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Sw corp pres_feb13


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Sw corp pres_feb13

  1. 1. Investor Presentation February 25th, 2013 B ildi V l i C d ’ Oil S dBuilding Value in Canada’s Oil Sands
  2. 2. Forward Looking Information (1) Certain information in this presentation constitutes "forward-looking information" (within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws) regarding SilverWillow Energy Corporation’s (“Corporation”) business and affairs. Such information ("forward- looking statements") are generally identifiable by the terminology used, such as "anticipate", "believe", "intend", “view”, "proposed’, "plan", "expect", "estimate", "budget", "outlook", "should", "would", "indicative", "potential", “illustrative”, “growth”, “upside”, “go-plan , expect , estimate , budget , outlook , should , would , indicative , potential , illustrative , growth , upside , go forward”, “scenarios”, “outcome”, “notional”, "may" or other similar words and include statements relating to or associated with individual wells, regions or projects. Statements relating to "resources" are forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based on estimates and assumptions, that the resources described, exist in the quantities predicted or estimated, and can be profitably produced in th f tthe future. Assumptions upon which certain of such forward-looking statements are based include assumptions regarding, among other items: future crude oil, bitumen, and natural gas prices; the Corporation’s ability to obtain qualified staff and equipment in a timely and cost-efficient manner to meet the Corporation’s requirements; the regulatory framework representing royalties, taxes and environmental matters in which the Corporation conducts its business; the Corporation’s ability to market production of bitumenenvironmental matters in which the Corporation conducts its business; the Corporation s ability to market production of bitumen successfully to customers; the Corporation’s geological and engineering estimates; continuity between core holes; the geography of the areas in which the Corporation is exploring; the impact on the Corporation of increasing competition; the Corporation’s ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms; and those other assumptions described elsewhere in this presentation. These assumptions are based on certain factors and events that are not within the control of SilverWillow Energy and there is no assurance they will prove to be correct. 2
  3. 3. Forward Looking Information (2) The forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors which may cause actual results, levels of activity and achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. Such risks, uncertainties and factors include, among others: costs associated with the production and upgrading of bitumen; the impact of competition; the need to obtain required approvals and permits from regulatory authorities; liabilities as a result of accidentalof competition; the need to obtain required approvals and permits from regulatory authorities; liabilities as a result of accidental damage to the environment; compliance with and liabilities under environmental laws and regulations; the uncertainty of estimates by the Corporation’s independent consultants with respect to the Corporation’s bitumen resources; the volatility of crude oil and natural gas prices and of the differential between heavy and light crude oil prices; the risks associated with exploring for, developing and producing bitumen; changes in the foreign exchange rate amount between the Canadian and the U.S. dollar; difficulties encountered in delivering bitumen to commercial markets; risks that the Corporation is unable to sufficiently protect its proprietary technology or may be subject to technology infringement claims from third parties; general economic conditions inproprietary technology or may be subject to technology infringement claims from third parties; general economic conditions in Canada and the United States; failure to obtain industry partners and other third-party consents and approvals when required; royalties payable in respect of the Corporation’s production; the impact of amendments to the Tax Act on the Corporation; changes in or the introduction of new government legislation, including for example legislation concerning carbon dioxide relating to the Corporation’s business; the uncertainty of the Corporation’s ability to attract capital when necessary. There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating bitumen, including many factors beyond the Corporation’s control, and no assurance can be given that the indicated level of bitumen or the recovery thereof will be realized In general estimates of bitumen are based upon agiven that the indicated level of bitumen or the recovery thereof will be realized. In general, estimates of bitumen are based upon a number of factors and assumptions made as of the date on which the resource estimates were determined, such as geological and engineering estimates, which have inherent uncertainties. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any of the discovered resources or the contingent resources from the Audet lands. Forward-looking information is based on the opinions and estimates of management at the date the statements are made, and are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking t t t Th f d l ki t t t i thi t ti l lifi d b thi ti t t t Sil Willstatements. The forward looking statements in this presentation are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. SilverWillow Energy undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking information if circumstances or management's estimates or opinions should change except as required by law. The reader is cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward looking information. 3
  4. 4. Resource Disclosure The resource estimates contained herein were extracted from reports prepared by Sproule Unconventional Limited (“Sproule”), an independent engineering firm. The preparation and disclosure of the Corporation’s reported resource estimates are the responsibility of SilverWillow’s management and require approval by the Corporation’s Reserves and Health, Safety & Environment Committee and Board of Directors. Sproule’s responsibility is to express an opinion on the discovered bitumen initially-in-place data based on Sproule’s independent evaluations and review. Sproule carried out the evaluations and review iny p p p p accordance with standards established by National Instrument 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities, which require that the resource estimates be prepared in accordance with the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (“COGEH”). Discovered Petroleum Initially-In-Place (equivalent to discovered resources) is defined in COGEH as that quantity of bitumen that is estimated, as of a given date, to be contained in known accumulations prior to production. The recoverable portion of discovered bitumen initially-in-place (DBIIP) includes production, reserves, and contingent resources; the remainder is unrecoverable. Contingent Resources are defined in COGEH as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Contingencies may include factors such as economic, legal, environmental, political and regulatory matters or a lack of markets. It is also appropriate to classify as ‘‘ ti t ’’ th ti t d di d bl titi i t d ith j t i th l j t t‘‘contingent resources’’ the estimated discovered recoverable quantities associated with a project in the early project stage. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of these contingent resources or the discovered bitumen resources. All references to the “Sproule Audet Report” throughout this presentation reflect Sproule’s report dated February 22, 2013 entitled “Evaluation of the Discovered Petroleum and the Contingent Bitumen Resources of the Audet Lands in the2013 entitled Evaluation of the Discovered Petroleum and the Contingent Bitumen Resources of the Audet Lands in the Athabasca Oil Sands Region of Alberta for SilverWillow Energy Corporation (As of December 31, 2012)”. 4
  5. 5. SilverWillow Highlights • On April 4, 2012, SilverWillow Energy Corporation commenced operations as a result of a plan of arrangement between SilverBirch Energy Corporation and Teck Resources Ltd. • The SilverWillow management team is comprised of members of the former SilverBirchThe SilverWillow management team is comprised of members of the former SilverBirch management team and is focused on exploring and developing in situ resources in the Athabasca oil sands area in north-eastern Alberta In Situ Oil Sands – All 100% owned • Audet – Resource Update 2012 • 1.85 billion barrels Discovered Bitumen Initially-in-Place1 • 68 million barrels of the above Discovered Resource assigned as best estimate of Contingent Resources1Contingent Resources1 • SAGD development feasibility validated • Birch Mountains – (94,080 acres) • Immediately adjacent to Frontier Oil Sands Mine SilverWillow is a pre-production company focused on the exploration for, and development of, opportunities within the oil sands and heavy oil industry y j • Other Exploration Lands – (57,600 acres) 5 5 development of, opportunities within the oil sands and heavy oil industry 1. Sproule Audet Report
  6. 6. T k Shell Total Athabasca Oil Corp AB SK A Audet – 100% W.I. In Situ Potential Suncor Imperial Exxon TeckShell Marathon Namur Teck Teck Cavalier Marguerite River Wildland B Birch Mountain – 100% W.I. In Situ Plant Imperial Total Northern Lights Koch L415 Total Total Shell Jackpine Suncor Fort Hills Shell Pierre Rv. Pierre Rv. Namur Teck BP Terre de Grace CNRL Suncor Audet Imperial K l Imperial C Potential Jordan – 100% W.I. In Situ Potential D Plant Proposed New Terminal Plant Cenovus Proposed Plant Grizzly Firebag River Suncor JackpineFort Hills Horizon Total Joslyn Shell Muskeg Rv. Kearl Marguerite River Wildland Syncrude Aurora North D In Situ Potential Other – 100% W.I. Cenovus Telephone Lake FirebagHusky Sunrise Syncrude Mildred Lake Syncrude Aurora South Suncor Steepbank, Millenium Suncor M k East Athabasca Hwy Cenovus In Situ Potential Woodland/ Norealis Pipelines Millenium Suncor Voyager South Cenovus Borealis Mackay Overview of SilverWillow assets in Athabasca Oil Sands Region 66SilverWillow lands Cenovus Fort McMurray in Athabasca Oil Sands Region
  7. 7. Audet Progress Update • Preliminary caprock assessment program and reservoir engineering completed • Testing and simulation indicates steam containment by McMurray shale caprock for low pressure SAGD scheme operating at 1,350 kPa • Further sampling and testing of caprock materials to demonstrate lateral extent is required; additional drilling and sampling is ongoing in the 1Q 2013 Audet drilling program Updated Resource Estimate and Assignment of Contingent Resources • December 31 2012 Resource Update by Sproule Unconventional Limited1• December 31, 2012 Resource Update by Sproule Unconventional Limited • 1.85 B barrels: Discovered Bitumen-Initially-In-Place1 up from 1.69 B barrels in prior estimate (October 11, 2011) Estimate of Contingent Bitumen Resources (MMBbls) Developable-Original- Bitumen-In-Place (MMBbls) Recoverable-Bitumen- in-Place (MMBbls) Recovery Factor (%) Low Estimate 58.1 29.0 49.9 Best Estimate 123.6 68.4 55.3 High Estimate 311.5 173.9 55.8 7 7 1. Sproule Audet Report
  8. 8. Audet Progress Update (cont.) Conclusions from Preliminary Studies • Commercial scale SAGD development feasibility validated on Audet lease • Sproule Contingent Resource estimates indicate range of potential recoverable resources• Sproule Contingent Resource estimates indicate range of potential recoverable resources. The Contingencies which currently prevent the classification of these resources as reserves are: • Pilot testing to verify effectiveness of McMurray shales as caprock for steam containment;containment; • Regulatory approvals, completion of a commercial development plan, and funding commitments are still required. SilverWillow Near Term ActivitiesSilverWillow Near Term Activities • Complete DBM for 12,000 bpd commercial scheme designed to extract up to 120 MM Bbls in initial project area; • Complete environmental studies to contribute to project Environmental Assessment • Prepare and submit Regulatory Application for 12,000 bpd commercial development • Determine requirements and undertake pilot tests to confirm McMurray shale caprock integrity 8 8
  9. 9. Audet: Estimate of Oil Sands Thickness 9 • 72 core holes drilled (additional drilling underway Q1 2013) • Depth to top of oil sands ranging from 100 to 175 metres
  10. 10. 02-15-098-03W4 Audet: A High Quality Reservoir McMurray 160 150 Weight % 0 20 170 160 From Core Analysis 190 180 Devonian 190 200 Devonian Core and well log data to date indicate: • Average bitumen saturation: ~80% • (based on samples with minimum 6 mass % bitumen) • Excellent porosities and permeabilities 10 Excellent porosities and permeabilities • No significant shale breaks or interbedded shales • Presence of upper lean bitumen zone in some areas • No significant bottom water 10
  11. 11. Avg Native Developed Comparative In Situ Reservoir Parameters Avg Native Developed Net Pay Avg Avg  Reservoir Reservoir Reservoir  Thickness  Permeability Bitumen Avg  Pressure Pressure Target Project Company Depth (m) (m) (Darcies) Saturation Porosity (kPa) (kPa) Formation Audet SilverWillow Energy 150‐200 24 6‐18 80% 35% 1300‐1800 1350 McMurray* Tamarack Ivanhoe Energy 75‐132 24‐35 6 80% 33% ~500 1250‐1450 McMurray Telephone Lake Cenovus 129‐332 8‐40 11 80% 34% 1,200 1,300 McMurray MacKay River Suncor 135 15‐35 1‐5 76% 34% 300‐500 1,500‐2,000 McMurray Dover Athabasca Oil Sands 160‐500 21 2‐9 76% 35% 700‐1,000 3,000‐5,000 McMurray MacKay Athabasca Oil Sands 180 18 2‐9 77% 33% 600‐1,100 1,800‐2,200 McMurray STP‐McKay Southern Pacific Res. 180 19 0.5‐11 65‐75% 32% 650 2,450 McMurray Long Lake OPTI Canada 200 30 6.3 75% 30% 1200 2750 McMurray Surmont ConocoPhillips 260 39 n.a. 80% 35% 1,700 3,000‐4,500 McMurray Hangingstone Japan Canada Oil Sands 300 11‐26 n.a. 85% 30% n.a. 4500 McMurray Firebag Suncor 320 36 6‐10 79% 35% 800 3,150 McMurray Christina Lake MEG Energy 360 20 3‐5 80% 33% 2100 2,700‐3,500 McMurray Christina Lake Cenovus 385 28 3‐10 80% 30% 2,000 2,300‐3,000 McMurray Jackfish Devon 415 15‐40 2‐10 80% 33% 2700 2,700‐2,900 McMurray Great Divide Connacher Oil & Gas 475 20 3‐9 85% 33% 1,480 4,300 McMurray Foster Creek Cenovus 500 30 6 85% 34% 2700 2,400‐2,700 McMurray Source: Canaccord Genuity & Company Reports *Reservoir parameters for SilverWillow Audet planned initial project area (12,000 bbbls/d) based on results of coring programs to date; Audet average net pay thickness is based on SilverWillow management estimates and assumes application of SAGD technology – pilot testing required to verify effectiveness of McMurray shales as caprock for steam containment 11 steam containment
  12. 12. Audet Notional Development Plan 2012-2014  Completed 2012 winter program – delineation drilling, 2D seismic, mini-frac testing (cap rock)  Analysis and integration of geological, geophysical and hydrogeological data  Initiate DBM level engineering for design of a single well pair SAGD pilot and12,000 bbl/d SAGD project  Conduct thermal reservoir & geo-mechanical simulations to determine safe operatingConduct thermal reservoir & geo mechanical simulations to determine safe operating pressure and SAGD production potential  Updated resource estimate expected Q1 2013 • Q1 2013 winter drilling program to support project development (in progress) • Conduct environmental baseline studies and preparation of a regulatory application for a SAGD project for submission in H2 2013 (in progress) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Audet Explore, Delineate and Evaluate Updated Resource Estimate Approval / Sanction Regulatory Engineering and Development Works ConstructionAccess / Submit Application in H2 2013 1212 First Oil Construction Commissioning Access / Site Preparation PRODUCTION
  13. 13. Birch Mountain Exploration • 25 core holes recently drilled and evaluated (7 core holes on uplands)• 25 core holes recently drilled and evaluated (7 core holes on uplands) • Immediately adjacent to thick bitumen deposit at Frontier Mine Project • Prospective in Wabiskaw D & Middle McMurrayy formations • Further exploration i dFrontier Birch Mountain Lands requiredFrontier Mine Project 13 13Source – Information Circular of SilverBirch Energy, February 28, 2012
  14. 14. Birch Mountain Work Plan 2012 / 2013 Approximate  Completed a desktop geological study of the area Approximate Quaternary Erosional Limit of the McMurray Formation • Plan and conduct an exploration seismic acquisition program comprising approximately 100km of 2D coverage – Q1 2013 (in progress) • Total of 147 sections (94,080 acres) • Sparse well control (i.e. one well per eight sections) • 105 unexplored sections105 unexplored sections (67,200 acres) Birch Mtn. Lands Unexplored sections Seismic lines planned 1414 SWE well control 20m elevation contours Seismic lines planned
  15. 15. Approved Budgeted Expenditures for 2013 ~$ millions Forecasted opening cash & cash equivalents at Jan 1, 2013 ~24.5 LESS Cash Outflows Audet Lands* 13.0 Birch Mountains (seismic) 5.1 Corporate G&A 4 7Corporate G&A 4.7 Projects (lease costs & working capital) 1.0 Sub-Total 23.8 PLUS Cash Inflows Interest income Sub-Total 0.1 Estimated Closing Cash Position (Year End) 0.8 Further funding will be matched to delineation and development activites g ( ) *Audet spending includes preparation of regulatory application and core hole program 15
  16. 16. Key Takeaways • Discovered Resource base of ~1.85 billion bbls1 at Audet • Best Estimate of Contingent Resources 68 million bbls1 • Additional resource upside potential in Birch Mountains • Experienced leadership team with proven exploration/development record • A work plan focused on delivery of value growth by way of:• A work plan focused on delivery of value growth by way of: • Progression of Audet through exploration and regulatory process with approval anticipated in the 2015 timeframe Exploration of the existing portfolio of lands• Exploration of the existing portfolio of lands • Assessment of new land positions & application of emerging technologies • Working capital of ~$27 million (as at November 15, 2012)Working capital of $27 million (as at November 15, 2012) • Assess financing alternatives, partnering opportunities and execution strategies 16161. Sproule Audet Report
  17. 17. www swenergy SilverWillow Energy Corporation 3100, 715 – 5th Avenue SW Calgary, AB T2P 2X6 T 403 538 7030 F 403 538 7033 17TSX-V: SWE
  18. 18. Audet Lands Background • In early 2010 UTS conducted a geophysical survey to assess the t ti l f thresource potential of the new lands • In conjunction with existing geological data, results from this program indicated significant resource potential in 10- 15 sections • The Audet Lands are close to the Lease 421 Area in which UTS sold its 50% working interest to Imperial Oil / ExxonMobil in 2009 for 1818 $250 million
  19. 19. SilverWillow – Managing a World Class Resource Key Issues Facing Small DevelopersKey Issues Facing Small Developers Market Uncertainty – market access/transportation, product pricing, diluent cost/availability Regulatory timelines – SAGD approvals 18-24 months Evolving regulations/requirements – greater technical scrutinyg g q g y Scarcity of talent and escalating costs • Elevated project uncertainty• Elevated project uncertainty • Financing challenges – capital scarcity, higher risk premium Addressing the Issues • Conduct exploration and technical work-up to very high standards • Work closely with all stakeholders – no surprises on either side! • Communicate with investors keep them interested onside• Communicate with investors – keep them interested, onside • Work with industry peers to understand and adopt best practices • Seek ways to de-risk project – be flexible, partnering, off-shore participation etc. 19 19
  20. 20. Audet: A High Quality Reservoir R lt 1 2 f l b t i t d t i di tResults1,2 from laboratory coring programs to date indicate: • Target formation: McMurray • Average porosity: ~35% • Average bitumen saturation: ~80%e age b u e sa u a o 80% • Permeabilities: predominantly in the range 6 to 18 Darcys (see chart below) Notes: 1: above averages for porosity and bitumen saturation are results for core samples exhibiting a minimum 6 mass percent bitumen 2: permeability is a measure of the ability of the formation to allow movement of fluids. The Audet data represents a combination of results for both horizontal and vertical permeabilitiesvertical permeabilities 20
  21. 21. Resource Summary Audet: 1.85 B barrels Discovered Bitumen Initially-in-Place1 • Of the above Discovered Resources, Sproule has assigned a best estimate of Contingent Resources to the Audet Lands of 68.4 million barrels of recoverable bitumen in place, as in the table below Developable-Original- Bitumen-In-Place (MMBbls) Recoverable-Bitumen- in-Place (MMBbls) Recovery Factor (%) Low Estimate 58.1 29.0 49.9 Estimate of Contingent Bitumen Resources (MMBbls) 1 1 Sproule Audet Report Low Estimate 58.1 29.0 49.9 Best Estimate 123.6 68.4 55.3 High Estimate 311.5 173.9 55.8 Exploration upside: • Birch Mountains - 100% working interest in 9 Leases (comprising 147 sections) 1. Sproule Audet Report with in situ potential • Jordan - 100% working interest in 2 leases (comprising 36 sections) of exploration lands east of the Athabasca River • A total of ~117 000 acres of exploration potential 21 A total of 117,000 acres of exploration potential
  22. 22. SilverWillow Book Value & Share Stats Book Value (September 30 2012):Book Value (September 30, 2012): Current Assets $ millions Cash and cash equivalents 24.2 Accounts receivable 0.3 Prepaid expenses 0.2 24.7 Exploration and Evaluation Assets 97.0 Property and Equipment 0.2 • Total Implied book value ~122 million dollars or ~$2.15 / share Property and Equipment 0.2 Total Assets 121.9 Shares Outstanding ~57 million Market Cap. (based on $0.85 / share) ~$48 million T t l Sh V l i i ti 7 8 illi Major Shareholders* Ownership Kevin Douglas** 17.0% Th Child ’ I t t F d 16 5% Share statistics (Apr 5, 2012 to Feb 22, 2013): Symbol SWE on TSX-V Total Share Volume since inception ~7.8 million VWAP since inception $1.15 / share Average daily volume (since listing) ~0.1 million The Children’s Investment Fund 16.5% West Face Capital Inc.** 15.6% SilverWillow Management & Board 5.2% Total 54.3% * assumes ownership as at Feb 22, 2013 ** indirect ownership by board members Source: Bloomberg 22 p y