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FTTH Panorama LATAM
Market at September 2016
Roland MONTAGNE - Director, Principal Analyst - IDATE
+33 680 850 480 - r.mon...
FTTH Panorama LATAM - Agenda
1. Study background
• Objectives
• Available results
2. FTTH/B in Latin America
• Overview
• ...
1. Study background
Study Background
• Mission on behalf of the FTTH Council, LATAM
• Objective: to provide a complete summary of the status o...
2. FTTH/B in Latin America
A year where alternative ISP and Municipalities are
leading the FTTH/B evolution
• A positive evolution: 82 FTTx projects ...
FTTH/B is taking a bigger place in the LATAM Market
due to a positive evolution in the deployment and
user’s adoption…
Sou...
3. LATAM FTTH/B main trends
It has been a period with Mexico and Brazil as the
leading countries but also there has been an
interesting evolution in t...
0%
200%
400%
600%
800%
1000%
1200%
1400%
1600%
1800%
2000%
… it can be also appreciated a good evolution in lower
scale ma...
While Mexico and Brazil are the leaders in homes
passed, significant deployment are also performed in
other smaller LATAM ...
Top 10 countries in terms of % of FTTH/B Homes
Passed in total Households
Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter
Uru...
Regarding FTTH/B technologies…
Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter
94%
6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
...
4. Challenges / drivers for FTTH/B in LATAM
A FTTH/B penetration rate that is continuously increasing
Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter
Uruguay:
48%
Barbad...
Key points
Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter
• LATAM users want more reliable Internet services with higher ban...
5. Forecasts up to 2021
A positive evolution in LATAM towards FTTH/B
Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter
• It is estimated 8.3 Million FT...
FTTH/B LATAM Forecast per country
Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter
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FTTH/B LATAM Forecast per country
Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter
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FTTH/B LATAM Forecast per country
Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter
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120 0...
FTTH/B LATAM Forecast per country
Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter
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1...
FTTH/B LATAM Forecast per country
Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter
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50 000
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30...
Muchas Gracias!
 Contact
Roland MONTAGNE
Director, Principal Analyst
+33 680 850 480
r.montagne@idate.org
Fiber for the ZZZ Generation !!
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2017 FTTH Panorama LATAM - Roland Montagne - IDATE DigiWorld

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market at september 2016

Study background

Objectives

Available results
2.
FTTH/B in Latin America

Overview

Overall figures
3.
LATAM FTTH/B main trends

FTTH/B subscribers

FTTH/B Homes Passed distribution

FTTH/B Homes Passed in total HH

Top 10 countries in terms of % of FTTH/B Homes Passed in total Households
4.
Challenges / drivers for FTTH/B in LATAM
5.
Forecasts up to 2021

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2017 FTTH Panorama LATAM - Roland Montagne - IDATE DigiWorld

  1. 1. FTTH Panorama LATAM Market at September 2016 Roland MONTAGNE - Director, Principal Analyst - IDATE +33 680 850 480 - r.montagne@idate.org
  2. 2. FTTH Panorama LATAM - Agenda 1. Study background • Objectives • Available results 2. FTTH/B in Latin America • Overview • Overall figures 3. LATAM FTTH/B main trends • FTTH/B subscribers • FTTH/B Homes Passed distribution • FTTH/B Homes Passed in total HH • Top 10 countries in terms of % of FTTH/B Homes Passed in total Households 4. Challenges / drivers for FTTH/B in LATAM 5. Forecasts up to 2021
  3. 3. 1. Study background
  4. 4. Study Background • Mission on behalf of the FTTH Council, LATAM • Objective: to provide a complete summary of the status of FTTH/B in LATAM - 17 countries analyzed (1) - Distinction between architecture: FTTH/B vs FTTN (FTTN/C+VDSL, FTTLA, FTTx+LAN) - FTTH/B Definition by FTTH Councils Worldwide (2) • Characterization of each project includes: - Organization initiating the project - Key parameters & Figures - Technical & Architecture parameters - Financing & Business model • Methodology use - Desk research - Direct contacts with FTTH players (questionnaires, phone interviews) & IDATE’s partners in LATAM - Information exchange with FTTH Council, LATAM chapter members (1) Argentina, Bahamas, Barbados, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Guatemala, Jamaica, Mexico, Panama, Peru, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, Uruguay (2) FTTH/B definition available here
  5. 5. 2. FTTH/B in Latin America
  6. 6. A year where alternative ISP and Municipalities are leading the FTTH/B evolution • A positive evolution: 82 FTTx projects in the region • Players different from incumbents have deployed fibre in a dynamic way from 2015 to September 2016 covering with fibre more homes: • Municipalities / Power Utilities have grown 33% • Alternative operators growth: 19% • Incumbents: Growth rate about 5% Incumbents: 4 161 000 FTTH/B Homes Passed Municipalities / Utilities: 190 800 FTTH/B Homes Passed Alternative Operators: 18 987 187 FTTH/B Homes Passed Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter
  7. 7. FTTH/B is taking a bigger place in the LATAM Market due to a positive evolution in the deployment and user’s adoption… Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter 4 552 698 FTTH/B subscribers by Sept. 2016 in LATAM 23 352 987 FTTH/B Homes Passed by Sept. 2016 in LATAM 25% growth from 2015 18% growth from 2015 19.5% FTTH/B Take up rate by Sept. 2016 in LATAM +1.4 points from December 2015 Take up rate = FTTH-B subs / Total FTTH-B Homes Passed
  8. 8. 3. LATAM FTTH/B main trends
  9. 9. It has been a period with Mexico and Brazil as the leading countries but also there has been an interesting evolution in the Caribbean region…. • Mexico is still leading the LATAM FTTH/B market with 1.585 million subscribers - +23% of subscribers Dec-15 to Sep-16 - Telmex is leading the retail market - However, TotalPlay has entered to the big race increasing the FTTH/B homes passed by 35% in Sep 2016 and the FTTH/B subs in Sept 2016 by 64% from Dec 2015 • Brazil is reaching Mexico in the LATAM FTTH/B market with 1.572 million subscribers - +26% of subscribers Dec-15 to Sep-16 - Telefónica continues its development plan investing in fibre deployment between 2015 and 2017 and extending agreement with the regulator in order to provide FTTH services in new cities. - Hundreds of local ISPs involved, but in limited geographical rollouts • Antel in Uruguay is one of the two most involved incumbents in the region (570,000 FTTH/B subs) - Even if the trend of FTTH/B subscribers growth is decreasing at + 4% Dec-15 to Sep-16, 48% of FTTH/B HP have opted for a service based on FTTH connection - National coverage: the coverage is considered as exhaustive in Uruguay - Among the leading countries in the global ranking with a penetration rate (1) over 60% by September 2016 • Strong growth rates in smaller markets, confirming a general trend towards FTTH/B in the region, specially in the Caribbean - Barbados +322%, Jamaica +1000%, Trinidad y Tobago 463%! And Peru : 262% - Colombia +41%, Bolivia +40% (1) Penetration rate = number of FTTH/B subscribers over total number of Households Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter
  10. 10. 0% 200% 400% 600% 800% 1000% 1200% 1400% 1600% 1800% 2000% … it can be also appreciated a good evolution in lower scale markets such as Jamaica, Trinidad, Barbados and Peru… Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter Total FTTH/B Subscribers by country % variation from Dec-2015 to Sept-16 in the number of FTTH/B Subscribers by country 0 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 K(Thousands)
  11. 11. While Mexico and Brazil are the leaders in homes passed, significant deployment are also performed in other smaller LATAM Markets… Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Millions 0% 200% 400% 600% 800% 1000% 1200% 1400% 1600% 1800% Trinidad: Flow, Digicel & Massy deployments Peru: Player « Voy » has reached more homes during the period Jamaica: Flow & Digicel deployments Total FTTH/B Homes Passed by country % variation from Dec-2015 to Sept-16 in the number of FTTH/B Homes Passed by country
  12. 12. Top 10 countries in terms of % of FTTH/B Homes Passed in total Households Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter Uruguay: 100% Barbados: 95% Jamaica: 45% Mexico: 33% Trinidad & Tobago: 27% Brazil: 13% Bahamas: 12% Ecuador: 12% Colombia: 11% Chile: 11% • Number of Homes Passed not representative of effective coverage • Here, the ratio represented is % of FTTH/B Homes Passed in total households - 2 countries > 90% !!! - 3 countries > 20% - 5 countries over 10% • Argentina: 8.5%
  13. 13. Regarding FTTH/B technologies… Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter 94% 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Main Fibre architecture deployed (*) in % Sept-2016 FTTB FTTH *Home Passed segmentation Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter 95% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Main Fibre technology deployed (*) in % Sept-2016 Ethernet GPON Aerial vs Underground • Fibre deployment in LATAM is perfomed in a big portion by aerial means. • Electricity and telephone poles are commonly used. • In countries like Barbados, the ratio is 95% aerial vs. 5% underground. • In Brazil it is estimated 80% aerial vs 20% underground • In Mexico the ratio is estimated in 60% aerial vs 40% underground
  14. 14. 4. Challenges / drivers for FTTH/B in LATAM
  15. 15. A FTTH/B penetration rate that is continuously increasing Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter Uruguay: 48% Barbados: 19% Jamaica: 9% Mexico: 5% Trinidad & Tobago: 10.4% Brazil: 2.3% Ecuador: 2.6% Colombia: 1.8% Chile: 4.3% • LATAM has continued the trend to deploy FTTH/B - 10 countries among 17 studied are in the Global Ranking: • Uruguay in the Top 7 in the world! • 2 countries with a penetration rate > 10% • 7 other countries with a penetration rate from 1% to 10% Puerto Rico: 3.4% Penetration rate = FTTH/B subscribers over total number of households
  16. 16. Key points Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter • LATAM users want more reliable Internet services with higher bandwidth: Players are now convinced that FTTH access is the end game. Low quality of existing copper as a driver: Telcos are betting on FTTH/B to promise innovative services and higher speed rates • The competition between cablecos and telcos is a driver for FTTH/B. Some cablecos also investing in Fiber access • Players with presence in several countries in the region have realized about the importance to migrate cooper infrastructure towards fibre. • In most of cases, FTTH/B and LTE are together deployed in LATAM • Several Governments in LATAM have promoted the creation of National Fibre Networks Brazil, Chile, Argentina, Costa Rica
  17. 17. 5. Forecasts up to 2021
  18. 18. A positive evolution in LATAM towards FTTH/B Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter • It is estimated 8.3 Million FTTH/B subscribers and more than 47.1 Million Homes Passed by 2021 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Millions TOTAL FTTH/B subscribers 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Millions TOTAL FTTH/B Homes Passed
  19. 19. FTTH/B LATAM Forecast per country Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter 0 200 000 400 000 600 000 800 000 1 000 000 1 200 000 1 400 000 1 600 000 1 800 000 2 000 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Argentina FTTH/B Forecast FTTH/B subs FTTH/B Homes Passed 0 20 000 40 000 60 000 80 000 100 000 120 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Barbados FTTH/B Forecast FTTH/B subs FTTH/B Homes Passed 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Bolivia FTTH/B Forecast FTTH/B subs FTTH/B Homes Passed
  20. 20. FTTH/B LATAM Forecast per country Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter 0 2 000 000 4 000 000 6 000 000 8 000 000 10 000 000 12 000 000 14 000 000 16 000 000 18 000 000 20 000 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Brazil FTTH/B Forecast FTTH/B subs FTTH/B Homes Passed 0 200 000 400 000 600 000 800 000 1 000 000 1 200 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Chile FTTH/B Forecast FTTH/B subs FTTH/B Homes Passed 0 500 000 1 000 000 1 500 000 2 000 000 2 500 000 3 000 000 3 500 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Colombia FTTH/B Forecast FTTH/B subs FTTH/B Homes Passed
  21. 21. FTTH/B LATAM Forecast per country Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter 0 20 000 40 000 60 000 80 000 100 000 120 000 140 000 160 000 180 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Costa Rica FTTH/B Forecast FTTH/B subs FTTH/B Homes Passed 0 200 000 400 000 600 000 800 000 1 000 000 1 200 000 1 400 000 1 600 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Ecuador FTTH/B Forecast FTTH/B subs FTTH/B Homes Passed 0 100 000 200 000 300 000 400 000 500 000 600 000 700 000 800 000 900 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Jamaica FTTH/B Forecast FTTH/B subs FTTH/B Homes Passed
  22. 22. FTTH/B LATAM Forecast per country Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter 0 2 000 000 4 000 000 6 000 000 8 000 000 10 000 000 12 000 000 14 000 000 16 000 000 18 000 000 20 000 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Mexico FTTH/B Forecast FTTH/B subs FTTH/B Homes Passed 0 20 000 40 000 60 000 80 000 100 000 120 000 140 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Peru FTTH/B Forecast FTTH/B subs FTTH/B Homes Passed 0 200 000 400 000 600 000 800 000 1 000 000 1 200 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Puerto Rico FTTH/B Forecast FTTH/B subs FTTH/B Homes Passed
  23. 23. FTTH/B LATAM Forecast per country Source: IDATE for FTTH Council LATAM Chapter 0 50 000 100 000 150 000 200 000 250 000 300 000 350 000 400 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Trinidad & Tobago FTTH/B Forecast FTTH/B subs FTTH/B Homes Passed 0 200 000 400 000 600 000 800 000 1 000 000 1 200 000 1 400 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Uruguay FTTH/B Forecast FTTH/B subs FTTH/B Homes Passed
  24. 24. Muchas Gracias!  Contact Roland MONTAGNE Director, Principal Analyst +33 680 850 480 r.montagne@idate.org
  25. 25. Fiber for the ZZZ Generation !!
  • seiji8503

    Dec. 20, 2017
  • JosCasadoSuarez

    Mar. 31, 2017

market at september 2016 Study background • Objectives • Available results 2. FTTH/B in Latin America • Overview • Overall figures 3. LATAM FTTH/B main trends • FTTH/B subscribers • FTTH/B Homes Passed distribution • FTTH/B Homes Passed in total HH • Top 10 countries in terms of % of FTTH/B Homes Passed in total Households 4. Challenges / drivers for FTTH/B in LATAM 5. Forecasts up to 2021

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