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Disinformation, Public OpinionDisinformation, Public Opinion
Swinging and False FlagsSwinging and False Flags
Dan Demeter, Kaspersky Lab Romania
-- def.camp, 2018@_xdanx
Remember, remember!
The fifth of November,
The Gunpowder treason and plot;
I know of no reason
Why the Gunpowder treason
Should ever be forgot!
"Who owns the information, he owns the world."
-- Guy Fawkes (1570-1606)
./whoami./whoami
MEng from Imperial College London in 2014
Security Researcher @ Kaspersky Lab
#KLara developer
GReATGReAT - Elite Threat Research- Elite Threat Research
Global Research and Analysis Team
Founded 2008
Threat intelligence, research and innovation
leadership
APTs, critical infrastructure threats, banking threats,
targeted attacks, finding attacks using zero-days in
popular OS’es and products
PastPast
Ion Mihai PacepaIon Mihai Pacepa
Ion Mihai Pacepa
DezinformatsiyaDezinformatsiya
DezinformatsiyaDezinformatsiya
Our friends in Moscow call it "dezinformatsiya". Our
enemies in America call it "active measures", and I,
dear friends, call it "my favorite pastime."
-- Col. Rolf Wagenbreth (b. 1929) (Director of
Department X (dis-information) of East German
foreign intelligence
DezinformatsiyaDezinformatsiya
IF YOU ARE GOOD AT DISINFORMATION, YOU
CAN GET AWAY WITH ANYTHING.” (p. 80)
Trivia timeTrivia time
A) AIDS was created in a lab
B) The Earth if Flat
C) Napoleon was short (1.6 m)
D) We eat clones from a single selectively-bred
banana
E) Einstein failed at maths
Trivia timeTrivia time
A) AIDS was created in a lab
B) The Earth if Flat
C) Napoleon was short (1.6 m)
D) We eat clones from a single selectively-bred
banana
E) Einstein failed at maths
Was Napoleon Short?Was Napoleon Short?
For years, the history books listed Napoleon's official
height as 5 feet, 2 inches (1.58 meters), indisputably
in "shorty" territory. But that's because they
mistakenly believed that a French "foot" was the same
as an English foot.
He was actually 1.7m
Einstein failed at Maths?Einstein failed at Maths?
The source of the "Einstein flunked math" myth is not
clear. However, when shown the allegation in a 1935
"Ripley's Believe It or Not" column, Einstein replied, "I
never failed in mathematics. Before I was 15 I had
mastered differential and integral calculus"
активные мерыактивные меры
active measuresactive measures
Active measures is a Soviet term for the actions of
political warfare conducted by the Soviet and Russian
security services to influence the course of world
events, in addition to collecting intelligence and
producing "politically correct" assessment of it. Active
measures range "from media manipulations to special
actions involving various degrees of violence". They
were used both abroad and domestically.
Source: Wikipedia
Active measures is a Soviet term for the actions of
political warfare conducted by the Soviet and Russian
security services to influence the course of world
events, in addition to collecting intelligence and
producing "politically correct" assessment of it. Active
measures range "from media manipulations to special
actions involving various degrees of violence". They
were used both abroad and domestically.
Source: Wikipedia
Active measures’ can include a combination of White,
Grey and Black propaganda.
Source: LSE Soviet Subversion, Disinformation and Propaganda: How the West Fought Against it (2017) (p.
17)
активные меры cookbookактивные меры cookbook
Front Organisations
Agents of Influence
Influence/Infiltrate the Media
Fake Stories
Forgeries
Source: LSE Soviet Subversion, Disinformation and Propaganda: How the West Fought Against it (2017) (p.
20)
AIDS was created by theAIDS was created by the
AmericansAmericans
Operation INFEKTIONOperation INFEKTION
Soviet Bloc Intelligence and Its AIDSSoviet Bloc Intelligence and Its AIDS
Disinformation CampaignDisinformation Campaign
-- Thomas Boghardt-- Thomas Boghardt
Deadly consequences...Deadly consequences...
Source: LSE Soviet Subversion, Disinformation and Propaganda: How the West Fought Against it (p. 23)
Fake News && Active Measures - CostsFake News && Active Measures - Costs
Soviet Bloc Intelligence and Its AIDS Disinformation Campaign -- Thomas Boghardt
9.18 B$9.18 B$
US Active MeasuresUS Active Measures
US Active MeasuresUS Active Measures
Source: Airborne Leaflet Propaganda
Radio Free EuropeRadio Free Europe
https://www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/document/cia-rdp80b01676r002600100042-9
Radio Free EuropeRadio Free Europe
https://www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/document/cia-rdp80b01676r002600100042-9
Radio Free EuropeRadio Free Europe
https://www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/document/cia-rdp80b01676r002600100042-9
Radio Free EuropeRadio Free Europe
https://www.amazon.com/Radio-Free-Europe-Liberty-International/dp/0804773564
Disinformation elsewhereDisinformation elsewhere
Fake News in Communist RomaniaFake News in Communist Romania
PresentPresent
YT: How false news can spread - Noah TavlinYT: How false news can spread - Noah Tavlin
"Our desire for quick answers may overpower the
desire to be certain of their validity"
YT: How false news can spread - Noah TavlinYT: How false news can spread - Noah Tavlin
Why does it happen? How doesWhy does it happen? How does
it work?it work?
Tribalism (or Partisanship)
Confirmation bias
Dangers of debunked ideas
Parlemeter 2018 -Parlemeter 2018 -
Eurobarometer Survey 90.1Eurobarometer Survey 90.1
"More than ever, European citizens see their country’s
membership to the EU as a good thing"
Parlemeter 2018 - Eurobarometer Survey 90.1Parlemeter 2018 - Eurobarometer Survey 90.1
Parlemeter 2018 -Parlemeter 2018 -
Eurobarometer Survey 90.1Eurobarometer Survey 90.1
On European average, the abuse of personal data
online as well as fake news and disinformation online
return as lowest-ranked threats. On national level, the
abuse of personal data online scores the highest in
Denmark with 26% and 23% in both the Netherlands
and Ireland for. In Latvia (25%), Sweden and
Romania (both 24%) the threat of fake news and
disinformation online find its highest relative support
Balkans: Most susceptible for fake newsBalkans: Most susceptible for fake news
Fact Checking ReportFact Checking Report
https://ksj.mit.edu
"[...]conducted more than 300 surveys and more than
90 interviews [...] to gather various perspectives on
fact-checking policies and procedures"
Fact Checking ReportFact Checking Report
https://ksj.mit.edu
"The study focused not on the watchdog efforts of
political fact-checkers [...], but rather on the in-house
quality control that publications do before a story goes
to print - a practice known as editorial fact checking"
Borel says she was also struck to learn that “the hourly rate for fact-checkers is all over the place.” Some
fact checkers reported earning $19 an hour; others four times that much. Some outlets paid as little as $15
an hour. On average, fact-checkers who participated in the study earned about $30.
Bots, bots, bots...Bots, bots, bots...
Let's play a game...Let's play a game...
Report a Facebook Page
1 euro ~ Beer
2 euro ~ Better Beer
4 euro ~ Average Lunch
10 euro ~ B0$$ Lunch
20 euro ~ Therme ticket
Internet BalkanizationInternet Balkanization
Stefan Tanase - Today @12:30
PrivacyPrivacy
the state of being apart from other people or
concealed from their view; solitude; seclusion
OR
freedom from damaging publicity, public scrutiny,
secret surveillance, or unauthorized disclosure of
one’s personal data or information, as by a
government, corporation, or individual
PrivacyPrivacy
The state of being free from unwanted or undue
intrusion or disturbance in one's private life or affairs;
freedom to be left alone
Illusion of privacyIllusion of privacy
Nothing to hide argumentNothing to hide argument
Cambridge AnalyticaCambridge Analytica
US '16 Elections
UK '16 Brexit Vote
 Advanced Symbolics Advanced Symbolics
Is privacy 'dead'?Is privacy 'dead'?
Is there anything we can do?Is there anything we can do?
Things we can do
User education
Quality Journalism
User education
Support these guysSupport these guys
Casa Jurnalistului
Scena9
Recorder
etc...
ThanksThanks
Bib working group (S. & A.)
Costin and Vicente
You
"Who owns the information, he owns the world."
-- Nathan Rothschild (1777-1836)
Dan DemeterDan Demeter
@_xdanx
Global Research and Analysis Team
Kaspersky Lab
The Hitchhiker's Guide to Disinformation, Public Opinion Swinging and False Flags

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The Hitchhiker's Guide to Disinformation, Public Opinion Swinging and False Flags

  • 1. Disinformation, Public OpinionDisinformation, Public Opinion Swinging and False FlagsSwinging and False Flags Dan Demeter, Kaspersky Lab Romania -- def.camp, 2018@_xdanx
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  • 4.
  • 5. Remember, remember! The fifth of November, The Gunpowder treason and plot; I know of no reason Why the Gunpowder treason Should ever be forgot!
  • 6.
  • 7. "Who owns the information, he owns the world." -- Guy Fawkes (1570-1606)
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  • 9. ./whoami./whoami MEng from Imperial College London in 2014 Security Researcher @ Kaspersky Lab #KLara developer
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  • 11. GReATGReAT - Elite Threat Research- Elite Threat Research Global Research and Analysis Team Founded 2008 Threat intelligence, research and innovation leadership APTs, critical infrastructure threats, banking threats, targeted attacks, finding attacks using zero-days in popular OS’es and products
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  • 61. Ion Mihai PacepaIon Mihai Pacepa
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  • 67. DezinformatsiyaDezinformatsiya Our friends in Moscow call it "dezinformatsiya". Our enemies in America call it "active measures", and I, dear friends, call it "my favorite pastime." -- Col. Rolf Wagenbreth (b. 1929) (Director of Department X (dis-information) of East German foreign intelligence
  • 68.
  • 69. DezinformatsiyaDezinformatsiya IF YOU ARE GOOD AT DISINFORMATION, YOU CAN GET AWAY WITH ANYTHING.” (p. 80)
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  • 72.
  • 73. Trivia timeTrivia time A) AIDS was created in a lab B) The Earth if Flat C) Napoleon was short (1.6 m) D) We eat clones from a single selectively-bred banana E) Einstein failed at maths
  • 74.
  • 75. Trivia timeTrivia time A) AIDS was created in a lab B) The Earth if Flat C) Napoleon was short (1.6 m) D) We eat clones from a single selectively-bred banana E) Einstein failed at maths
  • 76.
  • 77. Was Napoleon Short?Was Napoleon Short? For years, the history books listed Napoleon's official height as 5 feet, 2 inches (1.58 meters), indisputably in "shorty" territory. But that's because they mistakenly believed that a French "foot" was the same as an English foot. He was actually 1.7m
  • 78.
  • 79. Einstein failed at Maths?Einstein failed at Maths? The source of the "Einstein flunked math" myth is not clear. However, when shown the allegation in a 1935 "Ripley's Believe It or Not" column, Einstein replied, "I never failed in mathematics. Before I was 15 I had mastered differential and integral calculus"
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  • 84.
  • 85. Active measures is a Soviet term for the actions of political warfare conducted by the Soviet and Russian security services to influence the course of world events, in addition to collecting intelligence and producing "politically correct" assessment of it. Active measures range "from media manipulations to special actions involving various degrees of violence". They were used both abroad and domestically. Source: Wikipedia
  • 86.
  • 87. Active measures is a Soviet term for the actions of political warfare conducted by the Soviet and Russian security services to influence the course of world events, in addition to collecting intelligence and producing "politically correct" assessment of it. Active measures range "from media manipulations to special actions involving various degrees of violence". They were used both abroad and domestically. Source: Wikipedia
  • 88.
  • 89. Active measures’ can include a combination of White, Grey and Black propaganda. Source: LSE Soviet Subversion, Disinformation and Propaganda: How the West Fought Against it (2017) (p. 17)
  • 90.
  • 91. активные меры cookbookактивные меры cookbook Front Organisations Agents of Influence Influence/Infiltrate the Media Fake Stories Forgeries Source: LSE Soviet Subversion, Disinformation and Propaganda: How the West Fought Against it (2017) (p. 20)
  • 92.
  • 93. AIDS was created by theAIDS was created by the AmericansAmericans
  • 94.
  • 95. Operation INFEKTIONOperation INFEKTION Soviet Bloc Intelligence and Its AIDSSoviet Bloc Intelligence and Its AIDS Disinformation CampaignDisinformation Campaign -- Thomas Boghardt-- Thomas Boghardt
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  • 102. Source: LSE Soviet Subversion, Disinformation and Propaganda: How the West Fought Against it (p. 23)
  • 103.
  • 104. Fake News && Active Measures - CostsFake News && Active Measures - Costs Soviet Bloc Intelligence and Its AIDS Disinformation Campaign -- Thomas Boghardt
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  • 107.
  • 108. US Active MeasuresUS Active Measures
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  • 110. US Active MeasuresUS Active Measures Source: Airborne Leaflet Propaganda
  • 111.
  • 112. Radio Free EuropeRadio Free Europe https://www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/document/cia-rdp80b01676r002600100042-9
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  • 114. Radio Free EuropeRadio Free Europe https://www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/document/cia-rdp80b01676r002600100042-9
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  • 116. Radio Free EuropeRadio Free Europe https://www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/document/cia-rdp80b01676r002600100042-9
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  • 118. Radio Free EuropeRadio Free Europe https://www.amazon.com/Radio-Free-Europe-Liberty-International/dp/0804773564
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  • 122. Fake News in Communist RomaniaFake News in Communist Romania
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  • 126.
  • 127. YT: How false news can spread - Noah TavlinYT: How false news can spread - Noah Tavlin "Our desire for quick answers may overpower the desire to be certain of their validity"
  • 128.
  • 129. YT: How false news can spread - Noah TavlinYT: How false news can spread - Noah Tavlin
  • 130.
  • 131. Why does it happen? How doesWhy does it happen? How does it work?it work? Tribalism (or Partisanship) Confirmation bias Dangers of debunked ideas
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  • 135. Parlemeter 2018 -Parlemeter 2018 - Eurobarometer Survey 90.1Eurobarometer Survey 90.1 "More than ever, European citizens see their country’s membership to the EU as a good thing"
  • 136.
  • 137. Parlemeter 2018 - Eurobarometer Survey 90.1Parlemeter 2018 - Eurobarometer Survey 90.1
  • 138.
  • 139. Parlemeter 2018 -Parlemeter 2018 - Eurobarometer Survey 90.1Eurobarometer Survey 90.1 On European average, the abuse of personal data online as well as fake news and disinformation online return as lowest-ranked threats. On national level, the abuse of personal data online scores the highest in Denmark with 26% and 23% in both the Netherlands and Ireland for. In Latvia (25%), Sweden and Romania (both 24%) the threat of fake news and disinformation online find its highest relative support
  • 140.
  • 141. Balkans: Most susceptible for fake newsBalkans: Most susceptible for fake news
  • 142.
  • 143. Fact Checking ReportFact Checking Report https://ksj.mit.edu "[...]conducted more than 300 surveys and more than 90 interviews [...] to gather various perspectives on fact-checking policies and procedures"
  • 144.
  • 145. Fact Checking ReportFact Checking Report https://ksj.mit.edu "The study focused not on the watchdog efforts of political fact-checkers [...], but rather on the in-house quality control that publications do before a story goes to print - a practice known as editorial fact checking"
  • 146.
  • 147. Borel says she was also struck to learn that “the hourly rate for fact-checkers is all over the place.” Some fact checkers reported earning $19 an hour; others four times that much. Some outlets paid as little as $15 an hour. On average, fact-checkers who participated in the study earned about $30.
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  • 149. Bots, bots, bots...Bots, bots, bots...
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  • 159. Let's play a game...Let's play a game... Report a Facebook Page 1 euro ~ Beer 2 euro ~ Better Beer 4 euro ~ Average Lunch 10 euro ~ B0$$ Lunch 20 euro ~ Therme ticket
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  • 167. PrivacyPrivacy the state of being apart from other people or concealed from their view; solitude; seclusion OR freedom from damaging publicity, public scrutiny, secret surveillance, or unauthorized disclosure of one’s personal data or information, as by a government, corporation, or individual
  • 168.
  • 169. PrivacyPrivacy The state of being free from unwanted or undue intrusion or disturbance in one's private life or affairs; freedom to be left alone
  • 170.
  • 171. Illusion of privacyIllusion of privacy Nothing to hide argumentNothing to hide argument
  • 172.
  • 173. Cambridge AnalyticaCambridge Analytica US '16 Elections UK '16 Brexit Vote
  • 174.
  • 176.
  • 177. Is privacy 'dead'?Is privacy 'dead'? Is there anything we can do?Is there anything we can do?
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  • 179.
  • 180.
  • 181. Things we can do User education Quality Journalism User education
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  • 185. Support these guysSupport these guys Casa Jurnalistului Scena9 Recorder etc...
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  • 192.
  • 193. ThanksThanks Bib working group (S. & A.) Costin and Vicente You
  • 194.
  • 195. "Who owns the information, he owns the world." -- Nathan Rothschild (1777-1836)
  • 196.
  • 197. Dan DemeterDan Demeter @_xdanx Global Research and Analysis Team Kaspersky Lab