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Assessing the Status of Your Community
1. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
Assessing the “Status” of
YourCommunity
Assessing the “Status” of
YourCommunity
A Forecasting Tool
by
Colette Isaac and Dave Stinson
Incite Planning
A Forecasting Tool
by
Colette Isaac and Dave Stinson
Incite Planning
First Nation Citizenship and Status Conference
16-17 April 2007
Downtown Toronto Marriott
E-DBENDAAGZIJIG “Those Who Belong”
2. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
Assessing the “Status” of Your
Community
Assessing the “Status” of Your
Community
Agenda
•Overview - 15 min.
•Population Modelling - 15 min.
•Demonstration - 15 min.
•Questions - 30 min.
Agenda
•Overview - 15 min.
•Population Modelling - 15 min.
•Demonstration - 15 min.
•Questions - 30 min.
3. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
Incite Planning
Community and Land Use Planning
Consulting Firm
Specialize in working with First Nations
and act as a liaison between First Nations and
otheragencies
Incite Planning
Community and Land Use Planning
Consulting Firm
Specialize in working with First Nations
and act as a liaison between First Nations and
otheragencies
• Colette Isaac
– MDP
– OTC
• IT
• Colette Isaac
– MDP
– OTC
• IT
• Dave Stinson
– RPP
– OTC
• CPA
• Dave Stinson
– RPP
– OTC
• CPA
4. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
Indian Act Status
Categories
Indian Act Status
Categories
5. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
Unique Demographic Factors
underthe Indian Act
Unique Demographic Factors
underthe Indian Act
• Out-“marriage”
• Internal in-
“marriage”
• Local
Registration
• Out-“marriage”
• Internal in-
“marriage”
• Local
Registration
• “Male” fertility
• Migration
• Residence
• “Male” fertility
• Migration
• Residence
6. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
OurWorkOurWork
• Model Runs
– Status
• Implications of status extinguishment according
to IA
– Natural Increase
• Ignores status rules “one parent”
– “Two-Parent”
• Ignores status rules more exclusive than IA
– Blood-Quantum (not attempted)
• Ignores status rules difficult ancestry
calculations
• Model Runs
– Status
• Implications of status extinguishment according
to IA
– Natural Increase
• Ignores status rules “one parent”
– “Two-Parent”
• Ignores status rules more exclusive than IA
– Blood-Quantum (not attempted)
• Ignores status rules difficult ancestry
calculations
7. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
Interpreting yourResultsInterpreting yourResults
• Do the numbers make sense?
– Garbage in Garbage Out
• Use a community process to
discuss the implications.
• Forecasts are useful for planning.
– but they’re not cast in stone…
• Do the numbers make sense?
– Garbage in Garbage Out
• Use a community process to
discuss the implications.
• Forecasts are useful for planning.
– but they’re not cast in stone…
8. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
Incite PlanningIncite Planning
www.inciteplanning.com
Colette Isaac (705-745-7578)
Dave Stinson (705-329-3324)
www.inciteplanning.com
Colette Isaac (705-745-7578)
Dave Stinson (705-329-3324)