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Velocity
Agile Metricsisnot
goal
the
Velocity
Agile Metrics
isnot
goal
the
@DocOnDev
Michael “Doc” Norton
doc@groupon.com
Director of Engineering
Velocity
Agile Metrics
isnot
goal
the
Velocity
AgileWhat is
?
Time
Work UnitsO V E R
lagging Indicator
Velocity
Planning
with
0
125
250
375
500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Ideal
0
6
12
18
24
30
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
22
26
25
24
27
30
25
Actual
Velocity
theWhat is
?next
Yesterday’sWeather
0
6
12
18
24
30
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
22
26
25
30
27
30
25
26
25
30
27
30
25
30
Yesterday’s
Weather
Weather Actual
0
125
250
375
500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Ideal Actual Weather
Yesterday’s
Weather
RollingAverage
0
6
12
18
24
30
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
22
26
25
30
27
30
25
2727
29
2727
25
30
26
25
30
27
30
25
30
Rolling
Average
Weather Rolling Actual
0
125
250
375
500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Ideal Actual Rolling
Rolling
Average
Weather
Rolling
-vs-
0
125
250
375
500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Ideal Actual Rolling Weather
&Precise
Inaccurate
Standard
Deviation
Standard
Deviation
2.66
Rolling
Std. Deviation
with
0
125
250
375
500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Ideal Actual Rolling Deviation
Two
Velocities
OfA Tale
Set A:
10, 11, 9, 10
Set B:
10, 14, 9, 7
Mean: 10 Mean: 10
Set A:
10, 11, 9, 10
Set B:
10, 14, 9, 7
Rolling: 10 Rolling: 10
Mean: 10 Mean: 10
Set A:
10, 11, 9, 10
Set B:
10, 14, 9, 7
Deviation: 0.7 Deviation: 2.5
Rolling: 10 Rolling: 10
Mean: 10 Mean: 10
Set A:
10, 11, 9, 10
Set B:
10, 14, 9, 7
Deviation: 0.7 Deviation: 2.5
Rolling: 10 Rolling: 10
Mean: 10 Mean: 10
Set A:
10, 11, 9, 10
Set B:
10, 14, 9, 7
Vel: 9.3-10.7 Vel: 7.5-12.5
?Velocity
What doesVariable
tell us
Distractions
Story
Poor
Composition
Too MuchWork
In Process
DependencyOn
Other Teams
Velocity
goal
as the
Goodhart’s
Law
Any observed statistical regularity
will tend to collapse once pressure
is placed upon it for control
purposes.
Goodhart’s
Law
Making a target for a metric
destroys the metric (and the target)
“What matters is not
setting quantitative goals
but fixing the method by
which those goals are
attained.” - Dr. W. Edwards Deming
Fixingthe
Method
ScatterDiagrams
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
0 2 4 6 8
PurchasePrice
Age
Velocity
Complexity
0
12.5
25
37.5
50
0 25 50 75 100
Velocity
Value
0
12.5
25
37.5
50
0 10000 20000 30000 40000
Velocity
Coverage
0
12.5
25
37.5
50
0 22.5 45 67.5 90
CumulativeFlow
Backlog
Sample
0
5
10
15
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Velocity
?What doesthistell us
SameTeam
Data
Different Perspective
?What doesthistell us
0
25
50
75
100
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Deployed Ready for Approval In Testing In Progress Ready To Start
The Hawthorn
Effect
That which is
measured, will
improve (at a cost)
Many Things
Measure
Many Things
Measure
0
4
8
12
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Velocity
Many Things
Measure
0
4
8
12
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
0
12.5
25
37.5
50
Velocity Quality
Many Things
Measure
0
4
8
12
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
0
12.5
25
37.5
50
Velocity Quality Avg. Hours
Many Things
Measure
0
4
8
12
16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
0
12.5
25
37.5
50
Velocity Quality Avg. Hours Team Joy
We really do this.
Yes
Velocity with Deviation
Burn with Deviation
Cumulative Flow
Employee Joy
thing
Onelast
for Managers
Metricsare NOT
for Teams
Metricsare
Velocity
Agile Metrics
isnot
goal
the
@DocOnDev
Michael “Doc” Norton
doc@groupon.com
Director of Engineering
Thank
You!

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Agile Metrics; Velocity is NOT the Goal - ScrumGathering 2013