Preliminary Remarks of IDATE during DigiWorld Summit

IDATE DigiWorld
IDATE DigiWorldIDATE DigiWorld
Will the Device be King?

Preliminary Remarks
Yves GASSOT
After “Who is financing the Internet of the Future?” (DigiWorld Summit 2010)
         … “Will the Device be King?”

                      #2 Transit & CDN pricing     #3 Peering                                 #5 Managed services

     Managed services
         Revenue sharing for managed services




      Content        Hosting
                                    Telco 1      Telco …         Telco n             ISP        Device         End-user
      provider             CDN

           CDN                                                  Peering ≈ 0€
                                                                                       Internet subscription
                                                                   Transit peering


                                                                                 Revenue for OTT services
     Open Internet
    #1 Content economics                                                             #4 Unlimited traffic


                                                                                                                          2
Will the Device be King?
A hot issue
 ► August      Google buys Motorola Mobility
 ► August      HP announces the end of its PC & Smart Devices ambitions

 ► September   Patents’war between Samsung and Apple
 ► September   Amazon presents its first tablet

 ► October     Apple revenues exceeds 100 billion USD… and 4S

 ► November    Philips leaves the TV market
 ► November    HTC is #1 on the US smartphone market
 ► November    Ericsson leaves the Sony-Ericsson JV

                                                            … What’s next?
                                                                             3
Will the Device be King?
1 – What’s next ?
                                                Smartphones: +110 millions – 3Q11
                                                Tablets & e-readers: <50 millions in 2011
                                                Lap-top
                                                Net-book    < 200 millions in 2011
                                                Ultra-PC
                                                Videogame devices: 40 millions
                                                S.T.Boxes : 193 millions
                                                Smart TV: 45 millions


… What’s next?
  Dual screen ecosytem/multi devices/ Personnal wifi (new usages and cohabitation issues)
  Personnal … memory/ trust and privacy (intimacy, eProsthesis)
  Mix Personnal consumption - Business usages (consumerisation) …
                                                                                             4
Will the Device be King?
2 – Impacts on the Business models

          What are the stakes of smart devices on the business models of…




                                  Can smart devices
                                 save the   Press?              The Smartphones:
   Boxes & Smart TV                                                a commodity
                               Tablets vs. eReaders            in the Future of the
          facing
  Multiscreen Strategies       Place of the independent       Mobile Internet?
                               kiosk vs. Internet giants’s
  IPTV & Set top boxes vs.     platforms?                    Is there a risk of
  Smart TV, vs OTT boxes…                                    disintermediation for the
                                                             cellcos ?




                                                                                         5
Will the Device be King?
 3 – The other check points of the Cloud…


OS

                                            Web-OS
                            OS




AppStores/Markets




Meta-distributor

Social Networks/platforms


Web –HTML5                                           6
Will the Device be King?
… and the telcos?
     The ecosystems of the Internet, as seen by telcos




     Source: DigiWorld YearBook
                                                         7
… and 8 Executive Seminars and Associate Seminars
  Executive seminars – Wednesday November 16
         NextGen Networks 1: Latest questions about FTTH


         NextGen Networks 2 – LTE: What’s changing mobile IP?


         Content distribution & Multiscreen strategies


         Trans-Atlantic Telecom Dialog – Net Neutrality: Act II


         Cities’ smart and gitial living policies


         Green ICT for a green economy


                                                    Associate seminars – Thursday November 17
                                                                         DigiWorld Game Summit –
                                 NextGen game platforms: another step into the Cloud and ubiquity

                                                          Enabling patient autonomy and in-situ care
                                                                                                       8
Have a great Summit !




                        9
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Preliminary Remarks of IDATE during DigiWorld Summit

  • 1. Will the Device be King? Preliminary Remarks Yves GASSOT
  • 2. After “Who is financing the Internet of the Future?” (DigiWorld Summit 2010) … “Will the Device be King?” #2 Transit & CDN pricing #3 Peering #5 Managed services Managed services Revenue sharing for managed services Content Hosting Telco 1 Telco … Telco n ISP Device End-user provider CDN CDN Peering ≈ 0€ Internet subscription Transit peering Revenue for OTT services Open Internet #1 Content economics #4 Unlimited traffic 2
  • 3. Will the Device be King? A hot issue ► August Google buys Motorola Mobility ► August HP announces the end of its PC & Smart Devices ambitions ► September Patents’war between Samsung and Apple ► September Amazon presents its first tablet ► October Apple revenues exceeds 100 billion USD… and 4S ► November Philips leaves the TV market ► November HTC is #1 on the US smartphone market ► November Ericsson leaves the Sony-Ericsson JV … What’s next? 3
  • 4. Will the Device be King? 1 – What’s next ?  Smartphones: +110 millions – 3Q11  Tablets & e-readers: <50 millions in 2011  Lap-top  Net-book < 200 millions in 2011  Ultra-PC  Videogame devices: 40 millions  S.T.Boxes : 193 millions  Smart TV: 45 millions … What’s next?  Dual screen ecosytem/multi devices/ Personnal wifi (new usages and cohabitation issues)  Personnal … memory/ trust and privacy (intimacy, eProsthesis)  Mix Personnal consumption - Business usages (consumerisation) … 4
  • 5. Will the Device be King? 2 – Impacts on the Business models What are the stakes of smart devices on the business models of… Can smart devices save the Press? The Smartphones: Boxes & Smart TV a commodity Tablets vs. eReaders in the Future of the facing Multiscreen Strategies Place of the independent Mobile Internet? kiosk vs. Internet giants’s IPTV & Set top boxes vs. platforms? Is there a risk of Smart TV, vs OTT boxes… disintermediation for the cellcos ? 5
  • 6. Will the Device be King? 3 – The other check points of the Cloud… OS Web-OS OS AppStores/Markets Meta-distributor Social Networks/platforms Web –HTML5 6
  • 7. Will the Device be King? … and the telcos? The ecosystems of the Internet, as seen by telcos Source: DigiWorld YearBook 7
  • 8. … and 8 Executive Seminars and Associate Seminars Executive seminars – Wednesday November 16 NextGen Networks 1: Latest questions about FTTH NextGen Networks 2 – LTE: What’s changing mobile IP? Content distribution & Multiscreen strategies Trans-Atlantic Telecom Dialog – Net Neutrality: Act II Cities’ smart and gitial living policies Green ICT for a green economy Associate seminars – Thursday November 17 DigiWorld Game Summit – NextGen game platforms: another step into the Cloud and ubiquity Enabling patient autonomy and in-situ care 8
  • 9. Have a great Summit ! 9