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D&B Small Business Health Index
March 2013                                                                                                  www.dnb.com


March 2013


What’s driving the US                                      Small Business Health Index: Overall
s
 mall business sector?                                    120


The small business sector started 2013 with a bang,        100
as more businesses paid their bills on time and fewer
relied on credit card debt. The improvements fueled         80

a 3.2-point increase in DB’s Small Business Health
Index. Business services performed strongest in             60                                                  3.2
                                                                                                                points




                                                                                                                           ry
                                                                                                                         ua
January 2013, followed by robust improvements in
                                                            40                                                          Jan
manufacturing. Other economic indicators are driving
small business health: production of appliances,
                                                            20
furniture, and carpeting rose 2 percent, while sales of
retail and food services and food prices also rose.          0
                                                            Dec 04      Dec 06    Dec 08    Dec 10             Jan 13

                                                           Source: DB Global Data, Insights  Analytics




 Small Business Failures                                         Payment Delinquency
 160
 160                                                             50
                                                                 50


 155
 155                                                             48
                                                                 48


 150
 150                                                             46
                                                                 46


 145
 145                                                             44
                                                                 44


 140
 140                                                             42
                                                                 42
       Oct 2012
       Oct 2012     Nov 2012
                    Nov 2012    Dec 2012
                                Dec 2012     Jan 2013
                                              Jan 2013                 Oct 2012
                                                                       Oct 2012     Nov 2012
                                                                                    Nov 2012     Dec 2012
                                                                                                 Dec 2012      Jan 2013
                                                                                                                Jan 2013



Slightly fewer small businesses closed their doors in            A significant number of small businesses did a better
January than in December 2012, although all major                job of paying their bills in January, particularly in the
sectors continued to register bankruptcies and closures.         business services and construction industries.




 Credit Card Delinquency                                          Credit Card Utilization
145
 145                                                                           44
                                                                               44


 140
 140                                                                           42
                                                                               42
          Oct 2012
          Oct 2012         Nov 2012
                           Nov 2012         Dec 2012
                                            Dec 2012         Jan 2013
                                                              Jan 2013               Oct 2012
                                                                                     Oct 2012   Nov 2012
                                                                                                Nov 2012    Dec 2012
                                                                                                            Dec 2012      Jan 2013
                                                                                                                           Jan 2013




                                                                                                                        www.dnb.com


March 2013


 Credit Card Delinquency                                                       Credit Card Utilization
 80
 80                                                                             50
                                                                                50


 79
 79                                                                             48
                                                                                48


 78
 78                                                                             46
                                                                                46


 77
 77                                                                             44
                                                                                44


 76
 76                                                                             42
                                                                                42
        Oct 2012
        Oct 2012         Nov 2012
                         Nov 2012         Dec 2012
                                          Dec 2012         Jan 2013
                                                            Jan 2013                 Oct 2012
                                                                                     Oct 2012    Nov 2012
                                                                                                 Nov 2012    Dec 2012
                                                                                                             Dec 2012      Jan 2013
                                                                                                                            Jan 2013



Despite overall lower late payments, small businesses                         Fewer small businesses depended on credit cards in
struggled to pay their credit card bills on time in                           January, signaling improved access to more traditional
January, continuing a similar trend in late 2012.                             lending and financing.




            What can we expect for small business?
             Small businesses have reason for optimism in 2013, although challenges remain.
             Higher gas prices, rising payroll taxes, and federal sequestration cuts pose considerable
             obstacles to economic growth. Improving retail, non-durable manufacturing, and
             on-time bill payments may move the economy forward. Nevertheless, small business
             volatility will likely be the norm for the first few months of 2013.



 What is the Small Business Health Index?
 DB’s monthly Small Business Health Index (SBHI) measures               and combines pro- and counter-cyclical elements to provide
 small business health through payment patterns, failure                 a simple, representative number. Using 2004 as the base year
 rates, and credit utilization. The SBHI follows a sampling of           (Index value 100), improvement is designated by an Index
 all active small businesses with fewer than 100 employees               value above 100.


              DB’s informed perspective puts the future in focus, helping you protect,
                                                                   
               grow, and empower your business. To learn more, visit www.dnb.com


© Dun  Bradstreet, Inc. 2013. All rights reserved. (DB-3438 3/13)

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D&B Small Business Health Index (March 2013)

  • 1. D&B Small Business Health Index March 2013 www.dnb.com March 2013 What’s driving the US Small Business Health Index: Overall s mall business sector? 120 The small business sector started 2013 with a bang, 100 as more businesses paid their bills on time and fewer relied on credit card debt. The improvements fueled 80 a 3.2-point increase in DB’s Small Business Health Index. Business services performed strongest in 60 3.2 points ry ua January 2013, followed by robust improvements in 40 Jan manufacturing. Other economic indicators are driving small business health: production of appliances, 20 furniture, and carpeting rose 2 percent, while sales of retail and food services and food prices also rose. 0 Dec 04 Dec 06 Dec 08 Dec 10 Jan 13 Source: DB Global Data, Insights Analytics Small Business Failures Payment Delinquency 160 160 50 50 155 155 48 48 150 150 46 46 145 145 44 44 140 140 42 42 Oct 2012 Oct 2012 Nov 2012 Nov 2012 Dec 2012 Dec 2012 Jan 2013 Jan 2013 Oct 2012 Oct 2012 Nov 2012 Nov 2012 Dec 2012 Dec 2012 Jan 2013 Jan 2013 Slightly fewer small businesses closed their doors in A significant number of small businesses did a better January than in December 2012, although all major job of paying their bills in January, particularly in the sectors continued to register bankruptcies and closures. business services and construction industries. Credit Card Delinquency Credit Card Utilization
  • 2. 145 145 44 44 140 140 42 42 Oct 2012 Oct 2012 Nov 2012 Nov 2012 Dec 2012 Dec 2012 Jan 2013 Jan 2013 Oct 2012 Oct 2012 Nov 2012 Nov 2012 Dec 2012 Dec 2012 Jan 2013 Jan 2013 www.dnb.com March 2013 Credit Card Delinquency Credit Card Utilization 80 80 50 50 79 79 48 48 78 78 46 46 77 77 44 44 76 76 42 42 Oct 2012 Oct 2012 Nov 2012 Nov 2012 Dec 2012 Dec 2012 Jan 2013 Jan 2013 Oct 2012 Oct 2012 Nov 2012 Nov 2012 Dec 2012 Dec 2012 Jan 2013 Jan 2013 Despite overall lower late payments, small businesses Fewer small businesses depended on credit cards in struggled to pay their credit card bills on time in January, signaling improved access to more traditional January, continuing a similar trend in late 2012. lending and financing. What can we expect for small business? Small businesses have reason for optimism in 2013, although challenges remain. Higher gas prices, rising payroll taxes, and federal sequestration cuts pose considerable obstacles to economic growth. Improving retail, non-durable manufacturing, and on-time bill payments may move the economy forward. Nevertheless, small business volatility will likely be the norm for the first few months of 2013. What is the Small Business Health Index? DB’s monthly Small Business Health Index (SBHI) measures and combines pro- and counter-cyclical elements to provide small business health through payment patterns, failure a simple, representative number. Using 2004 as the base year rates, and credit utilization. The SBHI follows a sampling of (Index value 100), improvement is designated by an Index all active small businesses with fewer than 100 employees value above 100. DB’s informed perspective puts the future in focus, helping you protect, grow, and empower your business. To learn more, visit www.dnb.com © Dun Bradstreet, Inc. 2013. All rights reserved. (DB-3438 3/13)