HAVE WE FINALLY FOUNDTHE ELUSIVE HIGGS BOSON  PARTICLE OF DISASTER    RISK REDUCTION?        DR. Walter Hays GLOBAL ALLIAN...
MY ANSWER(BASED ON 40 YEARS OF GLOBAL        DISASTERS)        Is   YES
BACKGROUND
RISK ASSESSMENT                                        ACCEPTABLE RISK •HAZARD MAPS •INVENTORY                RISK •VULNER...
EIGHT CONCERNS OF ALL         CITIES• FIVE E’s: Economy, Energy,  Education, Environment, and  Ecology• TWO S’s: Sustainab...
THE HIGGS BOSON PARTICLECreates The      • Creates TheForce Field That   Influence FieldCauses Matter      That Causes    ...
THE “HIGGS BOSON”   PARTICLE IS THE GOD      PARTICLE - - - ----TheParticle In The Invisible  World That Creates The Force...
THE “HIGGS BOSON”PARTICLE OF DISASTER RISKREDUCTION IS THE PERSON ------ In The Visible World Who Creates The Influence Fi...
QUESTION---ARE YOU  A HIGGS BOSONPERSON FOR DISASTER RISK     REDUCTION ?
“YOU    ARE”--- IF• You have become a  multi-dimensionalKNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORdeveloping a city-specificknowledge base neede...
A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE        INTEGRATORSDURING THE 1970’S AND 1980’S A Focus on Programs for Individual          Nat...
“KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS”    1970’S AND 1980’S• GILBERT WHITE• JOANNE NIGG• TED ALGERMISSEN• KARL STEINBRUGGE• FOURNIER D’ABLE
“KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS”    1970’S AND 1980’S• HARESH SHAH• TSUNEO KATAYAMA• FAROUK TEBBAL• VIT KARNIK
A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE        INTEGRATORS     DURING THE 1990’SA Focus on The International Decade   For Natural Disa...
“KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS”            1990’S• FRANK PRESS• GEORGE HOUSNER• 188 NATIONAL COMMITTEES  (MEN AND WOMEN  PARTICIPA...
A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE        INTEGRATORS     DURING 2000-2012A Focus on The International Strategy       For Disaste...
“KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS”       2000’S—2010’S• UN - ISDR• GLOBAL RISK FORUM  (GRF’s History is too  short at present)• THE G...
IT IS TIME TO START  PLANNING FOR THEDISASTER RESILIENCE DIVIDEND      AUGUST 26, 2012
THE DISASTERRESILIENCE DIVIDEND      The DRD is HEALTHCARE   on a global scale
"Health is a state of complete physical, mental and social          well-beingand not merely the absence of    disease or ...
GLOBAL EDUCATIONAL         SURGES:A WAY TO CAUSE A PARADIGM          SHIFT  FROM DISASTER PRONE TO DISASTER    RESILIENCE ...
LINKED SURGES                              A GLOBAL                               A GLOBAL   A GLOBAL PLATFORM   A GLOBAL ...
NON-DISASTER RESILIENCE
CHARACTERISTICS OF A NON-   DISASTER-RESILIENT CITY• UN—PROTECTED, or• UN—PREPARED, or• UN—WARNED, or• UN--ABLE TO RESPOND...
UN—PROTECTED
COLLAPSE OF UN BUILDING; PORTAU PRINCE, HAITI: MARCH 10, 2010
COLLAPSED BUILDINGS:BEICHUAN, CHINA; MAY 12, 2008
UN—PREPARED
VARZAGHAN, IRAN: AUGUST 15, 2012
OVER 600 MILLION PEOPLEEXPERIENCE BLACKOUTS:JULY 2012
TRASH FROM THE MARCH 11,2011 JAPAN TSUNAMI; JULY 2012
FANGSHAN DISTRICT, BEIJING,   CHINA: JULY 25, 2012
UN—WARNED
KRYMSK, RUSSIA: FLASH FLOOD; JULY 8, 2012
BANDA ACHE, INDONESIA TSUNAMI:      DECEMBER 26, 2004• 230,000 died  mainly as the  result of  inadequate  warning
CYCLONE NARGISH: MYANMAR;      MARCH 12, 2009             • 2.4 MILLION PEOPLE               WERE SERIOUSLY               ...
NEVADA DEL RUIZ, COLOMBIA:           1989             • 24,000.DIED IN               ARMERO               BECAUSE         ...
UN--ABLE TO RESPOND
WENCHUAN, CHINA; EARTHQUAKE LAKE:MAY 31, 2008
WENCHUAN, CHINA: MAY 32, 2008
HURRICANE STAN: OCTOBER 2005              • DEVASTATING                MUDSLIDES                WERE                TRIGGE...
SEARCH AND RESCUE AFTERHURRICANE STAN: OCTOBER 2005             • WHEN A MUDSLIDE               BURIES A TOWN,            ...
KOCALEI, TURKEYEARTHQUAKE: AUGUST 1999           • MASS CARE             PROVIDES A             SAFETY NET FOR            ...
KOCALEI, TURKEYEARTHQUAKE:AUGUST1999          • A “TENT CITY”            PROVIDES            TEMPORARY            SHELTER ...
LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE FIRE  AND POWER OUTAGES: OCT.,1989                • M7.1                • 63 DEAD              ...
SAN FERNANDO, CA     EARTHQUAKE: FEB., 1971• LOWERING THE  WATER LEVEL  IMMEDIATELY  AFTER THE  EARTHQUAKE  PREVENTED  FLO...
UN—”PEPPER--ED”
WENCHUAN, CHINA EARTHQUAKE:        MAY 12, 2008              • 88,000 DEAD              • 30,000 INJURED              • 30...
MANAGUA, NICARAGUA EARTHQUAKE:           FEB, 1972                • 10,000 DEAD; 20,000                  INJURED; 300,000 ...
LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE:      OCTOBER 17, 1989              • M7.1              • 63 DEAD              • COLLAPSE AND L...
Have we finally found the elusive "Higgs Boson" particle of disaster risk Reduction?
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Have we finally found the elusive "Higgs Boson" particle of disaster risk Reduction?

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Walter West HAYS

Global Alliance For Disaster Reduction

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Have we finally found the elusive "Higgs Boson" particle of disaster risk Reduction?

  1. 1. HAVE WE FINALLY FOUNDTHE ELUSIVE HIGGS BOSON PARTICLE OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION? DR. Walter Hays GLOBAL ALLIANCE FOR DISASTER REDUCTION
  2. 2. MY ANSWER(BASED ON 40 YEARS OF GLOBAL DISASTERS) Is YES
  3. 3. BACKGROUND
  4. 4. RISK ASSESSMENT ACCEPTABLE RISK •HAZARD MAPS •INVENTORY RISK •VULNERABILITY UNACCEPTABLE RISK •LOCATION DISASTER RESILIENCE DATA BASES YOUR AND INFORMATION COMMUNITY INTEGRATED GOALS POLICIES / PRACTICES:HAZARDS: •PROTECTIONGROUND SHAKINGGROUND FAILURE •PREPAREDNESSSURFACE FAULTINGTECTONIC DEFORMATION •EARLY WARNINGTSUNAMI RUN UP •EM. RESPONSEAFTERSHOCKS •RECOVERY & RECONSTUCT
  5. 5. EIGHT CONCERNS OF ALL CITIES• FIVE E’s: Economy, Energy, Education, Environment, and Ecology• TWO S’s: Sustainability and Security• ONE H: Healthcare
  6. 6. THE HIGGS BOSON PARTICLECreates The • Creates TheForce Field That Influence FieldCauses Matter That Causes People To FormTo Have Mass A Critical MassAnd Make Things And Make CitiesHappen Disaster Resilient
  7. 7. THE “HIGGS BOSON” PARTICLE IS THE GOD PARTICLE - - - ----TheParticle In The Invisible World That Creates The ForceField That Causes Matter to Have Mass And Make Things Happen
  8. 8. THE “HIGGS BOSON”PARTICLE OF DISASTER RISKREDUCTION IS THE PERSON ------ In The Visible World Who Creates The Influence Field That CausesPeople to Form A Critical Mass AndMake Disaster Prone Cities Become Disaster Resilient
  9. 9. QUESTION---ARE YOU A HIGGS BOSONPERSON FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION ?
  10. 10. “YOU ARE”--- IF• You have become a multi-dimensionalKNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORdeveloping a city-specificknowledge base needed fordisaster resilience
  11. 11. A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORSDURING THE 1970’S AND 1980’S A Focus on Programs for Individual Natural Hazards and Windows of Opportunity
  12. 12. “KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS” 1970’S AND 1980’S• GILBERT WHITE• JOANNE NIGG• TED ALGERMISSEN• KARL STEINBRUGGE• FOURNIER D’ABLE
  13. 13. “KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS” 1970’S AND 1980’S• HARESH SHAH• TSUNEO KATAYAMA• FAROUK TEBBAL• VIT KARNIK
  14. 14. A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS DURING THE 1990’SA Focus on The International Decade For Natural Disaster Reduction and All Hazards
  15. 15. “KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS” 1990’S• FRANK PRESS• GEORGE HOUSNER• 188 NATIONAL COMMITTEES (MEN AND WOMEN PARTICIPANTS IN THE IDNDR)• UN AGENCY EXPERTS
  16. 16. A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS DURING 2000-2012A Focus on The International Strategy For Disaster Reduction andINTERNATIONAL CONFERENCES
  17. 17. “KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS” 2000’S—2010’S• UN - ISDR• GLOBAL RISK FORUM (GRF’s History is too short at present)• THE G-20– (for the future)
  18. 18. IT IS TIME TO START PLANNING FOR THEDISASTER RESILIENCE DIVIDEND AUGUST 26, 2012
  19. 19. THE DISASTERRESILIENCE DIVIDEND The DRD is HEALTHCARE on a global scale
  20. 20. "Health is a state of complete physical, mental and social well-beingand not merely the absence of disease or infirmity“ WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION
  21. 21. GLOBAL EDUCATIONAL SURGES:A WAY TO CAUSE A PARADIGM SHIFT FROM DISASTER PRONE TO DISASTER RESILIENCE TO GLOBAL HEALTH DURING THE 21ST CENTURY
  22. 22. LINKED SURGES A GLOBAL A GLOBAL A GLOBAL PLATFORM A GLOBAL PLATFORM RESOURCE RESOURCEDISASTER RESILIENCE FOR KNOWLEDGE KNOWLEDGECOMMUNITIES AND ANDCONTINUING EDUCATION AND EXPERIENCE EXPERIENCETECHNICAL ASSISTANCE DISASTER DISASTERISLAND NATIONS PARTNERS: LABORATORIES LABORATORIES - StrategicSUBSAHARA AFRICA REGION EDUCATIONAL EDUCATIONAL Interactions -PARTNERS: SURGES SURGESLATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEANREGION PARTNERS: CAPACITY CAPACITYEUROPEAN REGION PARTNERS: BUILDING BUILDINGMEDITERRANEAN REGION PRIMERS PRIMERSPARTNERS: MEETINGS MEETINGSASIAN REGION PARTNERS: TURNING POINTS TURNING POINTSNORTH AMERICAN REGION FOR CHANGEPARTNERS: FOR CHANGE
  23. 23. NON-DISASTER RESILIENCE
  24. 24. CHARACTERISTICS OF A NON- DISASTER-RESILIENT CITY• UN—PROTECTED, or• UN—PREPARED, or• UN—WARNED, or• UN--ABLE TO RESPOND, or• UN—”PEPPER--ED”
  25. 25. UN—PROTECTED
  26. 26. COLLAPSE OF UN BUILDING; PORTAU PRINCE, HAITI: MARCH 10, 2010
  27. 27. COLLAPSED BUILDINGS:BEICHUAN, CHINA; MAY 12, 2008
  28. 28. UN—PREPARED
  29. 29. VARZAGHAN, IRAN: AUGUST 15, 2012
  30. 30. OVER 600 MILLION PEOPLEEXPERIENCE BLACKOUTS:JULY 2012
  31. 31. TRASH FROM THE MARCH 11,2011 JAPAN TSUNAMI; JULY 2012
  32. 32. FANGSHAN DISTRICT, BEIJING, CHINA: JULY 25, 2012
  33. 33. UN—WARNED
  34. 34. KRYMSK, RUSSIA: FLASH FLOOD; JULY 8, 2012
  35. 35. BANDA ACHE, INDONESIA TSUNAMI: DECEMBER 26, 2004• 230,000 died mainly as the result of inadequate warning
  36. 36. CYCLONE NARGISH: MYANMAR; MARCH 12, 2009 • 2.4 MILLION PEOPLE WERE SERIOUSLY AFFECTED BECAUSE THE RULING MILITARY JUNTA PREVENTED EARLY WARNING AND DELIVERY OF INTERNATIONAL AID
  37. 37. NEVADA DEL RUIZ, COLOMBIA: 1989 • 24,000.DIED IN ARMERO BECAUSE THERE WAS NO OFFICIAL WARNING.
  38. 38. UN--ABLE TO RESPOND
  39. 39. WENCHUAN, CHINA; EARTHQUAKE LAKE:MAY 31, 2008
  40. 40. WENCHUAN, CHINA: MAY 32, 2008
  41. 41. HURRICANE STAN: OCTOBER 2005 • DEVASTATING MUDSLIDES WERE TRIGGERED BY PROLONGED, HEAVY PRECIPITATION.
  42. 42. SEARCH AND RESCUE AFTERHURRICANE STAN: OCTOBER 2005 • WHEN A MUDSLIDE BURIES A TOWN, SEARCH AND RESCUE BECOMES VERY URGENT.
  43. 43. KOCALEI, TURKEYEARTHQUAKE: AUGUST 1999 • MASS CARE PROVIDES A SAFETY NET FOR THE HOMELESS DURING THE EMERGENCY RESPONSE PERIOD.
  44. 44. KOCALEI, TURKEYEARTHQUAKE:AUGUST1999 • A “TENT CITY” PROVIDES TEMPORARY SHELTER FOR THE HOMELESS DURING RECOVERY AND RECONSTRUCTION
  45. 45. LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE FIRE AND POWER OUTAGES: OCT.,1989 • M7.1 • 63 DEAD • FIRE IN MARINA DISTRICT • WIDE SPREAD LOSS OF POWER • 1 BILLION INSURED LOSS
  46. 46. SAN FERNANDO, CA EARTHQUAKE: FEB., 1971• LOWERING THE WATER LEVEL IMMEDIATELY AFTER THE EARTHQUAKE PREVENTED FLOODING IN LOS ANGELES.
  47. 47. UN—”PEPPER--ED”
  48. 48. WENCHUAN, CHINA EARTHQUAKE: MAY 12, 2008 • 88,000 DEAD • 30,000 INJURED • 300,000 HOMELESS • 25 MILLION BUILDINGS DAMAGED • 45 MILLION PEOPLE AFFECTED
  49. 49. MANAGUA, NICARAGUA EARTHQUAKE: FEB, 1972 • 10,000 DEAD; 20,000 INJURED; 300,000 HOMELESS • NEAR TOTAL DISRUPTION OF THE INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION • POLITICAL CHAOS • CITY RELOCATED
  50. 50. LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE: OCTOBER 17, 1989 • M7.1 • 63 DEAD • COLLAPSE AND LOSS OF FUNCTION OF TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE • $ 1 BILLION INSURED LOSS

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