Elephant in Room Version 2

234 views

Published on

5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice 24-28 August 2014 in Davos, Switzerland

0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total views
234
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
16
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
0
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Elephant in Room Version 2

  1. 1. There’s an Elephant in the Room: 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Anti-Resilience. Dr. John S. Bircham Bircham-Global Ltd. New Zealand 1
  2. 2. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org There’s an Elephant in the Room: Anti-Resilience Julianne Koepcke 2
  3. 3. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org There’s an Elephant in the Room: Anti-Resilience • If her beliefs in respect of the context in which she found herself, the Amazonian Jungle, had been incorrect. – Water from a spring does not flow to a stream and then to a river. 3 What would have happened to Julianne
  4. 4. There’s an Elephant in the Room: Anti-Resilience 4 Relentless In Its Pursuit: • Greater Performance • Economic Efficiency: Achieves Its Objectives: 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org – “More-for-Less” • Solves Its Problems By: – Increasing Complexity – Integrating & Connecting Systems • Applying Pressure to Squeeze Out... • “More for Less”
  5. 5. Greater Technical & Social Complexity + 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org There’s an Elephant in the Room: Anti-Resilience Pressure for Complexity/Efficiency is Societally Driven to Solve Its Problems 5 Optimization (Efficiency – Technical & Social) + Global Competition Political Imperatives
  6. 6. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org There’s an Elephant in the Room: Anti-Resilience As the “Consumer” It Demands “More-for Less” 6 Optimization (Efficiency – Technical & Social) Expectations of Consumers for: More-for-Less Greater Technical & Social Complexity + + + + Global Competition Political Imperatives A
  7. 7. A B 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org There’s an Elephant in the Room: Anti-Resilience As “Shareholder/Stakeholder” It Demands Greater Returns on Investment 7 Optimization (Efficiency – Technical & Social) Expectations of Shareholders & Stakeholders: Greater Profit & Cost Efficiency Expectations of Consumers for: More-for-Less Greater Technical & Social Complexity + + + + + + Global Competition Political Imperatives
  8. 8. Largely Hidden: Structured Social – Soft Complexity Sub-Contractor 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org There’s an Elephant in the Room: Anti-Resilience Contractor 8 Intensity of the Cost Imperative: Downsizing – Cost Reduction - Outsourcing Low Soft Complexity High Sub-Contractor Contractor Subsidiary Contractor Group Subsidiary Sub-Contractor Low Dependence & Connectedness High Low Resiliency High Low Benefits of Complexity High
  9. 9. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org There’s an Elephant in the Room: Anti-Resilience • Beliefs that underpin and lead to behaviours that: – Are “Opposed To“ – “Anti” the very thing we are seeking to achieve: – Resilience? 9 What if our “Beliefs” in the many contexts in which we find ourselves are flawed or at best incomplete….
  10. 10. Reduction in Resilience - A B 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org There’s an Elephant in the Room: Anti-Resilience Pressure for Complexity/Efficiency is Societally Driven to Solve Its Problems 10 Optimization (Efficiency – Technical & Social) Expectations of Shareholders & Stakeholders: Greater Profit & Cost Efficiency Expectations of Consumers for: More-for-Less Greater Technical & Social Complexity + + + + + + Global Competition Political Imperatives
  11. 11. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org There’s an Elephant in the Room: Anti-Resilience Bow-Waves of Hidden Risk 11 Pragmatic Attitudes in the Work-Place Short-Cuts – Non-Procedural Work Practices Non-Core, But Essential, Tasks & Activities Left Undone
  12. 12. There’s an Elephant in the Room: Anti-Resilience 12 Anti-Resilience ”There’s an Elephant in the Room. There’s a problem that we are oblivious to - never talk about.” 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland “Ignoring the Elephant does not make it go away: it remains in the room as large www.grforum.as life!” org Dr. John S. Bircham Email: John.Bircham@Bircham-Global.com Web: http://Bircham-Global.com

×