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University of Leeds, Institute for Transport Studies
Professor Greg Marsden
Professor Jillian Anable
Dr Llinos Brown
University of Stirling
Professor Iain Docherty
COVID19 Transport, travel & social
adaptation study
Wave 1 panel survey: interim findings V1.0
17th August 2020
https://covid19transas.org/
Suggested citation:
Anable, J., Brown, L., Docherty, I. and Marsden, G. (2020) COVID19
Transport, travel & social adaptation study - Wave 1 panel survey:
interim findings
Acknowledgements to our funders
• UKRI (emergency funding + CREDS +
DecarboN8 + Productivity Insights Network)
• ClimateXChange – 2 year fellowship (Llinos
Brown)
• Transport Scotland
• Strathclyde Partnership for Transport
• Liverpool City Council
• Transport for the North
Research Questions
• What have the greatest travel adaptations been as a result of COVID19 and where and who have
demonstrated the greatest changes?
• Have interventions in the transport system post COVID19 (e.g. expansion of walking and cycling
opportunities; guidance on mask wearing) and actions by employers and businesses aided or
hindered personal adaptive capacity?
• Will a phased lifting of social distancing restrictions impact on the longer-term attractiveness of
public transport, cycling and car use and how varied will this be?
• To what extent could virtual activities be embedded in place of physical activities and for what
sorts of activities? What would need to happen to maintain this?
• What role have local restrictions, infrastructure quality, economic circumstances, disease
prevalence played in shorter and longer term adaptations vis a vis individual factors?
• From people’s experience of lockdown, their stated ability to cope (practically and emotionally)
and views on priorities for ‘unlocking’, what can we say about ‘essential’ vs non essential
mobility?
• Will behaviour change ‘stick’ in some locations more than others?
Note: this interim set of slides is the first swathe of analysis of the Wave 1 results. It represents a descriptive
overview across all the topic areas included in the survey. Analysis will go on to investigate some of the differences
in behaviour to begin to address the questions above.
Study design and survey administration
• 3 wave online quantitative* survey in 10 city-regions/ areas in
England/ Scotland
• N= July 2020: ~9500 + September 2020: ~6400 + February 2020: ~5000
• 2 waves of in depth interviews in 5 of the locations
• N= July 2020: 100 + October 2020 ~100
• 3 waves of expert/policy interviews
*Administered through YouGov
Wave 1
Public Interviews
5 city-regions
N=~100
July 2020
Wave 3
Online Survey
10 city-regions in
England/Scotland
N=~5000
Feb 2021
Wave 1
Online Survey
10 city-regions in
England/Scotland
N=~9500
July 2020
Wave 2
Public Interviews
5 city-regions
N=~100
Oct 2020
Wave 2
Online Survey
10 city-regions in
England/Scotland
N=~6400
Sept 2020
Survey Locations
Scotland – Aberdeen & Aberdeenshire, Edinburgh, Glasgow, Ayrshire
England – Bristol, Lancashire, Liverpool, London, Manchester, Newcastle
Wave 1
Policy Interviews
N = ~20
July 2020
Public Interview Locations
Scotland – Glasgow
England – Bristol, London, Manchester, Newcastle
Wave 1
Policy Interviews
N = ~20
?? 2020
Wave 1
Policy Interviews
N = ~20
?? 2020
Wave 1
Interviews
5 city-regions
N=~100
Glasgow
N=20
July 2020
Wave 1
Online Survey
10 city-regions in
England/Scotland
N=~9500
Scotland
N=~3500
July 2020
Wave 1 InterviewThemes
• Household structure and occupations
• Most significant impact of lockdown
• Work situation – WFH, Furloughed, Long-term Sick/disabled
• Home schooling
• Leisure time
• Shopping
• Transport modes – walking, cycling, public transport, car use
• Second spike
• Anything else interviewees would like to add
Wave 1 SurveyThemes
• General travel patterns before, during and after
• Household structure, children and (home)schooling
• Working situation before and during lockdown
• Commuting and homeworking
• Shopping
• Leisure and exercise
• Online and online activities
• Neighbourhood attachment and social capital
• What should happen next
Wave 1: Sample sizes
1. General travel patterns before, during and
after
1.1 Household car ownership
1.2 Stated likelihood of acquiring a driving licence before and after
1.3 Stated likelihood of getting a car before and after
1.4 Bike ownership and acquisition during lockdown
1.5 Change in use of different modes before and after lockdown
1.6 Self-reported change in car use
1.7 New ways of travelling during lockdown and expected changes after
Households with at least
one car varies between
61% in London and 84%
in Aberdeen
• In Ayrshire, there are very few people
who have a licence but do not also have a
car. However, in London, this applies to
around a fifth of respondents
• Glasgow is the location with the most
participants who are not licenced to drive
1.1 Household car ownership
Stated likelihood of
acquiring a driving
licence in the next year
reduced in all locations
• 25% of the sample did not have a driving
licence
• Before lockdown, a quarter of non licence
holders expressed a likelihood (‘likely’ or
‘very likely’) to get a licence in the next
year
• After lockdown, this had reduced to 17%
on average, with reductions seen
everywhere
• The greatest proportional reduction was
in Bristol (56% drop), followed by Ayrshire
(49%) and the lowest in London (9%).
However, note these differences between
locations are not statistically significant.
1.2 Likelihood of getting a driving licence
Stated
likelihood of
acquiring a
licence in the
next year –
complete data
Independent Samples Kruskal Wallis Test shows the differences between locations are NOT statistically significant
1.2 Likelihood of getting a driving licence
Stated likelihood of
getting a car in the next
year rose in some places,
but reduced in others
• 9.4% of the sample were licence holders
with no access to a car, ranging from only
3% in Ayrshire to over a fifth in London
• The stated likelihood to acquire a car
(‘likely’ or ‘very likely’) fell noticeably in
Glasgow, Ayrshire and Manchester
• The likelihood increased noticeable in
Edinburgh, Bristol, Liverpool and slightly
in London
19.5%
20.8%
17.5%
33.3%
20.3%
18.8%
13.6%
22.7%
14.6%
12.1%
18.1%
20.5%
23.8%
10.5%
20.0%
23.9%
17.5%
18.2%
18.8%
13.4%
14.0%
17.8%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
Aberdeen Edinburgh Glasgow Ayrshire Bristol Lancashire Liverpool Manchester Newcastle London Total
Stated likelihood of getting a car before and after lockdown
(Those who are licence holders but with no car (N=1113))
Likely BEFORE Likely AFTER
1.3 Likelihood of getting a car
Stated
likelihood of
getting a car in
the next year –
complete data
1.3 Likelihood of getting a car
Independent Samples Kruskal Wallis Test shows differences are significant at the 95% confidence level
Just under a third of
those who had a bike
had acquired it during
lockdown
• On average, just under a third have access to a
bike, the most in Bristol and the least in
Glasgow
• The highest proportional rates of uptake of
bikes happened in London (45%) and
Manchester (45%)
• Those who acquired a bike during lockdown
were disproportionately likely to be:
• Driving licence holders but without cars
• 25-44 years of age
• Without children at home
• Those still in paid employment were more likely
to acquire a bike during lockdown, but if also on
furlough, the likelihood increased more.
• Those who purchased a bike during lockdown
were twice as likely to agree with the statement
‘I discovered new leisure activities during
lockdown’ than the sample average
1.4 Bicycle ownership
All areas saw an increase
in walking frequency, but
three saw a reduction in
cycling
• The greatest reductions in the number of
people driving a car at least once a week
were in Lancashire (-16.6%), Aberdeen (-
14.6%) and Edinburgh (-14.3%)
• Car driving increased in Liverpool and
stayed almost static in Newcastle and
Glasgow
• Bus use reduced by just over 80% overall,
with the lowest reductions in Glasgow
• Walking increased by between a fifth
(London) to a third (Bristol)
• The amount of change in weekly cycling
varied a lot between locations from a
reduction of 6% in Bristol to an increase
of 34% in Edinburgh
See figures behind this chart on the next slide
1.5 Change in transport mode use
Change in use of each mode at least once a week during
lockdown compared to before
Aberdeen Edinburgh Glasgow Ayrshire Bristol Lancashire Liverpool Manchester Newcastle London TOTAL
Car driver -14.6% -14.3% 0.7% -10.5% -9.0% -16.6% 2.8% -3.1% 0.0% -5.1% -6.9%
Bus -85.4% -85.3% -71.0% -85.9% -88.2% -81.9% -78.9% -80.0% -79.9% -78.2% -81.3%
Train -86.1% -89.1% -85.3% -86.4% -78.0% -94.3% -80.9% -77.5% -87.9% -84.6% -84.5%
Tram/underground -62.5% -78.9% -76.0% -76.9% -31.3% -92.8% -91.1% -77.6% -82.4% -90.9% -84.9%
Bike 18.4% 28.0% 17.0% -1.6% -6.3% -2.7% 43.7% 41.7% 15.8% 2.6% 13.9%
Walk 23.8% 34.1% 32.6% 24.3% 32.3% 15.3% 27.3% 22.8% 22.5% 21.1% 25.7%
Taxi -49.9% -70.2% -59.8% -56.7% -55.2% -76.6% -66.3% -70.1% -82.1% -58.3% -66.3%
Percentage reduction, not %-point
1.5 Change in transport mode use
Just under a third of those who
used the car less said they liked
it, but around a fifth said they
didn’t
A minority (around 6%) reported
using a car more in lockdown, the
most in London (14%), the least
in Lancashire (3.5%)
1.6 Self-reported change in car use
But almost a quarter say they
think they will be using different
modes after lockdown
Less than 10% say they
discovered new ways of getting
around during lockdown
1.7 New ways of travelling during lockdown and expected changes after
• The differences between locations are statistically significant, but
this because London is different
• 16.5% of people in London said they had found new ways of
getting around
• Again, London stands out as expecting more change, but there
are other differences between locations, too. The two more rural
locations (Ayrshire and Lancashire) show the least change
1.7 Expected changes after lockdown
“In the coming weeks and months, compared to before lockdown, how much more or less do you think you will use
the following methods of transport?”
In all locations,
around 40% say
they will be
walking more
• Walking looks set to make the
greatest gains, with more than
50% in London and Edinburgh and
over 40% in most other places
(except the more rural locations)
• On average, 17% of people say
they will cycle more, rising to over
20% in London, Bristol and
Edinburgh
• Bus travel shows a strong decline
with just under 40% claiming they
will use it much or a little less
• Many people also say they will use
the car less (although not as many
who say they will use it more).
This indicates that responses to
this question are also about how
much people generally feel they
will be going out and about by any
mode, not just the degree of
mode switching
2. Household structure, children and
schooling
2.1 Household structure of the sample (those with and without kids)
2.2 Homeschooling during lockdown
2.3 Expectations of mode choice for the journey to school after
lockdown
Around a quarter of households
included children (0-18 yrs). Bristol
has a markedly greater share of
housesharers and fewer children.
Around 12% of households had
someone come to live with them
or someone move away for the
lockdown period.
2.1 Household structure
Only just over half of
households with children
of school age were
home-schooled during
lockdown
• Overall, only 11% of households
contained children being home-schooled
during lockdown
2.2 Home-schooling
Over 10% of respondents
with school-age children
feel they will be
homeschooling their
children much more
after lockdown
2.2 Home-schooling
In some areas, almost a
quarter expect to use the
car more for the school
run after lockdown
• Car use and walking look likely to increase
the most for the journey to school, with
some, but not all, places also seeing
increases in cycle use
• On average, 20% said they expect to use
the car more/much more, compared to
only 6% who said they would use it less
• The greatest stated increases in car use
were in London, Manchester and
Liverpool
• For public transport, the greatest
reductions are likely to be in London,
Ayrshire and Liverpool
• Cycling looks like it could gain users in
Bristol and Edinburgh
2.3 Journey to School
3. Work and commuting
3.1 Work status before and during lockdown
3.2 Travel to work before and during lockdown
3.3 Satisfaction with commute journey before and during
3.4 Frequency of meetings before and during
3.5 Expectations of mode choice after lockdown
3.1 Work status before and during lockdown
See next
slides for
more detail
on the
change in
work
situation
during
lockdown
There was some churn in work status as a result of lockdown that was
still playing out as the survey was being undertaken.
Working before
57.6% (N=5377)
NOT Working
before
41.6% (N=3856)
Other before
0.8% (N=74)
Working after
53.9% (N=5044)
NOT Working
after
44.3% (N=4146)
Other after
0.8% (N=76)
93.3%
98.3%
74.3%
Of those working before who became
non-workers:
• 2.9% were made unemployed
• 2.6% were self-employed or casual
workers whose work dried up
• 0.5% went on sick leave
3.1 Work status before and during lockdown
22.2% (N=1124) were
furloughed for all or part of
the time
• Unemployment
increased in all areas
• London, and to a very
small extent Glasgow,
were the only places to
see an increase in part-
time employment
• Casual/sporadic work
saw small increases in
all the Scottish
locations, as well as
Bristol
3.1 Work status before and during lockdown
30% of workers who
commuted to work
before lockdown
were also in work
and leaving the
home to commute
during lockdown
See next slides for
detailed analysis of
commute mode
share
X.1 Travel to work during and after lockdown
N= Aberdeen (169); Edinburgh (147); Glasgow (156); Ayrshire (101); Bristol (144); Lancashire (187); Liverpool (136); Manchester (182); Newcastle (184); London (127)
3.2 Travel to work before and during lockdown
30% of workers who
commuted before lockdown
continued to leave the home
to go to work during lockdown
• The general pattern of mode shift on the
journey to work was similar everywhere
• As expected, public transport share declined
the most, with the lowest percentage decline in
London
• Car passenger travel appears to have increased
in most places (although from relatively small
bases, hence the large apparent proportional
increases)
• Many of these car passengers were previously
public transport users (see next slide)
• London and Bristol were the only locations to
see some decline in walking trips. At the same
time, the gain for cycling was strong in these
locations. This might indicate a latent demand
among walkers to cycle more which they acted
upon when the roads were quieter
2.2 Home-schooling3.2 Travel to work before and during lockdown
N= Aberdeen (169); Edinburgh (147); Glasgow (156); Ayrshire (101); Bristol (144); Lancashire (187); Liverpool (136);
Manchester (182); Newcastle (184); London (127)
Within-location differences between before/after mode shares in different locations unlikely to be statistically significant
other than for car driver use due to small sample sizes in each cell
‘Other’ includes: motorcycles, taxis, vans and ‘other’
More than half of those
travelling to work by public
transport before lockdown
also used this during lockdown
if they were not WFH*
• 30% of workers who commuted to work
before lockdown were also in work and
leaving the home to commute during
lockdown
• 95% of those who commuted as a car
driver before, also used this mode during
• A quarter of car passengers switched to
either using the car as a driver (half of
them) or a variety of other modes
• The 45% of public transport users who
did not carry on using the buses etc
switched to a variety of other modes,
including car as a passenger – indicating
lift-giving by family members
2.2 Home-schoolingX.1 Travel to work during and after lockdown
*Working from Home
3.2 Travel to work before and during lockdown
Commute satisfaction
increased slightly during
lockdown in all places
except London
The greatest
improvements were in
Newcastle and
Lancashire.
2.2 Home-schoolingX.1 Travel to work during and after lockdown
Caution: differences between places and over-time within places may not be statistically significant – yet to be tested
3.3 Satisfaction with commute before and during lockdown
During lockdown, this rose to over 50%
Before lockdown, around 10% of
workers used the phone or internet
several times a week or more to attend
business meetings instead of travelling
3.4 Frequency of virtual meetings before and during lockdown
• There are statistically differences between locations in the amount of virtual business meeting activity before lockdown
• During lockdown, the same locations which had the highest amount of virtual substitution before, also showed the greatest gain in that
activity after. For example, the number of people who said they never did this rose reduced by 57% in London, 55% in Bristol and 50% in
Aberdeen, whereas there was only a 18% in Ayrshire
In some areas, around
a quarter expect to
walk more to work
• Around 15% of workers expect to use
their car more to drive on the commute,
whereas being a car passenger is down in
most places
• The bus is expected to reduce the most,
and walking to increase the most
• Cycling looks to have the most popularity
in London, Edinburgh and Bristol and will
appear to gain little use for commuting in
Ayrshire, Lancashire and Liverpool
3.5 Expected mode to work after
4. Working from home (WFH)
4.1 Working from home before and during lockdown
4.2 Evaluations of WFH before and during lockdown
4.3 Evaluations of EFH in households with and without children
4.4 Expected increases in WFH and virtual business meetings after
lockdown
There are large
geographical variations
in the amount of WFH
• On average, 28% said their job could not
be carried out from home before
lockdown, and 23% during
• This varied by location, ranging from 20%
in London to 37% in Ayrshire (before)
• WFH 5 days a week increased 10-fold
during lockdown
• Before lockdown, Lancashire had the
greatest proportion of people outside
London WFH 5 days, but during
lockdown it had the lowest
4.1 WFH before and during lockdown
Over 40% of those WFH
during lockdown found
this to be too much
• Most home workers (>80%) had no choice but
to WFH during lockdown.
• Londoners were most likely to say that the
amount they WFH was more than they would
have liked
• Three quarters said they had good support
from their employer to WFM during lockdown
• Two thirds feel better set up to WFM in the
future
4.2 Evaluations of WFH before and during
Evaluation of WFH
deteriorated slightly
during lockdown
• WFH was evaluated positively by all who
experienced it
• For those WFH both before and during
lockdown, the experience was slightly
more stressful and slightly less
satisfactory than before
• For those who did not WFH before
lockdown, but did so during, they
evaluated WFH less favourably than those
who were more used to WFH
Note: differences between locations on all these parameters were not statistically significant, hence only showing the averages for
the sample as a whole. However, differences over ‘time’ may not be statistically significant – yet to be tested
4.2 Evaluations of WFH4.2 Evaluations of WFH before and during
There was little
difference in the
evaluation of WFH
between households
with and without
children
• 30% of participants who WFH at least one
day a week during lockdown had children
at home, 21% with children of school age
and 15% with children who were home-
schooled
• Households without children find WFH
less stressful and easier. However, these
differences are small (and have not been
tested for statistical significance)
Note: differences between households with and without children etc may not be statistically significant – yet to be tested
4.2 Evaluations of WFH4.3 Evaluations of WFH with and without kids
A quarter of workers
expect to WFH more
and/or conduct more
virtual business meetings
after lockdown
• There were statistically significant
differences between locations in the
proportion of people who expect to
undertake more virtual working
• Those locations with the greatest
proportion of WFH during lockdown
(Bristol, Edinburgh and London) tend to
also be the locations where more of this
might be expected to take place
• The proportion of people expecting to
undertake more business meetings online
rather than travelling is much the same as
for WFH
4.2 Evaluations of WFH4.4 Expected increases in WFH after lockdown
5.Shopping
5.1 Change in use of types of shops before and after lockdown
5.2 Attitudes towards online grocery shopping
5.3 Expected increase in online shopping after lockdown
Just over 30% said they
changed the location of where
they shopped for food during
lockdown
• New ways of shopping or acquiring
groceries during lockdown (Online
delivery, Click & Collect, personal
delivery) saw large proportional increases
(from very low bases), whereas visits to
both large or small shops saw reductions
• On average, 2% said they never visited
large supermarkets before lockdown,
rising to 17% during
• The use of small food shops did not
increase, suggesting supermarket visits
were replaced by online or family
delivery, not by visiting local smaller
shops
• Foodbank use increased the most in
Ayrshire, Glasgow and Lancashire.
However, it reduced in Newcastle. (But
these figures unreliable as from very small numbers -
on average only 1% of the sample before and during)
2.2 Home-schooling5.1 Change in use of types of shops
Within-location differences between before/after have
not been tested for statistical significance
• Over half the sample said that
expenditure on food increased
during lockdown compared to just
under a fifth who said it decreased
The numbers using online and
click & collect increased, but
the frequency reduced
• The proportion visiting a supermarket at
least once a month fell from 98% to 72%.
Those who did go during lockdown went less
frequently
• Before lockdown, 81% said they used small
grocery shops, but only 68% during
2.2 Home-schooling5.1 Change in use of types of shops
Within-location differences between before/after have not been tested for statistical significance
• Before lockdown, 17% received online
deliveries from supermarkets at least once a
month and this rose to 25% during
• Whilst more people used click and collect,
the average frequency with which it was
used went down
Within-location differences between before/after have not been tested for statistical significance
The majority previously
rejected online grocery
methods because they prefer
to see the products in person
2.2 Home-schooling5.2 Attitudes to online grocery shopping
Differences between locations were not significant other than for ‘getting convenient slots’ in which case
Bristol, London and Liverpool seemed to experience this more
During Lockdown, not wanting
to wait in queues or needing
to self-isolate were the main
reasons given for online
shopping. However, concern
about travelling, or not being
able to get to the shops, were
other key reasons
2.2 Home-schooling5.2 Attitudes to online grocery shopping
Differences between locations were not significant other than for ‘no way of getting to the shops’
• Having no way to get to the shops was
provided as a reason for online shopping
more in Ayrshire and Manchester
Just over a quarter say they
will shop more for food online
after lockdown compared to
before
• The is little geographical difference in
expected increases in online shopping for
food across locations, although London
residents appear slightly keener to
increase their take-up of this activity than
others
2.2 Home-schooling5.3 Expected increase in online shopping after lockdown
• For non-food items, just under a third on average say they will do more of
this, with some slightly larger differences between locations
• This follows around 40% on average saying that expenditure on non-food
items had increased during lockdown, although a quarter said it had
decreased
6. Socialising, leisure and exercise
6.1 Social contact with friends and family
6.2 Outdoor sport and activity
6.3 Discovery of new activities during lockdown
6.4 Difficulty of coping with restrictions on different activities
6.5 Sense of connection to neighbourhood
6.6 Expected increase in online socialising after lockdown
Frequency of f2f contact
with friends and family
differed significantly
between locations
before lockdown
• Ayrshire and Liverpool, and to a less
extent Newcastle, stand out as having
more frequent visiting with friends and
family at each others homes before
lockdown. London and Bristol the least.
• During lockdown, use of videocalling
increased much more than phone calling
– on average by +127% compared to
+26%
6.1 Social contact with friends and family
The increase in outdoor
activity was different in
different places
• Unsurprisingly, organised outdoor sporting
activity sport reduced everywhere
• More surprising was the reduction in the
average number of times local parks were
visited in many places other than Edinburgh,
Bristol, Manchester in London
• Increases in walking and cycling for pleasure
were modest – 40% and 34% on average
• Cycling for pleasure saw a greater
proportional increase than walking in most
places except Ayrshire, Bristol, Newcastle
and London
• Further analysis showed those with children
visited parks less than before during
lockdown but increased their walking for
pleasure more than those without children
• Those with dogs and/or gardens reduced
their use of local parks whereas those
without dogs and/or gardens increased their
visits
6.2 Outdoor sport and activity
On balance, new ways of
socialising were
discovered, but local
places to visit were not
• More people agreed than disagreed that
they discovered some new ways of
socialising during lockdown. Agreement was
particularly high in Bristol and London
• However, there was sometimes twice as
many people disagreeing as agreeing that
they had discovered new leisure activities or
new places to visit during lockdown
• Nevertheless, between 25 and 40% did
discover new places to use and visit, the
highest numbers in Bristol, Aberdeen and
Edinburgh
6.3 Discovery of new activities during lockdown
More than half found not
being able to go to the
pub, café or eat out to
be difficult to cope with
• Restrictions on seeing friends and family
were more difficult to cope with than any
restrictions on ‘commercial’ activity
• Not being able to go on holiday gained the
highest ‘very difficult’ score of over one
third of participants. However, it is worth
noting that almost 20% said they did not do
this before anyway
• Just under a third found restrictions on
voluntary work outside the home to be
difficult or very difficult
• Almost an equal number found restrictions
on going to the cinema/theatre to be
difficult as found it to be easy
• Restrictions on outdoor sports and going to
live sporting matches were experienced as
difficult by the least number of people but
still impacted almost 20% in each case.
6.4 Difficulty of coping with restrictions on each activity
6.5 Sense of connection to neighbourhood
Attachment to neighbourhood varied only slightly between locations,
with Bristol participants standing out as having the least sense of
belonging and attachment to where they currently live
On balance:
-> people did not feel more
connected to their
neighbourhood during
lockdown
-> more people felt lonely
than did not feel lonely
6.5 Sense of connection to neighbourhood
Many expect to carry
on socialising online
after lockdown
• Socialising online appears to receive quite
an enthusiastic response as over a third
of respondents, and nearing a half in
Bristol and London, expect to socialise
more online than they did more
lockdown
• Entertainment does not receive quite
such a high response, but this may be due
to this already being at quite high levels
before lockdown
4.2 Evaluations of WFH6.6 Expected increases in online socialising after lockdown
7. Other online activities
7.1 Satisfaction with internet access
7.2 Personal business activities undertaken online
7.3 Comparative overview of expected online activity
Levels of satisfaction
with internet access at
home are high
everywhere
• Virtually everyone had internet access at
home (as expected for an online survey)
• Over 90% in each location had fixed
broadband internet
• Levels of ‘highly satisfied’ were greatest
in Newcastle, Lancashire and Glasgow
and lowest in Bristol, London and
Ayrshire
7.1 Satisfaction with internet access
Online access also
proved important for
many other non-work,
shopping or leisure
activities
• A geographical pattern is difficult to
discern other than London residents
consistently more engaged with all online
activities and Glasgow and Lancashire
often less so
7.2 Personal business activities undertaken online
Comparing all the
potential online
activities, more people
are likely to be carrying
on with socialising and
entertainment than
work-related activities
online
7.3 Comparative overview of expected online activity
8. Attitudes to what should happen next
8.1 Attitudes to social distancing and mask wearing on public transport
8.2 Attitudes towards footpath and cycle path widening
8.3 Attitudes towards prioritised grocery deliveries
8.4 Attitudes toward priorities for the economic recovery
8.5 Priorities for ‘unlocking’
8.1 Attitudes to social distancing etc on public transport
Three-quarters say they would rather travel by car than public
transport, but almost as many say they would rather walk or cycle for
some journeys. Over a quarter say they have no choice but to use PT.
There is high
agreement with mask
wearing everywhere
• There are no statistically significant
differences between the 10 locations on
attitudes towards mask wearing
8.1 Attitudes to social distancing etc on public transport
Over half agree that
more footpaths and
cycle paths should be
provided
• There are some differences between
locations with regard to attitudes towards
footpath and cycle path widening
• The more rural locations (Ayrshire and
Lancashire) perhaps unsurprisingly are
less likely to agree (and more likely to
disagree) with these propositions
• It is also interesting to see how Bristol,
Liverpool seem relatively keen on cycle
path widening
• Whereas London exhibits relatively high
agreement for footpath widening, it does
not show one of the highest levels of
agreement for cycling
• Newcastle has the highest level of
disagreement in relation to cycle lane
provision
8.2 Attitudes to footpath and cycle path widening
There is much higher
agreement for prioritised
deliveries to those
vulnerable to Covid than
for non-car owners
• There is very high agreement and very
little disagreement at the idea of
prioritising grocery deliveries to Covid
(although there are differences across the
results in these locations). Those in
Lancashire have a slightly lower tendency
to agree. This could be because they
believe more rural areas should also
prioritised (but we cannot know this)
• Agreement with the idea that non-car
owners should be prioritised is almost
half that for prioritising people vulnerable
to Covid. Indeed, less than half agreed
with this idea in all locations and almost a
quarter disagreed.
8.3 Attitudes to prioritised grocery deliveries
Twice as many disagree
with bailing out the
airlines as agree
• There is higher agreement with road
building than there is with the idea of bailing
out the aviation industry
• However, neither road building nor aviation
support command majority support with
around a third and a quarter respectively
• Bristol residents stand out as having the
highest disagreement with road building and
aviation support
• London residents have the highest
agreement and lowest disagreement with
bailing out the aviation industry
• Support with the idea that the economic
recovery should be used to boost
environmental causes is almost 60% overall.
Bristol once again stands out as having
stronger attitudes on this issue
8.4 Attitudes to priorities for the economic recovery
The highest priority for unlocking is schools and childcare facilities,
followed by hospitality and non-food shopping
8.5 Priorities for unlocking

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COVID19 Transport, travel & social adaptation study Wave 1 panel survey: interim findings

  • 1. University of Leeds, Institute for Transport Studies Professor Greg Marsden Professor Jillian Anable Dr Llinos Brown University of Stirling Professor Iain Docherty COVID19 Transport, travel & social adaptation study Wave 1 panel survey: interim findings V1.0 17th August 2020 https://covid19transas.org/
  • 2. Suggested citation: Anable, J., Brown, L., Docherty, I. and Marsden, G. (2020) COVID19 Transport, travel & social adaptation study - Wave 1 panel survey: interim findings
  • 3. Acknowledgements to our funders • UKRI (emergency funding + CREDS + DecarboN8 + Productivity Insights Network) • ClimateXChange – 2 year fellowship (Llinos Brown) • Transport Scotland • Strathclyde Partnership for Transport • Liverpool City Council • Transport for the North
  • 4. Research Questions • What have the greatest travel adaptations been as a result of COVID19 and where and who have demonstrated the greatest changes? • Have interventions in the transport system post COVID19 (e.g. expansion of walking and cycling opportunities; guidance on mask wearing) and actions by employers and businesses aided or hindered personal adaptive capacity? • Will a phased lifting of social distancing restrictions impact on the longer-term attractiveness of public transport, cycling and car use and how varied will this be? • To what extent could virtual activities be embedded in place of physical activities and for what sorts of activities? What would need to happen to maintain this? • What role have local restrictions, infrastructure quality, economic circumstances, disease prevalence played in shorter and longer term adaptations vis a vis individual factors? • From people’s experience of lockdown, their stated ability to cope (practically and emotionally) and views on priorities for ‘unlocking’, what can we say about ‘essential’ vs non essential mobility? • Will behaviour change ‘stick’ in some locations more than others? Note: this interim set of slides is the first swathe of analysis of the Wave 1 results. It represents a descriptive overview across all the topic areas included in the survey. Analysis will go on to investigate some of the differences in behaviour to begin to address the questions above.
  • 5. Study design and survey administration • 3 wave online quantitative* survey in 10 city-regions/ areas in England/ Scotland • N= July 2020: ~9500 + September 2020: ~6400 + February 2020: ~5000 • 2 waves of in depth interviews in 5 of the locations • N= July 2020: 100 + October 2020 ~100 • 3 waves of expert/policy interviews *Administered through YouGov
  • 6. Wave 1 Public Interviews 5 city-regions N=~100 July 2020 Wave 3 Online Survey 10 city-regions in England/Scotland N=~5000 Feb 2021 Wave 1 Online Survey 10 city-regions in England/Scotland N=~9500 July 2020 Wave 2 Public Interviews 5 city-regions N=~100 Oct 2020 Wave 2 Online Survey 10 city-regions in England/Scotland N=~6400 Sept 2020 Survey Locations Scotland – Aberdeen & Aberdeenshire, Edinburgh, Glasgow, Ayrshire England – Bristol, Lancashire, Liverpool, London, Manchester, Newcastle Wave 1 Policy Interviews N = ~20 July 2020 Public Interview Locations Scotland – Glasgow England – Bristol, London, Manchester, Newcastle Wave 1 Policy Interviews N = ~20 ?? 2020 Wave 1 Policy Interviews N = ~20 ?? 2020
  • 7. Wave 1 Interviews 5 city-regions N=~100 Glasgow N=20 July 2020 Wave 1 Online Survey 10 city-regions in England/Scotland N=~9500 Scotland N=~3500 July 2020 Wave 1 InterviewThemes • Household structure and occupations • Most significant impact of lockdown • Work situation – WFH, Furloughed, Long-term Sick/disabled • Home schooling • Leisure time • Shopping • Transport modes – walking, cycling, public transport, car use • Second spike • Anything else interviewees would like to add Wave 1 SurveyThemes • General travel patterns before, during and after • Household structure, children and (home)schooling • Working situation before and during lockdown • Commuting and homeworking • Shopping • Leisure and exercise • Online and online activities • Neighbourhood attachment and social capital • What should happen next
  • 9. 1. General travel patterns before, during and after 1.1 Household car ownership 1.2 Stated likelihood of acquiring a driving licence before and after 1.3 Stated likelihood of getting a car before and after 1.4 Bike ownership and acquisition during lockdown 1.5 Change in use of different modes before and after lockdown 1.6 Self-reported change in car use 1.7 New ways of travelling during lockdown and expected changes after
  • 10. Households with at least one car varies between 61% in London and 84% in Aberdeen • In Ayrshire, there are very few people who have a licence but do not also have a car. However, in London, this applies to around a fifth of respondents • Glasgow is the location with the most participants who are not licenced to drive 1.1 Household car ownership
  • 11. Stated likelihood of acquiring a driving licence in the next year reduced in all locations • 25% of the sample did not have a driving licence • Before lockdown, a quarter of non licence holders expressed a likelihood (‘likely’ or ‘very likely’) to get a licence in the next year • After lockdown, this had reduced to 17% on average, with reductions seen everywhere • The greatest proportional reduction was in Bristol (56% drop), followed by Ayrshire (49%) and the lowest in London (9%). However, note these differences between locations are not statistically significant. 1.2 Likelihood of getting a driving licence
  • 12. Stated likelihood of acquiring a licence in the next year – complete data Independent Samples Kruskal Wallis Test shows the differences between locations are NOT statistically significant 1.2 Likelihood of getting a driving licence
  • 13. Stated likelihood of getting a car in the next year rose in some places, but reduced in others • 9.4% of the sample were licence holders with no access to a car, ranging from only 3% in Ayrshire to over a fifth in London • The stated likelihood to acquire a car (‘likely’ or ‘very likely’) fell noticeably in Glasgow, Ayrshire and Manchester • The likelihood increased noticeable in Edinburgh, Bristol, Liverpool and slightly in London 19.5% 20.8% 17.5% 33.3% 20.3% 18.8% 13.6% 22.7% 14.6% 12.1% 18.1% 20.5% 23.8% 10.5% 20.0% 23.9% 17.5% 18.2% 18.8% 13.4% 14.0% 17.8% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% Aberdeen Edinburgh Glasgow Ayrshire Bristol Lancashire Liverpool Manchester Newcastle London Total Stated likelihood of getting a car before and after lockdown (Those who are licence holders but with no car (N=1113)) Likely BEFORE Likely AFTER 1.3 Likelihood of getting a car
  • 14. Stated likelihood of getting a car in the next year – complete data 1.3 Likelihood of getting a car Independent Samples Kruskal Wallis Test shows differences are significant at the 95% confidence level
  • 15. Just under a third of those who had a bike had acquired it during lockdown • On average, just under a third have access to a bike, the most in Bristol and the least in Glasgow • The highest proportional rates of uptake of bikes happened in London (45%) and Manchester (45%) • Those who acquired a bike during lockdown were disproportionately likely to be: • Driving licence holders but without cars • 25-44 years of age • Without children at home • Those still in paid employment were more likely to acquire a bike during lockdown, but if also on furlough, the likelihood increased more. • Those who purchased a bike during lockdown were twice as likely to agree with the statement ‘I discovered new leisure activities during lockdown’ than the sample average 1.4 Bicycle ownership
  • 16. All areas saw an increase in walking frequency, but three saw a reduction in cycling • The greatest reductions in the number of people driving a car at least once a week were in Lancashire (-16.6%), Aberdeen (- 14.6%) and Edinburgh (-14.3%) • Car driving increased in Liverpool and stayed almost static in Newcastle and Glasgow • Bus use reduced by just over 80% overall, with the lowest reductions in Glasgow • Walking increased by between a fifth (London) to a third (Bristol) • The amount of change in weekly cycling varied a lot between locations from a reduction of 6% in Bristol to an increase of 34% in Edinburgh See figures behind this chart on the next slide 1.5 Change in transport mode use
  • 17. Change in use of each mode at least once a week during lockdown compared to before Aberdeen Edinburgh Glasgow Ayrshire Bristol Lancashire Liverpool Manchester Newcastle London TOTAL Car driver -14.6% -14.3% 0.7% -10.5% -9.0% -16.6% 2.8% -3.1% 0.0% -5.1% -6.9% Bus -85.4% -85.3% -71.0% -85.9% -88.2% -81.9% -78.9% -80.0% -79.9% -78.2% -81.3% Train -86.1% -89.1% -85.3% -86.4% -78.0% -94.3% -80.9% -77.5% -87.9% -84.6% -84.5% Tram/underground -62.5% -78.9% -76.0% -76.9% -31.3% -92.8% -91.1% -77.6% -82.4% -90.9% -84.9% Bike 18.4% 28.0% 17.0% -1.6% -6.3% -2.7% 43.7% 41.7% 15.8% 2.6% 13.9% Walk 23.8% 34.1% 32.6% 24.3% 32.3% 15.3% 27.3% 22.8% 22.5% 21.1% 25.7% Taxi -49.9% -70.2% -59.8% -56.7% -55.2% -76.6% -66.3% -70.1% -82.1% -58.3% -66.3% Percentage reduction, not %-point 1.5 Change in transport mode use
  • 18. Just under a third of those who used the car less said they liked it, but around a fifth said they didn’t A minority (around 6%) reported using a car more in lockdown, the most in London (14%), the least in Lancashire (3.5%) 1.6 Self-reported change in car use
  • 19. But almost a quarter say they think they will be using different modes after lockdown Less than 10% say they discovered new ways of getting around during lockdown 1.7 New ways of travelling during lockdown and expected changes after • The differences between locations are statistically significant, but this because London is different • 16.5% of people in London said they had found new ways of getting around • Again, London stands out as expecting more change, but there are other differences between locations, too. The two more rural locations (Ayrshire and Lancashire) show the least change
  • 20. 1.7 Expected changes after lockdown “In the coming weeks and months, compared to before lockdown, how much more or less do you think you will use the following methods of transport?” In all locations, around 40% say they will be walking more • Walking looks set to make the greatest gains, with more than 50% in London and Edinburgh and over 40% in most other places (except the more rural locations) • On average, 17% of people say they will cycle more, rising to over 20% in London, Bristol and Edinburgh • Bus travel shows a strong decline with just under 40% claiming they will use it much or a little less • Many people also say they will use the car less (although not as many who say they will use it more). This indicates that responses to this question are also about how much people generally feel they will be going out and about by any mode, not just the degree of mode switching
  • 21. 2. Household structure, children and schooling 2.1 Household structure of the sample (those with and without kids) 2.2 Homeschooling during lockdown 2.3 Expectations of mode choice for the journey to school after lockdown
  • 22. Around a quarter of households included children (0-18 yrs). Bristol has a markedly greater share of housesharers and fewer children. Around 12% of households had someone come to live with them or someone move away for the lockdown period. 2.1 Household structure
  • 23. Only just over half of households with children of school age were home-schooled during lockdown • Overall, only 11% of households contained children being home-schooled during lockdown 2.2 Home-schooling
  • 24. Over 10% of respondents with school-age children feel they will be homeschooling their children much more after lockdown 2.2 Home-schooling
  • 25. In some areas, almost a quarter expect to use the car more for the school run after lockdown • Car use and walking look likely to increase the most for the journey to school, with some, but not all, places also seeing increases in cycle use • On average, 20% said they expect to use the car more/much more, compared to only 6% who said they would use it less • The greatest stated increases in car use were in London, Manchester and Liverpool • For public transport, the greatest reductions are likely to be in London, Ayrshire and Liverpool • Cycling looks like it could gain users in Bristol and Edinburgh 2.3 Journey to School
  • 26. 3. Work and commuting 3.1 Work status before and during lockdown 3.2 Travel to work before and during lockdown 3.3 Satisfaction with commute journey before and during 3.4 Frequency of meetings before and during 3.5 Expectations of mode choice after lockdown
  • 27. 3.1 Work status before and during lockdown See next slides for more detail on the change in work situation during lockdown
  • 28. There was some churn in work status as a result of lockdown that was still playing out as the survey was being undertaken. Working before 57.6% (N=5377) NOT Working before 41.6% (N=3856) Other before 0.8% (N=74) Working after 53.9% (N=5044) NOT Working after 44.3% (N=4146) Other after 0.8% (N=76) 93.3% 98.3% 74.3% Of those working before who became non-workers: • 2.9% were made unemployed • 2.6% were self-employed or casual workers whose work dried up • 0.5% went on sick leave 3.1 Work status before and during lockdown 22.2% (N=1124) were furloughed for all or part of the time
  • 29. • Unemployment increased in all areas • London, and to a very small extent Glasgow, were the only places to see an increase in part- time employment • Casual/sporadic work saw small increases in all the Scottish locations, as well as Bristol 3.1 Work status before and during lockdown
  • 30. 30% of workers who commuted to work before lockdown were also in work and leaving the home to commute during lockdown See next slides for detailed analysis of commute mode share X.1 Travel to work during and after lockdown N= Aberdeen (169); Edinburgh (147); Glasgow (156); Ayrshire (101); Bristol (144); Lancashire (187); Liverpool (136); Manchester (182); Newcastle (184); London (127) 3.2 Travel to work before and during lockdown
  • 31. 30% of workers who commuted before lockdown continued to leave the home to go to work during lockdown • The general pattern of mode shift on the journey to work was similar everywhere • As expected, public transport share declined the most, with the lowest percentage decline in London • Car passenger travel appears to have increased in most places (although from relatively small bases, hence the large apparent proportional increases) • Many of these car passengers were previously public transport users (see next slide) • London and Bristol were the only locations to see some decline in walking trips. At the same time, the gain for cycling was strong in these locations. This might indicate a latent demand among walkers to cycle more which they acted upon when the roads were quieter 2.2 Home-schooling3.2 Travel to work before and during lockdown N= Aberdeen (169); Edinburgh (147); Glasgow (156); Ayrshire (101); Bristol (144); Lancashire (187); Liverpool (136); Manchester (182); Newcastle (184); London (127) Within-location differences between before/after mode shares in different locations unlikely to be statistically significant other than for car driver use due to small sample sizes in each cell ‘Other’ includes: motorcycles, taxis, vans and ‘other’
  • 32. More than half of those travelling to work by public transport before lockdown also used this during lockdown if they were not WFH* • 30% of workers who commuted to work before lockdown were also in work and leaving the home to commute during lockdown • 95% of those who commuted as a car driver before, also used this mode during • A quarter of car passengers switched to either using the car as a driver (half of them) or a variety of other modes • The 45% of public transport users who did not carry on using the buses etc switched to a variety of other modes, including car as a passenger – indicating lift-giving by family members 2.2 Home-schoolingX.1 Travel to work during and after lockdown *Working from Home 3.2 Travel to work before and during lockdown
  • 33. Commute satisfaction increased slightly during lockdown in all places except London The greatest improvements were in Newcastle and Lancashire. 2.2 Home-schoolingX.1 Travel to work during and after lockdown Caution: differences between places and over-time within places may not be statistically significant – yet to be tested 3.3 Satisfaction with commute before and during lockdown
  • 34. During lockdown, this rose to over 50% Before lockdown, around 10% of workers used the phone or internet several times a week or more to attend business meetings instead of travelling 3.4 Frequency of virtual meetings before and during lockdown • There are statistically differences between locations in the amount of virtual business meeting activity before lockdown • During lockdown, the same locations which had the highest amount of virtual substitution before, also showed the greatest gain in that activity after. For example, the number of people who said they never did this rose reduced by 57% in London, 55% in Bristol and 50% in Aberdeen, whereas there was only a 18% in Ayrshire
  • 35. In some areas, around a quarter expect to walk more to work • Around 15% of workers expect to use their car more to drive on the commute, whereas being a car passenger is down in most places • The bus is expected to reduce the most, and walking to increase the most • Cycling looks to have the most popularity in London, Edinburgh and Bristol and will appear to gain little use for commuting in Ayrshire, Lancashire and Liverpool 3.5 Expected mode to work after
  • 36. 4. Working from home (WFH) 4.1 Working from home before and during lockdown 4.2 Evaluations of WFH before and during lockdown 4.3 Evaluations of EFH in households with and without children 4.4 Expected increases in WFH and virtual business meetings after lockdown
  • 37. There are large geographical variations in the amount of WFH • On average, 28% said their job could not be carried out from home before lockdown, and 23% during • This varied by location, ranging from 20% in London to 37% in Ayrshire (before) • WFH 5 days a week increased 10-fold during lockdown • Before lockdown, Lancashire had the greatest proportion of people outside London WFH 5 days, but during lockdown it had the lowest 4.1 WFH before and during lockdown
  • 38. Over 40% of those WFH during lockdown found this to be too much • Most home workers (>80%) had no choice but to WFH during lockdown. • Londoners were most likely to say that the amount they WFH was more than they would have liked • Three quarters said they had good support from their employer to WFM during lockdown • Two thirds feel better set up to WFM in the future 4.2 Evaluations of WFH before and during
  • 39. Evaluation of WFH deteriorated slightly during lockdown • WFH was evaluated positively by all who experienced it • For those WFH both before and during lockdown, the experience was slightly more stressful and slightly less satisfactory than before • For those who did not WFH before lockdown, but did so during, they evaluated WFH less favourably than those who were more used to WFH Note: differences between locations on all these parameters were not statistically significant, hence only showing the averages for the sample as a whole. However, differences over ‘time’ may not be statistically significant – yet to be tested 4.2 Evaluations of WFH4.2 Evaluations of WFH before and during
  • 40. There was little difference in the evaluation of WFH between households with and without children • 30% of participants who WFH at least one day a week during lockdown had children at home, 21% with children of school age and 15% with children who were home- schooled • Households without children find WFH less stressful and easier. However, these differences are small (and have not been tested for statistical significance) Note: differences between households with and without children etc may not be statistically significant – yet to be tested 4.2 Evaluations of WFH4.3 Evaluations of WFH with and without kids
  • 41. A quarter of workers expect to WFH more and/or conduct more virtual business meetings after lockdown • There were statistically significant differences between locations in the proportion of people who expect to undertake more virtual working • Those locations with the greatest proportion of WFH during lockdown (Bristol, Edinburgh and London) tend to also be the locations where more of this might be expected to take place • The proportion of people expecting to undertake more business meetings online rather than travelling is much the same as for WFH 4.2 Evaluations of WFH4.4 Expected increases in WFH after lockdown
  • 42. 5.Shopping 5.1 Change in use of types of shops before and after lockdown 5.2 Attitudes towards online grocery shopping 5.3 Expected increase in online shopping after lockdown
  • 43. Just over 30% said they changed the location of where they shopped for food during lockdown • New ways of shopping or acquiring groceries during lockdown (Online delivery, Click & Collect, personal delivery) saw large proportional increases (from very low bases), whereas visits to both large or small shops saw reductions • On average, 2% said they never visited large supermarkets before lockdown, rising to 17% during • The use of small food shops did not increase, suggesting supermarket visits were replaced by online or family delivery, not by visiting local smaller shops • Foodbank use increased the most in Ayrshire, Glasgow and Lancashire. However, it reduced in Newcastle. (But these figures unreliable as from very small numbers - on average only 1% of the sample before and during) 2.2 Home-schooling5.1 Change in use of types of shops Within-location differences between before/after have not been tested for statistical significance • Over half the sample said that expenditure on food increased during lockdown compared to just under a fifth who said it decreased
  • 44. The numbers using online and click & collect increased, but the frequency reduced • The proportion visiting a supermarket at least once a month fell from 98% to 72%. Those who did go during lockdown went less frequently • Before lockdown, 81% said they used small grocery shops, but only 68% during 2.2 Home-schooling5.1 Change in use of types of shops Within-location differences between before/after have not been tested for statistical significance • Before lockdown, 17% received online deliveries from supermarkets at least once a month and this rose to 25% during • Whilst more people used click and collect, the average frequency with which it was used went down Within-location differences between before/after have not been tested for statistical significance
  • 45. The majority previously rejected online grocery methods because they prefer to see the products in person 2.2 Home-schooling5.2 Attitudes to online grocery shopping Differences between locations were not significant other than for ‘getting convenient slots’ in which case Bristol, London and Liverpool seemed to experience this more
  • 46. During Lockdown, not wanting to wait in queues or needing to self-isolate were the main reasons given for online shopping. However, concern about travelling, or not being able to get to the shops, were other key reasons 2.2 Home-schooling5.2 Attitudes to online grocery shopping Differences between locations were not significant other than for ‘no way of getting to the shops’ • Having no way to get to the shops was provided as a reason for online shopping more in Ayrshire and Manchester
  • 47. Just over a quarter say they will shop more for food online after lockdown compared to before • The is little geographical difference in expected increases in online shopping for food across locations, although London residents appear slightly keener to increase their take-up of this activity than others 2.2 Home-schooling5.3 Expected increase in online shopping after lockdown • For non-food items, just under a third on average say they will do more of this, with some slightly larger differences between locations • This follows around 40% on average saying that expenditure on non-food items had increased during lockdown, although a quarter said it had decreased
  • 48. 6. Socialising, leisure and exercise 6.1 Social contact with friends and family 6.2 Outdoor sport and activity 6.3 Discovery of new activities during lockdown 6.4 Difficulty of coping with restrictions on different activities 6.5 Sense of connection to neighbourhood 6.6 Expected increase in online socialising after lockdown
  • 49. Frequency of f2f contact with friends and family differed significantly between locations before lockdown • Ayrshire and Liverpool, and to a less extent Newcastle, stand out as having more frequent visiting with friends and family at each others homes before lockdown. London and Bristol the least. • During lockdown, use of videocalling increased much more than phone calling – on average by +127% compared to +26% 6.1 Social contact with friends and family
  • 50. The increase in outdoor activity was different in different places • Unsurprisingly, organised outdoor sporting activity sport reduced everywhere • More surprising was the reduction in the average number of times local parks were visited in many places other than Edinburgh, Bristol, Manchester in London • Increases in walking and cycling for pleasure were modest – 40% and 34% on average • Cycling for pleasure saw a greater proportional increase than walking in most places except Ayrshire, Bristol, Newcastle and London • Further analysis showed those with children visited parks less than before during lockdown but increased their walking for pleasure more than those without children • Those with dogs and/or gardens reduced their use of local parks whereas those without dogs and/or gardens increased their visits 6.2 Outdoor sport and activity
  • 51. On balance, new ways of socialising were discovered, but local places to visit were not • More people agreed than disagreed that they discovered some new ways of socialising during lockdown. Agreement was particularly high in Bristol and London • However, there was sometimes twice as many people disagreeing as agreeing that they had discovered new leisure activities or new places to visit during lockdown • Nevertheless, between 25 and 40% did discover new places to use and visit, the highest numbers in Bristol, Aberdeen and Edinburgh 6.3 Discovery of new activities during lockdown
  • 52. More than half found not being able to go to the pub, café or eat out to be difficult to cope with • Restrictions on seeing friends and family were more difficult to cope with than any restrictions on ‘commercial’ activity • Not being able to go on holiday gained the highest ‘very difficult’ score of over one third of participants. However, it is worth noting that almost 20% said they did not do this before anyway • Just under a third found restrictions on voluntary work outside the home to be difficult or very difficult • Almost an equal number found restrictions on going to the cinema/theatre to be difficult as found it to be easy • Restrictions on outdoor sports and going to live sporting matches were experienced as difficult by the least number of people but still impacted almost 20% in each case. 6.4 Difficulty of coping with restrictions on each activity
  • 53. 6.5 Sense of connection to neighbourhood Attachment to neighbourhood varied only slightly between locations, with Bristol participants standing out as having the least sense of belonging and attachment to where they currently live
  • 54. On balance: -> people did not feel more connected to their neighbourhood during lockdown -> more people felt lonely than did not feel lonely 6.5 Sense of connection to neighbourhood
  • 55. Many expect to carry on socialising online after lockdown • Socialising online appears to receive quite an enthusiastic response as over a third of respondents, and nearing a half in Bristol and London, expect to socialise more online than they did more lockdown • Entertainment does not receive quite such a high response, but this may be due to this already being at quite high levels before lockdown 4.2 Evaluations of WFH6.6 Expected increases in online socialising after lockdown
  • 56. 7. Other online activities 7.1 Satisfaction with internet access 7.2 Personal business activities undertaken online 7.3 Comparative overview of expected online activity
  • 57. Levels of satisfaction with internet access at home are high everywhere • Virtually everyone had internet access at home (as expected for an online survey) • Over 90% in each location had fixed broadband internet • Levels of ‘highly satisfied’ were greatest in Newcastle, Lancashire and Glasgow and lowest in Bristol, London and Ayrshire 7.1 Satisfaction with internet access
  • 58. Online access also proved important for many other non-work, shopping or leisure activities • A geographical pattern is difficult to discern other than London residents consistently more engaged with all online activities and Glasgow and Lancashire often less so 7.2 Personal business activities undertaken online
  • 59. Comparing all the potential online activities, more people are likely to be carrying on with socialising and entertainment than work-related activities online 7.3 Comparative overview of expected online activity
  • 60. 8. Attitudes to what should happen next 8.1 Attitudes to social distancing and mask wearing on public transport 8.2 Attitudes towards footpath and cycle path widening 8.3 Attitudes towards prioritised grocery deliveries 8.4 Attitudes toward priorities for the economic recovery 8.5 Priorities for ‘unlocking’
  • 61. 8.1 Attitudes to social distancing etc on public transport Three-quarters say they would rather travel by car than public transport, but almost as many say they would rather walk or cycle for some journeys. Over a quarter say they have no choice but to use PT.
  • 62. There is high agreement with mask wearing everywhere • There are no statistically significant differences between the 10 locations on attitudes towards mask wearing 8.1 Attitudes to social distancing etc on public transport
  • 63. Over half agree that more footpaths and cycle paths should be provided • There are some differences between locations with regard to attitudes towards footpath and cycle path widening • The more rural locations (Ayrshire and Lancashire) perhaps unsurprisingly are less likely to agree (and more likely to disagree) with these propositions • It is also interesting to see how Bristol, Liverpool seem relatively keen on cycle path widening • Whereas London exhibits relatively high agreement for footpath widening, it does not show one of the highest levels of agreement for cycling • Newcastle has the highest level of disagreement in relation to cycle lane provision 8.2 Attitudes to footpath and cycle path widening
  • 64. There is much higher agreement for prioritised deliveries to those vulnerable to Covid than for non-car owners • There is very high agreement and very little disagreement at the idea of prioritising grocery deliveries to Covid (although there are differences across the results in these locations). Those in Lancashire have a slightly lower tendency to agree. This could be because they believe more rural areas should also prioritised (but we cannot know this) • Agreement with the idea that non-car owners should be prioritised is almost half that for prioritising people vulnerable to Covid. Indeed, less than half agreed with this idea in all locations and almost a quarter disagreed. 8.3 Attitudes to prioritised grocery deliveries
  • 65. Twice as many disagree with bailing out the airlines as agree • There is higher agreement with road building than there is with the idea of bailing out the aviation industry • However, neither road building nor aviation support command majority support with around a third and a quarter respectively • Bristol residents stand out as having the highest disagreement with road building and aviation support • London residents have the highest agreement and lowest disagreement with bailing out the aviation industry • Support with the idea that the economic recovery should be used to boost environmental causes is almost 60% overall. Bristol once again stands out as having stronger attitudes on this issue 8.4 Attitudes to priorities for the economic recovery
  • 66. The highest priority for unlocking is schools and childcare facilities, followed by hospitality and non-food shopping 8.5 Priorities for unlocking

Editor's Notes

  1. Car drivers to work before lockdown tended to remain car drivers during lockdown
  2. Put N= on the graph