The Road to Disruption Australia ICT Outlook 2013
Agenda   Cloud Computing – Some Data   Telecoms Update   The Evolution of Cloud Adoption   The Shrinking IT Department...
Australia Cloud Computing Market Outlook               3,500                                                              ...
Cloud Computing is witnessing growing traction inAustralia                                       Perception of Cloud Compu...
Almost a third of businesses in APAC today use CloudComputing               Adoption of Cloud Computing by Delivery Model ...
Australia Leads Cloud Adoption in APAC                   Adoption of Cloud Computing by Country Australia                 ...
Enterprises Will Continue Investing in the Cloud                  Change in Cloud Computing budget for 2012 over 2011   In...
Mature Market Overview and Collapsing ARPUs                       Australia Telco Market                       Overview   ...
High Speed Network OpportunitiesNBN: Possibilities                                      Basic             Rich Communicati...
RSPs Must Focus on Applications & ServicesNext-Generation Broadband: Coverage versus Adoption              FTTX Penetratio...
Cloud Maturity in Business Context    Stage 1          Stage 2        Stage 3            Stage 4        Augment           ...
Cloud Prediction 2: Businesses will be transformed by CloudComputing        Industry                   Cloud Driven Transf...
The IT Department of the Future                      Traditional              Modern                   EmergingIT Departme...
Technology Impact Across SectorsAdvanced Lasers                                       Cloud ComputingDigital Manufacturing...
Self-Driving Automobiles Google has been working on this for  four years now. Automobile manufacturers are also  researc...
2013 Predictions•   Cloud computing becomes a strategic, business issue•   Cloud computing, together with ‘big data’ and m...
Follow Frost & Sullivan onFacebook, LinkedIn, SlideShare, and Twitter            http://www.facebook.com/FrostandSullivan ...
For Additional Information Donna Jeremiah              Carrie Low Corporate Communications    Corporate Communications Asi...
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The Road to Disruption (Australia Outlook)

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Frost & Sullivan 2013 Australia ICT Outlook Briefing

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  • This maturity model is broadly applicable to cloud. It is high-level, but conveys the basic ideas. Similar to any capability maturity model (CMM), it spans five steps, roughly following Initial, Managed, Defined, Quantitatively Managed to Optimized. Its purpose is to migrate from high risk to low risk, from low efficiency to high efficiency and from less business centric to highly business centric. The starting point is characterized by manual tasks, few tools, limited to no measurement and lack of formal process. The goal is to progress towards higher levels of automation, better management, metrics to track success and formal process.
  • This maturity model is broadly applicable to cloud. It is high-level, but conveys the basic ideas. Similar to any capability maturity model (CMM), it spans five steps, roughly following Initial, Managed, Defined, Quantitatively Managed to Optimized. Its purpose is to migrate from high risk to low risk, from low efficiency to high efficiency and from less business centric to highly business centric. The starting point is characterized by manual tasks, few tools, limited to no measurement and lack of formal process. The goal is to progress towards higher levels of automation, better management, metrics to track success and formal process.
  • The Road to Disruption (Australia Outlook)

    1. 1. The Road to Disruption Australia ICT Outlook 2013
    2. 2. Agenda Cloud Computing – Some Data Telecoms Update The Evolution of Cloud Adoption The Shrinking IT Department Industry Convergence Key Takeaways2
    3. 3. Australia Cloud Computing Market Outlook 3,500 3,330.0 3,000 2,495.4 2,500US$ millions 2,000 1,808.8 1,500 1,272.1 1,000 882.4 611.5 500 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 The Australia Cloud Computing market is expected to grow at 40.3% for the 2011- 2016 period. Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
    4. 4. Cloud Computing is witnessing growing traction inAustralia Perception of Cloud Computing Cloud computing is my # 1 priority for 5% 16% 38% 33% 8% current/future fiscal yearPublic Clouds are less secure than private 3% 26% 38% 27% 6% clouds There is more pressure on me from the top management to procure Cloud 7% 29% 33% 28% 3% servicesI believe that Cloud computing is going to shrink IT teams and make some jobs 6% 16% 46% 26% 6% redundant At this stage, the risks of cloud far 1% 17% 41% 35% 6% outweigh the benefits Strongly disagre Somewhat disagree Neutral Somewhat agree Strongly agree N = 100 Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
    5. 5. Almost a third of businesses in APAC today use CloudComputing Adoption of Cloud Computing by Delivery Model 16% 3% 71% 29% 10% Not adopted Public cloud Private cloud Hybrid cloud N = 600 Adoption level has increased by 6 percentage points from Aug/Sep 2010. Hybrid Clouds offering a blend of Cost Savings and Security witnessed highest adoption. Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
    6. 6. Australia Leads Cloud Adoption in APAC Adoption of Cloud Computing by Country Australia 57% 43% China 87% 13%Hong Kong 74% 26% India 76% 24% Malaysia 67% 33% Singapore 68% 32% Not adopted Adopted N = 100 Malaysia and Singapore have emerged as the next hot beds of adoption. Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
    7. 7. Enterprises Will Continue Investing in the Cloud Change in Cloud Computing budget for 2012 over 2011 Increase by more than 20% 4.8% Increase by 11% to 20% 7.3% Increase by 6% to 10% 12.7% Increase by 0% to 5% 24.0% Remain the same 56.2% Decrease by less than 5% 0.0% Decrease by 6% to 10% 0.0% Decrease by 11% to 20% 0.0% Decrease by more than 20% 0.0% N =600 Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
    8. 8. Mature Market Overview and Collapsing ARPUs Australia Telco Market Overview The Australian telecommunications market is a typical mature market with falling ARPU and single digit growth rate. Mobile Subscribers and Penetration Rate • By end of 2012, there will be around 30.5 (Australia), 2005-2016 million mobile subscribers in the 40,000 160.0% 35,000 140.0% market, implying a penetration rate ofWireless Subscribers 30,000 Penetration Rate (%) 120.0% almost 133% and an user penetration of over 100% 25,000 100.0% • In the near term, competition between (‘000) 20,000 80.0% 15,000 60.0% mobile operators is set to intensify 10,000 40.0% further, resulting in lower mobile call 5,000 20.0% charges for customers leading to ARPU 0 0.0% decline 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 • The market is continuing to see a shift in focus from voice to more data-orientated ARPU for Mobile Services (Australia), 2005-2016 services, driven by increasing smartphone Wireless Subscriber Market Share, 2012(e) 100 adoption and facilitated by faster networks Postpaid ARPU ARPU ($) 80 60 Blended ARPU 40 20 Prepaid ARPU 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 8Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysts
    9. 9. High Speed Network OpportunitiesNBN: Possibilities Basic Rich Communications Convergence o Increasing demand from consumers for virtual equivalentApplication / Content Requirements Smart City Infrastructure Interactive communication and Advertisements entertainment experiences. For Tele-medicine example, low latency in high graphics gaming. Next Generation TV Cloud Computing o Demand from enterprises (e.g. Real time Communications SMEs) for cost effective Gaming productivity applications such as Social Networking cloud computing. P2P File Smart Grid o Demand from the public sector Emails Sharing to increase administrative Online efficiency via smart city Internet Tele-education Shopping infrastructure. browsing < 1Mbps 3 - 7 Mbps 100 Mbps - 1 Gbps Bandwidth Requirements
    10. 10. RSPs Must Focus on Applications & ServicesNext-Generation Broadband: Coverage versus Adoption FTTX Penetration Rate by Countries, December 2011 • In high penetration S. Korea 58% rate countries, it is marketed based on UAE 56% application such as Hong Kong 45% gaming NOT speed. Japan 43% • In low penetration 29% countries, CSPs need Taiwan to focus on marketing Sweden 14% value based services. USA 8.5% • For example, 83% of Singapore 8% buildings have fibre in Will Australia’s AU$36 Singapore, but only China billion NBN Investment 4% 8% have adopted it. pay off? Malaysia 3% Australia Less than 1% Source: FTTX Council
    11. 11. Cloud Maturity in Business Context Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Augment Evolve Innovate Disrupt Ad hoc public Shifting key New business Whole cloud use processes to models industries the cloud transformed Widespread Cloud is the virtualization Monitored norm Incumbents SLAs under threat Shadow IT Business Complex agility realized New business Driven by BUs mixed IT economics environments 50%+ 10%+ 5%+ 1%+ of firms of firms of firms of firms
    12. 12. Cloud Prediction 2: Businesses will be transformed by CloudComputing Industry Cloud Driven Transformation Banking Branchless Banking Utilities Smart Grids IT Post PC Era Content Streaming, Media eBooks Virtual Stores and more Retail eCommerce EMR and Point of Care Healthcare Solutions
    13. 13. The IT Department of the Future Traditional Modern EmergingIT Department Creates competitive Supports Enables change advantageCIO Management Board level Leader Partner managers andStaff Technical Process oriented service integrators Service delivery and Business agility and Innovation and customerFocus Areas security managing change experience Performance againstKPIs budget Delivery of results Innovation 1980s 2010 2020
    14. 14. Technology Impact Across SectorsAdvanced Lasers Cloud ComputingDigital Manufacturing VirtulizationMicro & NanoManufacturing Semantic WebCBRM Detection Fabric ComputingTechnologiesEnergy Harvesting Long Term EvolutionSmart Sensors Genome SequencingWireless Sensor BiosensngNetworks Adult Stem CellsAlgae-basedIngredients Nanofluidics & BioNEMSNanocatalystsAdvanced Filtration 3D Culture SystemsSmart Textiles Digital Pathology Smart PillsCompostable Packaging Hybrid Imaging TechSuperhydrophobiccoatings Medical RoboticsEnzyme Technology Combination DevicesLightweightComposites
    15. 15. Self-Driving Automobiles Google has been working on this for four years now. Automobile manufacturers are also researching including GM, BMW and Audi February 2012 – Nevada passes first laws in the USA to allow driverless cars on its highways. General Motors predicts the technology will be standard by 2020. Convergence of different industries? Innovation ‘White Space’?
    16. 16. 2013 Predictions• Cloud computing becomes a strategic, business issue• Cloud computing, together with ‘big data’ and mobility is driving innovation and disruption• Uptake of applications and services from NBN is key• IT departments are shrinking. They will focus on providing business services and managing processes• IT buying behaviour will become more complex as decision making spreads well beyond IT departments• Technology driven cross industry convergence and industry transformation will become apparent
    17. 17. Follow Frost & Sullivan onFacebook, LinkedIn, SlideShare, and Twitter http://www.facebook.com/FrostandSullivan http://www.linkedin.com/companies/4506 http://www.slideshare.net/FrostandSullivan http://twitter.com/frost_sullivan
    18. 18. For Additional Information Donna Jeremiah Carrie Low Corporate Communications Corporate Communications Asia Pacific Asia Pacific +61 (0) 8247 8927 +603 6204 5910 djeremiah@frost.com carrie.low@frost.com Jessie Loh Corporate Communications Asia Pacific +65 6890 0942 jessie.loh@frost.com

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