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This example, that we presented at the WLF2 Conference in Rome, constitutes a complete and fully developed which included the following phases:
probabilistic behaviour forecast,
behaviour monitoring (which luckily allowed to actually “see happen” what we had predicted a few years earlier),
Risk Based Decision Making (RBDM), and finally
implementation of mitigative and crisis management plan.
Interestingly, in a curious turn of events, while doing some reconnaissance work on the landslide, two of us almost lost our lives in a helicopter crash. Risk managers are unfortunately not immune to risks...and somehow it was a good lesson for us to be in the “victim role” that day.