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The prospect of democracy 2.0

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"Why everyone interested in the future of business should be paying attention to the future of politics" - slides presented by David Wood at the London Futurists event "The Future of Business" on Sat 20th June 2015. See https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k3HLxMIambc for a video of this talk, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JmNpiEjC7_Q&list=PL5KjbbDlAMTl9WHvhrXeSjVRkKYMsmO-L for a video of all the segments of that event, and http://www.meetup.com/London-Futurists/events/221908462/ for more details of the context of the event.

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The prospect of democracy 2.0

  1. 1. The Prospect of Democracy 2.0 David Wood @dw2 Principal, Delta WisdomChair, London Futurists londonfuturists.com deltawisdom.com Why everyone interested in the future of business should be paying attention to the future of politics
  2. 2. @dw2 Page 2 Exponential Technologies  Business disruption Development & Deployment Incentives Regulations Subsidies Markets Expectations Politics N B I C R G …
  3. 3. @dw2 Page 3http://uber-troubles.silk.co/ Over 65 conflicts or controversies for Uber to date worldwide In Dec 2014, the Seoul Central District Prosecutors’ Office issued a legal indictment against Uber (and against CEO Travis Kalanick) for violating a Korean law prohibiting individuals or firms without appropriate licenses from providing or facilitating transportation services.
  4. 4. @dw2 Page 4http://www.fda.gov/ICECI/EnforcementActions/WarningLetters/2013/ucm376296.htm “Most of the intended uses for PGS listed on your website, a list that has grown over time, are medical device uses under section 201(h) of the FD&C Act. Most of these uses have not been classified and thus require premarket approval or de novo classification, as FDA has explained to you on numerous occasions.”
  5. 5. @dw2 Page 5http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-32919063 Deaths from ‘legal highs’ have more than doubled in the UK in the past four years ‘Legal highs’ ban plan criticised by drugs charities Seven-year jail terms under ‘blanket ban’… applies to “any substance intended for human consumption that is capable of producing a psychoactive effect” http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-32919712
  6. 6. @dw2 Page 6 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/energy/windpower /11685082/Wind-farm-subsidies-axed-to-stop-turbines- covering-beautiful-countryside.html Wind farm subsidies axed 'to stop turbines covering beautiful countryside' Fossil fuels subsidies of $5.3 trillion in 2015 (IMF) – greater than the total health spending of all the world’s governments http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/ may/18/fossil-fuel-companies-getting-10m-a- minute-in-subsidies-says-imf
  7. 7. @dw2 Page 7 http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/dec/07/drone-near-miss-passenger-plane-heathrow Drone ‘near miss’ with passenger plane close to Heathrow airport investigated Incident risk rating of A – the highest of five categories – defined as a “serious risk of collision”
  8. 8. @dw2 Page 8
  9. 9. @dw2 Page 9http://fbheron.org/2014/03/15/in-case-you-missed-it-investing-giving-for-good/ I liked it better when our bank was just a bank
  10. 10. @dw2 Page 10https://www.laprogressive.com/obamas-regulatory-brain/
  11. 11. @dw2 Page 11 Exponential Technologies  Business disruption Development & Deployment Incentives Regulations Subsidies Markets Expectations Politics Necessary part of society Regulations often out-dated Regulators often “captured” Politicians out of their depth
  12. 12. @dw2 Page 12 Exponential Technologies  Political disruption Development & Deployment Incentives Regulations Subsidies Markets Expectations Politics Necessary part of society Regulations often out-dated Regulators often “captured” Politicians out of their depth Politics 2.0
  13. 13. @dw2 Page 13 Web 1.0 Web 2.0 1996 2006 “the mostly read-only Web” “the wildly read-write Web” 80,000,000 sites250,000 sites 45 million global users 1 billion+ global users centrally published content user generated content centrally published content user generated content collective intelligence Source: http://web2.wsj2.com/ (Dion Hinchcliffe)
  14. 14. @dw2 Page 14 Web 1.0 focus (Politics 1.0) • Information distributed through the network to the edges • Readable web: Library • A few, fixed wise oracles • Publishing & retrieval • User consumption • Company-driven innovation • HTML, HTTP… Web 2.0 focus (Politics 2.0?) • Harnessing of intelligence residing in the network, including at its edges (P2P) • Writable web: Conversation • User reputation systems • Collaboration & interaction • User-generated content • User-driven innovation • AJAX… Asynchronous JavaScript and XML Enabled by smart technology
  15. 15. @dw2 Page 15 Politics 1.0 Regulations often out-dated Regulators often “captured” Politicians out of their depth Real wisdom of crowds Real-time fact-checking AI supplementing HI Mass surveillance Mass distraction (soma) Gov’t by 1% for 1% Politics 2.0 ?Politics 0.0 ?
  16. 16. @dw2 Page 16

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