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Integrative Risk Management - Walter J. Ammann, CEO, Global Risk Forum GRF Davos, UNISDR STAG Member

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GPDRR 2013 side event: Disaster Risk Reduction: Government to Governance

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Integrative Risk Management - Walter J. Ammann, CEO, Global Risk Forum GRF Davos, UNISDR STAG Member

  1. 1. GP UNISDR Side EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann1SIDE EVENT:WEDNESDAY 22 MAY 2013DISASTER RISK REDUCTION: GOVERNMENT TOGOVERNANCEFROM DISASTER MANAGEMENT TOINTEGRATIVE RISK MANAGEMENT: THEPARADIGM SHIFT IN DRRWalter J. Ammann, CEO, Global Risk Forum GRF Davos,Davos, Switzerlandwalter.ammann@grforum.org
  2. 2. GP UNISDR Side EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann2DRR?• Disaster management (how to deal witha risk which has just become reality)• Risk reduction (how to prevent or limitpotential future disasters)DISASTER RISK REDUCTION DRR
  3. 3. GP UNISDR Side EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann3ProcessesRISKS: THE HAZARD SIDE
  4. 4. GP UNISDR Side EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann4Values exposed to hazardsVulnerabilityDamage potentialRISKS – THE VALUES AND VULNERABILITIES
  5. 5. GP UNISDR Side EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann5ProcessesValues exposed to hazardsDamage potentialRISKRISK – EXISTING VALUES AND DAMAGE POTENTIALRisks and opportunities (values) are twinsno development without risks
  6. 6. GP UNISDR Side EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann6What has to be done?Measures to be takenWhat canhappen?Risk AnalysisWhat isacceptable tohappen?Risk AssessmentHazard analysis (hazardintensity and exposureanalysis, vulnerability,Scenarios importantWhat is an acceptedsafety level?(Protection goals,acceptable risk levels)How safe is safe enough?DRR – CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
  7. 7. GP UNISDR Side EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann7What has to be done?Measures to be takenWhat canhappen?Risk AnalysisWhat isacceptable tohappen?Risk AssessmentHazard analysis (hazardintensity and exposureanalysis, vulnerability,Scenarios importantWhat is an acceptedsafety level?(Protection goals,acceptable risk levels)How safe is safe enough?DRR – CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORKParadigm shift:• Risk based approach (ex-ante): proactivepreventionInstead of:• Disaster centered approach (ex-post): intervention/recovery
  8. 8. GP UNISDR Side EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann8FLOODSSEVERE WINDSTORMSEARTHQUAKES/ TSUNAMISDROUGHTS,DESERTIFICATIONRESOURCE SCARCITIESSOCIAL UNRESTsBIOLOGICAL HAZARDSTECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDSGLOBAL CLIMATECHANGETERRORISMLAND DEGRADATIONPANDEMICSFINANCIAL CRISESBIOLOGICAL THREATSGOVERNANCE TO ENSURE MULTI RISK APPROACHENSURE COMPARABILITY OF RISKS
  9. 9. GP UNISDR Side EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann9GOVERNANCE TO LINK ALL THE VARIOUSSTAKEHOLDERS AND SCALESPolicy makersMediaSocietyAdministrationDecision makersPrivate SectorPractitionersScalelocal - community/city - regional – national - internationalCriticalInfrastructures’facilitators(private/public)
  10. 10. GP UNISDR Side EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann10• National risk strategy• Risk concept (unifying the risk basedapproach)Governance is key!HOW TO ACHIEVE THE PARADIGM SHIFT

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