Delhi mobility vision

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2012
By Dr alok jain

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Delhi mobility vision

  1. 1. ASPIRING FOR DELHIA need for vision-based planning Alok Jain January 30, 2012
  2. 2. Background MVA along with RITES & TERI completed a study titled TRANSPORT DEMAND FORECAST & DEVELOPMENT OF AN INTEGRATED MULTI-MODAL PUBLIC TRANSPORT NETWORK FOR NCT of DELHI Development of a Transport Demand Forecast Model and Identification of Public Transport Network to meet the city demand by 2021 & beyond Preliminary Feasibility of the Public Transport Network, Strategic Energy cum Environmental Impact Analysis and and Economic/Financial Appraisal
  3. 3. TRAFFIC AND TRAVEL CHARACTERISTICS
  4. 4. PRIMARY TRAFFIC & TRAVEL SURVEYS• CLASSIFIED TRAFFIC VOLUME SURVEYS AT SCREEN LINE (89) AND MID BLOCK (61) LOCATIONS• ROADSIDE O-D SURVEYS ALONG CLASSIFED VOLUME SURVEYS (20 LOCATIONS)• METRO PASSENGER OPINION SURVEY (5000 SAMPLES)• RAIL TERMINAL SURVEY (20 stations)• BUS TERMINAL SURVEY (10 terminals)• PARKING SURVEY (100 STRETCHES)• ROAD NETWORK INVENTORY (2368 KM)• WORK CENTRE SURVEY (10000 SAMPLES)• HOUSEHOLD TRAVEL SURVEY (45000 HOUSEHOLDS)
  5. 5. METRO PASSENGER CHARACTERISTICS• 75% OF METRO PASSENGERS ARE MOTOR VEHICLE OWNERS• 60% OF METRO PASSENGERS ARE DAILY USERS• 96% OF USERS TAKE MAXIMUM OF 15 MINUTES TO REACH METRO STATION• EARLIER MODES OF METRO USERS – BUS (44%), TW (25%) AND CAR (22%)• METRO USER SAVES 17 MINUTES PER JOURNEY• FOR 52% OF PASSENGERS BOTH ORIGIN AND DESTINATION LIE ON METRO CORRIDOR• MODE TO REACH METRO STATION - 61% WALK, 12% CR, 11% 2W, 5% BY BUSES AND 3% BY CARS• REASONS FOR USING METRO • TIME SAVING -- 39% • COMFORTABLE JOURNEY -- 34% • SAVINGS IN COST -- 18% • SAFETY -- 4%
  6. 6. ROAD NETWORK CHARACTERISTICS• ROAD NETWORK -- 2368 KM• 391 KM OF ROAD WITH 6 LANE OR MORE• 560 KM ROAD WITH 4 LANE & 11% OF ROAD WITH SERVICE LANE• 60% OF ROAD WITH FOOTPATH. HOWEVER QUALITY GENERALLY NOT GOOD• GRADE SEPARATORS AVAILABLE IN DELHI FLYOVERS -- 46 ROB -- 33 RUB -- 17 RIVER BRIDGES -- 7
  7. 7. ROAD NETWORK CHARACTERISTICS• AVERAGE PEAK JOURNEY SPEED -- 22.2 KMPH• AVERAGE OFF-PEAK JOURNEY SPEED -- 26.0 KMPH• AVERAGE PEAK RUNNING SPEED -- 27.7 KMPH• AVERAGE OFF-PEAK RUNNING SPEED -- 30.8 KMPH• TRAFFIC SIGNALS ACCOUNTS FOR 63% OF DELAYS.
  8. 8. HOUSEHOLD TRAVEL SURVEY• 1.5% SAMPLE DRAWN (45000 HOUSEHOLD)• AVG HH SIZE : 4.5• AVG HH INCOME : Rs 15,369
  9. 9. VEHICLE OWNERSHIP IN DELHI VEHICLE OWNED % OF HOUSEHOLDS •CAR - 1 16.4 - 2 2.9 - 3 0.5 ≥4 0.1 TOTAL 19.9 •2W - 1 37.7 - 2 5.1 - 3 0.5 ≥4 0.1 TOTAL 43.4 •NO MOTOR VEHICLE 47.9 •BICYCLE 18.7
  10. 10. MODAL SPLIT MODE % of PERSON TRIPS WITH WALK WITHOUT WALK WITHOUT WALK TRIPS (2007-08) TRIPS (2007-08) TRIPS (2001)CAR/TAXI 9.02 13.73 10.32W 14.0 21.32 17.2AUTO RICKSHAW 2.29 3.49 3.1BUS 26.92 40.97 59.8METRO 2.39 3.63 -TRAIN (IR) 0.38 0.58 0.7BICYCLE 4.34 6.60 5.3CYCLE RICKSHAW 6.36 9.68 3.6WALK 34.30 - -TOTAL 100 100 100TOTAL TRIPS/DAY 230.19 LAKH 151.23 LAKH
  11. 11. EXISTING AND FUTURELANDUSE PARAMETERS
  12. 12. DEMOGRAPHICS• TOTAL 2001 POPULATION OF DELHI - 13.9 Mil (2.8 Mil HH)• BASE YEAR (2007) POPULATION – 16.7 Mil, 3.3 Mil HH PARAMETERS 2007-08 2021 POPULATION 167 Lakh 243 Lakh EMPLOYMENT 56 Lakh 94 Lakh STUDENT 43 Lakh 62 Lakh ENROLMENT
  13. 13. Proposed Land Use 2021
  14. 14. THE TRANSPORT MODEL
  15. 15. Model Structure• CUBE used for transport demand modeling and forecasting• Traditional four stage transportation model, plus Vehicle Availability (VA) model: ZONING SYSTEM LANDUSE AND ROAD AND PUBLIC SOCIOECONOMIC TRANSPORT DATA NETWORKS TRIP GENERATION HOW MANY TRIPS? BY TYPE TRIP DISTRIBUTION WHAT IS THE PATTERN OF TRIP MAKING? MODAL SPLIT WHICH MODE OF TRANSPORT IS USED? ASSIGNMENTS WHICH ROUTE IS TAKEN?
  16. 16. What’s Wrong?• Trend-based planning• No land-use transport optimisation• Inherent assumption that people shall not change• Behavioral
  17. 17. What is to be done?I know not what is to be done about those who do not say, “what is to be done? What is to be done?” - Confucious• Vision-based planning• Land-use budgets based on transport infrastructure – inclusive planning• Engineer – Educate – Enforce• Aspirational
  18. 18. Government National / Regional / LocalIndividual Society What we expect from Self-interest others?
  19. 19. THANKS

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