Opening Day at #CK2017 | Andrew Steer, WRI

1. PHOTO BY MICHAEL FLESHMAN ANDREW STEER, PRESIDENT & CEO, WRI
JOIN THE URBAN `
REVOLUTION!
ConnectKaro, April 5th, 2017

2. 3% in 1800
75% in 2050
50% in 2000
14% in 1900
30% in 1950
SHIFT TO AN URBANIZED WORLD

3. THE EXTRAORDINARY URBANIZATION CHALLENGE
Source: UN Habitat; UN World Urbanization Prospects 2014 Revision; Image: Harvey
Barrison
• Globally, 800 million per
decade
• India’s urban population
will double to 800 million
by 2050

4. 1 billion in 1990
2 billion in 2010
5 billion by 2030
EXPLOSION OF THE GLOBAL MIDDLE CLASS
Source: Reuters, McKinsey
Photo: Flickr/ben124

5. 2015-2030 – UNPRECEDENTED URBAN GROWTH –
ESPECIALLY IN S. ASIA & AFRICA

6. DRASTIC CHANGES IN CITIES
Photo: Flickr/RICO Lee
Globally, urban
infrastructure will more
than
DOUBLE
in the next 15 years

7. INDIA AT THE CENTER OF THINGS
75% of India’s
2050 infrastructure
has yet to be built
Source: Global Buildings Performance Network

8. MEDIUM SIZE CITIES WILL GROW THE MOST
Note: N = 1,692 urban agglomerations (populations ≥ 300,000 inhabitants).
Sources: United Nations (2014); World Bank country classification.
1M to 5M

9. THIS?
Image: Flickr/RodrigoSolon

10. OR THIS?
Image: Flikr/Andreas

11. THE CITIES REVOLUTION: A NEW URBANISM
Image: Flickr/Frikjan

15. A NEW URBAN PARADIGM:
COMPACT, CONNECTED, COORDINATED AND RESILIENT
Source: New Climate Economy; Image: Flickr/Chris Wilkinson
$3 trillion savings on
infrastructure 2015-2030

17. COVENANT OF MAYORS: SCALING ACTION
7,000+
Cities
Source: covenantofmayors.eu

18. URBAN PLANNING
Photo by Meena Kadri/Flickr.

19. HOW WE BUILD CITIES MATTERS
Atlanta’s built-up area
Population: 2.5 million
Urban area: 4,280 km2
Transport carbon emissions: 7.5 tonnes
CO2 per person
Population: 2.8 million
Urban area: 162 km2
Transport carbon emissions: 0.7 tonnes
CO2 per person
ATLANTA BARCELONA
Source: Bertaud and Richardson, 2004, Kenworthy (2003) citied in Lefevre, B. (2009)

20. HOW WE BUILD CITIES MATTERS
Atlanta’s built-up area
Population: 2.5 million
Urban area: 4,280 km2
Transport carbon emissions: 7.5 tonnes
CO2 per person
Population: 2.8 million
Urban area: 162 km2
Transport carbon emissions: 0.7 tonnes
CO2 per person
ATLANTA BARCELONA
Source: Bertaud and Richardson, 2004, Kenworthy (2003) citied in Lefevre, B. (2009)

21. URBAN SPRAWL IS COSTLY
Image: Flickr/Jeff Turner; Source: The New Climate Economy
14%GDP Houston, TX
spends on transport

22. COMPACT, CONNECTED, AND COORDINATED
CITIES SAVE MONEY
Image: Wikimedia Commons/Bob Collowân; Source: The New Climate Economy
4%GDP Copenhagen
spends on transport

23. COMPACT CITIES HAVE FASTER GROWING
ECONOMIES
Source: IIHS,2011,hp://iihs.co.in/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/IUC-Book.pdf

24. 24
INDIA’S SPRAWL IS DIFFERENT
Source: Sholomo Angel
9 m2
•per person in Mumbai
42.5 m2
per person in Urban China

25. TRANSIT-ORIENTED DEVELOPMENT
Image: EMBARQ Sustainable Urban Mobility

26. INDIA’S 100 SMART CITIES
Source: NASA Marshall Space Flight Center/Flickr

27. MOBILITY
Photo by: Ashwat Mahendran/Flickr

28. Photo: Flickr/Neil Rickards
Workers lose 8 days per year sitting in traffic
-- and 1.3 million die in accidents

29. SEARCH FOR LOW COST HIGH QUALITY PUBLIC
TRANSPORT
* Busway / BRT year commencement
Source: BRTData.org, March 2016
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
5
10
15
20
25
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Cumulativenumberofcities
Newcities
Bus Rapid Transport Takes Off
In 2017, Bus Rapid
Transit serves:
206 Cities
34 million
passengers per
day

30. SHARING ECONOMY TAKES OFF
(Laurence Coss/BBC)

31. PROGRESSIVE TRANSPORT
POLICIES
(Congestion Charge London)

32. RECLAIMING INDIA'S STREETS-- RAAHGIRI DAY
Photo: Flickr/EMBARQ Sustainable Urban Mobility

33. Photo: Flickr/Paladin27
BIG DECISIONS: SHARED, AUTONOMOUS, AND
ELECTRIC?

34. ENERGY
Photo: USFWS/Joshua Winchell

35. ALMOST ALL CITIES FAIL AIR QUALITY STANDARDS
SOURCE: Mortality data from World Health Organisation:
http://apps.who.int/gho/data/node.wrapper.ENVHEALTH3

36. • Source: WHO
6.7m Deaths from
air pollution

37. $266 Billion
Investment in renewable
energy capacity was double
coal & gas last year
Photo: Google Earth
RENEWABLE ENERGY SURGES

38. INDIA’S CLEAN ENERGY AMBITIONS
Narendra Modi, Flickr
From 3 gigawatts to
100 gigawatts
solar power by 2022

39. Notes: FY = All years in chart are fiscal years from April 1 to March 31; GW = 1,000 MW.
Sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF); The Economic Times.
INDIA’S TARGETS TO REACH 100GW SOLAR BY 2022

40. Notes: FY = All years in chart are fiscal years from April 1 to March 31; GW = 1,000 MW.
Sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF); The Economic Times.
INDIA’S TARGETS TO REACH 100GW SOLAR BY 2022

41. Photo: Flickr/Brookhaven National Lab
COMPETITION FOR WORLD’S LARGEST
SOLAR PLANT
November 2016: India
648 Megawatts
January 2017: China
850 Megawatts

42. URBAN RESILIENCE

43. FLOOD RISK MAGNIFIED BY 1 METER SEA LEVEL
RISE AND MUCH STRONGER STORMS

44. URBAN POOR ARE AT THE FOREFRONT
2300 deaths
By 2015 heat wave
Photo source: Tsering Topgyal/ Associated Press, click here; 1The Natural Resources
Defense Council, click here

45. RESILIENT CITIES NEEDED

46. URBAN COMMUNITY RESILIENCE ASSESSMENT
• Initiated in Brazilian Cities
• 3 cities: Rio, Surat, Semarang
• Plans for climate resilience

47. PRIVATE SECTOR
Photo: Wikimedia Commons

48. NEW LEADERSHIP FROM PRIVATE SECTOR
• 1,000+ commit to carbon pricing
• 83 commit to 100% renewable energy
• 204 commit to Science-Based Targets
Photo: iStock

49. South Region
INDIA GHG PROGRAM

50. 50+
Businesses
formally
managing
emissions
through IGHGP
100+
Businesses
formally
measuring their
emissions using
GHG Protocol
44+
Businesses
working on an
Internal Carbon
Price
CORPORATE LEADERSHIP ON LOW CARBON
MEASURES

51. Mahindra Steel
Science Based
Target
Commitment to align ambitions with
<2°C
Godrej & Boyce
Carbon Neutrality
By 2020-21
Mahindra &
Mahindra
$10 / tonne Carbon Price
Achieve 25% reductions in emissions intensity
of output
Infosys
100% RE
Reduce emissions intensity of operations by
55.4% per employee by 2018
Delhi Airport
Achieved Carbon
Neutrality
In 2016
Tata Chemicals
Internal Carbon Price
Adopted Internal Carbon Price in 2016
DRIVING AMBITIOUS ACTION

52. WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM CITIES THAT
HAVE TRANSFORMED?
Photo Credits: Deutsche Welle/Patrick Benning/Flickr; GFDL (http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html)], via Wikimedia Commons
Medellin, Colombia Surat, India

53. FIVE REVOLUTIONS FOR INDIAN CITIES
• New Urban Development
• People-Friendly Mobility
• Clean Energy
• Climate Resilience
• Private Sector Leadership
Photo by Benoit Colin/WRI

54. PHOTO BY BENOIT COLIN/WRI
THANK YOU!