‘20 Demand Unconventional Production Conventional Production
  • 30. 30 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Indicative trade flows Energy Trade
  • 31. 31 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Local Production Pipeline LNG Local Production Energy Trade BCFD Gas DemandLiquids Demand MBDOE Imports/Exports
  • 32. 32 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Developing Economies Dominate Growth OECD* Rest of World India China Key Growth Quadrillion BTUs Demand by Region *Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
  • 33. 33 ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy Energy Use Evolves Over Time Biomass Coal Oil Gas Hydro Nuclear Other Renewables Quadrillion BTUs Demand by Fuel
  • 34. 34 The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040