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ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
Assessing the “Status” of
YourCommunity
Assessing the “Status” of
YourCommunity
A Forecasting Tool
by
Colette Isaac and Dave Stinson
Incite Planning
A Forecasting Tool
by
Colette Isaac and Dave Stinson
Incite Planning
First Nation Citizenship and Status Conference
16-17 April 2007
Downtown Toronto Marriott
E-DBENDAAGZIJIG “Those Who Belong”
ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
Assessing the “Status” of Your
Community
Assessing the “Status” of Your
Community
Agenda
•Overview - 15 min.
•Population Modelling - 15 min.
•Demonstration - 15 min.
•Questions - 30 min.
Agenda
•Overview - 15 min.
•Population Modelling - 15 min.
•Demonstration - 15 min.
•Questions - 30 min.
ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
Incite Planning
Community and Land Use Planning
Consulting Firm
Specialize in working with First Nations
and act as a liaison between First Nations and
otheragencies
Incite Planning
Community and Land Use Planning
Consulting Firm
Specialize in working with First Nations
and act as a liaison between First Nations and
otheragencies
• Colette Isaac
– MDP
– OTC
• IT
• Colette Isaac
– MDP
– OTC
• IT
• Dave Stinson
– RPP
– OTC
• CPA
• Dave Stinson
– RPP
– OTC
• CPA
ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
Indian Act Status
Categories
Indian Act Status
Categories
ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
Unique Demographic Factors
underthe Indian Act
Unique Demographic Factors
underthe Indian Act
• Out-“marriage”
• Internal in-
“marriage”
• Local
Registration
• Out-“marriage”
• Internal in-
“marriage”
• Local
Registration
• “Male” fertility
• Migration
• Residence
• “Male” fertility
• Migration
• Residence
ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
OurWorkOurWork
• Model Runs
– Status
• Implications of status extinguishment according
to IA
– Natural Increase
• Ignores status rules  “one parent”
– “Two-Parent”
• Ignores status rules  more exclusive than IA
– Blood-Quantum (not attempted)
• Ignores status rules  difficult ancestry
calculations
• Model Runs
– Status
• Implications of status extinguishment according
to IA
– Natural Increase
• Ignores status rules  “one parent”
– “Two-Parent”
• Ignores status rules  more exclusive than IA
– Blood-Quantum (not attempted)
• Ignores status rules  difficult ancestry
calculations
ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
Interpreting yourResultsInterpreting yourResults
• Do the numbers make sense?
– Garbage in  Garbage Out
• Use a community process to
discuss the implications.
• Forecasts are useful for planning.
– but they’re not cast in stone…
• Do the numbers make sense?
– Garbage in  Garbage Out
• Use a community process to
discuss the implications.
• Forecasts are useful for planning.
– but they’re not cast in stone…
ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on,
Incite PlanningIncite Planning
www.inciteplanning.com
Colette Isaac (705-745-7578)
Dave Stinson (705-329-3324)
www.inciteplanning.com
Colette Isaac (705-745-7578)
Dave Stinson (705-329-3324)

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Assessing the Status of Your Community

  • 1. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on, Assessing the “Status” of YourCommunity Assessing the “Status” of YourCommunity A Forecasting Tool by Colette Isaac and Dave Stinson Incite Planning A Forecasting Tool by Colette Isaac and Dave Stinson Incite Planning First Nation Citizenship and Status Conference 16-17 April 2007 Downtown Toronto Marriott E-DBENDAAGZIJIG “Those Who Belong”
  • 2. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on, Assessing the “Status” of Your Community Assessing the “Status” of Your Community Agenda •Overview - 15 min. •Population Modelling - 15 min. •Demonstration - 15 min. •Questions - 30 min. Agenda •Overview - 15 min. •Population Modelling - 15 min. •Demonstration - 15 min. •Questions - 30 min.
  • 3. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on, Incite Planning Community and Land Use Planning Consulting Firm Specialize in working with First Nations and act as a liaison between First Nations and otheragencies Incite Planning Community and Land Use Planning Consulting Firm Specialize in working with First Nations and act as a liaison between First Nations and otheragencies • Colette Isaac – MDP – OTC • IT • Colette Isaac – MDP – OTC • IT • Dave Stinson – RPP – OTC • CPA • Dave Stinson – RPP – OTC • CPA
  • 4. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on, Indian Act Status Categories Indian Act Status Categories
  • 5. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on, Unique Demographic Factors underthe Indian Act Unique Demographic Factors underthe Indian Act • Out-“marriage” • Internal in- “marriage” • Local Registration • Out-“marriage” • Internal in- “marriage” • Local Registration • “Male” fertility • Migration • Residence • “Male” fertility • Migration • Residence
  • 6. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on, OurWorkOurWork • Model Runs – Status • Implications of status extinguishment according to IA – Natural Increase • Ignores status rules  “one parent” – “Two-Parent” • Ignores status rules  more exclusive than IA – Blood-Quantum (not attempted) • Ignores status rules  difficult ancestry calculations • Model Runs – Status • Implications of status extinguishment according to IA – Natural Increase • Ignores status rules  “one parent” – “Two-Parent” • Ignores status rules  more exclusive than IA – Blood-Quantum (not attempted) • Ignores status rules  difficult ancestry calculations
  • 7. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on, Interpreting yourResultsInterpreting yourResults • Do the numbers make sense? – Garbage in  Garbage Out • Use a community process to discuss the implications. • Forecasts are useful for planning. – but they’re not cast in stone… • Do the numbers make sense? – Garbage in  Garbage Out • Use a community process to discuss the implications. • Forecasts are useful for planning. – but they’re not cast in stone…
  • 8. ĭncī΄te v.t. urge on, Incite PlanningIncite Planning www.inciteplanning.com Colette Isaac (705-745-7578) Dave Stinson (705-329-3324) www.inciteplanning.com Colette Isaac (705-745-7578) Dave Stinson (705-329-3324)