Silver Willow Investor Presentation - November


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Silver Willow Investor Presentation - November

  1. 1. Investor PresentationNovember 30, 2012Building Value in Canada’s Oil Sands
  2. 2. Forward Looking Information (1)Certain information in this presentation constitutes "forward-looking information" (within the meaning of applicable Canadiansecurities laws) regarding SilverWillow Energy Corporation’s (“Corporation”) business and affairs. Such information ("forward-looking statements") are generally identifiable by the terminology used, such as "anticipate", "believe", "intend", “view”, "proposed’,"plan", "expect", "estimate", "budget", "outlook", "should", "would", "indicative", "potential", “illustrative”, “growth”, “upside”, “go-forward”, “scenarios”, “outcome”, “notional”, "may" or other similar words and include statements relating to or associated withindividual wells, regions or projects.Statements relating to "resources" are forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based on estimatesand assumptions, that the resources described, exist in the quantities predicted or estimated, and can be profitably produced inthe future.Assumptions upon which certain of such forward-looking statements are based include assumptions regarding, among otheritems: future crude oil, bitumen, and natural gas prices; the Corporation’s ability to obtain qualified staff and equipment in a timelyand cost-efficient manner to meet the Corporation’s requirements; the regulatory framework representing royalties, taxes andenvironmental matters in which the Corporation conducts its business; the Corporation’s ability to market production of bitumensuccessfully to customers; the Corporation’s geological and engineering estimates; continuity between core holes; the geographyof the areas in which the Corporation is exploring; the impact on the Corporation of increasing competition; the Corporation’sability to obtain financing on acceptable terms; and those other assumptions described elsewhere in this presentation. Theseassumptions are based on certain factors and events that are not within the control of SilverWillow Energy and there is noassurance they will prove to be correct. 2
  3. 3. Forward Looking Information (2)The forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors which may causeactual results, levels of activity and achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. Suchrisks, uncertainties and factors include, among others: costs associated with the production and upgrading of bitumen; the impactof competition; the need to obtain required approvals and permits from regulatory authorities; liabilities as a result of accidentaldamage to the environment; compliance with and liabilities under environmental laws and regulations; the uncertainty of estimatesby the Corporation’s independent consultants with respect to the Corporation’s bitumen resources; the volatility of crude oil andnatural gas prices and of the differential between heavy and light crude oil prices; the risks associated with exploring for,developing and producing bitumen; changes in the foreign exchange rate amount between the Canadian and the U.S. dollar;difficulties encountered in delivering bitumen to commercial markets; risks that the Corporation is unable to sufficiently protect itsproprietary technology or may be subject to technology infringement claims from third parties; general economic conditions inCanada and the United States; failure to obtain industry partners and other third-party consents and approvals when required;royalties payable in respect of the Corporation’s production; the impact of amendments to the Tax Act on the Corporation;changes in or the introduction of new government legislation, including for example legislation concerning carbon dioxide relatingto the Corporation’s business; the uncertainty of the Corporation’s ability to attract capital when necessary. There are numerousuncertainties inherent in estimating bitumen, including many factors beyond the Corporation’s control, and no assurance can begiven that the indicated level of bitumen or the recovery thereof will be realized. In general, estimates of bitumen are based upon anumber of factors and assumptions made as of the date on which the resource estimates were determined, such as geologicaland engineering estimates, which have inherent uncertainties. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produceany of the discovered resources from the Audet lands. Forward-looking information is based on the opinions and estimates ofmanagement at the date the statements are made, and are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties and other factors thatcould cause actual events or results to differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements. The forwardlooking statements in this presentation are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. SilverWillow Energy undertakes noobligation to update forward-looking information if circumstances or managements estimates or opinions should change except asrequired by law. The reader is cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward looking information. 3
  4. 4. Resource DisclosureThe resource estimates contained herein were extracted from reports prepared by Sproule Unconventional Limited (“Sproule”), anindependent engineering firm. The preparation and disclosure of the Corporation’s reported resource estimates are theresponsibility of SilverWillow’s management and require approval by the Corporation’s Reserves and Health, Safety &Environment Committee and Board of Directors. Sproule’s responsibility is to express an opinion on the discovered bitumeninitially-in-place data based on Sproule’s independent evaluations and review. Sproule carried out the evaluations and review inaccordance with standards established by National Instrument 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities, whichrequire that the resource estimates be prepared in accordance with the COGE Handbook.“Discovered petroleum initially-in-place” is a defined term within the COGE Handbook. The following definition is consistent withthe equivalent COGEH term whilst incorporating revisions from NI 51-101.Discovered bitumen initially-in-place (equivalent to discovered resources) is that quantity of bitumen that is estimated, as of agiven date, to be contained in known accumulations prior to production. The recoverable portion of discovered bitumen initially-in-place (DBIIP) includes production, reserves, and contingent resources; the remainder is unrecoverable.DBIIP is currently the most specific resource category assignable to the Audet Lands. At this time it is not possible to classify thediscovered resources into one of the subcategories because development projects cannot be defined for the discovered resourcevolumes. It is yet to be determined what recovery process or processes will be applied in the Audet Lands due to currentuncertainty regarding cap rock extent and integrity. Discovered resources do not constitute, and should not be confused with,reserves. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of these discovered bitumen resources.All references to the “Sproule Audet Report” throughout this presentation reflect Sproule’s report dated October 11, 2011entitled “Estimation Of The Bitumen-In-Place Volumes Of SilverBirch Energy Corporation In The Audet Area, Alberta”effective September 30, 2011. 4
  5. 5. SilverWillow Highlights • On April 4, 2012, SilverWillow Energy Corporation commenced operations as a result of a plan of arrangement between SilverBirch Energy Corporation and Teck Resources Ltd. • The SilverWillow management team is comprised of members of the former SilverBirch management team and is focused on exploring and developing in situ resources in the Athabasca oil sands area in north-eastern Alberta Focused on In Situ Oil Sands – All 100% owned • Audet – (23,040 acres) • 1.69 B barrels of Discovered Resource1 • Currently evaluating development of potential SAGD project areas • Birch Mountains – (94,080 acres) • Immediately adjacent to Frontier Oil Sands Mine • Other Exploration Lands – (57,600 acres) SilverWillow is a pre-production company focused on the exploration for, and development of, opportunities within the oil sands and heavy oil industry 1. Sproule Audet Report 5 5
  6. 6. AB SKAthabasca Oil Corp Total A Audet – 100% W.I. Shell Teck In Situ Potential Teck Cavalier Marguerite River Wildland B BirchMountain – Imperial Marathon Namur Shell Suncor Exxon Teck 100% W.I. In Situ Pierre Total Rv. Imperial Northern Lights Potential Teck Total Shell Total Suncor Audet BP Terre de Grace Pierre Rv. Imperial C Suncor Plant Koch L415 D Jordan – 100% W.I. Shell Imperial CNRL Horizon Fort Hills Jackpine Kearl In Situ Potential Grizzly Firebag Cenovus Syncrude Aurora River North Plant Plant Total Joslyn Shell Muskeg Rv. Proposed Proposed Marguerite River Wildland D New Terminal Suncor Plant Other – 100% W.I. Firebag Cenovus Syncrude Aurora South Husky Sunrise Telephone In Situ Potential Lake Cenovus East Athabasca Syncrude Mildred Hwy Lake Suncor Steepbank, Suncor Millenium Mackay Woodland/ Suncor Norealis Voyager South Pipelines Cenovus Borealis Overview of SilverWillow assets in Athabasca Oil Sands Region Cenovus Fort McMurray SilverWillow lands 6
  7. 7. Audet Lands Background• In early 2010 UTS conducted a geophysical survey to assess the resource potential of the new lands• In conjunction with existing geological data, results from this program indicated significant resource potential in 10- 15 sections• The Audet Lands are close to the Lease 421 Area in which UTS sold its 50% working interest to Imperial Oil / ExxonMobil in 2009 for $250 million 7
  8. 8. Audet: Estimate of Oil Sands Thickness• 72 core holes drilled• Depth to top of oil sands ranging from 100 to 175 metres 8
  9. 9. Audet: A High Quality Reservoir 02-15-098-03W4 Weight % 150 0 20 McMurray 160 From Core 170 Analysis 180 190 200 DevonianCore and well log data to date indicate: • Average bitumen saturation: ~80% • (based on samples with minimum 6 mass % bitumen) • Excellent porosities and permeabilities • No significant shale breaks or interbedded shales • Presence of upper lean bitumen zone in some areas • No bottom water 9
  10. 10. Audet Notional Development Plan 2012-2014 Completed 2012 winter program – delineation drilling, 2D seismic, mini-frac testing (cap rock)• Analysis and integration of geological, geophysical and hydrogeological data• Conduct thermal reservoir & geo-mechanical simulations to determine safe operating pressure and SAGD production potential• Initiate DBM level engineering for design of a single well pair SAGD pilot and12,000 bbl/d SAGD project• Conduct environmental baseline studies and preparation of a regulatory application for a SAGD project for submission in H2 2013• Q1 2013 winter drilling program to support pilot development• Updated resource estimate expected Q1 2013 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Audet Explore, Delineate and Evaluate Updated Resource Estimate Engineering and Development Works Regulatory Submit Application in H2 2013 Approval / Sanction Access / Construction Site Preparation Commissioning First Oil 10 PRODUCTION
  11. 11. Birch Mountain Exploration• 25 core holes recently drilled and evaluated (7 core holes on uplands)• Immediately adjacent to thick bitumen deposit at Frontier Mine Project • Prospective in Wabiskaw D & Middle McMurray formations Birch • Further Mountain Lands exploration Frontier required Mine Project 11 Source – Information Circular of SilverBirch Energy, February 28, 2012 11
  12. 12. Birch MountainWork Plan 2012 Approximate Quaternary Erosional Limit Completed a desktop geological study of the McMurray Formation of the area• Plan and conduct an exploration seismic acquisition program comprising approximately 100km of 2D coverage – Q1 2013• Total of 147 sections (94,080 acres)• Sparse well control (i.e. one well per eight sections)• 105 unexplored sections (67,200 acres) Birch Mtn. Lands Unexplored sections Seismic lines planned SWE well control 20m elevation contours 12
  13. 13. SilverWillow Notional Timeline 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Audet Explore, Delineate and Evaluate Updated Resource Estimate Engineering and Development Works Regulatory Submit Application in H2 2013 Approval / Sanction Access / Construction Site Preparation Commissioning First Oil PRODUCTION Birch Desktop Mountains Studies Exploration (Seismic) Further Evaluation Opportunity Identify, Evaluate and Acquire Value-adding Opportunities Analysis 13
  14. 14. Approved Budgeted Expenditures for 2013 ~$ millionsForecasted opening cash & cash equivalents at Jan 1, 2013 ~24.6LESS Cash Outflows Audet Lands* 8.5 Birch Mountains (seismic) 5.1 Corporate G&A 4.7 Projects (lease costs & software) 0.3 Sub-Total 18.6PLUS Cash Inflows Interest income 0.1Estimated Closing Cash Position (Year End) 6.1*Audet spending includes preparation of regulatory application and small core hole program Further funding will be matched to delineation and development activites 14
  15. 15. Key TakeawaysDiscovered resource base of ~1,690 million bbls1 at Audet (in situ) • Working to define SAGD project area with suitable cap rockAdditional resource upside potential in Birch Mountains (in situ)Experienced leadership team with proven exploration/development record • Led by members from SilverBirch’s management teamA work plan focused on delivery of value growth by way of: • Progression of Audet through exploration and regulatory process with approval anticipated in the 2015 timeframe • Exploration of the existing portfolio of lands (now all 100% owned) • Assessment of new land positions & application of emerging technologiesWorking capital of ~$27 million • Assess financing alternatives, partnering opportunities and execution strategies 1. Sproule Audet Report 15
  16. 16. SilverWillow Energy Corporation 3100, 715 – 5th Avenue SW Calgary, AB T2P 2X6 T 403 538 7030 F 403 538 7033 TSX-V: SWE 16
  17. 17. Audet: A High Quality ReservoirResults1,2 from laboratory coring programs to date indicate: • Target formation: McMurray • Average porosity: ~35% • Average bitumen saturation: ~80% • Permeabilities: predominantly in the range 6 to 18 Darcys (see chart below) Notes: 1: above averages for porosity and bitumen saturation are results for core samples exhibiting a minimum 6 mass percent bitumen 2: permeability is a measure of the ability of the formation to allow movement of fluids. The Audet data represents a combination of results for both horizontal and vertical permeabilities 17
  18. 18. Comparative In Situ Reservoir Parameters Avg Native Developed Net Pay Avg Avg Reservoir Reservoir Reservoir Thickness Permeability Bitumen Avg Pressure Pressure TargetProject Company Depth (m) (m) (Darcies) Saturation Porosity (Kpa) (Kpa) FormationTa ma ra ck Iva nhoe Energy 75-132 24-35 6 80% 33% ~500 1250-1450 McMurra yTel ephone La ke Cenovus 129-332 8-40 11 80% 34% 1200 1300 McMurra yMa cKa y Ri ver Suncor 135 15-35 1-5 76% 34% 300-500 1,500-2,000 McMurra yDover Atha ba s ca Oi l Sa nds 160-500 Ja n-00 2-9 76% 35% 700-1,000 3,000-5,000 McMurra yMa cKa y Atha ba s ca Oi l Sa nds 180 18 2-9 77% 33% 600-1,100 1,800-2,200 McMurra ySTP-McKa y Southern Pa ci fi c Res . 180 Ja n-00 0.5-11 65-75% 32% 650 2450 McMurra yLong La ke OPTI Ca na da 200 30 6.3 75% 30% 1,200 2,750 McMurra ySurmont ConocoPhi l l i ps 260 Feb-00 n.a. 80% 35% 1700 3,000-4,500 McMurra yHa ngi ngs tone Ja pa n Ca na da Oi l Sa nds 300 11-26 n.a. 85% 30% n.a. 4,500 McMurra yFi reba g Suncor 320 Feb-00 6-10 79% 35% 800 3150 McMurra yChri s tina La ke MEG Energy 360 20 3-5 80% 33% 2,100 2,700-3,500 McMurra yChri s tina La ke Cenovus 385 Ja n-00 3-10 80% 30% 2000 2,300-3,000 McMurra yJa ckfi s h Devon 415 15-40 2-10 80% 33% 2,700 2,700-2,900 McMurra yGrea t Di vi de Conna cher Oi l & Ga s 475 Ja n-00 3-9 85% 33% 1480 4300 McMurra yFos ter Creek Cenovus 500 30 6 85% 34% 2,700 2,400-2,700 McMurra yAudet * Si l verWi l l ow Energy 100-175 n.a. 6-18 80% 35% n.a. n.a. McMurra ySource: Canaccord Genuity & Company Reports *Reservoir parameters for SilverWillow Audet are based on results coring programs to date 18
  19. 19. Resource Summary SilverWillow Bitumen Resources (millions of barrels) Discovered Bitumen Initially-In-Place1 Project 100% Audet (in situ) 1,690 Total Discovered Resources 1,690 1. Sproule Audet ReportExploration upside: • Birch Mountains - 100% working interest in 9 Leases (comprising 147 sections) with in situ potential • Jordan - 100% working interest in 2 leases (comprising 36 sections) of exploration lands east of the Athabasca River • A total of ~117,000 acres of exploration potential 19
  20. 20. SilverWillow Book Value & Share Stats Book Value (September 30, 2012): Current Assets $ millions Cash and cash equivalents 24.2 Accounts receivable 0.3 Prepaid expenses 0.2 24.7 Exploration and Evaluation Assets 97.0 Property and Equipment 0.2 Total Assets 121.9 • Total Implied book value ~ 122 million dollars or ~$2.15 / share Share statistics (Apr 5 to Nov 30, 2012): Symbol SWE on TSX-V Shares Outstanding ~57 million Major Shareholders* Ownership Market Cap. (based on $0.85 / share) ~$48 million Kevin Douglas** 17.0% Total Share Volume since inception ~7.8 million The Children’s Investment Fund 16.5% VWAP since inception $1.19 / share West Face Capital Inc.** 15.6% Average daily volume (since listing) ~0.1 million SilverWillow Management & Board 5.2% Total 54.3%Source: Bloomberg * assumes ownership as at Nov 30, 2012 ** indirect ownership by board members 20
  21. 21. Audet Exploration Program -2012 SilverWillow Energy Corporation 3100, 715 – 5th Avenue SW Calgary, AB T2P 2X6 T 403 538 7030 F 403 538