IoT / M2M predictions 2016-2015-2014 Different sources


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The pdf contains M2M / IoT predictions for 2016, 2015 and 2014 from different sources.

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IoT / M2M predictions 2016-2015-2014 Different sources

  1. 1. © Copyright OIES Consulting All rights reserved.1 Consulting Accelerating the adoption of IoT Updated January 2016 IoT Predictions for 2014-2016 From different sources
  2. 2. © Copyright OIES Consulting All rights reserved.2 Consulting Accelerating the adoption of IoT Updated December 2016 IoT Predictions for 2016 From different sources (WIP)
  3. 3. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.3 By 2016 Gartner predicts 6.4 billion devices will be connected to the internet -- and 5.5 million new 'things' will join them each day. the-internet-of-things-takes-shape/?es_p=987940 Global IoT services spending forecast to jump 22% in 2016 - See more at: forecast-to-jump-22-in-2016/#sthash.5leF3p6W.dpuf IoT industry will explode in 2016 industry-will-explode-in-2016-gartner-says.html 2016 – Gartner IoT Predictions
  4. 4. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.4 2016 – IDC IoT Predictions • Prediction 1: By 2018, 60% of Global 1000 Companies Will Integrate IT and OT at the Technology, Process, Security, and Organization Levels to Fully Realize the Value of Their IoT • Prediction 2: By 2020, Enterprise IoT Deployments Will Be Focused on International Expansion, with Asia and Europe Leading and North America Following from a Distance • Prediction 3: By 2019, 45% of IoT-Created Data Will Be Stored, Processed, Analyzed, and Acted Upon Close to, or at the Edge of, the Network • Prediction 4: By 2018, 20% of All IoT Intelligent Gateways Will Have "Container Technology" for Packaging IoT Application Code in a Thin Containerized Environment, Thus • Prediction 5: By 2020, 10% of All Attacks Will Target Intelligent IoT Systems • Prediction 6: 2016 Will Become the "Year of the IoT Developer" with More than 250,000 Unique IoT Applications Created by 2020 • Prediction 7: In 2016, 7.5% of EMEA Businesses Will See IoT as a Revenue Generator in Addition to an Efficiency Gainer • Prediction 8: By 2018, 80% of IoT Smart Device Vendors in China Will Be Eliminated Through Competition, and the Market Will Be Reshuffled for a Better Landscape • Prediction 9: By 2018, 16% of the Population Will Be Millennials and Be Accelerating IoT Adoption Because of Their Reality of a Connected World • Prediction 10: As Crime Becomes More Mobile and Invisible, and the Global Threat Environment More Complex, Local Public Safety Organizations Will Spend $20.7 Billion in 2016
  5. 5. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.5 By 2017, at least 20 of the world’s largest countries will create national smart city policies to prioritize funding and document technical and business guidelines. In 2016, 90 percent of cities worldwide will lack a comprehensive set of policies on the public and private use of drones, sensors and devices. This will result in increased privacy and security risks. Similarly, we see a more acute and faster adoption of public safety and transportation IoT investment, often without a strategic framework, which IDC believes will lead to more project risk and wasted spending, such as spending on duplicative systems or devices. Information from social media, crowdsourcing and sharing economy companies will have a greater impact on cities. 3 Smart City Trends to Expect in 2016
  6. 6. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.6 2016 set to be a critical year for defining the future of LPWA networks and IoT connectivity “Considering how profound the IoT’s impact will be across industry verticals, it is not necessarily prudent to advise an inevitably affected enterprise to wait another ‘couple of years’ because a potentially more promising technology option is just round the corner. Those couple of years might be the difference between disrupting and being disrupted.” 2016 – IDC IoT Predictions
  7. 7. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.7 Hype surrounding the Internet of Things (IoT) will continue in 2016. But CIOs should focus their attention on the changes it is driving within their organizations: Data management across the customer life cycle, financial reporting, business metrics, security, and systems architecture will all feel a shift as a result of connected products. This Webinar highlights how the Internet of Things will challenge CIOs to evolve how their firms operate and engage with customers. Listen in for 13 of the most significant changes and what CIOs should do about them. s/-/E-WEB20743 2016 IoT Predictions - Forrester
  8. 8. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.8 1. In 2016, we stop counting the “Things” 2. For the first time, more new cars will be connected than not 3. Low Power Wireless Area Network (LPWAN) technologies will NOT go mainstream 4. The “IoT Platform” Shakeout 5. The Security of Things internet-of-things-predictions 2016 IoT Predictions - Jasper 2016 will be the year where the industry stops paying attention to just the number of devices connected, and instead starts tracking the variety of new services enabled by those connected devices
  9. 9. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.9 2016 – IoT Predictions 1. Intelligent device manufacturers will increasingly realise the need to become software-centric companies to garner profits 2. Manufacturers will start realising the financial gains from the IoT 3. ‘Everything as a service’ – IoT will transform objects into services 4. IoT hacking will make more headlines, increasing pressure on device makers to focus on security and remediation 5. Rise in IoT devices will fuel third industrial revolution networking/123460571/5-predictions-internet-things-2016 Dimitri Diliani, Head of Latin America Market at Nokia Networks: "Nokia Networks foresees a Programmable World of more than 50 billion connected things by 2025.
  10. 10. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.10 1. The Internet of Things Will Look Completely Different 2. The Internet of Things Will Provide More Value 3. IoT Application Mindshare Will Be the Next Battlefield 4. The Internet of Things Will Change the Way We Drive 5. The IoT Will Stop Being a “Thing” IoT 5 more predictions for 2016
  11. 11. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.11 IT professionals on service providers' side primarily associate IoT with industrial use cases rather than consumer facing application scenarios In 2016 and beyond, app development service providers will be challenged to access and make use of real-time data analysis to help IoT unveil its full potential As more apps will be built to manage IoT, existing infrastructures will have to undergo major changes to enable better data privacy, scalability and reliability of IoT solutions Comprehensive SLAs will be critical to ensure service providers are able to match network requirements associated with IoT IoT applications will most like take a path of monetization through value-added services IoT will not go mainstream until businesses and consumers have a sufficient degree of confidence in data security While IoT data security remains a debate, data virtualization and real-time analytics will play a pivotal role in the IoT market adoption Data source: Telecoms.Com, 2015 IoT predictions – Intersog Industrial IoT Outlook 2016
  12. 12. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.12 2016/ Other IoT predictions – 2016
  13. 13. © Copyright OIES Consulting All rights reserved.13 Consulting Accelerating the adoption of IoT Updated January 2016 IoT Predictions for 2015 From different sources
  14. 14. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.14 IoT Predictions 2015 Software Platforms Drive Internet-Of-Things Adoption • More than three-quarters of European MNOs will offer M2M in 2014. • Increasing competitive pressure will accelerate product development and innovation in industries such as Retail and Industrial Automation as MNOs aim to capture a bigger piece of the M2M opportunity beyond more traditional Automotive and Energy applications. • 2014 is set to be the year when the focus of both IT buyers and providers shifts to the Internet of Things (IoT). • The explosion of IoT activity in 2014 and beyond will be driven by the nexus of low cost sensors, connectivity networks, cloud computing, advanced data analytics and mobility. • The first issues that MNOs will address will be around reliable connectivity and enterprise grade cloud computing services. • The connected enterprise and big data analytics as two of the main trends that will shape the global wireless M2M industry in 2014. • M2M applications generate enormous quantities of data about things such as vehicles, machinery or other forms of equipment and behaviours such as driving style, energy consumption or device utilisation. Big data technology enables near real-time analysis of these data sets to reveal relationships, dependencies and perform predictions of outcomes and behaviours.
  15. 15. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.15 IDC FutureScape for IoT - Predictions 2015 1. IoT and the Cloud. Within the next five years, more than 90% of all IoT data will be hosted on service provider platforms as cloud computing reduces the complexity of supporting IoT "Data Blending". 2. IoT and security. Within two years, 90% of all IT networks will have an IoT-based security breach, although many will be considered "inconveniences." Chief Information Security Officers (CISOs) will be forced to adopt new IoT policies. 3. IoT at the edge. By 2018, 40% of IoT-created data will be stored, processed, analyzed, and acted upon close to, or at the edge, of the network. 4. IoT and network capacity. Within three years, 50% of IT networks will transition from having excess capacity to handle the additional IoT devices to being network constrained with nearly 10% of sites being overwhelmed. 5. IoT and non-traditional infrastructure. By 2017, 90% of datacenter and enterprise systems management will rapidly adopt new business models to manage non-traditional infrastructure and BYOD device categories. 6. IoT and vertical diversification. Today, over 50% of IoT activity is centered in manufacturing, transportation, smart city, and consumer applications, but within five years all industries will have rolled out IoT initiatives. 7. IoT and the Smart City. Competing to build innovative and sustainable smart cities, local government will represent more than 25% of all government external spending to deploy, manage, and realize the business value of the IoT by 2018. 8. IoT and embedded systems. By 2018, 60% of IT solutions originally developed as proprietary, closed-industry solutions will become open-sourced allowing a rush of vertical- driven IoT markets to form. 9. IoT and wearables. Within five years, 40% of wearables will have evolved into a viable consumer mass market alternative to smartphones. 10.IoT and millennials. By 2018, 16% of the population will be Millennials and will be accelerating IoT adoption due to their reality of living in a connected world.
  16. 16. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.16 10 predictions from Machina Research for IoT - 2015 1. Enterprises will get cracking in IoT. 2. More productised offerings. 3. More M&A. 4. Breakthroughs in smart city service deployments. 5. Major OS vendors disrupt the connected car market. 6. Mobile phone as the gateway for IoT. 7. A year for avatars. 8. A crunch on regulation. 9. Segmenting for success and identifying role in IoT. 10. Privacy and security.
  17. 17. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.17 Gartner prediction for IoT - 2015 The Internet of Things The combination of data streams and services created by digitizing everything creates four basic usage models — Manage, Monetize, Operate and Extend. These four basic models can be applied to any of the four "Internets." Enterprises should not limit themselves to thinking that only the Internet of Things (IoT) (assets and machines) has the potential to leverage these four models. For example, the pay- per-use model can be applied to assets (such as industrial equipment), services (such as pay-as-you-drive insurance), people (such as movers), places (such as parking spots) and systems (such as cloud services). Enterprises from all industries can leverage these four models. Smart Machines Deep analytics applied to an understanding of context provide the preconditions for a world of smart machines. This foundation combines with advanced algorithms that allow systems to understand their environment, learn for themselves, and act autonomously. Prototype autonomous vehicles, advanced robots, virtual personal assistants and smart advisors already exist and will evolve rapidly, ushering in a new age of machine helpers. The smart machine era will be the most disruptive in the history of IT.
  18. 18. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.18 LNS-3 Industrial Internet of Things Predictions for 2015 1. The Emergence of the Industrial IoT Platform In today’s marketplace, no Industrial IoT Platform vendor can claim a one-stop shop in the industrial space, nor is it even agreed upon what would need to be delivered by a one-stop shop. In 2015 a consensus will emerge as to what should be provided by such an Industrial IoT Platform. Likely this will be around four core capabilities, including: application development, connectivity, analytics, and cloud. In today’s marketplace most vendors can offer two, some may be able to claim three. As new innovation, acquisitions, and partnerships emerge so too will leaders and laggards. There will also be movement in how existing automation and software vendors leverage these platforms to develop new solutions in Quality, EHS, MOM, and APM. 2. Smart Connected Assets Advances in networking and connectivity technologies, especially with the increasing number of partnerships between traditional IT/Telecom and industrial automation vendors, will enable OEMs and asset owners to offer new services and business models. In industries like machine building, industrial equipment manufacturing, oil field services, and more, there will be a dramatic increase in offerings of remote monitoring and reliability as a service. 3. Smart Connected Operations As Internet-enabled technologies and analytical capabilities push to the edge of the manufacturing network, new modes of manufacturing will be enabled. This will include the creation of cyber-physical and self-organizing systems that will move away from central orchestration to distributed orchestration. Machines, materials, assets, and people will communicate independently and make local decisions based on connectivity to the larger supply and demand chains that will increase flexibility and enable new modes of manufacturing like mass-customization.
  19. 19. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.19 Vodafone Internet of Things Predictions for 2015 1. The big data potential of M2M will be fully realized After first implementing M2M to simplify processes, companies now realize the data produced by M2M solutions has potentially huge value in other business processes, such as inventory management, sales forecasts, pricing and target promotions. Today, 75% of M2M adopters say they are using analytics; 88% expect to do so in three years’ time, according to a Vodafone study. Organizations are now including big data as an inherent part of M2M strategy. Enterprises will need to invest in specialists with big data skills and address the privacy and security risks associated with storing large amounts of data. 2. 4G will improve ROI for many M2M solutions – and enable new ones Today, companies use a wide range of technologies to connect their M2M solutions – including fixed-line (63%), cellular (60%) and Wi-Fi (56%), according to a Vodafone study. However, the percentage of companies relying on fixed-line connections will fall in the next few years, due to the falling costs of mobile broadband and the emergence of 4G. These next-generation networks, including LTE, will make new kinds of applications practical and cost-effective across industries, including video-based security, in-vehicle information services, assisted living and m-health solutions, and much more. 3. Manufacturers and automotive companies will outperform expectations While uptake of M2M in manufacturing has lagged, it is one of the industries that stands to gain the most from M2M technologies. As understanding of M2M grows, we’ll see more manufacturers embrace M2M. In addition, we’ll continue to see exponential growth in automotive companies. Consumers are beginning to demand M2M services in new vehicles – from economy to luxury cars. This will also drive the aftermarket to create solutions for older vehicles that didn’t have M2M installed at the factory. 4. Standards will emerge There’s been lots of buzz about competing standards for IoT, but in the coming years the industry will be forced to put one industrywide standard into action – whether by collaboration or by consumer choice. While the openness of IoT has been positive up until this point – leading to outstanding innovations – as more solutions are put into place, customers will want the knowledge that their solutions are future-proofed and won’t be obsolete in a matter of years due to differing protocols. Industry leaders will have to work together or risk being left behind. Andrew Morawski, head of M2M for the Americas, Vodafone
  20. 20. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.20 Vodafone M2M Predictions for 2015 1. Automotive and Manufacturing sectors will accelerate. The consumer electronics sector is already ahead of the M2M curve and while it is likely to continue growing we predict two other sectors will outpace expectations: the automotive and manufacturing sectors.Expect to see M2M adoption in the automotive market enter the fast lane. As drivers become familiar with M2M services, consumer demand for the convenience and comfort they provide will increase and today’s luxury add-ons will become tomorrow’s commoditised necessities. Just as air conditioning, which today typically comes as standard, was once a luxury extra restricted to top-spec vehicles so will a variety of M2M-enabled conveniences become the standard of tomorrow. As understanding of M2M grows, more manufacturers will also recognise the benefits of M2M and adoption figures in manufacturing will surpass today’s market expectations. Current popular applications in the manufacturing sector include monitoring equipment, employees, mobile assets and fleets. Analyst firm, IDC, expects some of the greatest market potential to come from manufacturing in the coming years contributing to revenues in excess of $7 trillion for the Internet of Things and its technology ecosystem by 2017.2 2. Businesses will get smart over big data Today, 75 per cent of M2M adopters say they are using analytics and 88 per cent expect to do so in three years’ time3. This trend reflects a more sophisticated approach to integrating big data and M2M to drive business benefits – an approach that will continue to expand, boosting return on investment as it spreads.In the past, organisations simply used data about stock levels within their supply chains to manage deliveries better. In the future, businesses will increasingly get smarter and realise the value big data brings to processes across the organisation. Seasonal adaption in supermarkets is a strong example. Imagine the supermarket that pre-empts an un-seasonally warm weekend approaching, increases its stock levels of barbecue meat and salad ingredients, and then deploys its marketing teams to target general and individual in-store promotions that coincide with the good weather – capitalising on seasonal demands to boost revenue. 3. Faster connectivity will improve ROI As 4G becomes increasingly prevalent, businesses will have a bigger opportunity to make new kinds of applications practical and cost effective. These could include video-based security, in-vehicle information services, Assisted Living and mHealth solutions. And those are just for starters.Faster connectivity will also enable businesses to place a greater focus on the big data insights that can be gathered through M2M technology, providing further opportunity to generate revenue while improving customer choice and service. 4. Governance will rise up the M2M agenda. More than 72 per cent of companies currently see security breaches as a major concern, although only 12 per cent would consider it a main barrier to M2M adoption. Increased data sharing will push the issue of governance up the agenda – the more data you store and make accessible around your organisation, the greater the privacy and security risks you have to plan for.We do not believe this will hold up M2M adoption in a meaningful way; however, it will accelerate the maturity of integrated M2M security solutions. All new technologies follow a maturation path. In the M2M market, there is already a huge amount of work going on and security will continue to evolve leading to more standardised and productised hosted services. Security will be inbuilt, become stronger, easier to manage and more cost-effective. Andrew Morawski, head of M2M for the Americas, Vodafone
  21. 21. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.21 PRISMTEC- IOT Predictions 2015 1. Wide-spread adoption of data-centric architectures 2. Rapidly accelerating vendor M&A activity 3. Technology advances in Fog and Edge Computing 4. Growth of Software-Defined Networks 5. Emergence of OMG’s Data Distribution Service (DDS) as data- sharing standard 6. Significant market growth for industrial system integrators 7. Device OEMs evolving stand-alone products into connected systems 8. Operation technology vendors / OEMs providing open interfaces to data 9. Expansion of J2SE on embedded targets 10. Adoption of functional programming languages, especially on server side PrismTech&utm_medium=LinkedIn%20(GaggleAMP)&utm_campaign=none%20(GaggleAMP)&utm_content=data-centric-architectures-ma-activity-top- predictions-for-int-280534
  22. 22. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.22 ParStream - IOT Predictions 2015 1. The Rise of the Chief-IoT-Officer 2. Analytics (especially Edge Analytics) will be a priority for IoT Initiatives 3. Platform to Platform Integration Will Drive Relevance 4. Industrial/Enterprise IoT Will Take Center Stage in the Media Spotlight
  23. 23. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.23 Metratech - IOT Predictions 2015 1. It's all about the apps. 2. The Internet of Things moves from puzzle pieces to solution. 3. The customer is omnichannel.. 4. Enterprises move to the cloud, and a new battlefield emerges. 5. Industry-specific marketplaces, clouds and platforms develop 6. Data becomes the new currency. 7. Software-defined networking (SDN) and network functions virtualization (NFV) become mainstream. 8. The agile enterprise demands agile enterprise platforms. 9. Enterprise cloud means continuous delivery becomes mainstream. 10. Wearables and unrelated industries come together
  24. 24. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.24 Wearable Tech and IoT Predictions 2015 1. We will see the emergence of true wearable health 2.0 devices 2. Semiconductor battle is set to become fierce in 2015 3. New crowdfunding platforms set to emerge 4. More clothing companies getting into the smart clothing space 5. More chinese OEMs getting into wearables, with Xiaomi leading the way 6. Emergence of 3G/4G enabled wearables 7. VR for the masses 8. Apple Watch could do some serious damage 9. The smartwatch market and fitness tracker space to start consolidating 10. Emergence of first true smart sports leagues Julien Blin, President & founder at Smart World Alliance (SMWA), and CEO at Henosis Inc
  25. 25. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.25 IOT Predictions 2015 1. The Rise of IoT 2.0 2. HomeKit and Thread Group Battle for Control of the Connected Home 3. Birth of the Home Mesh 4. Death of the Password 5. Major Corporations Enlisted to Help Curb Emissions 6. Drones Deliver Packages in Third World
  26. 26. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.26 Giulio Coraggio - IOT Predictions 2015 1. Big data will evolve in the Internet of Things 2. Internet of Things will become a “must” for Governments 3. Fashion and wearable technologies will be strongly linked 4. Security will become the No.1 priority for companies 5. Connected cars will change our way of driving Sourcing December 26, 2014 by Giulio Coraggio
  27. 27. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.27 A venture capitalist's 5 predictions for 2015 The Internet-of-Things will be less about the things: In 2015, it will be about the software, not the hardware. Last year we saw feverish M&A activity in hardware but, next year, I expect to see the IoT battleground shift to software. I also predict that hardware IoT will prove out to become much more of a commodity. We already are seeing some of this played out in the smartwatch world with Apple, FitBit and others focused on matching features and commoditized offerings. In 2015, I expect IoT software and services to take center stage. Sergio Monsalve
  28. 28. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.28 IoT Perspectives - 2015 IoT Technology Predictions 1. In 2015 3x more IoT devices will ship than smartphones. 2. There will be no de facto standard for home automation networks in 2015. 3. SMD will ship its Bluetooth IP reference design. 4. ARM will dominate IoT silicon designs. 5. There will be an explosion of IoT startups and products. 6. Even high school students will be designing IoT “Things 7. Products based on 14nm silicon technology will ship in 2015 offering smaller, more energy efficient IoT devices. 8. IoT skepticism will diminish., memory, and processors so cheap that they can be deployed economically everywhere. 9. Semiconductor companies will become more systems companies than parts suppliers with improving margins. Ron Bingham
  29. 29. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.29 IT World Canada - 10 Predictions for IoT 1. IoT and the cloud 2. IoT security issues 3. IoT at the edge 4. Networks overwhelmed by IoT 5. New business models 6. Vertical diversification 7. Smart cities 8. Embedded systems 9. Wearables 10. Millennials and IoT
  30. 30. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.30 IoT Security Predictions The first major Internet of Things attack will be noticed: Both mainstream media and the general public will hear about the first major hacker attack against an internet connected device (that was previously not connected). Take, for example, a thermostat that can be controlled over the internet. Internet of things (iOT) & embedded devices In the coming year, we are going to see an increase in the adoption of gadgents, home appliances that connect to the internet. However, in additon to the convenience it offers us, it also increases the attack surface for the hacker. This year, there have been a number of attacks demonstrated in conferences worldwide showing attacks on these embedded devices. Also, some of these devices might not even support software upgrade, which makes it even more vulnerable. These devices could be potentially used to install trojans on the network, install malware and ransomware, deliver unwanted ads etc. Security of Internet of things is worth keeping a close eye on for 2015. The Internet of Things will bring new security vulnerabilities “Expect to see data security threats to move beyond corporate networks and traditional end-user devices. With everything from printers, SmartTVs, appliances, and wearable computers connected to the cloud, we expect to see new threats emerging in 2015 that will exploit this vastly expanding array of data- connected end point.” – Willy Leichter, director at CipherCloud
  31. 31. © Copyright OIES Consulting All rights reserved.31 Consulting Accelerating the adoption of IoT January 2014 /Updated February 2014 M2M – IoT Predictions 2014 From different sources
  32. 32. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.32 M2M - Previous Predictions Internet of the Thing Master Forecast Why most M2M forecasts are wrong! US M2M market to reach 114.7m connections in 2016 – Compass the-m2m-market-will-reach-114-7-million-connections-by-year-end-2016/ watching-trend-report-05feb2013 mwhitepaper20120111
  33. 33. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.33 5 Wild Internet of Things Predictions
  34. 34. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.34 M2M Predictions 2014 – August 2014 GE estimating that the “Industrial Internet” has the potential to add $10 to $15 trillion (with a “T”) to global GDP over the next 20 years, and Cisco increasing to $19 trillion its forecast for the economic value created by the “Internet of Everything” in the year 2020. Gartner estimates that IoT product and service suppliers will generate incremental revenue exceeding $300 billion in 2020. IDC forecasts that the worldwide market for IoT solutions will grow from $1.9 trillion in 2013 to $7.1 trillion in 2020. ABI Research: The installed base of active wireless connected devices will exceed 16 billion in 2014, about 20% more than in 2013. The number of devices will more than double from the current level, with 40.9 billion forecasted for 2020. 75% of the growth between today and the end of the decade will come from non-hub devices: sensor nodes and accessories. Acquity Group (Accenture Accenture Interactive): More than two thirds of consumers plan to buy connected technology for their homes by 2019, and nearly half say the same for wearable technology. Smart thermostats are expected to have 43% adoption in the next five years (see chart below). HIS Automotive.The number of cars connected to the Internet worldwide will grow more than sixfold to 152 million in 2020 from 23 million in 2013. Navigant Research: The worldwide installed base of smart meters will grow from 313 million in 2013 to nearly 1.1 billion in 2022. Morgan Stanley: Driverless cars will generate $1.3 trillion in annual savings in the United States, with over $5.6 trillions of savings worldwide. Machina Research: Consumer Electronics M2M connections will top 7 billion in 2023, generating $700 billion in annual revenue. On World: By 2020, there will be over 100 million Internet connected wireless light bulbs and lamps worldwide up from 2.4 million in 2013. Juniper Research: The wearables market will exceed $1.5 billion in 2014, double its value in 2013– Endeavour Partners: As of September 2013, one in ten U.S. consumers over the age of 18 owns a modern activity tracker. More than half of U.S. consumers who have owned a modern activity tracker no longer use it. A third of U.S. consumers who have owned one stopped using the device within six months of receiving it.
  35. 35. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.35 M2M Predictions 2014 - Network Operators • Smart Factories to foster individual manufacturing • M2M in the automotive industry: the aftermarket is up and coming • Big Data Analytics • Breaking new ground: M2M targets consumer markets • Smart Cities drive M2M in the public sector • Global Alliances will expand • M2M developers kick it into high gear • Big enterprises everywhere embrace M2M • The need for speed and security top the list • M2M apps on the rise • Stats change the game for decision-makers 1. Customers with existing M2M applications will start to consume more data. 2. M2M solution stack will start to mature, both horizontally and vertically 3. More high-speed devices will enter the scene. 4. Security will become the #1 need of an M2M application. 5. Deep analytics will become the #1 want. 6. Distributed analytics will emerge. 7. Cloud is the network, and network is the cloud. 8. Elephants will start to dance in Enterprise M2M. 9. Global growth will begin to catch up to growth in developed countries. 10. Mainstream developers will start to pay attention. • M2M 'as a service' simplifies access to the connected world 4G LTE wireless service and the availability of machine-to-machine (M2M) solutions "as a service" over the Internet is likely to improve, and third parties may be able to help secure these devices from cyberthreats, a major factor that has prevented the enterprise from embracing M2M technology. In addition, Verizon believes that as M2M accelerates, manufacturers, dealers and business partners will be able to realize the full potential of new revenue streams and improve the efficiency of their supply chains.
  36. 36. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.36 M2M Predictions 2014 - Network Operators • Consolidation of Smart Metering • Popularisation of connected cars • Transport Management extends • Consumer electronics for everybody • Insurance Telematics strikes more • Ecosystems evolve • Big Data, big benefits • Urban Labs spread • Certifications and standards • M2M will open with hardware
  37. 37. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.37 M2M Predictions 2014 - Analyst • Low-volume M2M projects will deliver growth to M2M specialists. • we believe the small-scale machine-to-machine (M2M) implementations will drive the market in 2014. Already today, 66 percent of IT decision-makers we survey say their planned deployments will have no more than 499 devices. • An influx of wearable tech entrants will open the door for downward price pressures to divide the market by device and use case. • More than three-quarters of European MNOs will offer M2M in 2014. • Increasing competitive pressure will accelerate product development and innovation in industries such as Retail and Industrial Automation as MNOs aim to capture a bigger piece of the M2M opportunity beyond more traditional Automotive and Energy applications. • 2014 is set to be the year when the focus of both IT buyers and providers shifts to the Internet of Things (IoT). • The explosion of IoT activity in 2014 and beyond will be driven by the nexus of low cost sensors, connectivity networks, cloud computing, advanced data analytics and mobility. • The first issues that MNOs will address will be around reliable connectivity and enterprise grade cloud computing services. • The connected enterprise and big data analytics as two of the main trends that will shape the global wireless M2M industry in 2014. • M2M applications generate enormous quantities of data about things such as vehicles, machinery or other forms of equipment and behaviours such as driving style, energy consumption or device utilisation. Big data technology enables near real-time analysis of these data sets to reveal relationships, dependencies and perform predictions of outcomes and behaviours
  38. 38. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.38 M2M Predictions 2014 - Analyst The Internet is expanding beyond PCs and mobile devices into enterprise assets such as field equipment, and consumer items such as cars and televisions. The problem is that most enterprises and technology vendors have yet to explore the possibilities of an expanded internet and are not operationally or organizationally ready. Imagine digitizing the most important products, services and assets. The combination of data streams and services created by digitizing everything creates four basic usage models – Manage; Monetize; Operate; Extend. These four basic models can be applied to any of the four "internets” (people, things, information and places). Enterprises should not limit themselves to thinking that only the Internet of Things (i.e., assets and machines) has the potential to leverage these four models. Enterprises from all industries (heavy, mixed, and weightless) can leverage these four models The 3rd Platform will continue to expand beyond smartphones, tablets, and PCs in 2014 to the Internet of Things (IoT). With IoT momentum building in 2014, IDC expects to see new industry partnerships to emerge as traditional IT vendors accelerate their partnerships with global telecom service providers and semiconductor vendors to create integrated offerings in the consumer electronics and connected device spaces. This kind of collaboration and coordination will be necessary to reach the 30 billion autonomously connected end points and $8.9 trillion in revenues that IDC believes the IoT will generate by 2020.
  39. 39. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.39 M2M Predictions 2014 - Analyst Worldwide IoT Predictions 2014 Prediction #1: IoT Partnerships Will Emerge Among Disparate Vendor Ecosystems Prediction #2: Leaps of Faith in 2014 Will Create End-to-End IoT Solutions Prediction #3: Open Source-minded China Will Be a Key Player in the IoT Prediction #4: “Plumbing” of the IoT Will Attract Significant Activity in 2014 Prediction #5: IoT Will Come to Healthcare in 2014 Prediction #6: Mobility Software Vendors Will Continue to Show a Lack of Interest in IoT Prediction #7: Worldwide “Smart City” Spending on the IoT Will Be $265 Billion in 2014 Prediction #8: A Smart Wearable Will Launch & Sell More Units than Apple or Samsung Wearables on the Market in 2014 Prediction #9: IoT Security Is a Hot Topic, But There Will Be No Heat Until There Is a Fire Prediction #10: Professional Services Will Open Up the IoT Competitive Landscape Prediction #11 (Bonus!): Big Data Will Drive Value Creation from IoT Wearable Technologies Deloitte predicts smart glasses, fitness bands and watches, should sell about 10 million units in 2014, generating $3 billion according to its Technology, Media and Telecommunications (TMT) Predictions 2014 report released today. Deloitte also predicts that the total global sales of smartphones, tablets, PCs, TV sets and gaming consoles will exceed $750 billion in 2014 and then plateau as consumer usage will continue to converge
  40. 40. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.40 M2M Predictions 2014 - Analyst 2013 Senior analyst Aapo Markkanen Analytics will play a critical role in the evolution of M2M, serving as the foundation for an increasing number of M2M business cases. In essence, such analytics-driven business cases will be about making previously opaque physical assets part of the digital data universe. “M2M has thus a very synergetic relationship with the wider big data space, with growth in one industry driving also growth in the other" 1. Operator alliances will expand and their roles become clearer. 2. Data analytics seizes the M2M agenda. 3. Standards…who cares? 4. Programmable SIMs/eUICC will start to take off and several operators won’t wait for standardisation. 5. Modules will become more fit-for-purpose. 6. Module vendors, under more competitive pressure, start to compete with MNOs. 7. More M&A in M2M. 8. More diversity in RAN technology. 9. More focus on delivery and profitability (and verticals). 10. Usage-based insurance will take off, particularly in Europe. Total global M2M connections will increase from 106.4 million in 2012 to 360.9 million in 2018, at a CAGR of 22.6%. There will be growth across all regions, but it will be fastest in Asia-Pacific and the Middle East and Africa. By the end of our forecast period the former will make up more than a third of all M2M connections. M2M service revenues will grow from $13,645m in 2012 to $44,800m in 2018, representing a CAGR of 21.9 %. Revenues will grow slightly more slowly than connections, reflecting the increasing competitiveness of the market and the extension of M2M into lower-value applications. The fastest-growing region is Asia-Pacific, which will grow at a CAGR of 26.5%; the fastest growing industry vertical is "Other," which will grow at 31.8% (albeit from a low base).
  41. 41. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.41 M2M Predictions 2014 - Analyst 2014 1. Dawning realisation of the evolution from M2M to IoT. 2. More traffic and more ARPU. 3. Fears over 2G refarming will continue to dog the growth of M2M. 4. Low power wide area networks will see much more widespread deployment. 5. Customers will move away from roaming-based services, towards localised connectivity using remote provisioning (and MNOs/SPs will resolve associated commercial issues). 6. Those selling to the M2M market will find their focus, and smaller operators will find their feet. 7. The big data analytics star will rise … and fall. 8. More M&A is coming. 9. The ratio of products revenue to services revenue will sort the men from the boys. 10. Connected homes finally arrive.
  42. 42. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.42 M2M Predictions 2014 – Vendors • IoT will be the proverbial "next big thing," evolving into the largest, most complex, most dynamic and most pervasive than any infrastructure that anything that human civilization has built up to this point in history. • Data scientists will become the principal programmers of IoT applications that leverage big data, operate over the cloud, and incorporate stream computing. • Personalized healthcare analytics with wearable devices will become the compelling application that drives IoT into mass consumer adoption. • The most widely adopted IoT gadgets will be those that provide platforms for partner ecosystems, with fortunes to be made by enterprising developers who write the apps, statistical models, rules and other "app logic" needed to ensure that things to do what they're supposed to do. • As the IoT takes shape, the notion of a totally “dumb” endpoint will become antiquated and it will be difficult to find any consumer, business, industrial or other device that totally lacks embedded, data-driven analytic intelligence. • Before long, most IoT-enabled things will be exceedingly small and inconspicuous as component miniaturization pushes things deeper into nanotechnology territory • IoT will drive adoption of stream computing technology, because guaranteed low latency is becoming the unstated expectation in every online interaction—whether it involves people, machines or some combination—and only stream computing can deliver on that promise. • IoT won't achieve its revolutionary potential in business and consumer spheres without a layer of next-best-action or decision-automation technology to ensure continuous realization of desired outcomes. • Security concerns will prove critical to IoT's adoption, because both businesses and consumers will demand greater trust in the sensors, actuators, rules engines and other connected componentry we embed in every element of our existence. • Non-linear chaotic "butterfly effects” are likely to be far more prevalent in IoT environments than in traditional B2C-oriented big data applications, due to the very real potential for combinatorial explosion in IoT interaction patterns. James Kobielus Big Data Evangelist
  43. 43. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.43 M2M Predictions 2014 - Vendors Alex Brisbourne, President and COO, KORE In 2014, M2M will make a perceptible shift to richer data transport, with devices coming online that yield a much higher usage profile than our market has ever seen, leveraging both capacity and more attractive rates. This drop in cost per connection has made possible applications including cellular backup of enterprise routers (in place of maintaining that extra T1 line), M2M-controlled digital advertising and continuous video surveillance, even from the most remote locations on Earth. Provider business models will experience a commensurate shift. James Mack, Marketing & Channel Development Manager Asia-Pacific 1. Healthcare Applications will reign 2. Smart Cities will reach a stalemate due to security concerns 3. Apps, Apps and more Apps 4. Hungry Devices 5. Simple and Open will be the trend for 2014 things-and-m2m-industry-in-2014/
  44. 44. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.44 M2M Predictions 2014 - Vendors Anu Sood, Global Channel Marketing Manager, SkyWave Mobile Comunications 1. One-Stop Shop 2. Higher Visibility in the Transportation of Oil 3. “Unauthorized Extraction” from Pipelines 4. Water Metering and Leak Detection 5. Water in Agriculture 6. Shift from Big Data to Right Data sap-are-they-realistic I think the Internet of Things movement is very exciting, but we are still at the beginning of that movement. There is still a lot of work that needs to be done in terms of adding all the proper instrumentation (sensor devices) to all the things out there. Also a lot of plumbing work is needed to reliably collect the data from all these devices. That infrastructure shift will take some time, so I don’t expect the Internet of Things to really take off until 2015 Amr Awadallah, Chief Technology Officer, Cloudera
  45. 45. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.45 M2M Predictions 2014 – Vendors The “Internet of Things” becomes the “Internet of Vulnerabilities.” You can expect dumb things will get smarter in 2014. With millions of devices connected to the Internet—and in many cases running an embedded operating system—in 2014, they will become a magnet for hackers. Security researchers have already demonstrated attacks against smart televisions, medical equipment and security cameras. Already we’ve seen baby monitors attacked and traffic was shut down on a major tunnel in Israel, reportedly due to hackers accessing computer systems via a security camera system. Major software vendors have figured out how to notify customers and get patches for vulnerabilities to them. The companies building gadgets that connect to the Internet don’t even realize they have an oncoming security problem. These systems are not only vulnerable to an attack – they also lack notification methods for consumers and businesses when vulnerabilities are discovered. Even worse, they don’t have a friendly end-user method to patch these new vulnerabilities. Given this, we are going to see new threats in ways in which we’ve never seen before. The impact of the internet of things: The ongoing development of the internet of things will continue to impact cyber security in 2014, as attackers now have more potential entry routes to sensitive governmental, corporate and personal data than ever. Mundane objects – such as thermostats and fridges – which were once completely unremarkable from a security perspective, have suddenly become the guardians of sensitive data, ranging from sensitive financial information to detailed telemetry about personal aspects of our lives. Our prediction is that we won’t see anything revolutionary in this area in 2014. We’re already seeing stuff like the keychain that whistles if you forget it when you are walking out the door, the door that opens automatically for emergency personnel when an elderly person has taken a fall in his/her home. But come on. This is about as ground breaking as the return of the Tamagotchi. We are not impressed, nor do we think you should you be. We predict it will be 5+ years until we see something that will cause some real waves; clothes that change their fabric depending on the weather, food that tells me what they go well with of what I currently have in the fridge and so on. So, sorry folks, 2014 is not the year IoT will break through. Probability: ULTRA High – As certain as certain gets Marc Rogers, principal security researcher, Lookout David Andersson, Director of IFS Labs
  46. 46. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.46 M2M Predictions 2014 – OIES M2M IoT • M2M industry veterans will continue thinking that it takes a lot more by regulators, vendors, operators and customers for 2014 than another year of transition as 2013. • Dominant Tier 1 Global Operators will see increased competition from specialized M2M Service providers and new MVNO entrants, so M2M data connection will continue lowering prices in order not to lose deals. Besides, Tier 1 MNO will focus only on the most profitable industries and new partnerships with IT Cloud vendors that enable them to be dominant in these industries. • Devices vendors will acquire or improve their M2M cloud based platforms and will move toward a Solution Sales model by vertical. We • M2M platforms consolidation will continue during 2014 looking for a M2M PaaS model. • Enterprise Software vendors will incorporate M2M in their solutions (eg Workforce Management, CEM,..) • System Integrators will create a M2M cross division and will partner with Telcos & Device vendors to offer vertical M2M &Big Data solutions.. We will see first M2M services providers. • 2014 will be the peak of inflated expectations (Gartner HypeCyclele) with IoT, the number of new entrants (hardware, software, services) will double. • Wearable devices and other smart things from different vendors will have a integration problem with the smartphones applications and cloud based applications. • A serious discussion to define Thing and unique identification of that Thing will be raised in the industry. • A need to discover IoT public services and provide secure communication will be discussed after some malicious attacks to public and private clouds. • We will see different alliances and new partnerships to dominate the future IoT. 108418.S.5816948371713204224?qid=9217a2cf-26d9-4939- a6a2-23424f8babc1&trk=groups_most_recent-0-b- ttl&goback=%2Egmr_108418
  47. 47. © Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.47 Why OIES Consulting Hands on Experience in Business Development and Enterprise solutions selling for Technology and Professional services firms M2M/IoT Advisory services based on our deep knowledge of the Telco, M2M and Big Data market and technology Best Partner ecosystem to cover all of our services exceeding customer expectations Francisco Maroto For Further information Worldwide Customer references