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Fibre-based innovations for tomorrow's high-tech products

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By Frank Miletzky, Papiertechnische Stiftung. This was presented during the mid-term conference on future skills and competences in the pulp and paper industry, jointly organised by the European Paper Sector Social Partners, industriAll Europe and Confederation of European Paper Industries, in Vienna 22 February 2016. More at (link tbc).

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Fibre-based innovations for tomorrow's high-tech products

  1. 1. Fibre-based innovations for tomorrow's high-tech products F. Miletzky Paper & Fibre 2030 Shaping a sustainable future
  2. 2. 25.02.2016 One sector's journey into the future Sources http://image.slidesharecdn.com/roadmap2050-120702034623-phpapp02/95/drupa-2012-european-paper-day-road-map-2050-11-728.jpg?cb=1341201120; http://www.paperindustryworld.com/files/2014/02/TheTwoTeamProject.jpg ; http://www.papierverarbeitung.de/wpv-wAssets/img/Cover_Faser_Papier_2030.JPG ; http://unfoldthefuture.eu/images/download-thumb.jpg “Breakthrough technologies" for reengineering production processes and reducing CO2 emissions The contribution of paper as a material to various economic sectors 2
  3. 3. 25.02.2016 Declining share prices ... 0 50 100 150 200 250 20142012201020082006200420022000 Share price index (2000 = 100) MSCI paper and forest products MSCI world materials  '00-'13 + 57% - 33% Pre- boom Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream; BCG analysis Courtesy of R. Haslehner (Boston Consult Comp.) DownturnCommodity boom Multi-utilities Gas utilities SoftwarePaper and forest products Tobacco Industry classification Unpredictability Malleability "Adaptive" "Classical" "Visionary" "Shaping" Note: Unpredictability = market cap return volatility, malleability = industry concentration - return to scale + revenue growth. Rank based on industry environment matrix Source: BCG analysis, Courtesy of R. Haslehner (BCG) 3 The paper world is growing dark…
  4. 4. 25.02.2016 10 ct/kg 10 ct/kg 7,000 €/kg 4 1 €/kg 1,500 €/kg Bridging the gap: value creation!
  5. 5. 25.02.2016 • Global growth of P&B based packaging has been forecasted to be approx. 7 % annually within next 10 years accord. to different studies (Capital Mind, Catalyst Corp. Finance). • Consequently, new construction of paper machines (or rebuilds of former graphic machines) (e.g. Sappi Europe, Heinzel Group Austria, UPM/Leipa Germany,…) for packaging and specialty P&B 5 … how is the paper sector addressing this challenge?
  6. 6. 25.02.2016 One sector's journey into the future Sources: http://image.slidesharecdn.com/roadmap2050-120702034623-phpapp02/95/drupa-2012-european-paper-day-road-map-2050-11-728.jpg?cb=1341201120; http://www.paperindustryworld.com/files/2014/02/TheTwoTeamProject.jpg ; http://www.papierverarbeitung.de/wpv-wAssets/img/Cover_Faser_Papier_2030.JPG ; http://unfoldthefuture.eu/images/download-thumb.jpg “Breakthrough technologies" for reengineering production processes and reducing CO2 emissions Ideas for “tomorrow's paper” The contribution of paper as a material to various economic sectors 6
  7. 7. 25.02.2016 Motivation for the "Fibre & Paper 2030" project of the future  The paper sector is in a phase of radical change  But: even today there are discernible innovative approaches to paper applications in various sectors with a considerable need for development work  Motivation: What are the markets, fields of business and customer needs of the future for fibre-based materials?  A solid groundwork has been laid: Within the scope of the bio-economy concept, sustainable and bio-based concepts for tomorrow's world are in demand! Source: http://www.leanoffice-evenburg.de/images/zeit%20fuer%20sw.png 7
  8. 8. 25.02.2016 Increase the value added of innovative products and tap into new markets – light-weight construction materials, for example The outcome: Customise paper for innovative areas of application The challenge for paper Source: Biesalski et al. WfP 2015 8
  9. 9. 25.02.2016 Project management: PTS FENWIS GmbH = flight controller Core team: Depiction of the entire paper value chain: suppliers, producers, converters and researchers/developers Duration: 01/2014 to 03/2015 Joint future project: “Fibre & Paper 2030” 9 What? – Project goals: Shape a future with “paper” Anticipate tomorrow‘s requirements today Identify new markets with high value added
  10. 10. 25.02.2016 Retropolation: systematically looking ahead into the future today 2030 2050 Future visions of tomorrow and beyond Documented premises The current setting “Looking back at tomorrow” ? Tomorrow's needs • New applications? • New materials? • New properties? • New business opportunities? Source: FENWIS GmbH 10 10
  11. 11. 25.02.2016 The map of the future: looking back from the future Retropolation Trends Overall picture: • People • Customers • Markets • Economy • Technologies • Environment • Politics • Society Areas of activity Business models Business plans Strategy Manage- ment culture Portfolio Infra- structure Training … Communication Business today Influencing variables • Future markets • Customer’s requirements • Need for innovation • Research themes • Competence requirements • Business models • Laws and regulations Food Health & hygiene Mobility ICTE* Logistics Future city & architecture Living & working General boundary conditions Thematic areas = Corporate tasks * ICTE = Information, Communication, Training and Expertise 11 Source: FENWIS GmbH 11
  12. 12. 25.02.2016 Joint activities on the path to 2030 Source: http://www.bauwelt.ch/sites/default/files/22159_1_chinmegastadt.jpg Future city & architecture (Sound and climate control in homes, emergency shelters, building material systems, cultivation areas, energy storage systems, …) Mobility (fibre-based light-weight construction for tomorrow‘s mobility, fireproof equipment, …) Health & hygiene (Filters, smart dressing materials, implants, prostheses, ... Living & Working (modular and convertible living room-style elements, functionalised wall coverings and partitions, …) Food (modular greenhouses, fibre fleece as plant substrate, paper covers for separating arable farming areas, …) 12
  13. 13. 25.02.2016 Premises 2050  Megacities are the most efficient living areas due to modern mobility concepts, energy efficiency and high land use  Buildings and infrastructure make a decisive contribution to local regenerative energy production (solar energy in photovoltaic systems on facades, wind energy, algae production in facades)  Self-cleaning and self-repairing materials prolong service life Paper-related ideas • Fibre-based materials for thermal insulation and soundproofing in houses and apartments • Functionalised fibre-based exterior facades (e.g. with shielding properties, heating functions, …) • Use of fibres as a building material in concrete, mortar, e.g. for weight reduction and enhanced insulation Source: https://zukunft2050.files.wordpress.com/2011/10/smart-grid- zukunftsstadt-aus-film-pof_2_2009_34_still_megacity_turm.jpg 13 Paper-related ideas in the thematic area Future city & architecture
  14. 14. 25.02.2016 Paper as a building material? It works! Bridge over the river Gardon, France (2007) Cathedral, Christchurch, New Zealand (2013) Emergency shelters, Kobe, Japan (1995) Emergency shelters, Byumba Refugee Camp, Rwanda (1999) Source: Shigeru Ban 14
  15. 15. 25.02.2016 Source: Kevin Boyack, Dick Klavans, publ. 2006 W. Bradford Paley Materials science as the interface between mathematics, applied physics, physical and organic chemistry, fluid mechanics and analysis 15 Intersectoral networks dominate technological and scientific progress
  16. 16. 25.02.2016 Networking activities aimed at implementing the results Source: http://www.kilory.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/sharing.jpg Functional & integration networks Key technology networks Future visions network System/ subsystem networks Solutions networks Application networks 16 16
  17. 17. 25.02.2016 Source: Final Report Industrie 4.0, April 2013; Publ.. Promotor Group Communication of the Forschungsunion Wirtschaft – Wissenschaft e.V. Industry 4.0 17
  18. 18. 25.02.2016 What lessons can we learn? 1. The large global themes provide ample opportunity for innovations with paper. Arguments supporting this view are the advantageous material properties of paper and similar products on the one hand. On the other hand, large market volumes can evolve that are adapted to our industry. 2. We have to expand our materials science expertise by improved vocational education and training and create appropriate networks. We must reflect on the vertical range of manufacture in order to participate more from the total value added. 3. Industry 4.0 is creating new prerequisites and regional opportunities, and it is essential that we equip ourselves properly. 4. Our lobbying activities, in particular on behalf of small and medium-sized enterprises, must be intensified especially in the EU Commission, in the national ministries, in funding organisations and in new economic sectors. 5. We, with our range of products and solutions, are welcome if only we wish to be. 18
  19. 19. 25.02.2016 Prof. Dr. Frank Miletzky Papiertechnische Stiftung Hess-Str. 134, 80797 Munich Pirnaer Str.37, 01809 Heidenau Germany Tel: +49 89 12146 184 frank.miletzky@ptspaper.de Thank you for your attention! 19 19

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