4G: LTE vs WiMAX

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A Frost & Sullivan analyst briefing on future trends in the mobile cellular space.

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4G: LTE vs WiMAX

  1. 1. 4G – LTE vs WIMAX<br />Technical Insights’ Growth Opportunity Briefing<br />Future Trends in the Mobile Cellular Space<br />Richard Van<br />Research Analyst, Technical Insights <br />April 19, 2011<br />
  2. 2. Table of Contents<br />1<br />Introduction<br />2<br />Technology Overview – LTE & WIMAX<br />Technology Landscape in Malaysia<br />3<br />Emerging Technology Trends<br />4<br />5<br />Conclusion<br />
  3. 3. Introduction<br />Cellular 4G<br />Original specifications for 4G specifies speeds exceeding 100Mbit/s.<br />None of the current 4G technology currently meets those specifications but are marketed as 4G as they represent substantial improvement over 3G and represent forerunners to actual 4G technology. <br />We will discuss the capabilities of the current forms of LTE (Long Term Evolution) and WIMAX (Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access)<br />WIMAX<br />LTE<br /> HSPA+(3.5G)<br />
  4. 4. 2G<br />No data<br />WIMAX<br />EDGE<br />~400kb/s<br />3G<br />~1/2Mb/s<br />GPRS<br />~100kb/s<br />LTE<br />Cellular Technology Background<br />Text<br />2000<br /> 1991<br />2003<br /> 2010<br />
  5. 5. Drivers for 4G Adoption<br />Consumer Demand<br />Faster Speeds<br />Technological <br />Drivers for 4G<br />Latest smartphones<br />Changing data consumption<br />More efficient spectrum use<br />Applications<br />4G<br />
  6. 6. Technology OverviewLong Term Evolution (LTE)<br />About<br /><ul><li>Officially know as the 3GPP Long Term Evolution which is the latest standard under the technology tree that produces the current GSM technology.
  7. 7. Marketed as 4G but is actually a pre-4G standard to the precursor of LTE Advanced. Designed to be forward compatible with LTE Advanced using the same frequency bands but is not backward compatible with existing 3G systems. </li></ul>Bandwidth<br /><ul><li>Theoretical download rates of 326.4 Mbit/s for 4x4 antennae, and 172.8 Mbit/s for 2x2 antennae (utilizing 20 MHz of spectrum).
  8. 8. Theoretical upload rates of 86.4 Mbit/s for every 20 MHz of spectrum using a single antenna.</li></ul>Spectra<br /><ul><li>Capable of supporting up to 200 users per 5MHz.
  9. 9. Spectrum flexibility to scale channel size from 1.4 MHz to 20 MHz
  10. 10. 700 and 1900 MHz in North America; 900, 1800, 2600 MHz in Europe; 1800 and 2600 MHz in Asia; 1800 MHz in Australia.</li></ul>Range<br /><ul><li>At 900MHz band, range from 5km (optimum) to 100km (acceptable)
  11. 11. At 2.6GHz band, typical range is 1km.</li></li></ul><li>Technology OverviewWorldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access (WIMAX)<br />About<br /><ul><li>Officially designated under the IEEE 802.16 standard.
  12. 12. Designed as an extension of the Wi-Fi technology giving further range for broadband connections, cellular backhaul, hotspots. Most commercial deployments cater for Mobile WIMAX.</li></ul>Bandwidth<br /><ul><li>Theoretical maximum speeds of up to 75 Mbit/s (utilizing 20 MHz of spectrum).
  13. 13. Latest ratification of the 802.16m standard (WIMAX-2) capable to reach speeds of 300Mbit/s. </li></ul>Spectra<br /><ul><li>Spectrum flexibility to scale channel size from 5MHz, 8.75MHz or 10MHz.
  14. 14. 2.5GHz in North America; 2.3GHz – 3.5GHz in Asia. </li></ul>Range<br /><ul><li>Theoretically capable up to 50km depending on frequency and line of sight.
  15. 15. Typical deployment at 5-8 km range.</li></li></ul><li>4G Players in Malaysia<br />List of Industry Players in Malaysia<br />WIMAX<br />LTE<br /><ul><li>P1 WIMAX (Green Packet)
  16. 16. YES (YTL)
  17. 17. REDtone
  18. 18. Amax (Asiaspace)
  19. 19. Maxis (trials started)
  20. 20. Celcom (trials started)
  21. 21. P1 (announced plans to switch)</li></ul>4G<br />
  22. 22. Spectrum Allocation in Malaysia<br />WIMAX Spectrum Allocation in the 2.3GHz Band <br />Packet One (30MHz) <br />AsiaSpace (30Mhz)<br />WIMAX<br />YTL (30MHz)<br />REDtone (25MHz, Sabah & Sarawak only)<br />
  23. 23. Spectrum Allocation in Malaysia<br />LTE/4G Spectrum Allocation in the 2.5/2.6GHz Band<br />Maxis<br />Puncak Semangat<br />Axiata<br />YTL<br />20MHz Each<br />Digi<br />REDtone<br />U Mobile<br />PacketOne<br />Asiaspace<br />Legend:<br />Telco Provider<br />WIMAX Provider<br />New Entrant<br />
  24. 24. Worldwide TrendsData Patterns<br /><ul><li>Expect 500 million smartphone unit shipments by 2015
  25. 25. Exponential growth in mobile data traffic</li></li></ul><li>Worldwide Trends<br />USA<br /><ul><li>AT&T & T-Mobile:</li></ul>No concrete plans for LTE. T-Mobile has adopted HSPA+ and has branded it as 4G.<br /><ul><li>Verizon: </li></ul> Has deployed LTE in major cities and is continuing roll out for more areas. <br /><ul><li>Sprint/Clearwire: </li></ul>Most active WIMAX player within the NA market. Largest 4G customer base in US market due to early mover advantage.<br />
  26. 26. Worldwide Trends<br />Europe<br /><ul><li>Sweden:</li></ul> Agressive launch plans by telcos to cover 99% of households with LTE coverage by 2012. Government recently auctioned 3 blocks of 2x10MHz spectrum within the 800MHz band.<br /><ul><li>UK:</li></ul>Only expected to start auctioning 4G spectrum licenses by 2012.<br /><ul><li>Germany:</li></ul>Rollout by Vodafone started for LTE.<br /><ul><li>Russia:</li></ul> Yota (largest WIMAX operator ) announced plans for LTE adoption.<br />
  27. 27. Worldwide Trends<br />Asia<br /><ul><li>China:</li></ul>China Mobile has been given approval to start trials in Shanghai, Hangzhou and 4 other cities. Has chosen to deploy TD-LTE.<br /><ul><li>India:</li></ul>Infotel has chosen to deploy TD-LTE.<br /><ul><li>Malaysia: </li></ul>Maxis and Celcom announced trials for LTE. Recently P1 was reported planning to switch from WIMAX to LTE.<br /><ul><li>Singapore:</li></ul> Government plans to re-allocate bands within the 2.3/2.5GHz spectrum to be available after 2015. Allows existing spectrum holder to offer LTE on existing spectrum.<br />
  28. 28. Emerging Technology TrendsCommunication Standards<br />White Space<br />700MHz/800MHz<br /><ul><li>US FCC has recently approved the use of spare guard band spectrum from TV broadcast for use.
  29. 29. IEEE 802.11AF is in the process of approval for Wi-Fi to use White Space spectrum.
  30. 30. Analog TV bands to be available for mobile cellular /broadbandusage once migration to digital TV is complete.</li></ul>HSPA+<br />Wi-Fi Offloads<br /><ul><li>Used primarily as a bridge from 3G to 4G.
  31. 31. From actual field tests done, speeds obtained can match LTE & WIMAX speeds under certain conditions.
  32. 32. Easy to upgrade from existing infrastructure.
  33. 33. Trend in Europe to gain the capability to offload cellular connectivity to existing carrier owned Wi-Fi networks.
  34. 34. Allows for easing of congestion on urban cellular networks.</li></li></ul><li>Conclusion<br />WIMAX vs LTE<br /><ul><li>Does it really matter to the end user?
  35. 35. Which ever most attractive in terms of device and features will be dominant.</li></ul>HSPA+<br /><ul><li>Cheapest upgrade path for telco operators.
  36. 36. At current speeds can match other 4G technologies.</li></ul>4G in Malaysia<br /><ul><li>2011 will the year for MCMC to finalize the spectrum allocation.
  37. 37. 700MHz refarming.
  38. 38. Very strong headstart by WIMAX operators in Malaysia.</li></li></ul><li>Follow Frost & Sullivan on Facebook, LinkedIn, SlideShare, and Twitter<br />http://www.facebook.com/FrostandSullivan<br />http://www.linkedin.com/companies/4506<br />http://www.slideshare.net/FrostandSullivan<br />http://twitter.com/frost_sullivan<br />
  39. 39. For Additional Information<br />Donna Jeremiah<br />Corporate Communications<br />Asia Pacific<br />+603 6204 5832<br />djeremiah@frost.com<br />Carrie Low<br />Corporate Communications<br />Asia Pacific<br />+603 6204 5910<br />carrie.low@frost.com<br />Richard Van<br />Research Analyst<br />Technical Insights<br />Asia Pacific<br />+603 6204 5800<br />richard.van@frost.com<br />

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