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Climate TO PROSPER
Chris Rapley
Visualising Climate Change
!
It’s All in the Mind
Climate TO PROSPER
Not The Higgs
Climate TO PROSPER
Anxiety, Fear, Loss, Grief, Guilt, Helplessness
Climate TO PROSPER
IPCC AR5 Summary for Policy Makers
Climate TO PROSPER
There’s a Limit
How can we stop? Who gets what?
A Personal Journey
Climate TO PROSPER
Jodrell Bank 1970
Climate TO PROSPER
Cassini Titan Radar 1994
Climate TO PROSPER
Science Museum 2007
?
Conclude
or
Believe
?
Climate TO PROSPER
atmosphere 2010
Climate TO PROSPER
Primary Instrument
Mk1 Brain
Climate TO PROSPER
Ken Robinson - TED talk on creativity
Climate TO PROSPER
Automatic
Deliberative
Climate TO PROSPER
System 1 (Automatic)
Intuitive - autonomous and effortless. Outside conscious
awareness and does not req...
Climate TO PROSPER
System 1
Climate TO PROSPER
Keeping You Alive
Avoiding Disadvantage
Seeking Advantage
Climate TO PROSPER
“Meaning in Context”
Climate TO PROSPER
Perception
• Optic nerve axons equivalent to 1 Megapixel camera!
• Rapidly scan ‘searchlight’ to build ...
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Beau Lotto
Climate TO PROSPER
Beau Lotto
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Visual Processors!
- Automatic !
- Always on!
- In the hidden part!
- Err on the side of false positive...
Climate TO PROSPER
T e mind a tom tic lly extra ts t e ost 	

li ely mean g fr m a sent ce wi h miss n
l tt rs
Climate TO PROSPER
A System for Jumping to
Conclusions
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Heider and Simmel 1946
Climate TO PROSPER
What Did We See?!
- Agency!
- Intentions & Motivations!
- Emotions!
- Character Traits
Climate TO PROSPER
Social Evaluation and
Narrative Processors!
- Automatic!
- Always on!
- In the hidden part!
- Snap judg...
Climate TO PROSPERClimate TO PROSPER
Hidden Contributions to A
Thought
mental sensations
(perceptions and cognitive
feelin...
Climate TO PROSPERClimate TO PROSPER
Massive Committee
Climate TO PROSPER
Automatic Associations
Feelings steer What we Think
Determine What we Feel
drive need to formulate
mean...
Climate TO PROSPER
Capable of Believing Almost
Anything
Climate TO PROSPER
Divergent Beliefs
Cycle of Action and Self-Justification
Climate TO PROSPER
Pre-existing hidden associations tip us
down one side of the triangle
Step by step we consolidate our
p...
Climate TO PROSPER
To account for those who
differ we assume they are ...
- Ill-informed / Misled
- Incapable / Crazy
- Se...
Climate TO PROSPER
Another Possibility
As Convinced and Sincere as
we are
Climate TO PROSPERClimate TO PROSPER
Powerful Influences
• Care - Harm!
• Liberty - Oppression!
• Fairness - Cheating!
• L...
Climate TO PROSPER
Threat
Life Support
Reducing Harm
Collective Action
Nature
Hoax
Personal Freedom
Regulation
State Inter...
Climate TO PROSPER
We Care Very Much What
Others Think of Us
We Make Sense Of The World
Through the Lenses Of Those
With W...
Climate TO PROSPERClimate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
How do minds change?
Climate TO PROSPER
More Facts Don’t Work
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
• Assuming others have pieces of the
answer!
• Collaborative!
• About finding common ground!
• Listening...
Climate TO PROSPER
Telling Stories
Universal Structure
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Climate TO PROSPER
Message In the Waves
BBC
Climate TO PROSPER
Cars
CPSL
Climate TO PROSPER
3 minutes
Climate TO PROSPER
Welcome to the Anthropocene
IGBP
Climate TO PROSPER
We Can Shape Our Future
!
You and I are Part of This
Story
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Visualising climate change it's all in the mind

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Chris Rapley talks about climate change, visualisation and story-telling.

Prof. Christopher Graham Rapley (known as Chris Rapley) CBE (born 9 April 1947)[1] is a British scientist. He was Executive Director of the International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme IGBP from 1994 to 1998, and Director of the British Antarctic Survey from 1998 to 2007. He was appointed Director of the Science Museum in 2007, stepping down in 2010. In 2008 he was awarded the Edinburgh Science Medal – “For professional achievements judged to have made a significant contribution to the understanding and well-being of humanity”

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Visualising climate change it's all in the mind

  1. 1. Climate TO PROSPER Chris Rapley Visualising Climate Change ! It’s All in the Mind
  2. 2. Climate TO PROSPER Not The Higgs
  3. 3. Climate TO PROSPER Anxiety, Fear, Loss, Grief, Guilt, Helplessness
  4. 4. Climate TO PROSPER IPCC AR5 Summary for Policy Makers
  5. 5. Climate TO PROSPER There’s a Limit How can we stop? Who gets what?
  6. 6. A Personal Journey
  7. 7. Climate TO PROSPER Jodrell Bank 1970
  8. 8. Climate TO PROSPER Cassini Titan Radar 1994
  9. 9. Climate TO PROSPER Science Museum 2007
  10. 10. ? Conclude or Believe ?
  11. 11. Climate TO PROSPER atmosphere 2010
  12. 12. Climate TO PROSPER Primary Instrument Mk1 Brain
  13. 13. Climate TO PROSPER Ken Robinson - TED talk on creativity
  14. 14. Climate TO PROSPER Automatic Deliberative
  15. 15. Climate TO PROSPER System 1 (Automatic) Intuitive - autonomous and effortless. Outside conscious awareness and does not require controlled attention. Generates fast, automatic responses. Wellspring for spontaneous creative thoughts and ideas System 2 (Deliberative) Reflective reasoning - conscious, deliberative, effortful. Requires controlled attention. Flexible and can be applied to different problem domains. Underlies capacity for abstract thinking, mental simulation and introspection
  16. 16. Climate TO PROSPER System 1
  17. 17. Climate TO PROSPER Keeping You Alive Avoiding Disadvantage Seeking Advantage
  18. 18. Climate TO PROSPER “Meaning in Context”
  19. 19. Climate TO PROSPER Perception • Optic nerve axons equivalent to 1 Megapixel camera! • Rapidly scan ‘searchlight’ to build up visual scene ~80% of which is constructed in brain
  20. 20. Climate TO PROSPER
  21. 21. Climate TO PROSPER
  22. 22. Climate TO PROSPER Beau Lotto
  23. 23. Climate TO PROSPER Beau Lotto
  24. 24. Climate TO PROSPER
  25. 25. Climate TO PROSPER
  26. 26. Climate TO PROSPER
  27. 27. Climate TO PROSPER
  28. 28. Climate TO PROSPER
  29. 29. Climate TO PROSPER Visual Processors! - Automatic ! - Always on! - In the hidden part! - Err on the side of false positives!
  30. 30. Climate TO PROSPER T e mind a tom tic lly extra ts t e ost li ely mean g fr m a sent ce wi h miss n l tt rs
  31. 31. Climate TO PROSPER A System for Jumping to Conclusions
  32. 32. Climate TO PROSPER
  33. 33. Climate TO PROSPER Heider and Simmel 1946
  34. 34. Climate TO PROSPER What Did We See?! - Agency! - Intentions & Motivations! - Emotions! - Character Traits
  35. 35. Climate TO PROSPER Social Evaluation and Narrative Processors! - Automatic! - Always on! - In the hidden part! - Snap judgements! - Stereotypes!
  36. 36. Climate TO PROSPERClimate TO PROSPER Hidden Contributions to A Thought mental sensations (perceptions and cognitive feelings) thoughts actions individual genetic factors evolutionary history / species- level biological factors memories and experiences emotions and mood pressures from the social environment Adapted from Burton,”A Skeptic’s Guide to the Mind” 2013 physical sensations influences from cultural heritage
  37. 37. Climate TO PROSPERClimate TO PROSPER Massive Committee
  38. 38. Climate TO PROSPER Automatic Associations Feelings steer What we Think Determine What we Feel drive need to formulate meaning even if there is none
  39. 39. Climate TO PROSPER Capable of Believing Almost Anything
  40. 40. Climate TO PROSPER Divergent Beliefs Cycle of Action and Self-Justification
  41. 41. Climate TO PROSPER Pre-existing hidden associations tip us down one side of the triangle Step by step we consolidate our position as we seek to eliminate Dissonance - To feel right not wrong in doing so we become increasingly practiced and resolute Thought becomes Belief / Conviction
  42. 42. Climate TO PROSPER To account for those who differ we assume they are ... - Ill-informed / Misled - Incapable / Crazy - Self-interested / Evil
  43. 43. Climate TO PROSPER Another Possibility As Convinced and Sincere as we are
  44. 44. Climate TO PROSPERClimate TO PROSPER Powerful Influences • Care - Harm! • Liberty - Oppression! • Fairness - Cheating! • Loyalty - Betrayal! • Authority - Subversion! • Sanctity - Degradation (Joanathan Haidt - Moral Foundations Theory)
  45. 45. Climate TO PROSPER Threat Life Support Reducing Harm Collective Action Nature Hoax Personal Freedom Regulation State Interference Individuality
  46. 46. Climate TO PROSPER We Care Very Much What Others Think of Us We Make Sense Of The World Through the Lenses Of Those With Whom We Identify And Whose Esteem We Seek
  47. 47. Climate TO PROSPERClimate TO PROSPER
  48. 48. Climate TO PROSPER How do minds change?
  49. 49. Climate TO PROSPER More Facts Don’t Work
  50. 50. Climate TO PROSPER
  51. 51. Climate TO PROSPER • Assuming others have pieces of the answer! • Collaborative! • About finding common ground! • Listening to understand! • Exploring assumptions! • Discovering new possibilities! • Seeking constructive progress Debate Dialogue Mode of Engagement • Assuming there is one right answer! • Combative! • About winning! • Listening for flaws! • Defending assumptions! • Pursuing your outcome! • Asymmetries of engagement! • Entertainment× ✓
  52. 52. Climate TO PROSPER Telling Stories Universal Structure
  53. 53. Climate TO PROSPER
  54. 54. Climate TO PROSPER
  55. 55. Climate TO PROSPER
  56. 56. Climate TO PROSPER
  57. 57. Climate TO PROSPER
  58. 58. Climate TO PROSPER
  59. 59. Climate TO PROSPER
  60. 60. Climate TO PROSPER
  61. 61. Climate TO PROSPER
  62. 62. Climate TO PROSPER
  63. 63. Climate TO PROSPER Message In the Waves BBC
  64. 64. Climate TO PROSPER Cars CPSL
  65. 65. Climate TO PROSPER 3 minutes
  66. 66. Climate TO PROSPER Welcome to the Anthropocene IGBP
  67. 67. Climate TO PROSPER We Can Shape Our Future ! You and I are Part of This Story

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