Ralf Schlozer - State of the European Economy and Future of Printing Technology

1,004 views

Published on

Published in: Business
0 Comments
3 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

No Downloads
Views
Total views
1,004
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
2
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
0
Comments
0
Likes
3
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Ralf Schlozer - State of the European Economy and Future of Printing Technology

  1. 1. State of the European Economy and Future of Printing Technology An Outlook drivers for Change Ralf Schlözer Director On Demand Printing Service 24.11.2011© 2011 InfoTrends© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 1
  2. 2. The Future© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 2
  3. 3. More Progress Than We Did Imagine?© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 3
  4. 4. Growth of Worldwide Digital Data 9000 7910 8000 7000 6000 Exabyte of data 5000 4000 3000 2000 1227 1000 130 0 2005 2010 2015 1 Exabyte = 1,000,000,000,000,000,000 byte All printed material produced ever = 0,2 Exabyte EMC - Digital Universe, 2011© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 4
  5. 5. Household Internet Access 100 EU (27 countries) 80 Germany% of households 60 Netherlands 40 France 20 United Kingdom 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Source: Eurostat, 2011© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 5
  6. 6. Social Media Statistics at a Glance • More than 800 million active users on Facebook − People spend over 700 billion minutes per month on the site • LinkedIn has over 120 million members in 200 countries − A new member joins every second • There are over 200 million Twitter accounts − 20% of tweets contain brand-related inquiries about products/services • YouTube exceeds 3 billion views per day − Over 48 hours of video are uploaded every minute, 2,880 hours every hour, and 69,120 hours every day© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 6
  7. 7. Advertising Spending UK 1990 - 2000 Press TV Outdoors Radio Cinema Direct Mail Internet 100% 10.5% 10.5% 10.7% 9.9% 10.4% 10.3% 11.6% 12.3% 11.6% 12.2% 12.1% 90% Share of media of total advertising expenditure 80% 70% 26.2% 26.9% 27.9% 28.5% 28.5% 28.4% 28.0% 27.8% 28.0% 28.0% 27.4% 60% 50% 40% 30% 57.9% 57.2% 55.9% 55.6% 54.8% 54.2% 53.1% 52.2% 52.2% 51.1% 50.7% 20% 10% 0% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Little movement between media within one decade Source: World Advertising Research Center/Royal Mail© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 7
  8. 8. Advertising Spending UK 2000 - 2010 Presse TV Outdoors Radio Cinema Direct Mail Internet Share of media of total advertising expenditure 100% 7.2% 10.6% 12.1% 13.5% 14.2% 15.6% 19.3% 90% 14.2% 13.4% 12.5% 24.2% 25.6% 12.2% 80% 4.8% 4.8% 4.9% 11.2% 5.3% 5.3% 11.0% 5.5% 70% 5.7% 5.5% 10.7% 10.5% 27.4% 25.1% 25.9% 5.5% 60% 25.2% 25.2% 25.4% 5.4% 5.5% 24.1% 24.1% 50% 24.2% 26.2% 40% 26.9% 30% 50.7% 51.4% 49.6% 48.2% 47.3% 45.3% 43.7% 20% 39.8% 36.3% 29.6% 26.9% 10% 0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Internet: From 0% to a quarter within one decade Source: World Advertising Research Center/Royal Mail© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 8
  9. 9. Implications for the Printing Industry© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 9
  10. 10. Production Index European Union (27 countries) 120 115 Production index (2005=100) All Industry 110 Financial Crisis 105 100 95 90 85 80 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Update: Data until 8/2011© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 10
  11. 11. Production Index European Union (27 countries) 120 All Industry 115 Production index (2005=100) Paper & Paper products 110 Printing and Related 105 100 95 90 85 80 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Update: Data until 8/2011© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 11
  12. 12. Production Index European Union (27 countries) 120 The All Industry 115 Digitisation Production index (2005=100) Paper & Paper products 110 Printing and Related 105 Gap 100 95 90 85 80 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Update: Data until 8/2011© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 12
  13. 13. Production Index European Union (27 countries) 120 All Industry 115 Is it widening ? Production index (2005=100) Paper & Paper products 110 Printing and Related 105 100 95 90 85 80 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Update: Data until 8/2011© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 13
  14. 14. Shifts within the Printing Industry© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 14
  15. 15. Revenue for Professional Printing Equipment Sales (Excluding Digital Printing) Flexo, gravure, other € 10,000 Sheetfed offset Printing Press Revenue (€ million) € 9,000 Web Offset commercial € 8,000 Web offset newspaper € 7,000 € 6,000 € 5,000 % change % change € 4,000 5% -56% € 3,000 -50% 23% € 2,000 € 1,000 -80% 15% €0 -64% 4% Mid-2000s average‖ 2009 2010 Dramatic drop of investments in conventional presses – only minor recovery Source: KBA analyst presentations© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 15
  16. 16. Revenue for Professional Printing Equipment Sales € 18,000 Digital € 16,000 € 14,000 Printing Press Revenue (€ million) Flexo, gravure, € 6,600 other € 12,000 € 10,000 Sheetfed offset € 8,000 € 1,600 € 5,700 Web Offset € 5,250 € 6,000 commercial € 5,200 € 4,000 € 730 Web offset € 700 € 3,000 newspaper € 2,000 € 1,100 € 2,600 € 1,100 € 220 € 270 €0 € 400 € 420 Mid-2000s average 2009 2010 Digital did drop as well, but taking the lead on investments Sources: KBA analyst presentations - InfoTrends global forecast for digital production equipment. Normal level is for 2004© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 16
  17. 17. Print Service Provider Feeling the Change Percent of Business at a Print Service Provider Associated with Different Services 100% Growth area 11.1% 13.6% Value Added 6.4% 8.2% Services 80% 17.5% Wide Format 22.0% Printing 60% % share of revenue 13.8% Digital Printing 6.2% 13.3% 40% 5.7% Finishing 20% 45.1% 37.2% Other Conventional Printing 0% 2011 in 2 yearsSource: InfoTrends Production Print Services in North America© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 17
  18. 18. The Market for Digital Printing Systems© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 18
  19. 19. Types of Digital Printing Systems Ultra High Volume ProductionHigh Volume Production Mid- Production Light Production Entry Level Systems Colour Black & White© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 19
  20. 20. Types of Digital Printing Systems Growth in Installations Ultra High Volume High Growth Decline Production High Volume Production Some Growth Decline Mid- Production High Growth Flat Light Production Some Growth Entry Level Systems Decline Colour Black & WhiteSystems installed at professional print service providersSource:InfoTrends © 2011 InfoTrends 2010 placement reports www.infotrends.com 20
  21. 21. Game Changer Inkjet© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 21
  22. 22. Inkjet in Production Printing Main advantages of inkjet in production printing: • Speed Important for high speed devices where productivity is much more important than the upfront investment sum • Low consumable cost Important for high speed devices where colorants contribute substantially to the total cost of ownership, compared to other factors (depreciation, labour, maintenance, overhead …) • (Format) Not exploited yet in commercial printers – currently low interest Excludes use in wide format printers with scanning inkjet heads© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 22
  23. 23. Drivers for Inkjet in Ultra High Volume Printing Productivity Comparison • Until recently only a very limited choice in high end digital production printers 4500 existed 4000 3500 3000 Speed in A4/min 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Fastest EP Fastest EP BW Colour Cut-sheet roll-fed Speed as A4/min in a twin configuration EP = Electrophotographic© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 23
  24. 24. Drivers for Inkjet in Ultra High Volume Printing Productivity Comparison – Current Status • Colour inkjet devices are shattering speed, productivity and cost barriers 4500 4000 3500 3000 Speed in A4/min 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Fastest Colour Fastest EP Fastest EP BW Fastest inkjet Cut-sheet toner Colour Roll-fed roll-fed Colour roll-fed Speed as A4/min in a twin configuration EP = Electrophotographic© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 24
  25. 25. Installations Colour Continuous Feed Inkjet Printer US and Western Europe InfoPrint and Screen introduce Historic colour inkjet CF placements productsSource: InfoTrends Forecast Reports© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 25
  26. 26. Installations Colour Continuous Feed Inkjet Printer US and Western Europe Impact of financial crisis Historic placementsSource: InfoTrends Forecast Reports© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 26
  27. 27. Installations Colour Continuous Feed Inkjet Printer US and Western Europe - ForecastSource: InfoTrends Forecast Reports© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 27
  28. 28. Growth in Production Pages Forecast Digital Colour Pages (US + Europe) With a CAGR of 44% the >10 million duty cycle category (production inkjet) is outgrowing all other colour segmentsSource. InfoTrends forecast – Digital production printing (excluding large format printing and industrial applications)© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 28
  29. 29. Growth Production Pages Forecast All Digital Pages (US + Europe) A good portion of the growth is on the expense of Black & WhiteSource. InfoTrends forecast – Digital production printing (excluding large format printing and industrial applications)© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 29
  30. 30. Wrap-up • Communication technology is evolving in leaps • The amount of digital information is growing rapidly • Print is becoming one player among others in the media mix • Digital printing is still growing – in contrast to analogue printing processes • Growth driver is digital colour • Inkjet is a game changer for digital colour printing • Starting in transaction/TransPromo markets colour inkjet has the potential to move into many markets and become a dominant printing process© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 30
  31. 31. ralf_schlozer@infotrends.com© 2011 InfoTrends www.infotrends.com 31

×