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The transparency of Gas Flows and Security of Supply

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Mykhaylo Gonchar presents at the Vienna Forum on European Energy Law, 2013

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The transparency of Gas Flows and Security of Supply

  1. 1. MYKHAILO GONCHAR NOMOS Center Ukraine Vienna, March 08 Transparency of Gas Flows and Security of Supply
  2. 2. Surplus of pipeline capacities from Russia is a challenge for stability of gas supply to the EU & ECT Directions of export Capacities, bcma Ukrainian mainstream 142 Belorussian direction 35 Blue Stream 16 North Stream + Finland 55+7 South Stream 63 Total: existing/future 255 / 318 Gazprom gas export to the EU – 138 bcm in 2012 (only <113 bcm physically) Contracted gas volumes (LTC) for 2020-2025 ~158 bcm/year
  3. 3. CASE: FUTURE GAS SUPPLY TO LITHUANIA IS UNDER RISK OF AN INTERRUPTION Possible interruption According to order dated November 2012 Kaliningrad interconnector has to be built
  4. 4. Scheme of the Energy Transparency Regime for Gas (ETR-G) based on physical on-line data interchange as an Early Warning Mechanism on-line verification Producer (RU) Transmitters EaP countries (UA, BY, MD) Consumer (EU) 1. WORKING PRESSURE 2. OUTCOMING VOLUMES (DAYLY) 3. INCOMING VOLUMES (DAYLY)
  5. 5. Thank you for your attention! NOMOS/Strategy XXI www.nomos.com.ua geostrategy.org.ua mi.gor17@gmail.com
  6. 6. Annex 1. REACTION FROM THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION ON ENERGY TRANSPARENCY REGIME PROPOSED BY UKRAINIAN THINK TANK

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