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Big Opportunities in India!!   Presented at Transforming Transportation 2013!! Madhav Pai!!   Director!!   EMBARQ India!Tr...
Big	  Opportuni,es	  	          in	  India

200-230 Million !New Urban Residents      by 2030!
Rapid Urbanization!Source: McKinsey, 2010
12 Million !New 2 Wheelers!    (2012)!
Accelerated Motorization!                            Source: IIHS, 2011
120,000 India
           
 1,200,000 Worldwide
             
(Road Fatalities 2008)!
0                  100                        200                                       300                               ...
712,000 South Asia
           
 2,100,000 Worldwide
             
(Outdoor Air pollution   Related Deaths)!
Urban transport    energy use,   emissions willincrease 5-7 fold in the next 20 years!
Urban Transport – 2030 Scenarios                            7                                       Rail                  ...
AHMEDABAD!
Rapid Urban Growth!3.3 million 1992!              6.4 million 2011!
Potential to Limit Urban Sprawl                                Today                    2041                              ...
Transport Infrastructure Investment Estimates0.4 Billion                                           0.6 BillionUSD/Year    ...
JnNURM!
!  1.1 Billion – Bus Rapid Transit!!  1 Billion – Buses for Cities!!  0.4 Billion – Support Technology +   Infrastructure ...
Draft 12 th5Year Plan
 2013-2018!
20 Year Horizon
UrbanTransportInvestmentEstimates
Q1	  –	  Is	  this	  enough	  to	  adequate	  	  build	  public	                               transport	  ?
             ...
     Q2	  –	  What	  policies,	  instruments	  will	  we	  need	      to	  ensure	  land-­‐use	    transport	  integra,on?...
Thank You!
Transforming Transportation 2013!!     Co-organized by EMBARQ and The World Bank!!     More information at:!!     EMBARQ.o...
Big Opportunities in India - Madhav Pai - EMBARQ India - Transforming Transportation 2013 - EMBARQ and The World Bank
Big Opportunities in India - Madhav Pai - EMBARQ India - Transforming Transportation 2013 - EMBARQ and The World Bank
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Big Opportunities in India - Madhav Pai - EMBARQ India - Transforming Transportation 2013 - EMBARQ and The World Bank

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Big Opportunities in India - Madhav Pai - EMBARQ India - Transforming Transportation 2013 - EMBARQ and The World Bank

  1. 1. Big Opportunities in India!!   Presented at Transforming Transportation 2013!! Madhav Pai!!   Director!!   EMBARQ India!Transforming Transportation 2013!
  2. 2. Big  Opportuni,es     in  India

  3. 3. 200-230 Million !New Urban Residents by 2030!
  4. 4. Rapid Urbanization!Source: McKinsey, 2010
  5. 5. 12 Million !New 2 Wheelers! (2012)!
  6. 6. Accelerated Motorization! Source: IIHS, 2011
  7. 7. 120,000 India
 
 1,200,000 Worldwide
 
(Road Fatalities 2008)!
  8. 8. 0 100 200 300 400Ahmedabad Amritsar Kolkata Ludhiana 2009 2001 Mumbai Patna Hyderabad Surat Vadodara Chennai Rajkot Madurai Kochi Delhi Bangalore Nagpur Pune AsansolJamshedpur Jabalpur Indore Nasik BhopalCoimbatore Varanasi Dhanbad Fatalities per million population (major Indian cities) Jaipur Lucknow Kanpur Faridbad Vijaywada Meerut Road Fatalities Comparison (2001 – 2009)! Vizag Agra Allahabad
  9. 9. 712,000 South Asia
 
 2,100,000 Worldwide
 
(Outdoor Air pollution Related Deaths)!
  10. 10. Urban transport energy use, emissions willincrease 5-7 fold in the next 20 years!
  11. 11. Urban Transport – 2030 Scenarios 7 Rail 27% Less Energy as 6 compared with Buses 2030 BAUEJ Total Delivered Energy 5 3 Wheelers 4 2 Wheelers Cars 3 2 1 0 1980 2000 2030: BAU 2030 Fuel 2030: 2030: SUT 2030 Extra Eff. TWW Effort Schipper L. Banerjee I. and Ng W.S. “CO2 Emissions from Land Transport in India Scenarios of the Uncertain”, TRB Annual Meeting, Washington, DC, January 2009
  12. 12. AHMEDABAD!
  13. 13. Rapid Urban Growth!3.3 million 1992! 6.4 million 2011!
  14. 14. Potential to Limit Urban Sprawl Today 2041 Automobility Sustainable  Transport AhmedabadPopulation  (millions) 5.4 13.2 13.2Trips (millions/yr) 5.6 39.75 39.75Area  (Sq.  Km.) 1330 6484 3242Emissions(million  Tons   CO2/yr) 0.33 12.32 1.97Traffic  Fatalities  (per  yr) 175 5,232 1,225
  15. 15. Transport Infrastructure Investment Estimates0.4 Billion 0.6 BillionUSD/Year USD/Year 10 Million 20300.8 Billion 1.2 BillionUSD/Year USD/Year Source: CEPT University, 12FYP, 2011
  16. 16. JnNURM!
  17. 17. !  1.1 Billion – Bus Rapid Transit!!  1 Billion – Buses for Cities!!  0.4 Billion – Support Technology + Infrastructure for Transit!!  19 Billion – Rail Metro!
  18. 18. Draft 12 th5Year Plan
 2013-2018!
  19. 19. 20 Year Horizon
  20. 20. UrbanTransportInvestmentEstimates
  21. 21. Q1  –  Is  this  enough  to  adequate    build  public   transport  ?
 

  22. 22.   Q2  –  What  policies,  instruments  will  we  need   to  ensure  land-­‐use   transport  integra,on?   
 
 
 !
  23. 23. Thank You!
  24. 24. Transforming Transportation 2013!!   Co-organized by EMBARQ and The World Bank!!   More information at:!! EMBARQ.org!! worldbank.org/transport!!   Questions? Comments? Contact us at embarq@wri.org!!   Follow us on Twitter: @EMBARQnetwork!Transforming Transportation 2013!

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