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Nasritdinov - Kyrgyzstan dairy supply chain development - Issyk-Kul pilot (en)

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Nasritdinov - Kyrgyzstan dairy supply chain development - Issyk-Kul pilot (en)

  1. 1. In partnership with: KYRGYZSTAN DAIRY SUPPLY CHAIN DEVELOPMENT ISSYK KUL PILOT
  2. 2. In partnership with: CONTENT 1 I. PART I: Competitiveness of the Kyrgyzstan Dairy Sector II. PART II: Supply Chain Solutions for Dairy Company in Issyk-Kul
  3. 3. In partnership with: Change in Total Cattle Population Kyrgyzstan 1990-2015 2 Data source: National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic - 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 heads Cattle Cows
  4. 4. In partnership with: Change in Total Cattle Population Issyk Kul Region 1990-2015 3 Data source: National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic - 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 Heads Years Cattle Cows
  5. 5. In partnership with: Two Main Categories of Cattle Ownership Kyrgyzstan Data: 2015 4 Data source: National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic
  6. 6. In partnership with: Two Main Categories of Cattle Ownership Issyk Kul Region Data: 2015 5 Data source: National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic - 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 HH Farms Total Heads Cattle Cows 77% 76% 22% 23%
  7. 7. In partnership with: Change in Milk Production by Ownership Categories Kyrgyzstan 1996-2011 6 Data source: National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 MilKGS Years Total Farms HH
  8. 8. In partnership with: Change in Milk Production by Ownership Categories Issyk Kul region 1996-2015 7 Data source: National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 MilKGS Years Total Farms HH
  9. 9. In partnership with: Change in Milk Production by Regions of Kyrgyzstan 8 Data source: National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ‘000tons Chui Osh Jalal Abad Issyk Kul Naryn Batken Talas
  10. 10. In partnership with: Structure of Domestic Milk Processing places Issyk Kul region on top 3 in the country 9 FAO stat • Raw Milk Quantities Received for Processing by the Dairy Industry in Kyrgyzstan Province 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Share Issyk-Kul 17,357 13,405 15,202 16,628 16,346 12% Jalal-abad 132 173 104 1,823 1,899 1.3% Naryn 648 719 715 775 956 0.7% Batkent 2 2 2 2 2 0.002% Osh 29 44 40 39 95 0.1% Talas 17,600 22,358 23,832 23,715 27,925 20% Chui 64,404 55,338 51,553 53,588 62,428 44% Bishkek city 32,355 26,144 29,374 25,543 31,214 22% Osh city 316 527 359 514 429 0.3% Nationallevel: 132,842 118,709 121,179 122,626 141,292 100%
  11. 11. In partnership with: There is a Significant Investment Opportunity in the Milk Processing Industry in Kyrgyzstan 10 • Less than 10% of Milk is Processed; • Globally Highest Per Capita Milk Consumption - 215 kg • Significant domestic urban market for the processed milk products - 2 million people. Country Milk Balance, 2013 000 t Beginning stocks 62.3 Production 1,408.2 Import 25.7 Total "In": 1,496.2 Individual consumption 1,175.0 Processed 122.9 Export 126.7 Losses 1.7 Year-end stocks 69.9 Total "Out" 1,496.2
  12. 12. In partnership with: Milk Production in Kyrgyzstan is Globally Competitive 11 Global milk production cost Cost of Milk Production USD/kg Russia 0.31 China 0.57 Belarus 0.20 Kazakhstan 0.24 Kyrgyzstan 0.15 Cost of Milk Production USD/kg Kyrgyzstan (9-10 som) 0.15 Global max (Switzerland) 1.18 Global min (Cameroon) 0.05 Global average 0.46 China 0.60 Regional milk production cost
  13. 13. In partnership with: Kazakhstan Market is Favorable for Kyrgyz milk 12 Imports of processed milk and cream to Kazakhstan by countries, 2014 (tons and %) Russia, 20756, 49.9% Belarus, 2094, 5.0% Kyrgyzstan, 18380, 44.2% Others, 391, 0.9% Kazakhstan milk balance trend 2009-2013 000t 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Beg.Stocks 609 620 610 609 574 Production 5,304 5,381 5,233 4,852 4,930 Import 544 357 502 521 539 Total IN 6,457 6,358 6,345 5,982 6,043 Individual consumption 4,168.3 4,065.4 4,098.5 3,886.3 4,077.7 Processing 1,621.5 1,645.1 1,599.7 1,483.2 1,507.3 Export 14 5 5 8 30 Losses 32 32 32 30 30 Endingstocks 620 610 609 574 397 Total Out 6,456 6,357 6,344 5,981 6,043
  14. 14. In partnership with: PART II: SUPPLY CHAIN SOLUTIONS FOR DAIRY COMPANY IN ISSYK-KUL 13
  15. 15. In partnership with: GOALS AND OBJECTIVES 14 • To reduce the seasonality of milk supplies through herd planning, reproduction and feeding; • To improve the quality and quantity of the milk supply available to Dairy Companies through increased herd size and productivity, and improved milking system; • To keep milk prices competitive through increased herd productivity and cost-effective fodder supply; and • To improve factory food safety management systems for dairy products through adoption of standards and best available practices
  16. 16. The Current Situation 15 Milk Procurement Service Advisory:  Trainings  Recommendations  Extension service Financing ($): Cow purchase Loans for Equipment Fodder Mill Dairy company Inputs: Fertilizers Chemicals Feed M Milk Dairy Farmers system Milk service Feed Crops + ($) Conc. Feed Milk Collectors: 50 units Pasture rents and Herder Services Farm Machinery and Equipment Vet Service FARMS Government and Community Services Private Services and Inputs System of Dairy Farmers Company System Subsidized Farmer Financing
  17. 17. In partnership with: Project Approach 16 Feeding management Animal Health Animal Reproduction Animal Housing Raising rearing stock Milking management 5 pilot farms Diagnostics Limiting factors determined Improvements developed Improvements implemented Staff trained Company Extension service Extension Services for all milk suppliers • Diagnostics; • Training; • Management. Herd management Personnel management
  18. 18. In partnership with: 4 Blocks and 7 Tasks 17 • Task № 1: Fodder Production Management; • Task № 2: Feeding Management; • Task № 3: Pasture Management; • Task № 4: Animal Health Management; • Task № 5: Animal Reproduction Management; • Task № 6: Animal Housing Management; • Task № 7: Company’s Farmer Advisory Service Management Block 1 Block 2 Block 3 Block 4
  19. 19. In partnership with: Fodder Production Management 18 Where loss occurs Reasons Loss KGS/head/day Loss L/head/day In the field (Timing of harvest and access to machinery) • Too late harvest (loss of nutrients) • Improper drying 45 3,75 In silage pits (Poor physical characteristics ) • Increase in dry matter loss by 15%; • Risk of clostridium 3 0,25 Management of silage preparation (Knowledge and access to machinery) • Poor compacting; • Improper cutting height; • Poor isolation of the mass. 3 0,25 Total 51 4,25
  20. 20. In partnership with: Feeding management Actual feeding ration of milking cows on the farm 19 Traditional feed ration for milking cows Daily norm per head kg/head Unit Cost, KGS/kg Total Cost, KGS Pasture Hay (сено луговое) 4 4 16 Sainfoin Hay (Сено эспарцета) 4 6 24 Haylage (Сенаж) 25 1.5 37.5 Barley (Ячмень, дроблёный) 2 9 18 Total Cost: KGS/head/day 35 95.5 Milk Yield, L/head/day 7 Revenue, KGS/head/day 105 Profit, KGS/head/day 10 Milk Production Cost, KGS/L 14
  21. 21. In partnership with: Feeding management Results of the improved feed ration for milking cows 20 Improved feed ration for milking cows Daily norm per head kg/head Unit Cost, KGS/kg Total Cost, KGS Pasture Hay (сено луговое) 2 4 8 Sainfoin Hay (Сено эспарцета) 0 6 0 Haylage (Сенаж) 25 1.5 37.5 Straw 0 9 0 PMVC (БМВД*) 1 31.4 31.4 Potato (Картошка) 4 2 8 Barley (Ячмень, дроблёный) 4 9 36 Total Cost, KGS/head/day 36 120.9 Milk Yield, L/head/day 14 Revenue, KGS/head/day 210 Profit, KGS/head/day 89 Milk production Cost, KGS/L 9
  22. 22. In partnership with: Results of the improved feed ration on the farm Milk yield increased by 4 L/head/day 21 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 MILKYIELD,L EXPERIMENT DAYS, APRIL-MAY Belka (experiment) Calving date: 15.10.2015 Lactation Days at start: 141 Kashka (experiment) Calving date: 2.06.15 Lactation Days at start: 307 Milky (experiment) Calving Date: 5.09.2015 Lactation days at start: 212 Snowy (experiment) Calving Date: 15.06.2015 Lactatation Days at start: 294 Inomarka (experiment) Calving Date: 14.03.2016 Lactation Days at start: 21 Results: • Avg. Milk Yield at Start: 7.2 liters; • Avg. Milk Yield at End: 12.2 liters. Avg. Productivity Increased: 69%.
  23. 23. In partnership with: Involved Feed Center on the commercial basis for the preparation of feed mix for farmers based on the lab analysis 22
  24. 24. In partnership with: Pasture management Preventing Decrease in Milk Yield by the end of Pasture Season by 4 L/head/day 23 1. Use electric fences • Save biomass for cows (from sheep) 2. Use rotational management • 2-3 rotations per season is possible
  25. 25. In partnership with: ANIMAL HEALTH MANAGEMENT 24 Introduced Animal Diagnostics and Tracking System Established Farmer- Vet Communication and Treatment system Introduced Intensive system for rising calves •Selected 4 Vets and worked on animal health diagnostics; •Developed treatment protocols See next slide •Developed performance tracking system; •Adopted feeding system based on the performance Solutions Problems Lack of animal diagnostics and tracking system Poor Health Treatment system Extensive system for rising calves 1 2 3
  26. 26. In partnership with: 25 Systematized Artificial Insemination Selected better semen for AI 1. Implemented Animal Identification; 2. Implemented Animal Diagnostics to identify pregnancy status; 3. Used Animal physiology tracking system to plan reproduction. Introduced Farmer-Vet communication 1. Developed better performance characteristics of semen for each pilot farmer; 2. Used selected semen for the AI; 3. Introduced data collection forms to track performance. 1. Linked 4 Vets to 7 pilot farmers based on territorial coverage; 2. Made 2 Vets mobile to increase productivity; 3. Trained 4 Vets and 7 pilot farmers on the system and technics of AI; 1 Solutions ANIMAL REPRODUCTION MANAGEMENT Lack of tracking, control and planning Wide of Bull and poor selection of semen Lack of Farmer-Vet communication Problems 2 3
  27. 27. In partnership with: Dairy Company Extension Service development program • Development of staff expertise in the milk procurement unit: • Farmer extension service Business Model development; • Development of staff functions and KPIs; • Extension service training program: • Development of veterinary specialists in the area of milk procurement; • Development of feed rations and feeding management; • Data collection, analysis and working with farmer data for effective herd management. 26
  28. 28. In partnership with: THANK YOU! 27 Questions? and Discussion

Editor's Notes

  • Анализ основан на результатах анализов образцов кормов пилотных ферм, проведенных в лаборатории США, а также на данных по рыночной стоимости кормов по состоянию на февраль 2016.
  • Сколько стоит недокорм коровы? (ферма Байгазы)
  • Сколько стоит накормить корову? (ферма Байгазы)
  • Разработать рекомендации по смешиванию концентратов,
    Обучение фермеров правильному режиму дачи концентратов в течение дня,
    Учёт и анализ продуктивности коров, а также кормовых затрат.
  • Lack of animal diagnostics and tracking system – absence of division by physiological groups and feeding according to the group requirement
    Performance tracking – weight gains

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