Global Force Protection Market Assessment

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New Frost & Sullivan's analysis shows that subdued growth in traditional force protection markets offset by the potential in emerging Markets

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  • Global Force Protection Market Assessment

    1. 1. Global Force Protection Market AssessmentUpcoming Modernization and New Procurement Programs to Sustain Revenues (Executive Summary) M840-16 Dec 2012
    2. 2. Contents of the ReportSection Executive Summary Market Overview External Challenges: Drivers and Restraints Forecasts and Trends Soldier Segment Breakdown Mobile Assets Segment Breakdown Base Protection (Fixed Assets Breakdown) North America Latin America Europe APAC Middle East Africa The Last Word AppendixM840-16 2
    3. 3. Executive Summary The economic downturn is expected to have a minimal impact on the force protection market. Force Protection considerations would be the core of all future procurements. Significant casualities in Iraq and Afghanistan have pushed most NATO nations to invest in force protection. This trend had boosted revenues in the previous decade. Decreasing troop strength and reducing vehicle procurement numbers, changing force structure are expected to create demand for force protection systems during the forecast period. The global market for force protection is estimated to be $ 70.85 billion during 2012 – 2021. Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) are considered to be the major threat for the forces. This threat affects all the three segments considered in this study. (Vehicle, Soldier and Base). There are multiple large scale opportunities in all the three force protection segments. However, base protection is expected to be the largest with revenues totaling up to $ 33.60 Bn. The global soldier protection and vehicle protection markets are estimated to be worth $ 15.53 Bn and $ 21.70 Bn respectively. Source: Frost & Sullivan.M840-16 3
    4. 4. Executive Summary—Market Engineering Measurements Force Protection Market : Global, 2012 Market Size for Forecast Period Market Stage Market Revenue Last Year of Market Growth Study Period Rate Growth $ 6.10 B $ 7.55 B 2.4% (2012) (2021) (CAGR, 2012-2021) For a tabular version click here.Decreasing Stable Increasing Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2011. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. M840-16 4
    5. 5. Market Attractiveness Map- Americas Force Protection Market : Market Attractiveness Map, Americas, 2012-2020 High1 United States (Above 10%) Opportunity for Growth2 Brazil 43 Canada 9 2 Medium 8 (5-10%)4 Chile 5 6 35 (0-5%) Colombia 7 16 10 Argentina (<0%) Low 117 Venezuela Low Medium High (0-500 Mn) (500-2000 Mn) ( Above 2000 Mn)8 Peru 10 Bolivia Market Size9 Mexico 11 Dominican Republic Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.M840-16 5
    6. 6. Market Attractiveness Map- Europe Force Protection Market : Market Attractiveness Map, Europe, 2012-2020 1 Germany 2 France High (Above 10%) 3 United Kingdom Opportunity for Growth 9 Turkey 10 4 8 4 5 Italy Medium (5-10%) 6 Spain 7 6 3 (0-5%) 12 7 Sweden 8 The Netherlands (<0%) 5 2 11 1 Low 9 Low Medium High Poland ( Above (0-500 Mn) (500-2000 Mn) 2000 Mn) 10 Norway Market Size 11 Greece 12 Finland Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.M840-16 6
    7. 7. Market Attractiveness Map- Middle East Force Protection Market : Market Attractiveness Map, Middle East, 2012-2020 High (5-10%) 1 Saudi Arabia Opportunity for Growth 2 United Arab Emirates 4 1 8 2 Medium 3 Iraq (0-5%) 9 7 4 Oman 5 6 Kuwait (<0%) 3 5 Low Low Medium High 6 Syria ( 500- 2500 Mn) (0-50 Mn) (50-500 Mn) 7 Jordan Market Size 8 Lebanon 9 Bahrain Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.M840-16 7
    8. 8. Market Attractiveness Map- APAC Force Protection Market : Market Attractiveness Map, APAC, 2012-2020 1 China High (Above 10%) 2 Opportunity for Growth 3 1 2 India 9 4 3 South Korea 11 8 16 Medium 13 (5-10%) Japan 12 4 6 10 (0-5%) 7 14 5 Australia 5 15 (<0%) 6 Taiwan Low 17 18 Low Medium High (0-500 Mn) (500-2000 Mn) ( Above 2000 Mn) 7 Pakistan 10 Thailand Market Size 13 Kazakhstan 8 Singapore 11 Indonesia 16 Bangladesh 14 Philippines 12 New Zealand 17 Brunei 9 Malaysia 15 Sri Lanka 18 Mongolia Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.M840-16 8
    9. 9. Market Attractiveness Map- Africa Force Protection Market : Market Attractiveness Map, Africa, 2012-2020 1 South Africa High (5-10%) 5 3 Opportunity for Growth 9 6 4 1 2 Egypt 13 7 3 Algeria 11 Medium (0-5%) 14 8 4 Morocco 10 12 5 Nigeria 2 (<0%) 6 Low Angola High Low Medium (0-10 Mn) (10-50 Mn) ( Above 50 Mn) 7 Tunisia 10 Botswana 13 Chad Market Size 8 Kenya 11 Ethiopia 14 Congo 12 Zambia 9 Uganda Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.M840-16 9
    10. 10. Executive Summary—CEO’s Perspective The APAC force protection market is estimated to be worth $16.08 Bn and is1 expected to have a highest growth rate of 10.2 % North American market would witness2 a negative growth of (1.6%) during the forecast period. Demand for unmanned systems is expect to increase as countries would3 continue to deploy them for risky missions European force protection market is expected to remain stable and4 revenues from APAC is expected to surpass European market in 2015. Force protection considerations would 5 be the core of all future procurements. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.M840-16 10
    11. 11. Force Protection Market Segmentation Market Global Force Protection Market* End- Land UsersSegments Mobile Assets Fixed Assets Soldier (Vehicles) (Base) Clothing Armour Counter IED Perimeter Fence Posts Unmanned Unmanned Helmet Vehicle Radar Radar Sub- Ground Sensors Ground SensorsSegments Remote Weapon Gunshot Unmanned Video Bullet Proof System Detection Systems (UAV/UGV) Surveillance CRAM Missile Defence Integrated Survivability * Please note that the market size is a representation of the revenue opportunities available to the industry across platforms (new procurements). This does not include service spectrum of the market. M840-16 11
    12. 12. Definitions and Scope  This study assesses the market for force protection, identifying key trends and programs as the military force protection market is mostly program driven.  The research study will cover 98 countries and will consider soldier, vehicle and base protection. Passive Active Proactive Ballistic Protection Soldier • Bullet proof vest • Helmet Protection • Clothing Integration • Armour • Vehicle Radar with existing Mobile Assets • Remote weapon • Unmanned ground systems and Protection sensors systems (Vehicle) • C – IED sensors • CRAM Information • Gun shot detection sharing • Perimeter fence • Radar Fixed Assets • Posts • Unmanned Systems • Unmanned ground • Video Surveillance Protection (Base) sensors • Missile defence Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.M840-16 12
    13. 13. Definitions Soldier All Infantry Soldiers. Includes both vehicle mounted and dismountedEnd User troops.Segments Mobile Assets Active vehicle platforms. Includes main battle tanks, armoured personnel carriers, armoured infantry fighting vehicles, special & support vehicles. Fixed Assets Forward operating bases, domestic and foreign bases, troop garrisons. Sub-Segment Definitions Clothing Apparel including camouflage fabric, boots, field packs, CBRN protection clothing etc.Soldier Helmet Advanced combat helmets and regular soldier protection headgear. Bullet Proof Ballistic tactical vests with protection against projectiles, shrapnels etc. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. M840-16 13
    14. 14. Definitions Armour External and interior vehicle armour. Counter IED Blast attenuation seats, blast foot pads, deflection designing.Mobile Unmanned Ground Sensors Tactical unmanned sensors to clear routes, alert system to protect parkedAssets vehicles. Radar Vehicle mounted radar, ground penetrating and ground surveillance radars. Remote Weapon System Remotely operated weapon system Gun-Shot Detection Gunfire locating sensors operating based on acoustic ,optic or any other technologies Perimeter Fence Intrusion deterrent fencing like barbed wire, electric fences and associated sensors. Posts Protection for military outposts.Fixed Unmanned Ground Sensors Portable ground sensors, which don’t have mobility.Assets Radar Base radar station. Unmanned Systems Mobile unmanned systems. UAV and UGVs. Video Surveillance Fixed installations capable of providing continues day/ night surveillance. Missile Defence Anti ballistic missile systems capable of providing active protection to militay installations Integrated Survivability Electronics enabling integrated survivability and seamless communication among various protection systems.. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. M840-16 14
    15. 15. Geographical Scope - Country GroupsThe countries have been grouped as below. All regional forecasts figures are summation of market values of the respectivegroup countries. The research study will cover 98 countries which represents more than 95% of the global defence budget.Countries have been classified according to their strategic intent, level of military engagement and defence budgets Australia Malaysia Srilanka Bahrain Oman Bangladesh Mongolia Taiwan Iraq Saudi Arabia Brunei Nepal Thailand Israel Syria China New Zealand Vietnam Middle Jordan United Arab EmiratesAPAC East India Pakistan Japan Kuwait Indonesia Philippines Kazakhstan Lebanon Singapore South Korea Austria Germany Portugal Belgium Greece Romania Bulgaria Hungary Slovakia Europe Norway Italy Slovenia Denmark Netherlands Spain Finland Czech Republic United Kingdom France Poland Sweden Turkey Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.M840-16 15
    16. 16. Geographical Scope - Country Groups Algeria Chad Kenya Rwanda Angola Congo Madagascar Senegal Botswana Congo,D.R Mali South Africa Africa Burkina Faso Egypt Morocco Tunisia Cameroon Ethiopia Namibia Uganda Cape Verde Gabon Niger Zambia Central African Republic Ghana Nigeria Zimbabwe Argentina El Salvador Venezuela Canada Bolivia Guatemala Dominican republic Mexico Latin Brazil Honduras Ecuador North United States America America Chile Nicaragua Peru Colombia Paraguay Uruguay Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.M840-16 16
    17. 17. Market Drivers and Restraints Force Protection Market: Key Market Drivers and Restraints, 2012-2021 1-2 years 3-5 years 6-10 years Ongoing Combat OperationsMarket Drivers Force Modernization Decreasing Vehicle Procurement numbers and Troop Strength Recapitalizing equipment due to budget constraintsMarket Restraints Withdrawal from Afghanistan Budget Constraints High Medium Medium Low -High Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. M840-16 17
    18. 18. Market Overview—Key Questions This Study Will Answer Is the market growing, how long will it continue to grow, and at what rate? What are the recent and expected trends in the force protection market ? What are the major programs that would support force protection market? What segments, technologies make up the market? What are the leading market drivers and restraints ? Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.M840-16 18
    19. 19. AppendixM778-16 19
    20. 20. Legal Disclaimer Frost & Sullivan takes no responsibility for any incorrect information supplied to us by manufacturers or users. Quantitative market information is based primarily on interviews and therefore is subject to fluctuation. Frost & Sullivan research services are limited publications containing valuable market information provided to a select group of customers. Our customers acknowledge, when ordering or downloading, that Frost & Sullivan Research Services are for customers’ internal use and not for general publication or disclosure to third parties. No part of this Research Service may be given, lent, resold, or disclosed to noncustomers without written permission. Furthermore, no part may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the permission of the publisher. For information regarding permission, write to: Frost & Sullivan 331 E. Evelyn Ave. Suite 100 Mountain View, CA 94041M778 -16 20
    21. 21. Market Engineering MethodologyOne of Frost & Sullivan’s core deliverablesis its Market Engineering studies. Theyare based on our proprietary MarketEngineering Methodology. This approach,developed across the 50 years ofexperience assessing global markets,applies engineering rigor to the oftennebulous art of market forecasting andinterpretation.A detailed description of the methodologycan be found here. Source: Frost & Sullivan research.M778 -16 21
    22. 22. Learn More—Next Steps  Take our DNA Survey  Arrange a Growth Workshop  Explore the Growth Excellence Matrix 2.0  Attend a relevant live or virtual event  Do all of the above and more at Frost.comM778 -16 22
    23. 23. Contact Details Aman Pannu Mahendran Arjunraja Senior Consultant , Senior Research Analyst, Aerospace, Defence & Security Aerospace, Defence & Security +44 (0) 20 7343 8361 Mahendrana@frost.com Aman.Pannu@frost.com 4, Grosvenor Gardens London SW1W 0DH United Kingdom www.Frost.comM778 -16 23

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